• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial market

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Estimation of VaR and Expected Shortfall for Stock Returns (주식수익률의 VaR와 ES 추정: GARCH 모형과 GPD를 이용한 방법을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun;Park, Hwa-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.651-668
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    • 2010
  • Various estimators of two risk measures of a specific financial portfolio, Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall, are compared for each case of 1-day and 10-day horizons. We use the Korea Composite Stock Price Index data of 20-year period including the year 2008 of the global financial crisis. Indexes of five foreign stock markets are also used for the empirical comparison study. The estimator considering both the heavy tail of loss distribution and the conditional heteroscedasticity of time series is of main concern, while other standard and new estimators are considered too. We investigate which estimator is best for the Korean stock market and which one shows the best overall performance.

Estimating VaR(Value-at-Risk) of non-listed and newly listed companies using Case Based Reasoning (사례기반추론을 이용한 비상장기업 및 신규상장기업의 VaR 추정)

  • 최경덕;노승종
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2002
  • Estimating the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a non-listed or newly listed company in stock market is impossible due to lack of stock exchange data. This study employes Case-Based Reasoning (CBR) for estimating VaR's of those companies. CBR enables us to identify and select existing companies that have similar financial and non-financial characteristics to the unlisted target company. The VaR's of those selected companies can give estimates of VaR for the target company. We developed a system called VAS-CBR and showed how well the system estimates the VaR's of unlisted companies.

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은행산업의 위험분산과 도덕적해이에 관한 연구

  • Lee, Seok-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.269-287
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 미국 상장은행의 자산 부채포오트폴리오 구성의 위험분산(risk diversification)과 도덕적해이(moral hazard)에 관한 실증적 분석을 행하였다. 실증적 분석의 결과 은행의 금기(今期)의 위험분산과 금기(今期) 이후의 위험추구 간에는 유의적인 양(陽)의 관계가 있음을 발견하였다. 즉 위험분산의 정도가 커서 투자가들로부터 파산가능성이 낮을 것으로 여겨지며, 따라서 위험증가에 따른 자본조달비용(예금이자율)의 증가라는 시장에서의 억제기능(market discipline)이 효과적으로 부과되지 못하는 은행들은 이러한 이점들을(특히 시장관련-체계적) 위험성이 높은 정책을 추구함으로써 수익을 증가시키려는 도덕적해이의 동기를 가지고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 선행연구에서의 논리대로 은행규모의 대형화가 자산 부채포오트폴리오 구성의 위험분산을 크게 하는 주요한 원인 중의 하나라면, 본 연구에서의 결과는 은행산업의 불건전한 재무구조와 그로 인한 금융질서의 혼란, 나아가 국가경제 전체의 혼란을 겪고 있는 한국 금융산업의 현주소, 즉 부실은행을 퇴출시키고 인수 합병에 의한 대형선도 은행(leading banks)중심으로 은행산업을 재편하는 한국금융산업의 구조조정에 있어 간과되어서는 안 될 중요한 정책적 시사점을 제시해 주고 있다고 하겠다. 즉 도덕적해이의 감소에 대한 제도적인 유인장치가 없는 단순한 인수 합병에 의한 은행의 자산규모의 증가가 반드시 은행산업의 구조적 안정에 기여할 것이라고 기대할 수는 없을 것이다. 대형은행의 자산 부채포오트폴리오 구성의 위험분산의 이점과 이로 인한 투자가들의 대형은행의 위험추구행위에 대한 감시동기의 부족, 이로 인한 도덕적해이가 필연적으로 발생하는 현상이라면, 도덕적해이의 감소에 대한 추가적인 유인책 없는 단순한 자산규모의 증가는 인수 합병을 통하여 탄생한 대형선도 은행들의 또 다른 도덕적해이를 낳을 가능성이 크기 때문이다.

