• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.181-181
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• 2023

Flood is a major threat to human society, and scientific assessment of flood risk in human living areas is an important task. In this study, two different methods were used to evaluate the flood in Ulsan City, and the results were comprehensively compared and analyzed. Based on the fuzzy mathematics and VIKOR method of the multi-objective decision system, similar evaluation results were obtained in the study area. The results show that due to the large number of rivers in Ulsan City and the relatively high exposure index, the whole city faces a high risk of flooding. However, fuzzy mathematics theory pays more attention to the negative impact of floods on people, and the adaptability in the Nam-gu District is lower. In contrast, the VIKOR method pays more attention to the positive role of the economy and population in flood protection, and thus obtains a higher score. Both approaches demonstrate that the city of Ulsan faces a high risk of flooding and that its citizens and policymakers need to invest in preventing flood damage.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.48 no.8
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• pp.647-657
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• 2015

This study assessed the water use vulnerability for 12 basins of South Korea. The annual runoff of 12 basins are derived using a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the calculated runoff per unit area and population are compared with each basin. The 18 indicators are selected in order to assess the vulnerability. Those are classified by aspects of demand, loss and supply of water use. Their weighting values used Entropy method to determine objective weights. To quantitatively assess the water use vulnerability, the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) based on multi-criteria decision making are applied. The results show that the water availability vulnerability of Hyeongsan River has the highest value followed by Sapgyo River; Dongjin River; Seomjin River; Anseong River; Mangyung River; Nakdong River; Tamjin River; Youngsan River, Geum River; Taehwa River; and Han River. The result of this study has a capability to provide references for the index deveopment of climate change vulnerability assessment.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.1-12
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• 2012

In order to use as basic data of adaptation, this study focused on a 'Water management vulnerability estimation' in Korea. Vulnerability is estimated dividing into flood mitigation and water resource management. Temporal resolution is 2000 year and the future 2020 year, 2050 year, 2100 year via A1B scenario. Time series data was normalized. Then weight that is gotten through delphi investigation was multiplied. Vulnerability is calculated through this process. In flood mitigation vulnerability, it was estimated to adaptation ability affect relatively biggest influence. In future, some area of Gangwon-do was analyzed that the flood mitigation vulnerability increases. In water resource management, it was estimated to climate exposure affect relatively biggest influence. At 2020 yr, there is a trend toward increased in the Chungcheongbuk-do and DaeJeon, Daegu, some area of Gyeongsangnamdo. Because this study evaluate relative vulnerability of whole country and analyzed spatial distribution, when local government establishes climate change adaptation details enforcement countermeasure, this study can give help to grasp whether should invest more in some field.

• Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.85-99
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• 2013

The objective of this paper is to analyze the spatial distribution of errors in the DEM generated using waterlines from multi-temporal remote sensing data and to assess flood vulnerability. Unlike conventional research in which only global statistics of errors have been generated, this paper tries to quantitatively analyze the spatial distribution of errors from a probabilistic viewpoint using geostatistical simulation. The initial DEM in Baramarae tidal flats was generated by corrected tidal level values and waterlines extracted from multi-temporal Landsat data in 2010s. When compared with the ground measurement height data, overall the waterline-based DEM underestimated the actual heights and local variations of the errors were observed. By applying sequential Gaussian simulation based on spatial autocorrelation of DEM errors, multiple alternative error distributions were generated. After correcting errors in the initial DEM with simulated error distributions, probabilities for flood vulnerability were estimated under the sea level rise scenarios of IPCC SERS. The error analysis methodology based on geostatistical simulation could model both uncertainties of the error assessment and error propagation problems in a probabilistic framework. Therefore, it is expected that the error analysis methodology applied in this paper will be effectively used for the probabilistic assessment of errors included in various thematic maps as well as the error assessment of waterline-based DEMs in tidal flats.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.43-73
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• 2014

