• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial market

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A Synthetic Model for Managing Market Risk of Financial Institutions (금융기관의 이자율, 환율, 주식수익률 변동위험에 대한 종합적 관리기법)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyuk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.107-128
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    • 2001
  • 금융기관이 직면하는 시장위험관리와 관련된 연구는 이자율과 주식가격 변동위험, 또는 환율과 이자율 변동위험만을 고려한 자산배분모델이므로 그 모형의 정교성에도 불구하고 국제금융기관의 시장위험관리 모형으로 이용하기에는 부족한 점이 있다. 시장위험인 VAR를 측정하는 방법 중 포트폴리오 VAR 측정방법인 델타-노말 방법을 응용하여 금융기관이 시장위험을 종합적으로 관리하는 한편, 기대수익을 최대화시키는 자산-부채의 최적배분에 대한 모형을 유도할 수 있다. 본 논문은 포트폴리오 접근법을 이용하여 금융기관의 시장위험을 종합적으로 관리할 수 있는 모형을 개발하는 동시에 미국, 일본, 영국, 독일의 주요 금융자산의 가격변동자료를 바탕으로 실증적 분석을 시도하였다. 이론적 모형과 관련하여 국제금융기관이 시장위험을 통제하는 한편 목표수익을 달성하는데 필요한 $m_1$ 종류의 국내자산과 부채의 규모, $m_2$ 종류의 외화자산과 부채의 규모를 동시적으로 결정할 수 있는 모델을 개발하였다. 이 모형은 금융기관의 위험포지션과 목표수익이 변동함에 따라 재구성되어야 할 국내외 자산과 부채의 포트폴리오에 대한 종류와 규모를 구체적으로 파악할 수 있게 한다. 실증분석을 위해 미국에 본점을 두고 미국, 일본, 영국, 독일에서 영업활동을 하는 국제금융기관이 16개의 국내외 금융자산을 이용 가능한 것으로 가정하였다. 1995년 1월부터 1999년 6월까지 이들 금융자산의 월별자료와 각 국 통화의 대 U.S. 달러 환율을 이용하여 목표이익 10,000천 달러를 실현하는 한편 이자율과 환율 위험을 최소화시키는 자산, 부채의 적정구성에 관한 결과를 제시하였다.구의 성과로는 특정 투자자 집단이 주가의 움직임에 따라 매매를 하는 수동적 전략의 의미보다는 적극적으로 주가를 움직이는 주체로서 외국인투자자와 일부 기관투자자의 존재를 확인할 수 있었다는 점이며, 주가 움직임에 따른 개인투자자와 일부 기관 투자자의 수동적 매매 스타일과 기관투자자 사이의 투자스타일의 이질성을 통계적으로 확인할 수 있었다는 데에 있다.남아 각국과 우리나라간에는 주가변동에 시차가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 각국간 표준시차 및 거래소 거래시간을 고려하면 미국, 영국, 독일의 경우에도 그 시차는 1일이내이거나 거의 시차가 없는 것으로 판단된다. 발견되어 선물의 선도효과가 지배적임을 발견하였다.적 일정하게 하는 소비행동을 목표로 삼고 소비와 투자에 대한 의사결정을 내리고 있음이 실증분석을 통하여 밝혀졌다. 투자자들은 무위험 자산과 위험성 자산을 동시에 고려하여 포트폴리오를 구성하는 투자활동을 행동에 옮기고 있다.서, Loser포트폴리오를 매수보유하는 반전거래전략이 Winner포트폴리오를 매수보유하는 계속거래전략보다 적합한 전략임을 알 수 있었다. 다섯째, Loser포트폴리오와 Winner포트폴리오를 각각 투자대상종목으로써 매수보유한 반전거래전략과 계속거래 전략에 대한 유용성을 비교검증한 Loser포트폴리오와 Winner포트폴리오 각각의 1개월 평균초과수익률에 의하면, 반전거래전략의 Loser포트폴리오가 계속거래전략의 Winner포트폴리오보다 약 5배정도의 높은 1개월 평균초과수익률을 실현하였고, 반전거래전략의 유용성을 충분히 발휘하기 위하여 장단기의 투자기간을 설정할 경우에 6개월에서 36개월로 이동함에 따라 6개월부터 24개월까지는 초과수익률이 상승하지만,