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The Certification Role of Venture Capitalists in the KOSDAQ Market (벤처기업의 장외등록과 벤처캐피탈의 보증 역할에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Sang-Su;Khil, Jae-Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.111-136
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    • 2000
  • 본고는 기업 내부의 경영자와 일단 투자자들 사이에 정보 비대칭이 존재하는 기업 공개 시장에서 신주의 저평가 현상을 완화하는 제3자의 보증 역할에 관한 연구이다. 일찍이 Megginson and Weiss(1991), Hamao, Packer and Ritter(1998) 등의 연구에 의하면 미국, 일본 등의 경우 벤처 캐피탈의 지원을 받는 벤처 기업이 그렇지 않은 경우에 비해 신주 저평가 현상이 비교적 적게 나타나 벤처 캐피탈이 일정한 명성 효과를 발휘하는 것으로 보고되고 있다. 그러나 남명수(1993), 이기환, 임병균, 최해술(1998) 등의 실증 분석에 의하면 국내 벤처 기업의 경우에는 그렇지 않은 것으로 보고되고 있어 벤처 캐피탈의 보증 역할이 미미한 것으로 나타난 바 있으나 이들의 연구는 KSE 시장의 신규 벤처 기업들을 대상으로 하였기 때문에 최근 KOSDAQ 시장에서의 벤처 기업의 신규 등록이 활발해지면서 벤처 캐피탈의 보증 역할에 관한 연구는 재검토를 요구하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구는 96년 7월 이후 KOSDAQ 시장에 등록되어 있는 기업 중 벤처 캐피탈의 지원을 받은 34개의 벤처 기업과 그렇지 않은 34개의 벤처 기업을 대응 추출하여 구성한 표본에 대해 신주의 등록 초기의 시장초과 수익률을 분석하여 신주 저평가 현상을 살펴보고 각 기업의 수익률과 공모 잔량에 대한 회귀분석을 통하여 벤처 캐피탈의 보증역할을 규명하였다. 본 연구 결과는 현재 KOSDAQ 시장에서 벤처 캐피탈의 보증 역할은 거의 나타나지 않았으며 상장 직전의 세후이익과 전체적인 시장 상황만이 수익률과 공모 잔량에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구 결과는 기존의 KSE 시장에서의 벤처 캐피탈의 보증 역할에 대한 연구 결과와 유사한 것으로 미국 등 선진 시장의 연구 결과와는 달리 국내 벤처 캐피탈의 KOSDAQ 시장에서의 미미한 역할을 입증하는 실증 결과라고 할 수 있다.

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The Analysis on the Relationship between Household Debts and Married Women's Labor Supply (가계부채와 기혼여성 노동공급의 관계 분석)

  • Song, Heonjae;Shin, Woori
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.37-68
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the relationship between household debts and married female's labor supply. For doing this we construct effective interest rate faced by each household using interest paid amount and household financial debt amount. The effective interests rate for the households which have no financial debt are estimated by Heckman Selection model. The estimation results show that the increase in effective interest rate has led to the expansion of married women's the labor market participation. This suggests a possibility that negative scenarios resulting from an increase in interest rate can be partially offset by an increase in household labor supply and a rise in labor income.

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The Study for Position and Signal Power of Antenna on Construction of Korean P.N.T Service System (한국에 적합한 P.N.T 서비스 시스템 구축을 위한 안테나 위치 및 송신출력에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Rok;Gug, Seoung-Gi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.06a
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    • pp.80-81
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    • 2012
  • Our society consist of many country's critical infrastructure such as production and distribution of electric power systems, communications technology, tele-communications, financial system, transportation systems when those systems are operated efficiently and normally. Country's critical infrastructure and its application fields of this magnitude rely on more and more P.N.T (Positioning, Navigation. Timing) systems, in which the tele-communications(Timing), financial market(Timing), logistics (Positioning, Navigation, Timing), transportation(Positioning, Navigation. Timing) is shoring. Reliability concerned about the exact position and timing of these critical national infrastructure rely on ability to provide a stable from GPS.

