• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood inundation map

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The probabilistic estimation of inundation region using a multiple logistic regression analysis (다중 Logistic 회귀분석을 통한 침수지역의 확률적 도출)

  • Jung, Minkyu;Kim, Jin-Guk;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2020
  • The increase of impervious surface and development along the river due to urbanization not only causes an increase in the number of associated flood risk factors but also exacerbates flood damage, leading to difficulties in flood management. Flood control measures should be prioritized based on various geographical information in urban areas. In this study, a probabilistic flood hazard assessment was applied to flood-prone areas near an urban river. Flood hazard maps were alternatively considered and used to describe the expected inundation areas for a given set of predictors such as elevation, slope, runoff curve number, and distance to river. This study proposes a Bayesian logistic regression-based flood risk model that aims to provide a probabilistic risk metric such as population-at-risk (PAR). Finally, the logistic regression model demonstrates the probabilistic flood hazard maps for the entire area.

Two-Dimensional Flood Inundation Analysis Resulting from Irrigation Reservoir Failure - Focused on the Real Case with the Minimal Data Set - (농업용 저수지 붕괴에 따른 2차원 홍수범람해석 -계측자료가 부족한 실제사례를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jae Young;Kim, Byunghyun;Park, Jun Hyung;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.231-243
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    • 2016
  • This study presents the applicability of two-dimensional (2D) flood inundation model by applying to real irrigation reservoir failure with limited available data. The study area is Sandae Reservoir placed in Gyeongju and downstream area of it and the reservoir was failured by piping in 2013. The breach hydrograph was estimated from one-dimensional (1D) hydrodynamic model and the discharge was employed for upstream boundary of 2D flood inundation model. Topography of study area was generated by integrating digital contour map and satellite data, and Cartesian grids with 3m resolution to consider geometry of building, road and public stadium were used for 2D flood inundation analysis. The model validation was carried out by comparing predictions with field survey data including reservoir breach outflow, flood extent, flood height and arrival time, and identifying rational ranges with allowed error. In addition, the applicability of 2D model is examined using different simulation conditions involving grid size, building and roughness coefficient. This study is expected to contributed to analysis of irrigation reservoirs were at risk of a failure and setting up Emergency Action Plan (EAP) against irrigation reservoir failure.

Analysis of the Tsunami Inundation Trace and it's Expectation Area in Coast Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 지진해일시 연안의 침수 흔적 및 예상 지역 분석)

  • Lee Hyung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2006
  • The efficient management for minimum losses and demage precautions of fragile region against coastal disasters such as seismic waves and seawater overflows is proceeding continually. This study is to analyze inundation trace and extract expected damage areas with historic records of tsunami using Geographic Information System. Creating a digital elevation model of the Mangsang and the Nobong region in the east coast, we marked inundation record of tsunami and forecasted the flood area with a seismic wave height between 3 m and 5 m. The inundation trace layers and the expected damage areas on the cadastral map layer were superimposed individually. Consequently, the range and lot numbers of inundation expected area were calculated and inundation areas of 5 m tsunami were increased by 2.8 times than 3 m tsunami in case of subject regions. Analyzed results are expected to use evacuation work in case of seismic waves and to predict the compensation of the damaged area. And this study is expected to use suitable countermeasure for prevention from natural disasters.

Study on Damage Reduction by Flood Inundation and the Sediments by SWAT and HEC-RAS Modeling of Flow Dynamics with Watershed Hydrology - For 27 July 2011 Heavy Storm Event at GonjiamCheon Watershed - (SWAT 및 HEC-RAS 모형의 수문-수리 연계모델링을 통한 곤지암천 유역의 하천범람 및 토사유출 피해저감 연구 - 2011년 7월 27일 국지성 폭우를 대상으로 -)

  • Jung, Chung-Gil;Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Yu, Yeong-Seok;Park, Jong-Yoon;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2012
  • This study is to evaluate flood inundation and to recommend measures of damage reduction on sediment by concentrated torrential rainfall at Gonjiamcheon Watershed (183.4 $km^2$). Firstly, the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) was simulated streamflow and sediment at upstream. Then, we produced a map of floodplain boundary by using HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Centers River Analysis System) at downstream. The SWAT model was calibrated with 2 years (2008~2009) daily streamflow and validated for another years (2010~2011. 7. 31). The SWAT model was simulated with 3 years (2008~2010) by monthly water quality (Sediment) at Gonjiamcheon water quality station. The streamflow and sediment from SWAT model were input as boundary conditions to HEC-RAS. The results of HEC-RAS indicated that mapping of floodplain boundary was Jiwol and Jiwol 2 district. Additionally, inundation area and depth were assessed and applied BMPs scenario for managing the sediment yield.

Real-Time Forecast of Rainfall Impact on Urban Inundation (강우자료와 연계한 도시 침수지역의 사전 영향예보)

  • KEUM, Ho-Jun;KIM, Hyun-Il;HAN, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.76-92
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    • 2018
  • This study aimed to establish database of rainfall inundation area by rainfall scenarios and conduct a real time prediction for urban flood mitigation. the data leaded model was developed for the mapping of inundated area with rainfall forecast data provided by korea meteorological agency. for the construction of data leaded model, 1d-2d modeling was applied to Gangnam area, where suffered from severe flooding event including september, 2010. 1d-2d analysis result agree with observed in term of flood depth. flood area and flood occurring report which maintained by NDMS(national disaster management system). The fitness ratio of the NDMS reporting point and 2D flood analysis results was revealed to be 69.5%. Flood forecast chart was created using pre-flooding database. It was analyzed to have 70.3% of fitness in case of flood forecast chart of 70mm, and 72.0% in case of 80mm flood forecast chart. Using the constructed pre-flood area database, it is possible to present flood forecast chart information with rainfall forecast, and it can be used to secure the leading time during flood predictions and warning.

