• 제목/요약/키워드: Financial market

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위탁증거금(委託證據金)의 변경(變更)이 주가변동율(株價變動率) 및 주가(株價)의 잠정적(暫定的) 구성부분(構成部分)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 대한 실증적(實證的) 고찰(考察)

  • Hwang, Seon-Ung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.101-147
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    • 1992
  • 증권거래소(證券去來所)는 시황에 따라 위탁증거금율(委託證據金率)을 탄력적으로 변경 운용함으로써 시장의 수급을 조절하는 등의 시장관리수단의 하나로 이용하여 공정한 시세형성을 기하고자 설립시부터 증권회사로 하여금 매매의 위탁시 위탁증거금을 징수하도록 규정하고 증거금율을 상황에 따라 신축적으로 운용하여 1962년 이후에만도 무려 32회이상 변경하였다. 따라서 문제의 핵심은 위탁증거금징수가 주식시장에서의 과잉투기행위를 근절시키고 주가변동율(株價變動率)(stock volatility)을 감소시켜 공정거래질서(公正去來秩序)를 확보하는데 기여하고 있는지의 여부가 된다. 이 점은 특히 미국(美國)에서 1987년 10월 소위 '검은 월요일(Black Monday)'당시 갑작스러운 주가폭락과 시장체계의 붕괴사태이후 금융시장의 발전을 모색하는 정책당국자들과 학자들사이에 새로운 주목을 받기 시작하였다. Salinger(1989)와 Schwert(1989)는 위탁증거금율(委託證據金率)의 변경과 주가변동율(株價變動率)의 감소와는 아무런 인과관계가 없다고 결론을 내리고 있다. 특히 Schwert는 거래일시중단시책마저도 주가변동율에 별 효과가 없다고 주장하면서 금융공황과 관련된 거래일시중단은 주가변동을 큰 폭으로 증가시켜왔으나 금융공황을 동반하지 않은 기래일시중단은 높은 주가변동율과 무관함을 밝히고 있다. Hardouvelis(1991)는 그러나 위탁증거금율을 상승시키면 주가변동율이 낮아지며, 결과적으로 주가가 본원적가치(本源的價値)로부터 일탈하는 현상도 줄어든다는 사실을 통계적으로 입증하고, 위탁증거금의 징수가 시장을 교란하는 악성투기행위를 억제시키는데 매우 효과적인 정책수단이라고 주장하고 있다. 본 연구는 우리나라 주식시장에서 과잉투기현상을 억제하여 시장의 안정을 확보하는 기능으로서의 위탁증거금제도에 대해 그 경제적 효과여부를 규명하는 실증분석을 행하였다. 이 논문에서는 Schwert(1989)와 Hardouvelis(1991)의 방법을 원용하여 두가지 서로 다른 방법으로 주가변동율을 측정하여 비교하였다. 통계적 기법은 기본적으로 다변량(多變量) 회귀분석법(回歸分析法)을 택하였다. 분석의 결과로 매우 흥미로운 실증상(實證上)의 규칙성(規則性)을 발견하였다. 즉 현금시장(cash market)의 위탁증거금율이 높아지면 실제주가변동율(實際株價變動率)과 초과주가변동율(超過株價變動率)이 감소되고, 또한 유행(流行)의 경우와 마찬가지로 본원적 가치로부터의 괴리가 작아진다. 이 결과에 따르면 위탁증거금의 징수는 그 제도의 취지에 부합되고 있다. 다만 제도운용상의 이유이거나 혹은 우리나라 주식시장의 투자자들이 비합리적인 투자형태를 보임에 따라 그 정책적 효과는 때로 역기능적인 결과로 초래하였다. 그럼에도 불구하고 이 연구결과를 통하여 최소한 주식시장(株式市場)에서 위탁증거금제도는 그 제도적 의의가 여전히 있다는 사실이 확인되었다. 또한 우리나라 주식시장에서 통상 과열투기 행위가 빈번히 일어나 주식시장을 교란시킴으로써 건전한 투자풍토조성에 저해된다는 저간의 우려가 매우 커왔으나 표본 기간동안에 대하여 실증분석을 한 결과 주식시장 전체적으로 볼 때 주가변동율(株價變動率), 특히 초과주가변동율(超過株價變動率)에 미치는 영향이 그다지 심각한 정도는 아니었으며 오히려 우리나라의 주식시장은 미국시장에 비해 주가가 비교적 안정적인 수준을 유지해 왔다고 볼 수 있다.