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A study on the effective administration of medical risk selection system for life insurance (보험진단제도의 효율적 운영에 대한 연구)

  • Ham, Dong-Un;Chun, Jin-Man;Shim, Suk-Kyueng
    • The Journal of the Korean life insurance medical association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2008
  • When an insurance company receives an application for life or health insurance, the company must evaluate the degree of risk the individual for insurance coverage presents before the company agrees to issue the policy. A medical factor is a physical or psychological characteristic that may increases a hazard. A financial factor is financial information that is taken into account by underwriter to determine if a person is applying for more than he/she reasonably needs or can afford. A personal factor is a lifestyle choice. There are several medical risk selection systems in Korean life insurance market. They are attending physician's statement, direct examination by insurance doctors, and paramedic examination. However there is some dissatisfaction of current system. It is possible that cooperation of part-time insurance doctors system may be one of useful system of medical risk selection. Improvement of medical risk selection system will be an important matter of profitability of insurance company and it will contribute to sound life insurance system.

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Diversification of Entertainment Companies (Focusing on the SM Entertainment, Sidus IHQ and Yedang Entertainment) (국내 연예 매니지먼트 회사의 사업 다각화 현황 (SM 엔터테인먼트, 사이더스 IHQ, 예당 엔터테인먼트를 중심으로))

  • Lee, Moon-Haeng
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.208-218
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    • 2009
  • Entertainment industries have recently shown continuous growth as a potential high value-added market and are being acknowledged as the most promising high-efficiency industry. The following case study offers the understanding of the financial situation and the diversification of three management companies like SM entertainment, Yedang entertainment, and Sidus HQ. I analyzed through IR which is on homepage of each company, audit reports and some articles of news papers, etc. The results of this study will show that diversification of three companies are relatively stable and make efforts to expand their activities.

Technology Valuation Reflecting Option Value Among Technology Transaction Subjects (기술거래 주체별 옵션가치를 반영한 기술가치평가방법)

  • Kim, Tae Wan;Yoon, Jae Hong
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.71-86
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    • 2014
  • There is a growing need for technology transactions between the technology providers, who develop technologies, and the technology consumers, who purchase and commercialize technologies, to be smooth, when technologies, as intangible assets, are traded as items that can be purchased and sold. In response to these challenges, this study examines new approaches to assessing the fair market value of technologies. Because corporations are the main force behind technology development and commercialization in the existing business environment, applying one valuation method to technology assets is viable; however, as the subjects of technology development and technology commercialization are separate, the need for price negotiations between the subjects of technology transaction has grown. Moreover, as the investigations into and the application of transaction prices have been performed separately by technology providers, technology consumers, and technology assessment financial institutions, the research on technology valuation methods has shown that there are differences in perceived transaction prices between the subjects involved. This research presents a new method, appropriate to technology transactions; unlike existing methods, it grants option values to the technology provider and newly defined key variables to the technology consumer.

The Business Alteration for Tobacco Farmers: Lessons from Rural Area in Indonesia

  • SEDYATI, Retna Ngesti;DJATMIKA, Ery Tri;WAHYONO, Hari;UTOMO, Sugeng Hadi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.281-286
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    • 2019
  • The study aims to analyze the adaptation strategies and resilience of tobacco farmers to face unfavorable trading system. The research method refers to a qualitative approach with phenomenological models and case studies. The findings revealed tobacco farmers in Jember developed various adaptation strategies and resilience through farmer group organizations, partnerships, self-capacity building and access to financial institutions based on economic, social, cultural, and experience values from various sources and interactions among fellow tobacco farmers. The tobacco trading system, which is left to the market mechanism, results in low bargaining power of farmers, this encourages tobacco farmers to develop various adaptation and survival strategies, namely through collective activities of farmer groups, partnerships and self-development and access to financial institutions. Dealing with the unfavorable tobacco trading system, tobacco farmers do not switch to other commodity farming but adapt and make Jember a center for tobacco production in East Java and Indonesia. From this findings, it suggests to the government as the regulator does not only provide subsidies for tobacco farmers, but also must provide various technical assistance to increase the ability of tobacco farmers. More importantly, regulations must be made benefit tobacco farmers other than corporations so that equality can be enjoyed by tobacco economy players.