• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.131-140
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• 1992

다목적댐의 유입량 예측과 더불어 유출량의 이용율을 극대화 하면서 홍수 피해를 극소화 시킬 수 있는 방류량을 결정할 수 있는 실시간(實時間) 홍수제어(洪水制御) 문제에 있어서는 수문(水文) 및 기상자료 등 많은 정보의 실시간(實時間) 온라인 취득과 컴퓨터를 사용한 분석이 필수적이다. 입수된 자료의 정확한 분석으로부터 내용이 압축된 컬러 그래픽 등 사람과 컴퓨터간의 대화매체를 도입하면 홍수방류를 결정할 수 있는 책임자에게 분석된 정보를 보다 쉽고 신속하게 전달할 수 있다. 개발된 PC-REFCON은 개인용 컴퓨터를 주축으로 한 실시간 홍수예측 및 저수지 운영을 위한 쇄신된 의사결정 지원 시스템으로서, 자료의 실시간 취득과 가공을 위한 데이타 베이스와 유입량 예측과 댐 방류량 결정을 위한 모형을 포함하였을 뿐 아니라 지금까지와는 전혀 새로운 차원으로 모든 정보를 그래픽과 테이블로 제공하여 주는 대화형 시tm템으로 구성되었다. PC-REFCON은 1992년부터 우리나라의 9개 전 다목적댐 저수지를 홍수시에 실시간으로 홍수량 예측과 방류량을 결정할 수 있는 시스템으로 이용될 것이다.

• 지질공학
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.449-458
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• 2015

갑작스런 저수지 붕괴로 인하여 발생하는 자연재해를 관리하는 효율적인 방법은 홍수위험지도를 작성하는 것이다. 댐붕괴로 인한 홍수위험지도 작성에서 물리적인 현상을 재현해내기 위해서는 유출모형이 사용되는 것이 일반적이며, 모형을 이용하여 잠재적 피해대상지역을 사전에 파악하는데 모형의 정확도가 중요하다. 외국에서 만들어진 기존 상용모형을 검증을 거치지 않고 현장에 적용하는 것은 신뢰성에 문제가 있다. 따라서 모형 예측과 실측의 차이를 비교하여 모형의 정확도를 확인할 필요가 있다. 이 연구에서는 댐붕괴 모형을 하도추적모형인 FLO-2D모형에 연동하여 침수지역을 파악하였다. 모형의 매개변수는 모형의 결과에 중대한 영향을 미치므로 먼저 DEM을 구축한 후 토지피복도로 Manning계수를 산정하고 동시에 토양도를 사용하여 침투과정의 매개변수를 산정하였다. 모의 결과는 침수현장에서 설문조사를 통하여 제작한 현장침수지도와 상대 비교하였다. 침수지역의 수위와 범위 등을 비교한 결과 연구에 사용한 붕괴모형이 침수 지역을 적절하게 재현해 내는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제63권1호
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• pp.11-25
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• 2021

The objective of this study was to analyze the impact of activation functions on flood forecasting model based on Artificial neural networks (ANNs). The traditional activation functions, the sigmoid and tanh functions, were compared with the functions which have been recently recommended for deep neural networks; the ReLU, leaky ReLU, and ELU functions. The flood forecasting model based on ANNs was designed to predict real-time runoff for 1 to 6-h lead time using the rainfall and runoff data of the past nine hours. The statistical measures such as R2, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the error of peak time (ETp), and the error of peak discharge (EQp) were used to evaluate the model accuracy. The tanh and ELU functions were most accurate with R2=0.97 and RMSE=30.1 (㎥/s) for 1-h lead time and R2=0.56 and RMSE=124.6~124.8 (㎥/s) for 6-h lead time. We also evaluated the learning speed by using the number of epochs that minimizes errors. The sigmoid function had the slowest learning speed due to the 'vanishing gradient problem' and the limited direction of weight update. The learning speed of the ELU function was 1.2 times faster than the tanh function. As a result, the ELU function most effectively improved the accuracy and speed of the ANNs model, so it was determined to be the best activation function for ANNs-based flood forecasting.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.33-42
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• 2004

Effect of freshwater discharge on the long-term salt balance in the Northern and Central Indian River Lagoon (IRL) is successfully simulated by a new analytical solution to a water balance-based one-dimensional salt conservation equation. Sensitivity tests show that the salinity levels drop abruptly even during the dry season (November to May) due to the high surface runoff discharge caused by tropical storms, depressions, and passage of cold fronts. Increasing surface runoff and direct precipitation has risen by ten times, lowering the salinity level down to 12psu in the Northern Central zone, and to 17 psu in the Northern zone. However, the salinity level in the Southern Central zone has decreased to 25 psu. High sensitivity of the Northern Central zone to freshwater discharge can be partially explained by a rapid urbanization in this zone. During the dry season, less sensitivity of the Southern Central zone to the increased surface runoff is attributed to the proximity of the zone to the Sebastian Inlet and a strong diffusion condition possibly resulting from the seawater intrusion to the surficial aquifer at the Vero Beach. During the wet season, however, the whole study area is highly sensitive to freshwater discharge due to the weak diffusion conditions. High sensitivity of the IRL to the given diffusion conditions guarantees that the fresh-water release occurs during strong wind conditions, achieving both flood control in the drainage basin and a proper salinity regime in the IRL.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.41-52
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• 2003

