• 제목/요약/키워드: Flood Analysis

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Flood Frequency Analysis Considering Probability Distribution and Return Period under Non-stationary Condition (비정상성 확률분포 및 재현기간을 고려한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob;Kim, Hyeong Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.610-610
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    • 2015
  • 수공구조물의 설계에서는 홍수빈도분석을 통해 산정된 특정 재현기간에서의 확률수문량이 설계기준으로 사용된다. 그러나 최근 기후변화로 인해 이상기후 현상이 심해짐에 따라 수문기상자료의 정상성을 가정하는 기존의 홍수빈도분석은 변화되는 수문현상을 적절히 표현하지 못하는 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 확률분포의 모수가 시간에 따라 변화하는 비정상성 빈도분석기법을 적용하였으며 확률분포의 모수들을 최우추정법으로 추정하였다. 또한, 분위수 추정과정에서도 비정상성을 고려하여 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간 및 위험도와 비교분석하였다. 확률분포는 GEV 분포를 사용하여 정상성 및 비정상성 모형 4개를 구축하였다. 특히, 비정상성 모형은 위치모수만 선형 경향성을 가지는 경우, 규모모수만 선형경향성을 가지는 경우, 위치 및 규모모수가 선형경향성을 가지는 경우의 3가지로 구분하여 적용하였다. 구축된 4개의 모형 중 적합모형을 선정하기 위해 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 사용하였으며 적합모형선정 절차를 체계적으로 구축하고 적용하여 적합모형을 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 구축된 비정상성 홍수빈도분석 기법은 우리나라의 8개 다목적댐 (충주댐, 소양강댐, 안동댐, 임하댐, 합천댐, 대청댐, 섬진강댐, 주암댐)으로부터 취득된 과거 관측 댐 유입량을 대상으로 하여 적용되었다. 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 이용한 적합 모형 선정 결과 합천댐과 섬진강댐이 비정상성 GEV 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었고, 나머지 지점의 다목적댐들은 정상성 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었다. 합천댐과 섬진강댐의 경우 비정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간이 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간보다 매우 작게 산정되었으며 확률수문량과 위험도는 크게 산정되었다. 적합모형으로 정상성 모형이 선정된 6개의 다목적댐 중 소양강댐은 Mann-Kendall 비모수 경향성 검정 결과 유의하지는 않지만 비교적 큰 선형경향성을 가지고 있었다. 비록 비정상성 모형이 적합모형으로 선정되지는 않았지만 소양강댐에 비정상성 모형을 가정하여 재현기간과 확률수문량, 위험도를 분석한 결과 정상성 모형 가정에서 산정한 결과와 상당한 차이가 있었다. 이와 같은 결과는 수문자료의 정상성과 비정상성을 고려한 홍수빈도분석이 향후 수공구조물의 설계에 있어서 신뢰성 있는 확률수문량을 결정하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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Flood Inundation Analysis Using OpenMP Technique (OpenMP를 이용한 제내지 침수 병렬해석)

