• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial market

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Volatility, Risk Premium and Korea Discount (변동성, 위험프리미엄과 코리아 디스카운트)

  • Chang, Kook-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.165-187
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    • 2005
  • This paper tries to investigate the relationships among stock return volatility, time-varying risk premium and Korea Discount. Using Korean Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) return from January 4, 1980 to August 31, 2005, this study finds possible links between time-varying risk premium and Korea Discount. First of all, this study classifies Korean stock returns during the sample period by three regime-switching volatility period that is to say, low-volatile period medium-volatile period and highly-volatile period by estimating Markov-Switching ARCH model. During the highly volatile period of Korean stock return (09/01/1997-05/31/2001), the estimated time-varying unit risk premium from the jump-diffusion GARCH model was 0.3625, where as during the low volatile period (01/04/1980-l1/30/1985), the time-varying unit risk premium was estimated 0.0284 from the jump diffusion GARCH model, which was about thirteen times less than that. This study seems to find the evidence that highly volatile Korean stock market may induce large time-varying risk premium from the investors and this may lead to Korea discount.

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An Empirical Study on the Performance of Portfolio Strategy based on the Firm's R&D Intensity (연구개발집중도에 근거한 포트폴리오의 성과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Woo, Chun-Sik;Kwak, Jae-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.87-124
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    • 2004
  • Some studies indicate that investors systematically underreact to new information in the stock market and Other studies indicate that investors systematically overreact. If investors irrationally react to the R&D intensity information, The portfolio strategy based on the R&D intensity information will be provided substantial excess returns. This study investigate that investors systematically underreact or overreact to the R&D intensity and whether portfolio strategy based on the R&D intensity is useful or not. Major results we as follows. First, This study indicate that investor systematically underreact to high R&D intensity and overreact low R&D intensity information. Second, after controlling the firm's specific factor such as firm size, BV/MV and past price performance, it is found that the performance of portfolio strategy based on the R&D intensity is not significant.

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The Mean-VaR Framework and the Optimal Portfolio Choice (평균-VaR 기준과 최적 포트폴리오 선택)

  • Ku, Bon-Il;Eom, Young-Ho;Choo, Youn-Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.165-188
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    • 2009
  • This paper has suggested the methodology for the frontier portfolios and the optimal portfolio under the mean-VaR framework, not assuming the normal distribution and considering the investor's preferences for the higher moments of return distributions. It suggested the grid and rank approach which did not need an assumption about return distributions to find the frontier portfolios. And the optimal portfolio was selected using the utility function that considered the 3rd and the 4th moments. For the application of the methodology, weekly returns of the developed countries index, the emerging market index and the KOSPI index were used. After the frontier portfolios of the mean-variance framework and the mean-VaR framework were selected, the optimal portfolios of each framework were compared. This application compared not only the difference of the standard deviation but also the difference of the utility level and the certainty equivalent expressed by weekly expected returns. In order to verify statistical significances about the differences between the mean-VaR and the mean-variance, this paper presented the statistics which were obtained by the historical simulation method using the bootstrapping. The results showed that an investor under the mean-VaR framework had a tendency to select the optimal portfolio which has bigger standard deviation, comparing to an investor under the mean-variance framework. In addition, the more risk averse an investor is, the bigger utility level and certainty equivalent he achieves under the mean-VaR framework. However, the difference between the two frameworks were not significant in statistical as well as economic criterion.

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Securities Holdings of Banks in Incomplete Capital Markets (불완전자본시장 하에서 은행의 유가증권 보유 동기에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Bo-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • When banks prefer securities holding to lending, bank-dependent borrowers would be rationed in bank loan markets. This paper examines, both theoretically and empirically, the incentive of banks to hold securities rather than loans. When banks are in trouble due to an external shock and subsequent drain of deposit, they cannot reduce their loans quickly because loans are illiquid and are not easy to sell. Therefore, banks should respond to insured deposit drain by raising uninsured CDs or debentures. However, they cannot raise enough money through uninsured CDs or debentures when there is costly external finance premium. Meanwhile, if banks hold securities which are highly liquid, they can sell those securities and thus endure deposit drain without costly external financing. This explains why banks hold liquid securities of which yields to maturity are lower than those of loans. Banks' preference for securities comes from the existence of costly external finance premium, which is inversely related with bank net worth. After all, if bank net worth is kept high enough or capital market incompleteness is not severe, the preference for securities should be weakened.