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Approximation of π by financial historical data (금융시계열자료를 이용한 원주율값 π의 추정)

  • Jang, Dae-Heung;Uhm, TaeWoong;Yi, Seongbaek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.831-841
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    • 2017
  • The irrational number ${\pi}$ is defined as the ratio of circumference of a circle to its radius and always becomes constant. This article does Monte Carlo approximation of its value using the famous Buffon's needle experiment and shows that its convergence is not always proportional to the sample size. We also do Monte Carlo simulations to see the convergence of the computed ${\pi}$ values from the random walk series with independent normal increment. Finally we apply the theoretical derivation to various financial time series data such as KOSPI, stock prices of Korean big firms, global stock indices and major foreign exchange rates. The historical data shows that log transformed data random walk process but most of their first lagged data don't follow a normal distribution. More importantly the computed value from the ratio of the regression coefficient ${\pi}$ tend to converge a constant, unfortunately not ${\pi}$. Using this result we could doubt on the efficient market hypothesis, and relate the degree of the hypothesis with the amount of deviation of the estimated ${\pi}$ values.

An Empirical Study on the Influence of Entrepreneurship of Franchisor's CEO on Franchisor's Performance (프랜차이즈 가맹본부 CEO의 기업가정신이 기업성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kang, Byung-Oh;Kim, Jin-Soo;Ahn, Sung-Sik
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.87-117
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    • 2010
  • 'Entrepreneurship' which means spirit or activity seeking new value by challenging boldly the uncertainty is one of the most important concept in 21st century business environment. Franchise Industry taking a relationship with distribution industry also needs entrepreneurship. As franchise industry consists of small and medium enterprises, the entrepreneurship of franchisor's CEO is important for the franchisor's growth. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors influencing on the entrepreneurship of franchisor's CEO, and the effect of the CEO's entrepreneurship on franchisor's performance. For this purpose, this study set CEO's psychological characteristics, market characteristics, and social-institutional characteristics as independent variables, CEO's entrepreneurship as parameter variables, and franchisor's performance as dependent variables. And to analyze this study model, this study collected questionnaires from 152 franchisors' CEOs, and uses SEM(Structural Equation Modeling). As the result, 'CEO's Entrepreneurship' influenced on both 'Franchisor's Financial Performance' and 'Franchisor's Non Financial Performance'. The results of this study provide some guides for franchisor's CEO and government policies.

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China's Economic Slow-down and the Middle-Income Trap Controversy (중국의 저성장과 '중진국함정론'에 근거한 위기요인 분석)

  • Kim, Eui-Dong
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2016
  • This paper first extracts the main basis for the Middle-Income Trap(MIT) to apply these grounds to reality of the Chinese economy. And then confirmed crisis factors of China economy. Also discussed then the economic reforms of China in order to not fall into the MIT. After reviewing previous research extracted six factors the results will correspond to comply with the Chinese economy. Those are 'Over-investment', 'excess capacity' 'reduction of TFP continued,' 'disappearance and the aging of the population bonus', 'excessive debt and structural adjustment and financial instability of the company', 'income unequal expansion', 'low financial and information infrastructure accessibility', and 'low transparency index'. China's policy direction to avoid the MIT generally set properly, but proof that implementation process not easy, was appearing everywhere. After all, China economy should be modified now to a reforms of 'government failure' and promotion of function for ongoing restructuring system in the market. Because of the SDR incorporation from 2015, it is inevitable to face major constraints in the external aspects.