Cities in Korea have rapidly urbanized and they are not well prepared for natural disasters which have been increased by climate change. In particular, they often struggle with urban flooding. Recently, green infrastructure has been emphasized as a critical strategy for flood mitigation in developed countries due to its capability to infiltrate water into the ground, provide the ability to absorb and store rainfall, and contribute to mitigating floods. However, in Korea, green infrastructure planning only focuses on esthetic functions or accessibility, and does not think how other functions such as flood mitigation, can be effectively realized. Based on this, we address this critical gap by suggesting the new green infrastructure planning framework for improving urban water cycle and maximizing flood mitigation capacity. This framework includes flood vulnerability assessment for identifying flood risk area and deciding suitable locations for green infrastructure. We propose the use of the combination of frequency ratio model and GIS for flood vulnerability assessment. The framework also includes the selection process of green infrastructure practices under local conditions such as geography, flood experience and finance. Finally, we applied this planning framework to the case study area, namely YeonJe-gu an Nam-gu in Busan. We expect this framework will be incorporated into green infrastructure spatial planning to provide effective decision making process regarding location and design of green infrastructure.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.48 no.12
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• pp.1037-1049
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• 2015

The most of natural disasters that occur in North Korea are flood, typhoon and damage from heavy rain. The damage caused by those disasters since the mid-1990s is aggravating North Korea's economic difficulties every year. By recognizing the seriousness of the damages from the floods, the North Korean government has carried out the river maintenance, farmland restoration, land readjustment and afforestation projects since the last-1990s, but it has failed preventing the damages. In order to estimate the degree of flood risk regarding damage from chronic floods that occur inveterately in North Korea, this research conducted an additional simulation for rainfall-runoff analysis to reflect the characteristics of the ungauged area that make foreign countries hard to obtain the hydrological data and do not open the topographical data to public. In addition, this research estimates the degree of flood risk by selecting the factors of the hazard, exposure and vulnerability by following the standards of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.102-115
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• 2019

This study aims to establish and apply a drought vulnerability assessment plan including various factors related to drought. The evaluation technique consisted of three stages: evaluation factor and weight selection, evaluation data database construction, evaluation data and weight combination, and Delphi investigation method was applied to evaluation factor and weight selection. As the evaluation method, the TOPSIS method, which is a widely used MCDM method, was used. The results of the drought vulnerability assessment were applied to the administrative districts of Sigun-gu, Korea from March 2016 to September 2019. As a result of the evaluation, drought vulnerable areas were identified in Chungcheongbuk-do, Gyeongsangnam-do, and Jeollanam-do, and it was analyzed that it is necessary to establish drought response plans for these areas.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.204-204
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• 2016

Thailand had set the National Water Management Strategy which covered main six areas in the next 12 years, i.e., by priority: (1) water for household, (2) water for agricultural and industrial production, (3) water for flood and drought management, (4) water for quality issue, (5) water from forest conservation and soil erosion protection, (6) water resources management. However due to the climate change impact, there is a question for all strategies is whether to complete this mission under future climate change. If the impact affects our target, we have to clarify how to mitigate or to adapt with it. Vulnerability assessment was conducted under the framework of ADB's (with the parameters of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity) and the assessments were classified into groups due to their different characteristic and the framework of the National Water Management Strategy, i.e., water supply (rural and urban), water for development (agriculture and others), water disasters (floods (flash, overflow), drought, water quality). The assessments identified the parameters concerned and weight factors used for each groups via expert group discussions and by using GIS mapping technology, the vulnerability maps were produced. The maps were verified with present water situation data (floods, drought, water quality). From the analysis result of this water resources management strategy, we found that 30% of all projects face the big impacts, 40% with low impact, and 30% for no impact. It is clear that water-related agencies have to carefully take care approximately 70% of future projects to meet water resources management strategy. It is recommended that additional issues should be addressed to mitigate the impact from climate risk on water resource management of the country, i.e., water resources management under new risk based on development scenarios, relationship with area-based problems, priority definition by viewpoints of risk, vulnerability (impact and occurrence probability in past and future), water management system in emergency case and water reserve system, use of information, knowledge and technology in management, network cooperation and exchange of experiences, knowledge, technique for sustainable development with mitigation and adaptation, education and communication systems in risk, new impact, and emergency-reserve system. These issues will be described and discussed.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.94-100
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• 2021