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The Monetary Approach to Exchange Rate Determination for Korea (통화론적 접근방법에 근거한 외환위기 전후 원/달러 환율결정에 대한 비교분석)

  • Han, Kyue-Sook;Oh, Yu-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2010
  • Korea experienced a financial crisis in 1997. Since then Korea economy has undergone severe change such as exchange rate regime from the market average exchange rate system to the free floating exchange rate system in 1997, and the currency rate fluctuation has been widening. We empirically analyze the determination of the Won/Dollar exchange rate based on the monetary approach. We employ Lucas (1982), Bilson (1978) and Frankel (1979) models and consider some mixed models. We make use of monthly data of money supply, income, interest rate, capital balance, terms of trade, and the yen/dollar exchange rate over the period 1990-2009. We compare the empirical results of cointegration tests and the vector error correction model(VECM) from the two regimes, the pre and post korean financial crisis. The won/dollar exchange rate has long-run relationship with the variables in the monetarist models in the two regimes. For the post crisis regime, the Bilson model is the best and the long run variables also affect the short run dynamics of the won/dollar exchange rate.

Comparative Analysis of Default Risk of Construction Company during Macroeconomic Fluctuations (거시경제변동 전후 건설기업의 부실화 비교분석 - IMF 외환위기 및 서브프라임 금융위기 전후를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jae-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2012
  • The past IMF foreign exchange crisis and subprime financial crisis had a big influence on variability of macroeconomics, even if the origin of its occurrence might be different. This not only had a significant infrequence on the overall industries, but also produced many insolvent companies by being closely linked with a management environment of an individual construction company leading the construction industry. Actually, the level of default risk of construction companies before and after fluctuation of macroeconomics gets to experience a rapid changing process, and a difference in reaction against shock exists according to each company. Accordingly, the purpose of this paper is to confirm the fluctuation process of the default risk of construction companies under the fluctuation of macroeconomics such as the IMF financial crisis and the subprime mortgage crisis. As an analysis result, it is judged that the subprime financial crisis gave bigger shock to construction companies than the foreign exchange crisis, and it is expected that this would have a relation with the construction market before shock of macroeconomics. In addition, it was analyzed that when comparing insolvent companies with normal companies, the recovery speed of normal companies is faster. It is judged that this was affected by a difference of internal business capacity between insolvent companies and normal companies.

A Review on the Contemporary Changes of Capital Structures for the Firms belonging to the Korean Chaebols (한국 재벌기업들의 자본구조변화 추이에 관한 재무적 관점에서의 고찰)

  • Kim, Hanjoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.86-98
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    • 2014
  • This study examined a long-standing issue with its perverse results in the Korean capital markets, such as any variant financial profiles over time, affecting capital structure for the firms belonging to the chaebols. It may be of interest to identify these components from the perspectives of international investors and domestic policy makers to implement their contingent strategies on the target leverage, since the U.S. financial turmoils in the late 2000s. Regarding the evidence from the three hypothesis tests on the firms in the chaebols, this research found that the control variabels measuring profitability, business risk, and non-debt tax shields, showed their statistically significant relationships with the different types of a debt ratio. While FCFF(free cash flow to the firm) showed its significant influence to discriminate between the firms in the chaebols and their counterparts, not belonging to the chaebols, BDRELY as the ratio of liabilities to total assets, comprising the enhanced 'Dupont' system, only showed its statistically significant effect on leverage in the context of the parametric and nonparametric tests. In line with the results obtained from the present research, one may expect that a firm in the Korean chaebol, may control or restructure its present level of capital structure to revert to its target optimal capital structure towards maximizing the shareholders' wealth.

Legal Research about the Public Offering of Director Compensation (이사보수의 공개에 관한 법적 연구)

  • Kwon, Sang-Ro
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2012
  • Due to the influences of global financial crisis, countries are putting their efforts on the enhancement of appropriateness and transparency of director compensation. In several countries including Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy, listed companies and financial institutions in certain levels make public announcement for compensations of individual directors, not the averages. Recently, even Asian countries including China, Hong Kong, and Singapore are introducing individual director compensation public announcement policies. On the other hand, in cases of companies, which must submit annual reports, under current Korean capital market laws and enforcement ordinances, they are obligated to mention 'total wage paid to all executives in that business year' on the annual report, but does not have to mention individual wages of each executive. About this, at the 17th national assembly, revised bill for the Securities and Exchange Act for companies to mention wages of each executive. The financial world is opposing to open individual director compensation to the public as they concern about the shrinking of outstanding human resources recruitment, breach of corporate confidence, privacy invasion, deterioration of labor-management relations, and downfall of the executive's management will as director compensation will be standardized downward; however, if public opening of individual director compensation is forced, domestic companies will prepare more objective and rational standards when they calculate director compensations, and moreover, it will prevent arbitrary intervention of dominant shareholders. Therefore, to clearly and efficiently control director compensation, we need regulations for obligating public opening of individual director compensation.

