• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.53-70
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• 2006

The paper summarizes the dynamic-based assessment of a reinforced concrete arch bridge, dating back to the 50's. The outlined approach is based on ambient vibration testing, output-only modal identification and updating of the uncertain structural parameters of a finite element model. The Peak Picking and the Enhanced Frequency Domain Decomposition techniques were used to extract the modal parameters from ambient vibration data and a very good agreement in both identified frequencies and mode shapes has been found between the two techniques. In the theoretical study, vibration modes were determined using a 3D Finite Element model of the bridge and the information obtained from the field tests combined with a classic system identification technique provided a linear elastic updated model, accurately fitting the modal parameters of the bridge in its present condition. Hence, the use of output-only modal identification techniques and updating procedures provided a model that could be used to evaluate the overall safety of the tested bridge under the service loads.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.192-200
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• 2021

In the mid of the December 2019, the virus has been started to spread from China namely Corona virus. It causes fatalities globally and WHO has been declared as pandemic in the whole world. There are different methods which can fit such types of values which obtain peak and get flattened by the time. The main aim of the paper is to find the best or nearly appropriate modeling of such data. The three different models has been deployed for the fitting of the data of Coronavirus confirmed patients in Pakistan till the date of 20^th November 2020. In this paper, we have conducted analysis based on data obtained from National Institute of Health (NIH) Islamabad and produced a forecast of COVID-19 confirmed cases as well as the number of deaths and recoveries in Pakistan using the Logistic model, Gompertz model and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA) model. The fitted models revealed high exponential growth in the number of confirmed cases, deaths and recoveries in Pakistan.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.1-43
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• 2007

전통적인 옵션가격결정모형인 블랙-숄즈 모형(Black-Scholes model)은 기초자산의 로그수익률(log-return)이 브라운운동(Brownian motion)을 따른다는 가정에 기반을 두고 있다. 그러나 이 가정은 현실적인 한계가 많은 것으로 비판을 받아 왔다. 이에 따라 지난 20여 년간 브라운 운동 이외에 새로운 확률과정을 도입한 모형들이 연구되고 도출되었다. 최근에는 레비과정(L$\acute{e}$vy process)에 기반한 모형들이 활발히 연구되어오고 있는데, 그 기원은 1994년 거버(Gerber)와 쉬우(Shiu)에 의한 거버-쉬우 모형(Gerber-Shiu model)이다. 2004년 치앙(Cheang)은, 거버-쉬우 모형이 하나의 레비과정을 가정한 데 비해, 복수의 독립적인 레비과정을 가정하여 옵션가격결정모형을 유도함으로써 거버-쉬우 모형을 추세(drift)와 도약(jump)을 갖는 경우로 확장할 수 있는 가능성을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서는 치앙의 모형을 이용하여 레비과정 하에서의 추세와 도약을 갖는 거버-쉬우 모형을 유도하였다. 여기에 감마분포를 도입하여 1993년에 도출된 헤스톤 모형(Heston model)에 도약을 도입한 형태의 모형을 유도하였다. 아울러 이렇게 유도된 모형에 대하여 KOSPI200 지수 옵션 자료를 사용해서 블랙-숄즈 모형과의 가격설명력을 비교하였다. 그 결과, 본 논문에서 유도된 모형이 블랙-숄즈 모형 이상의 가격설명력을 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.417-424
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• 2010

변단면을 갖는 FCM(Free Cantilever Method) 교량의 초기 설계단계에서 설계변경에 따른 반복적 작업에 대한 효율성 향상을 위하여 박스거더의 종방향 형상을 자동조정할 수 있도록 하는 파라메트릭 모델링 방법을 연구하였다. FCM 교량의 종방향 형상을 표현하기 위한 매개변수를 정의하였으며, 기존 FCM 교량의 설계 시 적용된 매개변수의 통계치 적용을 통해 매개변수들 간의 내재적, 외재적 구속조건 및 함수관계를 정의하였다. 정의한 구속조건 및 관계를 적용한 파라메트릭 모델링 구현을 통해 그 적용 가능성을 검증하였으며, 기존 설계된 교량을 대상으로 파라메트릭 모델링을 수행한 결과로 생성된 3차원 교량 모델의 콘크리트 물량과 대상교량의 설계문서 상의 물량 비교를 통해 모델의 정확성을 확인하였다.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.100-116
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• 1993

It is experienced fact that unreasonable design criterion and unsitable operation management for the agricultural structures including reservoirs based on short terms data of monthly flows have been brought about not only loss of lives, but also enormous property damage. For the solution of this point at issue, this study was conducted to simulate long series of synthetic monthly flows by multi-season first order Markov model with selection of best fitting frequency distribution and to make a comparison of statistical parameters between observed and synthetic flows of six watersheds in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1.Both Gamma and two parameter lognormal distribution were found to be suitable ones for monthly flows in all watersheds by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test while those distributions were judged to be unfitness in Nam Pyeong of Yeong San and Song Jeong and Ab Rog watersheds of Seom Jin river systems in the $\chi$$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2.Most of the arithmetic mean values for synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of two parameter lognomal distribution in the applied watersheds. 3.Fluctuation for the coefficient of variation derived by Gamma distribution was shown in general as better agreement with the results of the observed data than that of two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Especially, coefficients of variation calculated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to those of the observed data during July and August. 4.It can be concluded that synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to the observed data than those by two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds. 5.It is to be desired that multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as a good fitting one in this study would be compared with Harmonic synthetic model as a continuation follows.