In general, the industrial complex is a place where factories of various industries are concentrated. It is only as efficient as it is designed. However, the risks vary as there are various industries. These features are also associated with various types of disasters. The dangers of natural disasters such as a typhoon, flood, and earthquake, as well as fire and explosions, are also latent. Many of these risks can make stable production and business activities difficult, resulting in massive direct and indirect damage. In particular, decades after its establishment, the vulnerabilities increase even more as aging and small businesses are considered. In this sense, it is significant to assess the vulnerability of the industrial complex. Thus analysing fire and explosion hazards as stage 1 of the vulnerability evaluation for the major potential disasters for the industrial complex. First, fire vulnerabilities were analyzed quantitatively. It is displayed in blocks for each company. The assessment block status and the fire vulnerability rating status were conducted by applying the five-step criteria. Level A is the highest potential risk step and E is the lowest step. Level A was 11.8% in 20 blocks, level B was 22.5% in 38 blocks, level C was 25.4% in 43 blocks, level D was 26.0% in 44 blocks, and level E was 14.2% in 24 blocks. Levels A and B with high fire vulnerabilities were analyzed at 34.3%. Secondly, the vulnerability for an explosion was quantitatively analyzed. Explosive vulnerabilities were analyzed at 4.7% for level A with 8 blocks, 3.0% for level B with 5, 1.8% for level C with 3, 4.7% for level D with 8, and 85.8% for level E with 145. Levels A and B, which are highly vulnerable to explosions, were 7.7 %. Thirdly, the overall vulnerability can be assessed by adding disaster vulnerabilities to make future assessments. Moreover, it can also assist in efficient safety and disaster management by visually mapping quantified data. This will also be used for the integrated control center of the N-Industrial Complex, which is currently being installed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.105-105
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• 2023

최근 기후변화로 인해 매년 집중호우 및 태풍으로 인한 침수피해가 증가하고 있다. 현재 국내에서는 이러한 피해를 줄이기 위해 구조적 대책뿐만 아니라 치수사업의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있는 비구조적 대책들이 대두되고 있다. 비구조적 대책으로는 재해예방사업 등에서 투자우선순위를 결정할 수 있는 다차원법, 홍수취약성지수 등과 같은 정량적, 정성적 홍수위험도 평가가 대표적이다. 하지만 기존 시군구별 홍수위험도 평가는 빈도별 홍수위험지도의 침수면적을 반영하지 않았었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 서울특별시를 대상으로 빈도별(50, 80, 100 및 200년) 설계홍수량에 따른 홍수위험지도를 작성하고 IBA(Indicator Based Assessment) 방법을 활용한 홍수위험도 평가를 실시하였다. 홍수위험지수는 4가지 항목(Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability 및 Capacity)과 8개의 세부지표로 구성하였다. 분석결과, 송파구와 성동구는 100년 빈도, 용산구와 강남구는 80년 빈도와 100년 빈도에서 홍수위험지수의 순위 변동이 관측되었다. 순위 변동이 발생한 주요 원인으로는 홍수위험도 평가에 반영된 Exposure 및 Vulnerability 항목에 포함된 세부지표별 지수가 시군구 내 빈도별 침수면적이 변화함에 따라 증가 혹은 감소했기 때문이었다. 본 연구를 활용하면 빈도별 침수면적 변화에 따른 시군구별 홍수위험도를 파악할 수 있으며, 그에 따른 예방책 또한 마련할 수 있을 것이다. 그리고 공간분석을 통해 도출된 통계지도를 활용하여 홍수위험에 직접적으로 노출된 건물 및 인구 밀집지역을 파악하고, 해당 지역을 대상으로 치수사업을 전개할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.