The Influential Factors to Growth Intention and Performance in Early-stage Technology-based Start-up Companies (기술창업 초기기업의 성장의도와 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Chang Young;Hwang, In Ho;Kim, Jin Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2016
  • Technology-based start-ups have great economic ripple effect such as economic growth and job creation. Therefore, a strategic approach is required in order for such start-ups to continuously grow. However, many technology-based start-ups do not survive the Death-Valley and are being eliminated from the market. This is an empirical study on influencing variables that have impact on their performance. This study presents growth intention and influencing variables that have impact on performance (financial performance, technological performance) based on previous research on technology-based start-up. Also, this study examines the relationship between entrepreneurial competence, team commitment and growth intention, and finds the effect of controlling business-network. Structural equation modeling was performed in order to test the research hypothesis. Survey was conducted on the firms that have been certified by Youth Startup Academy of Small and Medium Business Corporation. A total of 306 samples were collected from the survey. An empirical test was conducted on the research hypothesis using SPSS 21.0 and Amos 22.0. The result of hypothesis test shows that growth intention has positive influence on both financial and technological performance, and entrepreneurial competence (technological competence, strategic management competence, creative competence and team commitment) has positive influence on growth intention. Also, the research proved that business-network has regulation effect between human resource trait and growth intention. The result of our study will provide practical insight to future start-ups for continuous growth and successful running of their firm.

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The Impact of K-IFRS Adoption on Accounting Conservatism: Focus on Distribution Companies (한국채택국제회계기준(K-IFRS)의 도입이 보수주의에 미치는 영향: 유통기업들을 중심으로 (초기 일시적 적응 현상))

  • Noh, Gil-Kwan;Kim, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study provides evidence of the impact of the mandatory adoption of Korean equivalents to International Financial Reporting Standards (K-IFRS) on accounting quality. K-IFRS uses fair value as a basis of measurement and is characterized by principle-based standards. These characteristics can lead to a decrease in conservatism. Therefore, this study aims to examine whether or not there is a change in the level of conservatism before and after the enforcement of K-IFRS (2007~2014). By comparing 2007 through 2008 and 2013 through 2014 (excluding 2009 to 2012), we test "the temporary adjustment phenomenon" and document an overall decline in the degree of conservatism after the adoption of K-IFRS. Research design, data, and methodology - Our sample is comprised of data of all listed Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) manufacturing distribution companies in Korea from 2007 to 2014, which yields the pooled sample of 4,412 (panel A) and 1,915 (panel B) firm-year observations for hypotheses 1 and 2. In line with recent literature, we adopt the Givoly and Hayn (2000) model, which recomputes the non-operating accruals, excluding two components that are most likely to capture the effect of restructuring activities: special items and gains or losses from discontinued operations. In addition, we also use these variables: SIZE, LEV, INV_CYCLE, ROA, OWN, and FOR. Results - Our sample period spans 2007 to 2014. This offers evidence on the effect of the mandatory adoption of IFRS on conservatism. Our findings can be summarized as follows. First, in panel A, for mandatory K-IFRS adoption (2011), we do not find any significant evidence of conservatism. We can guess that the "temporary adjustment phenomenon" is the reason that we do not find significant evidence of conservatism. Second, we investigate panel B from 2009 to 2012. We document an overall decline in the degree of conservatism after the adoption of K-IFRS. We can assume that these results are due to "the temporary adjustment phenomenon." Conclusions - This study finds that conservatism significantly decreased after IFRS adoption. In particular, this study makes the initial effort to elucidate "the temporary adjustment phenomenon" to analyze the effect of K-IFRS on conservative accounting. We argue that K-IFRS are conceptually conservative but that inappropriate application of the conservatism principles is likely to prevent financial reporting from reaching the level of conservatism targeted by the IASB. Overall, this paper contributes to the literature on IFRS and can be useful to capital market supervisors who are monitoring the trends of the firms implementing K-IFRS. Additionally, our results inform stakeholders of the potentially negative effect of the greater flexibility permitted by IFRS and/or lack of appropriate enforcement on key dimensions of accounting quality. This has important implications for Korean regulators and standard setters as they review the cost and benefits of IFRS. Our study also sheds light on the importance of the institutional environment in achieving the targeted objectives for improving financial reporting quality.