• 한국전자파학회논문지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.108-114
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• 2012

본 논문에서는 인체의 전자파 해석을 위해 유한 차분 시간 영역법(FDTD: Finite-Difference Time-Domain)에 적합한 분산 모델링을 제안한다. 주파수에 따라 전기적 특성이 변하는 인체의 분산 특성을 정확하고 효율적으로 모델링을 하기 위해 상대 유전율을 2차 복소수 분수 함수식(QCRF: Quadratic Complex Rational Function)으로 표현하였다. WLSM(Weight Least Square Method) 기반의 복소수 커브 피팅법을 적용하여 인체 조직에 대한 QCRF 계수들을 추출하였으며, QCRF 분산 모델을 FDTD에 적용하는 방법을 논의하였다. 본 논문에서 제안한 QCRF 기반의 인체 분산 모델이 Gabriel의 측정 데이터와 일치하며, FDTD 적용시 Cole-Cole 분산 모델보다 계산 효율이 뛰어남을 확인하였다. 단일 주파수와 광대역 주파수 신호를 입력원으로 한 모의 실험을 통하여 QCRF 기반의 FDTD 분산 알고리즘의 검증 및 분석을 마무리하였다.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제2권4호
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• pp.123-129
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• 2002

본 연구에서는 3층 신경망 모형에 의해 충주호의 유입량을 예측한 결과들을 이용하여 신경망 모형의 저수지 유입량 예측 특성을 분석하였다. 신경망 모형의 적절한 입력층 및 은닉층 뉴런 개수, 학습회수를 제시하였으며, 학습 첨두유량 크기가 예측된 첨두유량보다 작을 경우 예측 값이 과소평가되는 특징을 확인하였다. 또한 뉴런 개수, 학습회수가 과다할 경우 발생 가능한 과적합 현상을 확인하였으며, 정확한 예측을 위해 필요한 최소 학습자료 기간도 제시하였다. 결과적으로 충주호의 경우 $8{\sim}10$개의 뉴런 개수 및 $1500{\sim}3000$회의 학습회수를 이용한 신경망 모형이 적합한 것으로, 학습자료 기간 수는 최소한 600개 이상의 자료를 적용하여야 정확한 예측이 가능한 것으로 결과되었다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1471-1481
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• 2014

This paper presents the new power dissipation model of individual switching device in a high-level modular multilevel converter (MMC), which can be mostly used in voltage sourced converter (VSC) based high-voltage direct current (HVDC) system and flexible AC transmission system (FACTS). Also, the voltage balancing method based on sorting algorithm is newly proposed to advance the MMC functionalities by effectively adjusting switching variations of the sub-module (SM). The proposed power dissipation model does not fully calculate the average power dissipation for numerous switching devices in an arm module. Instead, it estimates the power dissipation of every switching element based on the inherent operational principle of SM in MMC. In other words, the power dissipation is computed in every single switching event by using the polynomial curve fitting model with minimum computational efforts and high accuracy, which are required to manage the large number of SMs. After estimating the value of power dissipation, the thermal condition of every switching element is considered in the case of external disturbance. Then, the arm modeling for high-level MMC and its control scheme is implemented with the electromagnetic transient simulation program. Finally, the case study for applying to the MMC based HVDC system is carried out to select the appropriate insulated-gate bipolar transistor (IGBT) module in a steady-state, as well as to estimate the proper thermal condition of every switching element in a transient state.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.136-140
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• 2002

Objectives : A common problem with analyzing survey data involves incomplete data with either a nonresponse or missing data. The mail questionnaire survey conducted for collecting lifestyle variables on the members of the Korean Elderly Phamacoepidemiologic Cohort(KEPEC) in 1996 contains some nonresponse or missing data. The proper statistical method was applied to evaluate the missing pattern of a specific KEPEC data, which had no missing data in the independent variable and missing data in the response variable, BMI. Methods : The number of study subjects was 8,689 elderly people. Initially, the BMI and significant variables that influenced the BMI were categorized. After fitting the log-linear model, the probabilities of the people on each category were estimated. The EM algorithm was implemented using a log-linear model to determine the missing mechanism causing the nonresponse. Results : Age, smoking status, and a preference of spicy hot food were chosen as variables that influenced the BMI. As a result of fitting the nonignorable and ignorable nonresponse log-linear model considering these variables, the difference in the deviance in these two models was 0.0034(df=1). Conclusion : There is a lot of risk if an inference regarding the variables and large samples is made without considering the pattern of missing data. On the basis of these results, the missing data occurring in the BMI is the ignorable nonresponse. Therefore, when analyzing the BMI in KEPEC data, the inference can be made about the data without considering the missing data.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.87-95
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• 2002

The aim of this article is to perform the numerical simulation far drop drag and breakup processes in air-assisted sprays using the Taylor analogy breakup (TAB) model with a modified drop drag model, in which a random method is newly used to consider the variation of the drop's frontal area. The predicted results for drop trajectory and Salter mean diameter (SMD) were compared with experimental data and the simulation results using the earlier published models such as TAH model, surface wave instability (Wave) model, and Wave model with original drop drag model. In addition, the effects of the breakup model constant, Ck, on prediction of spray behaviors were discussed. The results shows that the TAB model with the modified drop drag model is in better agreement with experimental data than the other models, indicating the present model is acceptable for predicting the drop breakup process in air-assisted sprays. At higher Weber numbers, the smaller Ck shows the best fitting to experimental data. It should be noted that more elaborated studies is required in order to determine the breakup model constant in the suggested model in the study.