• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fitting Model

Search Result 1,330, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

A Choice-Based Multi-Product Diffusion Model Incorporating Replacement Demand (대체수요를 고려한 선택관점의 다제품 확산모형)

  • Kim, Jeong-Il;Jeon, Deok-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2006.11a
    • /
    • pp.161-164
    • /
    • 2006
  • The sales of consumer durables are composed of first time purchases and replacement purchases. Since the sales for most mature durable products are dominated by replacement sales, it is necessary to develop a model incorporating replacement component of sales in order to forecast total sales accurately. Several single product diffusion models incorporating replacement demand have been developed, but research addressing the multi-product diffusion models has not considered replacement sales. In this paper, we propose a model based on consumer choice behavior that simultaneously captures the diffusion and the replacement process for multi-product relationships. The proposed model enables the division of replacement sales into repurchase by previous users and transition purchase by users of different products. As a result, the model allows the partitioning of the total sales according to the customer groups (first-time buyers, repurchase buyers, and transition buyers), which allows companies to develop their production and marketing plans based on their customer mix. We apply the proposed model to the Korean automobile market, and compare the fitting and forecasting performance with other Bass-type multi-product models.

  • PDF

Testing the exchange rate data for the parameter change based on ARMA-GARCH model

  • Song, Junmo;Ko, Bangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1551-1559
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, we analyze the Korean Won/Japanese 100 Yen exchange rate data based on the ARMA-GARCH model, and perform the test for detecting the parameter changes. As a test statistics, we employ the cumulative sum (CUSUM) test for ARMA-GARCH model, which is introduced by Lee and Song (2008). Our empirical analysis indicates that the KRW/JPY exchange rate series experienced several parameter changes during the period from January 2000 to December 2012, which leads to a fitting of AR-IGARCH model to the whole series.

A Study on the Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy and the Electrical Circuit Model for the Electrode/Electrolyte Interface (전극/전해질 계면의 전기화학적 임피던스 측정 및 전기회로 모델 연구)

  • Chang, Jong-Hyeon;Hong, Jang-Won;Pak, Jung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2007.07a
    • /
    • pp.274-275
    • /
    • 2007
  • The investigation of the equivalent circuit models for the electrode/electrolyte interface has been pursued for a long time by several researchers. Previous circuit models fit the experimental results in limited conditions such as frequency range, type of electrode, or electrolyte. This paper describes a new electrical circuit model and its capability of fitting the experimental results. Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy was used to characterize the interface for Au, Pt, and stainless steel electrode in 0.9% NaCl solution. Both the proposed model and the previous model were applied to fit the measured impedance results for comparison. The proposed model fits the experimental data more accurately than other models especially at the low frequency range, and it enables us to predict the impedance at very low frequency range, including DC, using the proposed model.

  • PDF

Markov Chain Approach to Forecast in the Binomial Autoregressive Models

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, You-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.441-450
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper we consider the problem of forecasting binomial time series, modelled by the binomial autoregressive model. This paper considers proposed by McKenzie (1985) and is extended to a higher order by $Wei{\ss}$(2009). Since the binomial autoregressive model is a Markov chain, we can apply the earlier work of Bu and McCabe (2008) for integer valued autoregressive(INAR) model to the binomial autoregressive model. We will discuss how to compute the h-step-ahead forecast of the conditional probabilities of $X_{T+h}$ when T periods are used in fitting. Then we obtain the maximum likelihood estimator of binomial autoregressive model and use it to derive the maximum likelihood estimator of the h-step-ahead forecast of the conditional probabilities of $X_{T+h}$. The methodology is illustrated by applying it to a data set previously analyzed by $Wei{\ss}$(2009).

Efficient 3D Model based Face Representation and Recognition Algorithmusing Pixel-to-Vertex Map (PVM)

  • Jeong, Kang-Hun;Moon, Hyeon-Joon
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.228-246
    • /
    • 2011
  • A 3D model based approach for a face representation and recognition algorithm has been investigated as a robust solution for pose and illumination variation. Since a generative 3D face model consists of a large number of vertices, a 3D model based face recognition system is generally inefficient in computation time and complexity. In this paper, we propose a novel 3D face representation algorithm based on a pixel to vertex map (PVM) to optimize the number of vertices. We explore shape and texture coefficient vectors of the 3D model by fitting it to an input face using inverse compositional image alignment (ICIA) to evaluate face recognition performance. Experimental results show that the proposed face representation and recognition algorithm is efficient in computation time while maintaining reasonable accuracy.