  • PARK, Jae Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.74-74
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    • 2016
  • 복잡한 지형에서 컴퓨터를 이용한 물리적 기반 수치모의는 합리적인 시간내에 연산을 완료하기 위해 대개 큰 연산장비 들을 요구한다. 더욱이 모의되는 현상이 시간단계마다 갱신되어지는 동역학적 현상에 기반된 비정상상태일 때 연산성능은 고려되어지는 가장 중요한 주제가 될 수 있다. 연산 시간을 줄이기 위한 가장 널리 이용되는 전략중의 하나는 적절한 수의 프로세서를 이용하는 병렬 기법이다. 최근 들어 연산속도를 가속화하기 위해 다수의 코어를 이용한 OpenMP 와 MPI 기법들이 병렬해석기법으로 대두되었고 그래픽 연산장치를 이용한 병렬처리 해석기법도 소개되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 중앙연산장치를 이용한 병렬 해석기법을 이용하여 제내지 침수해석의 적용성을 검토하고 그 결과을 비교하였다. 본 연구를 위해 OpenMP 병렬기법을 이용하여 확산파 침수해석 프로그램의 원시코드를 재작성하여 가상 및 실제 유역에 적용하였다. 해석결과는 분산메모리 병렬해석 기법인 MPI를 도입한 모형의 결과와 비교되었다. OpenMP를 도입한 모형과 MPI를 도입한 경우 유량 및 수심의 경우 오차 허용 한계내에 수렴되어 만족되었으나 그러나 연산 속도의 경우 두 기법간의 자료의 저장 방법 차이로 인해 차이를 나타내었다. 가상 유역에 적용된 결과로 검토된 각 기법의 증속(speedup) 효과는 MPI의 경우 4 코어를 이용하였을 때 최고 2.62 배 정도에 도달하는 것으로 나타났다. OpenMP 를 적용한 경우 2.87 배 정도로 나타나 OpenMP 를 이용하였을 때 증속효과가 조금 더 뛰어났다. 이는 두 기법의 메모리 저장방식의 차이로 인해 자료의 전송량과 전송 시간이 적은 OpenMP 를 도입한 모형에서 MPI 모형 보다 상대적으로 뛰어난 결과를 나타내었다. 실제 유역의 적용을 위해 상대적으로 우수한 증속결과를 나타낸 OpenMP를 도입한 모형을 Malpasset 댐 붕괴 유역에 적용하였다. 적용된 요소의 수는 각각 45254, 11352 개로 비교적 많은 요소를 가진 하류지역에 적용하여 병렬효과를 극대화하고자 하였다. 적용결과 두 경우 모두 병렬 해석 기법을 도입한 모형에서 유속과 침수심 등은 순차적 모형과 동일한 값을 나타내었으나 증속효과로 인한 연산시간은 순차적 모형에서 8.57 배로 나타나 병렬 모형의 상대적으로 빠른 연산속도를 판단할 있었다. 위의 적용결과를 통해 계산 요소들이 많은 2 차원 해석의 경우 기존의 단일 코어를 이용한 순차적 해석은 장시간에 걸치 연산시간으로 인해 작업효율이 낮아지는 결과를 발생시킬 수 있으며 병렬 해석을 도입할 경우 주어진 컴퓨터 자원를 효율적으로 이용가능하여 합리적인 연산시간으로 연산결과를 얻는 것이 가능하여 반복적 통계 기법/Ensemble 해석 등을 이용한 종합적 해석이 좀 더 실용적으로 이루어 질 수 있을 것이라고 판단되었다.

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A Study on the Safety Ratio of Reservoir Embankment by Seismic Reinforcement Section Shape (내진보강 단면형상에 따른 국내 저수지 제방의 안전율에 대한 검토)

  • Lim, Seonghun;Kim, Daehyeon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2021
  • Agricultural reservoirs seek human convenience by supplying agricultural water and providing flood damage effects and rest areas at the same time, but preventing them from aging reservoirs and earthquakes is important. The safety of levees is influenced by field material properties such as soil parameter values of the granular materials that make up the levees, but since precision safety diagnosis or general literature values are diverted, the final safety factors are limited to material properties alone. Since safety factors are determined by physical characteristic values and embankment shapes and have a significant impact on safety factors, accurate contemplation is required when examining reinforced cross sections. Therefore, this study analyzed the case of reasonable and economical reinforcement intersections when designing '◯◯reservoir' in Goheung-geun, Jeollanam-do using the GEP-SLOPE program to enable rational economic design of reinforcement intersections through repeated reviews. As a result of reducing and analyzing the first, second, and third seismic reinforcement of the levees, it was confirmed that the safety ratio was secured even with a significantly smaller amount of reinforcement than the first, second, and lower slopes by obtaining design standards of 1.20. In addition, when determining all seismic reinforcement cross-sectional shapes, it was confirmed that the shape that reinforces only the lower side rather than the upper side of the slope and the entire slope was economical with minimized cross-sectional reinforcement.

A Study on the Research Topics and Trends in Korean Journal of Remote Sensing: Focusing on Natural & Environmental Disasters (토픽모델링을 이용한 대한원격탐사학회지의 연구주제 분류 및 연구동향 분석: 자연·환경재해 분야를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Taeyong;Park, Hyemin;Heo, Junyong;Yang, Minjune
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_2
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    • pp.1869-1880
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    • 2021
  • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing (KJRS), leading the field of remote sensing and GIS in South Korea for over 37 years, has published interdisciplinary research papers. In this study, we performed the topic modeling based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), a probabilistic generative model, to identify the research topics and trends using 1) the whole articles, and 2) specific articles related to natural and environmental disasters published in KJRS by analyzing titles, keywords, and abstracts. The results of LDA showed that 4 topics('Polar', 'Hydrosphere', 'Geosphere', and 'Atmosphere') were identified in the whole articles and the topic of 'Polar' was dominant among them (linear slope=3.51 × 10-3, p<0.05) over time. For the specific articles related to natural and environmental disasters, the optimal number of topics were 7 ('Marine pollution', 'Air pollution', 'Volcano', 'Wildfire', 'Flood', 'Drought', and 'Heavy rain') and the topic of 'Air pollution' was dominant (linear slope=2.61 × 10-3, p<0.05) over time. The results from this study provide the history and insight into natural and environmental disasters in KRJS with multidisciplinary researchers.

