• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial Rate

Search Result 1,168, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

The Effect of Non-Oil Diversification on Stock Market Performance: The Role of FDI and Oil Price in the United Arab Emirates

  • BANERJEE, Rachna;MAJUMDAR, Sudipa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2021
  • UAE has rapidly developed into one of the leading global financial hubs, with significant transformations in its stock exchanges. In its attempt at economic diversification in the last two decades, the country has also taken a lead in the GCC region in introducing extensive reforms to attract FDI to the Emirates. However, oil price volatilities have posed a significant challenge to all oil-exporting countries. The main aim of this study is to explore the impact of economic diversification and oil price on the UAE stock market. The study applies Granger Causality and Vector Autoregressive Model on monthly Abu Dhabi stock exchange index, Dubai Fateh crude oil spot price, and FDI inflows during 2001-19. The short-term interbank rate has been included as a monetary policy variable. The results show a substantial difference between the two phases of reforms. Oil price and Abu Dhabi stock index show bidirectional relationship during 2001-09 but no causality was found during 2010-19. Furthermore, the second phase was characterized by unidirectional causation from FDI to ADX index. This study highlights FDI inflows as a key driver of stock market performance during the last decade and emphasizes the success of the intense reforms in the UAE initiated for the diversification of its economy.

Financial Reforms and Technical Efficiency: A Case Study of Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia

  • HERSUGONDO, Hersugondo;WAHYUDI, Sugeng;LAKSANA, Rio Dhani
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.849-855
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze and compare Islamic commercial banks and Islamic banking units with the stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) method during 2014-2018. The data in research using Islamic commercial banks and Islamic banking units. There are 10 Islamic commercial banks and 5 Islamic banking units that meet the criteria of purposive sampling. The calculation of efficiency level using the SFA method with the function of production shows that Islamic commercial banks and Islamic banking units always experience an increase in efficiency every year with the average level of efficiency of Islamic commercial banks being 0.43994, while the average rate of efficiency of Islamic banking units is slightly higher at 0.47654. This shows that Islamic banking units are slightly more optimal in generating total financing in the period 2010-2014. The test results using Independent Sample T-Test can be concluded that there is no difference in the efficiency value between Islamic commercial banks and Islamic banking units. Operating costs are not significant and have a positive effect on the total financing; total assets have a significant effect and a positive impact on total financing; labor costs are not significant and have a negative effect on total financing.

The Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Movement of Composite Stock Price Index in Indonesia

  • ZAINURI, Zainuri;VIPHINDRARTIN, Sebastiana;WILANTARI, Regina Niken
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1113-1119
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to determine the impact of the news coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic on the composite stocks' movement (IHSG) in Indonesia. This study used secondary data of daily time series with an observation range of March 2020-June 2020. This study used three main variables, namely, COVID-19 news, the daily price of a composite stock market index (IHSG), and interest rate. This study clarifies pandemic news into two forms to facilitate quantitative analysis, namely, good news and bad news. Both pandemic news conditions, which have been clarified, are then processed into the index and reprocessed along with two other variables using vector autoregressive (VAR). The results showed that the good news have a dominant effect on developing the composite stock price index (IHSG) in Indonesia during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the good news dominates the composite stock price index (IHSG) movement in Indonesia, the bad news must also be anticipated. By implementing a series of macroeconomic policies that follow the conditions of the composite stock price index (IHSG) movements on the stock exchange floor, the bad news response can decrease the potential for a decline in investor confidence, so that the financial system's macroeconomic stability is maintained.

The Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policy on Credit Growth at Bank-Level Data in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Hau Trung;PHAM, Anh Thi Hoang;DANG, Thuy T.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.8
    • /
    • pp.325-334
    • /
    • 2021
  • The study investigates the effectiveness of the macroprudential policy on credit growth in Vietnam. The authors use the logic of the transmission mechanism of macroprudential policy on credit growth. Research variables include economic growth, inflation, interest rate, and quarterly bank-level data from 28 commercial banks in Vietnam during 2011-2018. The results reveal that: (i) GDP growth had a positive impact on credit growth of small banks but had no impact on large banks, (ii) Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs) and small banks respond differently to macroprudential measures of imposing different credit growth targets for different bank groups, (iii) Restrictions on foreign currency loans are found to be effective in curbing credit growth for the full sample and small banks, (iv) Inflation and economic cycle have significantly impacted credit growth at bank-level in Vietnam and (v) Interestingly, a significant positive relationship between interest rates and credit growth is found for the full sample and D-SIBs in Vietnam. The findings suggest that a stable macroeconomic environment should be good conditions for financial stability, and monetary authority should pay more attention to small banks' behaviors than D-SIBs behavior, toward such "administration" tools since small banks tend to prefer "breaking the rules" to make profits.

The Mediating Effect of Profitability and Activity on the Relationship between Productivity and Stock Return (생산성과 주가수익률의 관계에서 수익성과 활동성의 매개효과)

  • Ji, Chang-Soo;Oh, Sang-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Ryul
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.189-206
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to clarify the mediating effect of profitability and activity in the relationship between productivity and stock return, assuming that the productivity of the company will affect share prices with the parameters of profitability and activity. Design/methodology/approach - The study extracted productivity indicators, profitability indicators, activity indicators, and share price-related indicators from 1999 to 2018 of non-financial enterprises listed on the securities market, and then classified them into three factors: productivity (labor productivity LP, capital productivity CP), activity (TT), and profitability (net profit rate NI, operating profit ratio OI) through the factor analysis method, and analyzed the impact of each factor on the stock return through steps 1 to 3. Findings - The regression analysis shows that productivity has a significant positive effect on the stock return through the full mediating effect of profitability and activity. Research implications or Originality - In a situation where the relationship between productivity and profitability is not clear, this study is meaningful in that it has empirically analyzed that productivity has a positive effect on the stock return by mediating effects of profitability and activity.

The Methodological Aspects of Forecasting and the Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators

  • VYBOROVA, Elena Nikolaevna
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.31-42
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose - The main research goals by macroeconomic analysis is to assess the effectiveness of state regulation, the sustainability of development, and the financial stability of the state. Research design, Data, and methodology - The research were analyzed using the methods of multivariate statistics and application of the software package Stat graphics. The volume of data from the 1995 to the 2021 was analyzed by Russian Federation. The scale of research on Belarus: to be analyzed the amount of data from the 2015 by 2021, on Kazakhstan - from the 19941, on Kyrgyzstan - from the 2002, on Tajikistan - from the 2008, on Armenia - from the 2021, on Japan - since the 1970, on China - since the 1950, on South Korea - since the 1953. Result - The methods of multivariate statistics was demonstrated exact of result in forecasting of macroeconomic indicators. The most of tendency with the accurate results of are described using the second-degree polynomials. In the most research of country there are the macroeconomic proportion are broken. Conclusion - In the countries studied, the monetary aggregates have a significant growth rate. The shares with a substantial monetary stock and the speed of its growth are divided in the two groups: having placements in the real sectors of the economy and not having received the same result of development from the growth of the monetary stock.

The Determinant of Shariah Financing in the Agricultural Sector: Evidence from Indonesia

  • ALAM, Azhar;RUSGIANTO, Sulistya;HASMARINI, Maulidyah Indira;FARHAN, Alifian Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.4
    • /
    • pp.287-298
    • /
    • 2022
  • Indonesia is an agrarian country with the significant development of Shariah banking. This study aimed to estimate the effect of Third Party Funds (TPF), Non-Performing Financing (NPF), Exchange Rates (ER), and Bank Indonesia Shariah Certificates (SBIS) on the Sharia Agriculture Sector Financing in Indonesia during 2014-2020. This study used the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique to analyze the data. The coefficient of determination test showed that 99.19% of Sharia financing in the agricultural sector was influenced by TPF, NPF, Exchange Rate, and SBIS variables. The estimation results showed that the variables of TPF and ER significantly affected Sharia Financing for Agricultural Sector (PP). Meanwhile, the NPF and SBIS variables had no significant effect on PP. This research showed the resilience and accuracy of Islamic banking in selecting financing and can support the development of other Islamic financial instruments such as SBIS. Simultaneous test results demonstrated the existence of the estimating model. Because of the character of the Indonesian nation as an agricultural country, this study advised Sharia banking to prioritize the usage of third-party funds from the public for the agricultural industry. Sharia banking also needed to produce Islamic finance products that fit the agriculture business sector's needs.

Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle in Thailand and China: Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Testing

  • RUANKHAM, Warawut;PONGPRUTTIKUL, Phoommhiphat
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aimed to investigate the existence of the Feldstein-Horioka (1980) puzzle in international macroeconomics by applying the conditional Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to examine the long-run relationship between national savings and investments in Thailand and China. The input of this study relied on annual national savings and investments as a fraction of GDP during 1980-2019 which was collected from China National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and Thailand National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). Hypothetically, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests were applied to test the stationary properties and to investigate the integration level of selected time series. The empirical results, confirmed by cumulative sum (CUSUM) and cumulative sum square (CUSUMSQ), maintained no serial correlation and structural break problems. The finding of this study suggested that the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in Thailand did not exist significantly. Thailand's national savings and investments nexus was independent, following the classic economic idea that financial liberalization, or perfect capital mobility, allowed national savings and investments to flow freely to countries with better interest rates. Whereas, a strong significant correlation was found in the case of China during the fixed exchange rate regime switching in 1994 and post WTO participation after 2001-2019.

The Effect of COVID-19 on Restaurant Businesses and Their Response in Thailand

  • Saruda, SUNTHORNPAN;Sadayo, HIRATA
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-133
    • /
    • 2023
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the restaurant business adversely. The restaurant business is essential for Thailand's economy as it generates high income and a high employment rate. This study aimed to determine the relationships between restaurant businesses. Furthermore, it examined the problems encountered during COVID-19 and measures already implemented and planned. The research is intended to resolve these issues. We collected data from 136 people who worked in restaurants in Bangkok, Thailand, via telephone interviews. The data was analyzed by descriptive statistics and correspondence analysis using SPSS. The findings of this analysis indicate that all restaurants, irrespective of their size, face problems, though their planned and remedial actions are different. One finding was that medium restaurants face more financial problems and increased costs than others. They are countering this challenge through measures such as applying for loans and transitioning into a "non-restaurant" business. Nevertheless, typical medium restaurants have not engaged in extensive planning for the future. Based on a fact-finding survey, we considered appropriate short- and long-term measures suitable for micro, small and medium restaurants. In addition, our study's findings will help policymakers and practitioners identify strategies for responding to the COVID-19 outbreak and other future crises.

Factors Affecting Business Performance of Construction Enterprises Listed on Vietnam Stock Markets

  • DANG, Thanh Cuong;TRINH, Thi Hang;BANH, Thi Thao;NGUYEN, Thi Yen
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.9
    • /
    • pp.49-59
    • /
    • 2022
  • Based on assessing the impact of factors on the business efficiency of construction enterprises, the research team proposes policy implications to improve the business performance of listed construction enterprises in Vietnam in the coming time. The study used secondary data collected from the audited financial statements of 25 enterprises listed on Vietnam's stock market in the period 2015-2021 to estimate the factors affecting the business performance of construction enterprises. After collecting, the data will be encrypted and checked. The article uses a quantitative research method by using a linear regression model on Eviews 10 to analyze the data and analyze the impact of factors on the business performance of construction enterprises listed on Vietnam's stock market. The research result shows that firm size and growth rate positively affect business performance while capital structure, receivable management, fixed asset investment, and economic growth have a positive impact on the business performance of construction companies listed on the Vietnamese stock market. Based on this result, the paper also makes recommendations to the Vietnamese construction companies to enhance their business performance.