Enhancing the radar-based mean areal precipitation forecasts to improve urban flood predictions and uncertainty quantification

  • Nguyen, Duc Hai;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.123-123
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    • 2020
  • The present study is aimed to correcting radar-based mean areal precipitation forecasts to improve urban flood predictions and uncertainty analysis of water levels contributed at each stage in the process. For this reason, a long short-term memory (LSTM) network is used to reproduce three-hour mean areal precipitation (MAP) forecasts from the quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) of the McGill Algorithm for Precipitation nowcasting by Lagrangian Extrapolation (MAPLE). The Gangnam urban catchment located in Seoul, South Korea, was selected as a case study for the purpose. A database was established based on 24 heavy rainfall events, 22 grid points from the MAPLE system and the observed MAP values estimated from five ground rain gauges of KMA Automatic Weather System. The corrected MAP forecasts were input into the developed coupled 1D/2D model to predict water levels and relevant inundation areas. The results indicate the viability of the proposed framework for generating three-hour MAP forecasts and urban flooding predictions. For the analysis uncertainty contributions of the source related to the process, the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) using delayed rejection and adaptive metropolis algorithm is applied. For this purpose, the uncertainty contributions of the stages such as QPE input, QPF MAP source LSTM-corrected source, and MAP input and the coupled model is discussed.

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The Analysis of Flood in an Ungauged Watershed using Remotely Sensed and Geospatial Datasets (II) - Focus on Estimation of Flood Inundation - (원격탐사와 공간정보를 활용한 미계측 유역 홍수범람 해석에 관한 연구(II) - 침수 피해면적 산정을 중심으로 -)

  • Son, Ahlong;Kim, Jongpil
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.5_2
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    • pp.797-808
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    • 2019
  • This study evaluated the applicability of spacebourne datasets to the flood analysis in an ungauged watershed where is no discharge measurements. The Duman River basin of North Korea was selected as a target area which was flooded by recent Typhoon Lionrock. Topographical parameters for flood analysis were estimated from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) Global Digital Elevation Model (GDEM). GDEM includes the shortcomings of information on river cross-section, and conducted 2 dimensional flood analysis when considering virtual river cross-section and not considering it. As a result of comparative analysis, an error occurs in the inundation area and depth, but when used carefully, it is considered that the satellite image can be used for creating flood hazard map and utilizing information for response and preparation.

Study on Application of Diffusion Wave Inundation Analysis Model Linked with GIS (GIS와 연계한 확산파 침수해석 모형의 적용에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeon;Choi, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.88-100
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    • 2009
  • An inundation analysis was performed on Hwapocheon, one of the tributaries of Nakdong River, which was inundated by heavy rain in August, 2002 with overtopping and levee break. The results of the developed model, 2D diffusion wave inundation analysis model, was compared with inundation trace map as well as inundation depth in terms of time and maximum inundated area calculated from FLUMEN model for the assessment of model applicability. The results from the developed model showed high fitness of 88.61% in comparison with observed data. Also maximum inundated area and spatial distribution of inundation zone were also found to be consistent with the results of FLUMEN model. Therefore, inundation zone and maximum inundation area calculated over a period of time by adopting 2D diffusion wave inundation analysis model can be used as a database for identifying high risk areas of inundation and establishing flood damage reduction measures.

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Development of Urban Flood Risk Maps for Strengthening Urban Planning Toward Disaster Prevention (재해예방형 도시계획 지원을 위한 도시침수 위험도 공간정보 개발)

  • Lee, Jongso;Lee, Sangeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to propose the methods for urban flood risk maps which are useful in strengthening urban planning toward disaster prevention by climate change. Selecting the Gwangju city, Gyeonggi-do as study area, it analyzes urban flood at a RCP 8.5 scenario, and develops gridded information regarding risk components such as hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. It turns out that flooding would occur at a bend interval of the Mokhyun stream and also at the joint of the Gyungan and the Mokhyun streams, showing the similarity with the inundation trace map. In particular, the Songjeong dong is analyzed to be seriously exposed and to be highly vulnerable to flood inundation. With all results together, this study concludes that the proposed methods could be used as a basis for strengthening urban planning toward flood disaster prevention system.

Flood Simulation by using High Quality Geo-spatial Information (고품질 지형공간정보를 이용한 홍수 시뮬레이션)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jik;Hong, Sung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2010
  • The important factors in a flood simulation are hydrologic data (such as the rainfall and intensity), a threedimensional terrain model, and the hydrologic inundation calculation matrix. Should any of these factors lack accuracy, flood prediction data becomes unreliable and imprecise. The three-dimensional terrain model is constructed based on existing digital maps, current map updates, and airborne LiDAR data. This research analyzes and offers ways to improve the model's accuracy by comparing flood weakness areas selected according to the existing data on flood locations and design frequency.