• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flow Prediction

Search Result 2,415, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Forecasting of Motorway Traffic Flow based on Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 활용한 고속도로 교통류 예측)

  • Yoon, Byoung-Jo
    • Journal of Urban Science
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-54
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to find the factors that reduce prediction error in traffic volume using highway traffic volume data. The ARIMA model was used to predict the day, and it was confirmed that weekday and weekly characteristics were distinguished by prediction error. The forecasting results showed that weekday characteristics were prominent on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays, and forecast errors including MAPE and MAE on Sunday were about 15% points and about 10 points higher than weekday characteristics. Also, on Friday, the forecast error was high on weekdays, similar to Sunday's forecast error, unlike Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, which had weekday characteristics. Therefore, when forecasting the time series belonging to Friday, it should be regarded as a weekly characteristic having characteristics similar to weekend rather than considering as weekday.

A Prediction of Airflow-Induced Noise in DVD Drive using Acoustic Analogy (음향상사이론을 이용한 DVD Drive 내에서의 유동소음 예측)

  • Yoo, Seung-Won;Lee, Jong-Soo;Min, Oak-Key
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
    • /
    • 2000.11b
    • /
    • pp.502-507
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper presents the numerical prediction of airflow-induced sound in DVD drives. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is first conducted to evaluate flow field characteristics due to the high-speed disk rotation, and to support the acoustic analysis. The acoustic analogy based on Ffowcs Williams-Hawkings (FW-H) equation is adopted to predict aeroacoustic noise patterns. The integral solution for quadrupole volume source is included to identify the turbulence noise generated inside the DVD tray. Near-field noise is strongly affected by the flow field characteristic, which is caused by the complex shape of the tray. For a mid-field, the quadrupole noise play as a counterpart of thickness noise or loading noise, resulting in a different pattern compared with those in the near field.

  • PDF

Investigation of the noise sources for the centrifugal fan and aeroacoustic noise prediction (진공청소기 원심 홴의 소음원 분석 및 공력 소음 예측)

  • Jeong, Ye-Eun;Bae, Young-Min;Moon, Young-J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2009.04a
    • /
    • pp.645-645
    • /
    • 2009
  • In many practical applications of the centrifugal fan, the impeller-diffuser interaction noise is considered as a main source of fan noise. The housing for an electric motor is also expected to play an important role on noise propagation because of its complicated configuration. This study investigates the impeller-diffuser interaction noise and its sources by computing three-dimensional, incompressible flow field of the centrifugal fan in motor housing. The effect of motor case on fan noise characteristic is then investigated using the Brinkman penalization method, while the noise source associated with impeller-diffuser interaction is mathematically modeled. It is found that the present methodology combined with mathematical description of noise source provides a fairly good agreement with the experimental results, indicating that the motor housing has significant effect on noise characteristics. Finally, aeroacoustic noise prediction for various impeller-diffuser blade count ratios is conducted for noise reduction.

  • PDF

The Characteristics of Soil Remediation by Soil Flushing System Using PVDs (연직배수재를 이용한 토양세정시스템의 오염토양정화 특성)

  • Park, Jeong-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
    • /
    • v.10 no.5
    • /
    • pp.76-86
    • /
    • 2007
  • For the purpose of ground improvement by means of soil flushing systems. Incorporated technique with prefabricated vertical drains have been used for dewatering from fine-grained soils. The laboratory model tests were performed by using the flushing tracer solutions for silty soils and recorded the tracer concentration changes with the elapsed time and flow rates. A mathematical model for prediction of contaminant transport using the PVD technology has been developed. The clean-up times for the predictions on both soil condition indicate more of a sensitivity to the dispersivity parameter than to the extracted flow rate and vertical velocity parameters. Based on the results of the analyses, numerical analysis indicate that the most important factor to the in-situ soil remediation in prefabricated vertical drain system is the effective diameter of contaminated soil.

DEVELOPMENT OF CAVITATION EROSION PREDICTION METHOD AND ITS APPLICATION FOR MARINE PROPELLER (캐비테이션 침식 추정 방법 개발 및 추진기에의 적용)

  • Park, S.;Rhee, S.H.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.94-101
    • /
    • 2013
  • In the present study, a practical method to predict cavitation erosion, which caused a critical damage on hydraulic machineries, was developed. Impact and critical velocities were defined to develop a practical method for the prediction of cavitation erosion. To develope the practical method, the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) was introduced. Cavitating flows with erosion in a converging-diverging nozzle and around a hydrofoil were simulated by developed and validated code. Based on the CFD results, the cavitation erosion coefficient was derived by a curve fitting method. The cavitation erosion coefficient was formulated as the function of the cavitation and Reynolds numbers. A cavitating flow in an axisymmetric nozzle followed by radial divergence was simulated to validate the developed practical method. For the application to a propeller, a cavitating flow around a propeller was simulated. Predicted damage extent showed similar with damaged full-scale propeller blade.