The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제30권7호
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• pp.507-517
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• 2021

In this study, the bathymetric data acquired from 2018 to 2020 and the precipitation and suspended sediment data were analyzed for changes in bathymetry owing to the discharge from the Nakdong River barrier and environmental factors, especially the torrential rain in 2020. Sediment erosion and deposition processes are repeated because of complex environmental factors such as discharge from the Nakdong River barrier and the influence of waves generated from the external sea. In the first half of the year after the dry season, bathymetric data showed relative erosion trends, whereas in the second half after the flood season, deposition trends were identified owing to the increase in sediment transport. However, the data from the second half of 2020 showed a large amount of erosion, resulting in tendencies different to those of erosion in the first half and deposition in the second half of the year. This result is judged to be influenced by the weather in the summer of 2020. The torrential rain in the summer of 2020 resulted in a higher force of erosion than that of deposition. In summary, the tendency for erosion is more significant than that of sedimentation, especially in the main channel area of the Nakdong River.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.51-57
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• 2007

본 연구에서는 군남 홍수조절지 여수로의 흐름을 FLOW-3D 모형을 이용하여 모의하였다. 기본계획안에 따라, 월류웨어의 방류능력과 접근수로의 안정성을 검토한 결과 여수로 규모가 적절하지 못하고, 접근수로 내의 흐름은 불안정한 것으로 나타났다. 그래서, 문제점올 해결하기 위한 개선안을 마련하였다. 개선안에 따라 여수로의 흐름을 모의하고, 월류웨어의 방류능력과 접근수로의 안정성을 검토하였다. 그 결과 개선된 여수로의 규모는 적정한 것으로 나타났고, 접근수로의 안정성은 향상되는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제38권5호
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• pp.64-73
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• 1996

When typhoon occurs, the meteorological conditions get worse and can cause a large damage from storm and flood . This damage, however, can be minimized if a precise analysis of the runoff characteristics by typhoon tracks is used in the flood contorl This paper aims at the analysis of storm occurrence and runoff characteristics by typhoon tracks in Nakdong river basin. Therefore, the data of 14 typhoons which invaded Nakdong river basin during the period from 1975 to 1991 were collected, analyzed, and studied. The major results of this study are as followings; 1) The frequency of the typhoon occurrence here in Korea was affected by the storms three times a year on the average. The highest-recorded frequency was during the months of July to September. 2) The survey of the track characteristics depending on the forms of the storm in the Nakdong river basin showed that typhoon storm advanced from the south of the basin to the north, while the frontal type storm was most likely to advanced from the west to the north. 3) Typhoon tracks are classified into three categories, 6 predictors with high correlation coefficient are finally selected, and stepwise multiple regression method are used to establish typhoon strom forecasting models. 4) The riview on the directions of progress of the storm made it clear that the storm moving downstream from upstream of the basin could develop into peak discharge for ca short time and lead to more flood damage than in any other direction.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.133-139
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• 1987

한강감조구간(漢江感潮區間)에서 과거(過去)에 발생(發生)했던 세 경우(境遇)의 대홍수(大洪水)를 1차원(次元) 유한차분조석(有限差分潮汐)모형을 이용(利用)하여 수치적(數値的)으로 조사(調査)하였다. 홍수추정기법(洪水推定技法)은 인도교(人道橋)의 홍수위곡선(洪水位曲線)으로부터 유량(流量)을 도출(導出), 입력(入力)시키고 또한 하류경우조건(下流境遇條件)으로는 경계단(境界端)의 조위추정치(潮位推定値)를 규정(規定)하므로서 감조구간(感潮區間)의 홍수위(洪水位) 및 유량(流量)을 산정(算定)하는 것이다. 1925년(年), 1972년(年) 및 1984년(年) 대홍수(大洪水)의 초기산정(初期算定) 결과(結果)가 제시(提示)되고 또한 토의(討議)되었다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.935-942
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• 2009

During period of the rainy season of spring tide Aug. 2005, the suspended sediment transport rate from Seomjin River increased ten times as high as neap tide of low river discharge. During ebb tide of high terrestrial input, the grain size of suspended particles of both surface and bottom layer of the water column, showed a uni-modal distribution with a dominant peak at coarse fraction, which suggests a characteristic development of floc-sized particles of low mean effective density. On the contrary, the particles supplied toward upstream of Seomjin river from Gwangyang Bay during flood tide showed a bi-modal distribution with a secondary peak at finer fraction, possibly due to the resuspension and the deflocculation associated with the increased shear velocity at near bottom. Break-up of large flocs is also suggested by the increased mean effective density. However, settling velocity was lower during flood tide because of smaller grain size. Thus, net deposition of suspended sediment is expected at within Gwangyang Bay instead of upstream of Seomjin River, even though suspended sediment transport rate at near bottom water was three times higher than that at surface water during flood tide.