The Details and Outlook of Three Data Acts Amendment in South Korea: With a Focus on the Changes of Domestic Financial and Data Industry (데이터 3법 개정안의 내용과 전망: 국내 금융 및 데이터 산업계의 변화를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Eun-Chan;Kim, Eun-Young;Lee, Hyo-Chan;Yoo, Byung-Joon
    • Informatization Policy
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.49-72
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzes the major content, significances, and future outlook of Three Data Acts amendment enacted in August 2020 in South Korea, with the focus on their impact on the financial and data industries. It seems that the revision of the Credit Information Act will enable the specification of a business which had previously only been regulated as the business of credit inquiry, and also enable the domestic data industry to activate the MyData industry, data trading and platforms, and specify data pseudonymization and trading procedures. For the rational and efficient implementation of the amendments to the Three Data Acts, the Personal Information Protection Committee must be as transparent and lawful in its activities as possible, and fairness must be guaranteed. Even in the utilization of personal information, the development or complementation of the related data processing technologies is essential, and clear data processing methods and areas must be regulated. Furthermore, the amendments must be supported with guarantees and the systematization of a fair competitive system in the data market, stricter regulations on penalties for illegal acts related to data, establishment and strengthening of the related security systems, and reinforcement of the system of cooperation for data transfer.

A Study of Determinants of the Sustainability of the Social Innovative Enterprise: Case Research on Fragrant People Co. (사회혁신기업의 지속가능성 결정요인 연구: (주)향기내는사람들 사례분석)

  • Yang, Oh-Suk
    • Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.157-204
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    • 2015
  • This paper explores firm-specific internal and external determinants of the sustainability of "the social innovative enterprise(SIE)" by conducting a case research on Fragrant People Co. In doing so, some business and policy implications have been produced concerning the components and determinants of the sustainability of the SIE. First, entrepreneurship is a necessary factor for the survival and growth of the SIE. A social entrepreneur does manage effectively social and economic opportunities for making economic and social values interact dynamically beyond their trade-off relationship and creating new market chances. Second, the SIE also needs competitive advantages as commercial enterprises do. Valuable resources to be used for taking opportunities and avoiding threats, rare resources not to be possessed by other firms, and resources not to be easily imitated by competitors are extremely necessary for achieving objectives of the SIE. In addition, a firm must be well organized for those valuable, rare, and not easily imitated resources. Economic performance achieved by the SIE gives a birth to its financial independence, contributing to the realization of symmetric social performance. Third, the SIEs will be allowed to seek symmetrically economic and social performance only when they use sufficiently competitive advantage resources with entrepreneurship, which is composed of innovativeness, proactiveness, agility and risk-taking attitudes. In doing so, financial assistance from central or local governments may not ensure the sustainability of the SIEs. In addition, vision & value sharing(person-organization fit) can ensure the sustainability of the SIEs only when it is connected with the organizational commitment.

The Effects of Advertising Expense on Brand Loyalty, Profitability, and Firm Value (광고비가 마케팅 및 재무적 성과에미치는 영향: 브랜드 애호도, 수익성, 기업가치를 중심으로)

  • LEE, EUN JU;Paik, Tae-Young;Sin, Hyeon-Jun;Jeon, Kyeongmin;Cha, Gyeong-Cheon
    • (The) Korean Journal of Advertising
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.71-90
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    • 2016
  • Managers of firms often wonder whether advertising expenditure is a mere expense or an investment with foreseeable future returns. When top management makes a decision on the level of advertising expense, it must consider whether an increase in advertising spending will positively affect brand loyalty and the increased brand loyalty will positively affect profitability and firm value. We investigate the industry-specific effects of advertising spending on marketing and the effect of loyalty on financial performances using top companies in Korea, specifically, 184 firms' data from year 1998 to 2014. The empirical results of a fixed effect model indicate that the effects of advertising on customer satisfaction index and loyalty on the firms' financial performance are positive. In service industry, unlike manufacturing industry, advertising has a significantly positive effect Brand Loyalty. In addition, Brand Loyalty had positive impacts on ROA and ROE as profitability index, and Tobin's q, a market-value index. The research results suggest that advertising in service industry should be considered as customer satisfaction investment and the increased Brand Loyalty as a profit for present and a business investment for the future respectively.