A study on the vulnerability of integrity verification functions of android-based smartphone banking applications (안드로이드 스마트폰 뱅킹 앱 무결성 검증 기능의 취약점 연구)

  • Kim, Soonil;Kim, Sunghoon;Lee, Dong Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.743-755
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    • 2013
  • In recent years, the malicious apps with malicious code in normal apps are increasingly redistributed in Android market, which may incur various problems such as the leakage of authentication information and transaction information and fraudulent transactions when banking apps to process the financial transactions are exposed to such attacks. Thus the financial authorities established the laws and regulations as an countermeasures against those problems and domestic banks provide the integrity verification functions in their banking apps, yet its reliability has not been verified because the studies of the safety of the corresponding functions have seldom been conducted. Thus this study suggests the vulnerabilities of the integrity verification functions of banking apps by using Android reverse engineering analysis techniques. In case the suggested vulnerabilities are exploited, the integrity verification functions of banking apps are likely to be bypassed, which will facilitate malicious code inserting attacks through repackaging and its risk is very high as proved in a test of this study. Furthermore this study suggests the specific solutions to those vulnerabilities, which will contribute to improving the security level of smartphone financial transaction environment against the application forgery attacks.

Further Analyses on the Contemporary Changes of Profitability for the Firms Belonging to the Chaebol in the Republic of Korea (한국 재벌기업들의 수익성 결정요인에 대한 추세적 심층분석)

  • Kim, Hanjoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.367-384
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    • 2014
  • This study addresses an empirical issue which has been received little attention in the contemporary finance literature: To identify any financial determinants of the profitability indices for the firms belonging to the Korean chaebol. Three hypotheses of concern were postulated and tested for the sample firms covering the periods of the pre-and post-financial global crises. Regarding the results on the 1st hypothesis test of characterizing any financial profiles for the firms (belonging to the chaebols) by estimating a legitimate panel data model: the present study found the statistically significant relationships of the explanatory variables (BVLEVl, MVLEVl, MV/BV, RISK, FCFF and FOS) with the book-value based profitability ratio: while the market-valued profitability index was explained only by BVLEV2. Regarding the 2nd hypothesis test for the profitability of the sample firms at the industry level: the chaebol firms in the chemical and the food industries overall positioned themselves into the top ranks in order, which was tested by the ANCOVA and the Tukey multiple comparison procedure. Finally: on the 3rd hypothesis test for the 'adjusted' Dupont system, only two such as the 'operating margin' and the 'asset turnover' showed their significant effects between the chaebol firms and their counterparts in both the (parametric) independent samples t-test and the (nonparametric) Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney statistics.

Financial Factors Influencing Corporate Cash Reserves of Firms in Chungcheong Province in the Korean Capital Markets (충청권 소재 제조업체들의 현금 유동성 수준에 대한 재무적 분석)

  • Kim, Hanjoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.679-687
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    • 2017
  • This study examines financial factors affecting cash holdings of firms in the domestic capital markets. Specifically, this study focuses on regional firms with headquarters in Chungcheong province, the Republic of Korea, which features little previous research concentrating on the firms in the particular region. Three primary hypotheses were empirically tested utilizing robust econometric models, including static panel data, Tobit regression, and logistic models.Results reveal only five explanatory variables, including DSO, LIQUID, LEVERAGE, PMARGIN, and SIZE, showed statistically significant effects on the level of cash holdings among the nine variables studied. In addition two IDVs, LEVERAGE and FOS, showed significant differentiated effects between firms with headquarters in North and South Chungcheong regions. With continued debate among interested parties on the optimal level of cash reserves, the study provides a new vision for the optimal cash reserves for firms with headquarters in Chungcheong Province, where unprecedented socio-economic factors are driven.