The virtual penetration laboratory: new developments for projectile penetration in concrete

  • Adley, Mark D.;Frank, Andreas O.;Danielson, Kent T.;Akers, Stephen A.;O'Daniel, James L.
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.87-102
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper discusses new capabilities developed for the Virtual Penetration Laboratory (VPL) software package to address the challenges of determining Penetration Resistance (PR) equations for concrete materials. Specifically, the paper introduces a three-invariant concrete constitutive model recently developed by the authors. The Advanced Fundamental Concrete (AFC) model was developed to provide a fast-running predictive model to simulate the behavior of concrete and other high-strength geologic materials. The Continuous Evolutionary Algorithms (CEA) automatic fitting algorithms used to fit the new model are discussed, and then examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the new AFC model. Finally, the AFC model in conjunction with the VPL software package is used to develop a PR equation for a concrete material.

Impedance-based generalized and phenomenon-reflective simulation model of Li-ion battery for railway traction applications

  • Abbas, Mazhar;Cho, Inho;Kim, Jonghoon
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
    • /
    • 2019.07a
    • /
    • pp.459-460
    • /
    • 2019
  • The performance dynamics of battery is very sensitive to operating conditions (i.e temperature, load current, and state of charge). A model developed based on certain conditions may perform well under the similar conditions but can not accurately predict the performance for changing conditions. Thus, a generalized model is needed which can accurately emulate the battery dynamic behavior under all conditions. In addition, the components of the model should relate to the physicochemical processes that occur inside the battery. Electrochemical impedance curve shows better visible reflection of the processes inside battery as compared to voltage curve. The model trained for parameterization using neural network has better generalization than simple curve fitting. Thus, this study proposes recurrent neural network based parameterization of the Lithium ion battery model followed by impedance based identification.

  • PDF

Common Model EMI Prediction in Motor Drive System for Electric Vehicle Application

  • Yang, Yong-Ming;Peng, He-Meng;Wang, Quan-Di
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.205-215
    • /
    • 2015
  • Common mode (CM) conducted interference are predicted and compared with experiments in a motor drive system of Electric vehicles in this study. The prediction model considers each part as an equivalent circuit model which is represented by lumped parameters and proposes the parameter extraction method. For the modeling of the inverter, a concentrated and equivalent method is used to process synthetically the CM interference source and the stray capacitance. For the parameter extraction in the power line model, a computation method that combines analytical method and finite element method is used. The modeling of the motor is based on measured date of the impedance and vector fitting technique. It is shown that the parasitic currents and interference voltage in the system can be simulated in the different parts of the prediction model in the conducted frequency range (150 kHz-30 MHz). Experiments have successfully confirmed that the approach is effective.

Legorization from silhouette-fitted voxelization

  • Min, Kyungha;Park, Cheolseong;Yang, Heekyung;Yun, Grim
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.12 no.6
    • /
    • pp.2782-2805
    • /
    • 2018
  • We present a legorization framework that produces a LEGO model from user-specified 3D mesh model. Our framework is composed of two stages: voxelization and legorization. In the voxelization, input 3D mesh is converted to a voxel model. To preserve the shape of the 3D mesh, we devise a silhouette fitting process for the initial voxel model. For legorization, we propose three objectives: stability, aesthetics and efficiency. These objectives are expressed in a tiling equation, which builds a LEGO model using layer-by-layer approach. We legorize five models including characters and buildings to prove the excellence of our framework.

Bivariate odd-log-logistic-Weibull regression model for oral health-related quality of life

  • Cruz, Jose N. da;Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Mialhe, Fabio L.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.271-290
    • /
    • 2017
  • We study a bivariate response regression model with arbitrary marginal distributions and joint distributions using Frank and Clayton's families of copulas. The proposed model is used for fitting dependent bivariate data with explanatory variables using the log-odd log-logistic Weibull distribution. We consider likelihood inferential procedures based on constrained parameters. For different parameter settings and sample sizes, various simulation studies are performed and compared to the performance of the bivariate odd-log-logistic-Weibull regression model. Sensitivity analysis methods (such as local and total influence) are investigated under three perturbation schemes. The methodology is illustrated in a study to assess changes on schoolchildren's oral health-related quality of life (OHRQoL) in a follow-up exam after three years and to evaluate the impact of caries incidence on the OHRQoL of adolescents.