An Analysis of Movements in the Labor Share of Income in the Korean Manufacturing Industries (한국 제조업에서의 노동소득분배율 변동요인 분석)

  • Hong, Jang-Pyo
    • Korean Journal of Labor Studies
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2013
  • Labor share of income in Korea has fallen from 90% in 1996 to 79% in 2010. This paper explores the factors driving the movements in the labor share of income based on a panel dataset containing 19 years of data on 18 Korean manufacturing industries. The effects of technical progress, globalization and the bargaining power of labor and capital on the labor share of income are tested for the period of 1991-2009. The main empirical results are as follows. (1) Capital-aug menting technical prog ress measured by capital-labor ratio and R&D intensity has a negative effect on the labor share. (2) Market openness measured by the value of export and import as a ratio to value-added production is found to have a positive impact. (3) Globalization of production measured by inward-FDI and outward-FDI as a ratio to total domestic fixed capital is found to have a negative impact on the labor share. (4) Union density is found to have had a statistically significant effect in 1991-1998. This finding is consistent with the efficient bargain model in which firms and workers bargain over both wages and employment. But union density is insignificant in 2000-2009. This implies that since the financial crisis in 1997, the bargaining institution in Korea has been approaching the right-to-manage model in which firms and unions bargain over wages and then firms set employment unilaterally. (5) Variables for domestic financialization measured by dividend-income ratio and financial-fixed assets ratio have an insignificant effect on labor share.

Analysis of Intrinsic Patterns of Time Series Based on Chaos Theory: Focusing on Roulette and KOSPI200 Index Future (카오스 이론 기반 시계열의 내재적 패턴분석: 룰렛과 KOSPI200 지수선물 데이터 대상)

  • Lee, HeeChul;Kim, HongGon;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2021
  • As a large amount of data is produced in each industry, a number of time series pattern prediction studies are being conducted to make quick business decisions. However, there is a limit to predicting specific patterns in nonlinear time series data due to the uncertainty inherent in the data, and there are difficulties in making strategic decisions in corporate management. In addition, in recent decades, various studies have been conducted on data such as demand/supply and financial markets that are suitable for industrial purposes to predict time series data of irregular random walk models, but predict specific rules and achieve sustainable corporate objectives There are difficulties. In this study, the prediction results were compared and analyzed using the Chaos analysis method for roulette data and financial market data, and meaningful results were derived. And, this study confirmed that chaos analysis is useful for finding a new method in analyzing time series data. By comparing and analyzing the characteristics of roulette games with the time series of Korean stock index future, it was derived that predictive power can be improved if the trend is confirmed, and it is meaningful in determining whether nonlinear time series data with high uncertainty have a specific pattern.

The Effect of Business Strategy on Audit Delay (기업의 경영전략이 회계감사 지연에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Min-Hee;Do, Kee-Chul;Lee, Yu-Sun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2022
  • In order to improve audit quality, it is essential to understand the occurrence of disagreement between auditors and managers, and this study aims to analyze the impact of Business Strategies on audit risk and accounting audit delay. To this end, we conducted an empirical analysis using sample 2,910 firm-year data from 2018 to 2020 of KOSPI-listed and KOSDAQ-listed companies. The results of the empirical analysis of this study are as follows. First, compared to the companies of defender type, prospectors can expand audit procedures for new products, R&D costs, and intangible assets, and increase audit delays due to disagreement between managers and auditors. Second, compared to KOSPI-listed companies, the prospectors in KOSDAQ are more likely to have lower financial reporting quality, which further increases audit delays. The results of this study analyzed whether a company's Business Strategy affects the possibility of disagreement between an auditor and a company, and verified whether there is a difference in the audit report lag by stock market. The results of this study show that auditors' strong duty of care is needed for the companies of prospector type with high audit risk, and it is meaningful to present reinforced audit systems and specific guidelines for the companies of prospector type through the definition of prospector type. It also enables the expansion of research to identify the relationship between non-financial factors and audit risks that make up the companies of prospector type.