Analysis of Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics in Gokgyochun Basin Using a Runoff Model (유출모형을 이용한 곡교천 유역의 강우-유출 특성 분석)

  • Hwan, Byungl-Ki;Cho, Yong-Soo;Yang, Seung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.404-411
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the HEC-HMS was applied to determine rainfall-runoff processes for the Gokgyuchun basin. Several sub-basins have large-scale reservoirs for agricultural needs and they store large amounts of initial runoff. Three infiltration methods were implemented to reflect the effect of initial loss by reservoirs: 'SCS-CN'(Scheme I), 'SCS-CN' with simple surface method(Scheme II), and 'Initial and Constant rate'(Scheme III). Modeling processes include incorporating three different methods for loss due to infiltration, Clark's UH model for transformation, exponential recession model for baseflow, and Muskingum model for channel routing. The parameters were calibrated using an optimization technique with trial and error method. Performance measures, such as NSE, RAR, and PBIAS, were adopted to aid in the calibration processes. The model performance for those methods was evaluated at Gangcheong station, which is the outlet of study site. Good accuracy in predicting runoff volume and peak flow, and peak time was obtained using the Scheme II and III, considering the initial loss, whereas Scheme I showed low reliability for storms. Scheme III did not show good matches between observed and simulated values for storms with multi peaks. Conclusively, Scheme II provided better results for both single and multi-peak storms. The results of this study can provide a useful tool for decision makers to determine master plans for regional flood control management.

Numerical analysis of flow and bed change at a confluence of the Namhan River and the Seom River using a two-dimensional model (2차원 수치모형을 이용한 남한강과 섬강 합류부 구간의 흐름 및 하상변동 해석)

  • Park, Moonhyung;Kim, Hyung Suk;Baek, Chang Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1273-1284
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    • 2018
  • The flow and bed change were analyzed using the CCHE2D model, which is a two-dimensional numerical model, at a confluence of the Namhan River and Seom River where deposition occurs predominantly after the "Four Major Rivers Restoration Project." The characteristic of the junction is that the tributary of Seom River joined into the curved channel of the main reach of the Namhan River. The CCHE2D model analyzes the non-equilibrium sediment transport, and the adaptation lengths for the bed load and suspended load are important variables in the model. At the target area, the adaptation length for the bed load showed the greatest influence on the river bed change. Numerical simulation results demonstrated that the discharge ratio ($Q_r$) change affected the flow and bed change in the Namhan River and Seom river junction. When $Q_r{\leq}2.5$, the flow velocity of the main reach increased before confluence, thereby reducing the flow separation zone and decreasing the deposition inside the junction. When $Q_r$>2.5, there was a high possibility that deposition would be increased, thereby forming sand bar. Numerical simulation showed that a fixed sand bar has been formed at the junction due to the change of discharge ratio, which occurred in 2013.

Preliminary Research of the Sedimentary Environment in Bupyeng Reservoir Region, Soyang Lake in Chuncheon - Focus on Sentinel-2 Satellite Images and in-situ data - (춘천시 소양호 상류 부평지구의 퇴적환경에 대한 선행연구 - 현장조사와 위성영상자료를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, GeonYoung;Kim, Dain;Kim, TaeHun;Lee, JinHo;Jang, YoSep;Choi, HyunJin;Shim, WonJae;Park, SungJae;Lee, Chang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_1
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    • pp.1119-1130
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    • 2018
  • Soyang Lake has been contributing to economic growth by preventing flood damage in the metropolitan area, the water level in the middle to upper flow of lake has been greatly decreased due to the drought in 2015. In order to restore the existing flow rate, Bupyungbo has been built in Bupyeong-ri, Shin Nam-myeon, Inje-gun to cause artificial changes on the sedimentary environment of Bupyeong freshwater region. Therefore, this study intends to confirm the changes of sedimentary environment since Bupyeongbo has been utilized. For this study, we used the Sentinel-2 satellite image data periodically to measure the dimension of water according to the volume of water kept near Bupyung district and analyzed the particle size and the percentage of water content of the sediments through field study. The Sentnel-2 satellite images showed us how the water surface has been changed and that during the period from September 2017 to October 2018, the minimum and maximum area of water surface was observed in June 2018 and in January 2018, respectively. In addition, we find that the smaller being the particle size, the higher having the water content and that there is higher the correlation between the water content and the grain size of the sediment layer. Hereafter, if we will acquire the drone images at Bupyung district, we expect that we will be able to measure the distribution of sediments in the same area according to different time periods and observe various kinds of sediment through field work.