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Top Management's Human and Social Capital Effect on Governmental R&D Support System Utilization and Success (최고경영진의 인적 및 사회적 자본이 정부의 R&D 지원제도 활용과 초기 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Je-Keum;Hwang, Hee-Joong;Song, In-Am
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study attempts to analyze whether or not there are characteristics among the top management of companies that promote corporate performance at venture companies. It investigates the characteristics of the human and social capital that are inherent in top management at a venture company and conducts an empirical analysis of hypotheses examining if these characteristics will affect utilization of the governmental R&D support system as well as affect the firm's initial success. Research design, data, and methodology - This study conducted theoretical and empirical research together to accomplish the goal of the study. The pilot study researched human capital and social capital as the independent variables; the governmental R&D support system as the parameter; and, the initial success as the dependent variable. The empirical study carried out research on the model, establishment of hypotheses, and the statistical treatment. A survey was conducted targeting top management of high-tech venture companies in Daedeok Innopolis; 500 questionnaires were distributed; and, 222 were collected. Results - The human and social capital inherent in top management at venture companies in the early stages of their existence become good evaluation data for those who are invested in similar resources. If top management includes strong human and social capital, access to external resources will be easier; these will have a positive influence on the selection of overnmental support systems; and, this proper support will also have a positive influence on the initial success of the venture company. The results revealed the following. First, it was found that when the educational level and functional background, (the top management human capital), are the output function, top management human capital had a significant influence on selection of governmental R&D support funds. Second, it was found that the internal social capital and external social capital, (the top management social capital), had a significant influence on selection of governmental R&D support tasks. Third, it was found that selection of the governmental R&D support tasks at the start of the venture company had a positive influence on the corporate financial performance such as sales, business profits, and the increase in workers; and, had a significant influence on nonfinancial performance such as market share, competitive position, product competitiveness, and the future product development. Conclusions - Selection of the governmental R&D support system is not recognized as part of the direct sales of a venture company in its early stages, but as it can reduce costs for technical development and helps significantly in creating test products and mass production, it has a positive influence on the company's financial performance and nonfinancial performance as a result. Therefore, companies should take great efforts to frequently be selected as a candidate in the governmental R&D support system, as it can help facilitate R&D that requires extensive funds. As a result, companies can expect effects such as job creation and patent applications and they can advance future product sales.

Affects on Implementation Level of IMS Activity and Performance according to IMS directivity and Fitness of Firm's Culture (IMS지향성과 기업문화 적합도가 IMS활동의 이행수준과 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence Society for SMB
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • With a sample of 147 Korean small and medium size companies, this study examined the relationships among degree of information orientation, corporate culture, degree of information management implementation and selected business performances in the process of implementing IMS(Information Management System). Information orientation is defined as company-wide understanding and implementation of the underlying philosophy, principles, approached, and tools of information improvement programs. It is assumed that successful implementation of information improvement programs requires a information-oriented mind-set of the employees. It is also assumed that successful implementation of information improvement programs require strong support from s corporate culture that emphasizes continues improvement. Adopting the competing values model of Quinn and McGrath(1985), corporate culture is classified into 'flexible' versus 'controlled culture' and 'outer-directed' versus 'inner-directed culture'. This study examined how such fitness influenced the implementation of information innovation programs and business performance. Implementation of information innovation programs was measured through various factors, such as leadership, strategic information planning, human resources focus, customer and market focus, process management, and information analysis and application. Business performance was measured through non-financial performance measuresm such as employee results, process results, information results, and customer results, and through perceived financial performance measures.

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Does the Geography Matter for Analysts' Forecasting Abilities and Stock Price Impacts? (기업 본사 소재지에 따른 애널리스트의 이익 예측능력 및 주가영향력 차이가 존재하는가?)

  • Kim, Dong-Soon;Eum, Seung-Sub
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2008
  • We empirically examined the forecasting abilities of analysts in the Korean stock market with regard to their earnings estimates, and the impacts of their reports on stock prices. Further, we also examine if there is any difference in analysts' forecasting accuracy and stock prices impacts depending upon the geographical distance between analysts and companies they follow. We found the following interesting empirical results. First, analysts have tendency to overestimate sales, operating income, and net income, consistent with the previous literature. Second, the degree of overestimation depends upon the geography of companies. That is, it is smaller for companies headquartered in Seoul than companies in local provinces. Third, analysts' earnings estimates are also more accurate for companies located in Seoul. So, we conjecture that analysts have easier access to the information for the companies. Fourth, when analysts downgrade target prices, companies in Seoul are less negatively affected than those in local provinces. Even when analysts revise downward stock recommendations, stock prices of companies in Seoul go up. Overall, analysts' price impacts are more favorable for Seoul-located companies. Last, but not least, when foreign ownership is higher, investors react less negatively to downward revisions of stock recommendation, but react more negatively to downward revisions of target prices.