Off-Design Performance Prediction of a Gas Turbine Engine (가스터빈 기관의 탈설계점 해석)

  • Kang, D.J.;Ryu, J.W.;Jung, P.S.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
    • /
    • v.17 no.7 s.94
    • /
    • pp.1851-1863
    • /
    • 1993
  • A procedure for the prediction of the off-design performance of a gas turbine engine is proposed. The system performance at off-design speed is predicted by coupling the thermodynamic models of a compressor and a turbine. The off-design performance of a compressor is obtained using the stage-stackimg method, while the Ainlay-Mathieson method is used for a turbine. The procedure is applied to a single-shaft gas turbine and its predictability is found satisfactory. The results also show that the net work output increases with the increase of the turbine inlet temperature, while the thermal efficiency is marginal. The maximum thermal efficiency at design point is obtained between the highest pressure ratio and design pressure ratio.

Intrusion Detection Scheme Using Traffic Prediction for Wireless Industrial Networks

  • Wei, Min;Kim, Kee-Cheon
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.310-318
    • /
    • 2012
  • Detecting intrusion attacks accurately and rapidly in wireless networks is one of the most challenging security problems. Intrusion attacks of various types can be detected by the change in traffic flow that they induce. Wireless industrial networks based on the wireless networks for industrial automation-process automation (WIA-PA) standard use a superframe to schedule network communications. We propose an intrusion detection system for WIA-PA networks. After modeling and analyzing traffic flow data by time-sequence techniques, we propose a data traffic prediction model based on autoregressive moving average (ARMA) using the time series data. The model can quickly and precisely predict network traffic. We initialized the model with data traffic measurements taken by a 16-channel analyzer. Test results show that our scheme can effectively detect intrusion attacks, improve the overall network performance, and prolong the network lifetime.

Design and Prototyping Micro Centrifugal Compressor for Ultra Micro Gas Turbine

  • Hirano, Toshiyuki;Tsujita, Hoshio;Gu, Ronglei;Minorikawa, Gaku
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
    • /
    • v.2 no.4
    • /
    • pp.426-430
    • /
    • 2009
  • In order to investigate the design method for a micro centrifugal compressor, which is the most important component of an ultra micro gas turbine, an impeller having the outer diameter of 20mm was designed, manufactured and tested. The designed rotational speed is 500,000 rpm and the impeller has a fully 3-dimensional shape. The impeller was rotated at 250,000 rpm in the present study. The experimental results of the tested compressor with the vaned and the vaneless diffusers were compared. It was found that the vaned diffuser attained the higher flow rate than the vaneless diffuser at the maximum pressure ratio. In addition the maximum pressure ratio was higher for the diffuser having a larger diffuser divergence angle at the high flow rate. These results were compared with those obtained by the prediction method used at the design stage.

A Method to determine structureborne noise levels from machineries (고체음원의 출력 예측방법에 대한 연구)

  • 김상렬;김재승;김현실;강현주
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 1997.04a
    • /
    • pp.545-550
    • /
    • 1997
  • It is well known that Statistical Energy Analysis(SEA) is one of very attractive analytical methods to solve shipboard noise problems. With reasonable successes, many applications of SEA to shipboard noise prediction have been reported. However when one wishes to obtain theoretical predictions by using SEA in practical systems, he will find difficulty in modeling of source systems, that is, foundations where to place main engine, generator, compressor, and so on. Also, he will find that it is hard to determine the amount of power flow from machinery to structures. In this paper, SEA of a simple foundation model was carried out using the estimated amount of power flow from source; the estimated mobility method. The comparison between the estimated and measured results is presented. That comparison shows a method to get structure-borne noise power from the combination of machinery and foundation. This prediction method gave a good results for a air-compressor mounted on a model foundation. The method is expected to give a reasonable power output in practical problems.

  • PDF

CFD Analysis of Leakage Prediction for Brush Element (CFD를 활용한 브러쉬 요소의 누설유량 예측 해석)

  • Kim, Kyul;Ha, Tae Woong
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.11-16
    • /
    • 2017
  • The accurate prediction of leakage flow through the brush element of brush seal at the steam turbine is important to find optimum design parameters for increasing an efficiency. In this study, CFD analysis method using commercial software FLUENT is proposed to predict leakage through the brush element. Since the brush element has a complex three-dimensional shape with many bristle assemblies, it is difficult to analyze the flow field. Therefore, if the brush element is assumed to be porous medium region, the analysis time can be shortened. Two determination methods of resistance coefficients of the Darcian porous medium equation are suggested. By comparing the 2D and 3D CFD analysis results for the leakage of the brush element using the two resistance coefficient determination methods, the effectiveness of the analysis for the porous medium assumption is proved.