Analysis of Ecological Function and Percent Passing of Erosion Control Dam by Openness (개방형에 따른 사방댐의 투과율 및 생태적 기능 분석)

  • Koo, Gil-Bon;Ma, Ho-Seop
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted to analyze the openness of erosion control dams situated near mountain stream. The ecological functions of erosion control dams analyzed by such openness for adequately protect and manage the diversity of species and to prevent disasters. The obtained results were as follows. When structurally modifying or changing non-permeable, gravity type dams with a passing rate of less than 1% into open-type dams, the passing rate increased by about 77 times more from 0.72% to 55.8%. Except for closed, gravity type erosion control dams that are constructed with a special purpose such as creating sand deposits and reservoirs, there is a need to construct and improve the dams into permeable type dams that can relatively satisfactorily perform various functions such as carrying soil and sand to the downstream region and create a ecological corridor upstream and downstream for fish and amphibians. The openness based on the blocking height of the erosion control dam varies depending upon the height of the base part and the depth of the substructural part. It must be designed based on the on-site conditions and the purpose of the construction. The functional types of erosion control dams based on the open form of the cross-section as follows: the fish traffic type, flood control type, reservoir type for forest fire control), non-permeability type for soil and rock blocking, net type for blocking the rock flow and the particle screen type.

Establishment of Integrated Design Bases Management System of APR1400 Using BIM based Algorithm (BIM기반 Algorithm을 활용한 APR1400 설계기준 통합관리 체계 구축)

  • Shin, Jaeseop;Choi, Jaepil
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2019
  • The APR1400 is a 1400MWe nuclear power plant developed through national technology development project over a period about 10years. Approximately 65,000 design drawings are produced for APR1400 construction. In order to maintain consistency among numerous drawings, the highest level of design bases drawings (DBDs) are created according to design bases and this is used in the subsequent design. However, DBDs are produced and managed on a document basis and they are managed various field, it was difficult to accurately reflect the design bases information in the subsequent design. Therefore, this study recognizes limitations of the document based DBDs and develops a system that can accurately reflect the design bases information to subsequent design by adopting BIM based design bases integrated information system. Especially, by introducing DBIL(Design Bases Information Layer) concept, DBIL was created and analyzed based on five design bases(Physical protection, Fire protection, Internal missile protection, Internal flood protection, Radiation protection) applied to APR1400. In the final result DBIL set and Datasheet are integrated of room, design bases information, building data(wall, slab, door, window, penetrations). So it can be used for subsequent design automation and design verification. Furthermore, it is expected that APR1400 DBILs data can be used extensively in constructability and design economics analysis through comparison with next generation nuclear power plant.

A Study on the Preparation of Contents for Promoting the Establishment of a Disaster Safety Village in Rural Areas (농촌지역 재난안전마을 만들기 활성화를 위한 컨텐츠 마련에 관한 연구)

  • Koo, Wonhoi;Bae, Minho
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.387-398
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to promote the disaster safety village establishment project that fits the characteristics of rural areas by investigating and analyzing the operation cases of contents with regard to disaster safety villages in Korea and Japan. Method: The contents of project related to disaster safety villages in Korea and Japan were classified into resident participation contents, structured contents and unstructured contents, for examining the characteristics of such contents through investigation and analysis, and the contents (draft) of disaster safety village that fitted the characteristics of rural areas were presented. Result: The contents of resident participation include basic safety education, CPR education, life experience training of evacuation shelter, evacuation training, concurrent training of farming activity and disaster activity and creating a village safety map in connection with competent authorities. The enactment of an act and an ordinance for the establishment of disaster safety village, expert dispatch system, storm and flood insurance system and funding system to raise the fund for establishing a village were presented as unstructured contents. In addition, the production of self supporting evacuation shelter, wireless evacuation announcement system, disaster prevention system for a river, emergency evacuation sign, village safety map sign and the establishment of disaster prevention park were presented as structured contents. Conclusion: The unstructured contents are the establishment of foundation for preparing laws and institutions and the structured contents should be installed by utilizing eco-friendly methods in consideration of the environments of rural areas along with securing the safety. Moreover, resident participation should utilize the contents by considering various items such as age, characteristics and environments of residents in rural villages.