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Successful Winning Award Factors in Early Stage of International Public Private Partnership Projects (해외개발사업 발굴단계의 수주성공요인 분석)

  • Jung, Wooyong;Han, Seungheon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.84-94
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    • 2017
  • Recently, domestic construction companies have increasingly engaged in international PPP projects a result of both uncertainties in the domestic construction market and low competitiveness in international EPC project business. These international PPP projects usually require long-term preparations and substantial sales costs, which make it important for decision-makers to select winning-award potential project in early stage of the projects. However, most previous research has analyzed success factors in terms of project development across all stages. Thus, this study investigated 28 success factors of 4 categories in the early stage of 31 international PPP projects. First, results indicate that unsolicited PPP projects require better implementation capabilities and financial conditions compared to solicited PPP projects. Second, implementation capability is important because it is not easy to improve as the project proceeds. Third, commercial conditions are identified as important even if conditions are not fixed in the early stage of PPP projects. Fourth, non-commercial conditions, strategy, and public interest are not found to be meaningful in the early stage of PPP projects because they can vary as the project proceeds. This study helps to improve selection criteria aimed towards more winning-award potential project in the early stage of international PPP projects.

The Effects of Other Comprehensive Income Items on Firm Value of Insurance Companies (보험회사의 기타포괄손익항목이 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyun-Joo;Park, Gu-Yong;Park, Sang-Seob
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.203-217
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to verify the effects of unrealized gain or loss, that is the fair value evaluation item of insurance company's assets and liabilities, to capital markets focusing on fair value evaluation of insurance company's liabilities, which is the core of IFRS 17 that will be implemented in 2021. For this purpose we carried out regression analysis to verify the effects of changed other comprehensive income(OCI) and accumulated OCI, published in quarterly financial statements of listed insurance companies, on stock price utilizing Ohlson(1995)'s extended test model. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, changed OCI showed a significant negative(-) effects on stock price. Second, accumulated OCI revealed a significant positive(+) effects on stock price. Furthermore, extended test model classifying changed OCI and accumulated OCI in a basic model represented the highest $R^2$ number and public announcement policy of OCI, a kind of unrealized gain or loss item, implied that it could give positive impact on accounting information. But still the direction that unrealized gain or loss affects on firm value must be carefully reviewed and considered in the future via more detailed study by the user of information. Therefore this study is meaningful in that it can predict usefulness of information on insurance company's fair value evaluation via empirical test accompanied by introduction of newly established IFRS 17 and it also can suggest direction of information production suitable for capital market.

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Factors Influencing User Satisfaction and Continuous Usage Intention on Mobile Credit Card: Based on Innovation Diffusion Theory and Post Acceptance Model (모바일 신용카드 사용자 만족 및 지속사용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 혁신확산이론 및 후기수용모형을 중심으로)

  • Jung, Young Hoon;Kim, Gun;Lee, Choong C.
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.11-28
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    • 2015
  • Due to the mobil-centered lifestyle following the wider use of Smartphones, Mobile services, including mobile banking and mobile shopping business have increased rapidly. Also with the emergence of "Fintech", which finance combined with technology, IT based financial market is going to be highly promising. In this trend, interests mobile credit cards are increasing. But diffusion of the mobile credit card services is still in the low level. In this situation, to identify factors that influencing satisfaction and continuous usage intention on mobile credit card, this study applied innovation diffusion theory (IDT) and post acceptance model (PAM). To conducting this research, survey data were collected, and we used SmartPLS to analyze survey data. As a result of the study, perceived easy of use, image, compatibility and facilitation positively affect user's satisfaction in mobile credit cards and that such satisfaction have a positive impact on continuous intention to use. The facilitation influences user satisfaction more strongly for those who use mobile credit cards more than plastic credit cards. Also, perceived of use and image influence user satisfaction more strongly for those who use plastic credit cards more than mobile credit cards. It is expected that this study can be a guideline for credit card service providers and policy makers to invigorate mobile credit card business. Also it worths as a early-stage research on Fintech-related studies.