• 제목/요약/키워드: Financial Rate

검색결과 1,167건 처리시간 0.033초

Analysis about relation of Won/Dollar Foreign Exchange Rate and Interest Rate of Korea (한국 원/달러환율과 금리의 관계분석)

  • 김종권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • 제21권48호
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 1998
  • International capital movement has made progress at global liberalization of finance and foreign exchange, international monetary norm changing into floating exchange rate system, easiness of collection of information and trade at improvement of information communication technology from early of 1970's. Results of empirical test for relation between foreign exchange rate or various determination factors of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. First, according to relation between foreign exchange rate and interest rate, correlation for each of variables after OECD entrance is increased. But, long-term & short-term interest rate is affected by Hanbo & Kia's bankruptcy, continuous large scale corporates bankruptcy and crisis of foreign exchange. Therefore, financial instability is occured. If portfolio investment fund has been inflow as it is mollified by continuous shortage of foreign exchange and fall of country's credit rating, it is expected to have positive effect for long-term & short-term interest rate from appreciation of won against dollar. Second, results from relation between determination factor of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. If surplus of current account and goods account is continued, yield of corporate bond is to be stable. But, margin of surplus is expected to diminish after second quarter 98, and difference between external and domestic interest (after adjusting foreign exchange rate) is to be diminished. And if net inflows of foreign investor's fund (stock and bond) is diminished, it is to have negative effect for yield of corporate bond. According to foreign investor's investment movement of previous years, hedge fund were stayed at least during two years in Mexico. It means that sudden capital outflow is not to be happened at Korea. But if external factors from depreciation of yen and China's renminbi are instable, interest rate is expected to increase from capital's outflows. Third, if it is to decrease instability of foreign exchange rate from increase in surplus of future current account, credit rating's upwardness, stability of yen and renminbi, foreign exchange rate is expected to be stable. It is expected to have continuous stability from short-term interest rate to long-term interest rate in this empirical test.

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Analysis about relation of Won/Dollar Foreign Exchange Rate and Interest Rate of Korea (한국 원/달러환율과 금리의 관계분석)

  • 김종권
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2002년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.305-319
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    • 2002
  • International capital movement has made progress at global liberalization of finance and foreign exchange, international monetary norm changing into floating exchange rate system, easiness of collection of information and trade at improvement of information communication technology from early of 1970's. Results of empirical test for relation between foreign exchange rate or various determination factors of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. First, according to relation between foreign exchange rate and interest rate, correlation for each of variables after OECD entrance is increased. But, long-term &short-term interest rate is affected by Hanbo & Kia's bankruptcy, continuous large scale coporates bankruptcy and crisis of foreign exchange. Therefore, financial instability is occured. If portfolio investment fund has been inflow as it is mollified by continuous shortage of foreign exchange and fall of country's credit rating, it is expected to have positive effect for long-term & short-term interest rate from appreciation of won against dollar. Second, results from relation between determination factor of foreign exchange rate and interest rate are followed by next sentences. If surplus of current account and goods account is continued, yield of corporate bond is to be stable. But, margin of surplus is expected to diminish after second quarter 98, and difference between external and domestic interest (after adjusting foreign exchange rate) is to be diminished. And if net inflows of foreign investor's fund (stock and bond) is diminished, it is to have negative effect for yield of corporate bond. According to foreign investor's investment movement of previous years, hedge md were stayed at least during two years in Mexico. It means that sudden capital outflow is not to be happened at Korea. But if external factors from depreciation of yen and China's renminbi are instable, interest rate is expected to increase from capital's outflows. Third, if it is to decrease instability of foreign exchange rate from increase in surplus of future current account, credit rating's upwardness, stability of yen and renminbi, foreign exchange rate is expected to be stable. It is expected to have continuous stability from short-term interest rate to long-term interest rate in this empirical test.

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Structural Change Analysis in a Real Interest Rate Model (실질금리 결정모형에서의 구조변화분석)

  • 전덕빈;박대근
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2001
  • It is important to find the equilibrium level of real interest rate for it affects real and financial sector of economy. However, it is difficult to find the equilibrium level because like the most macroeconomic model the real interest model has parameter instability problem caused by structural change and it is supported by various theories and definitions. Hence, in order to cover these problems structural change detection model of real interest rate is developed to combine the real interest rate equilibrium model and the procedure to detect structural change points. 3 equations are established to find various effects of other interest-related macroeconomic variables and from each equation, structural changes are found. Those structural change points are consistent with common expectation. Oil Crisis (December, 1987), the starting point of Economic Stabilization Policy (January, 1982), the starting point of capital liberalization (January, 1988), the starting and finishing points of Interest deregulation (January, 1992 and December, 1994), Foreign Exchange Crisis (December, 1977) are detected as important points. From the equation of fisher and real effects, real interest rate level is estimated as 4.09% (October, 1988) and dependent on the underlying model, it is estimated as 0%∼13.56% (October, 1988), so it varies so much. It is expected that this result is connected to the large scale simultaneous equations to detect the parameter instability in real time, so induces the flexible economic policies.

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Correlation of Unmet Healthcare Needs and Employment Status for a Population over 65 Years of Age (65세 이상 인구의 고용형태와 의료요구 미충족 경험률의 관련성)

  • Kang, Jeong-Hee;Kim, Chul-Woung;Seo, Nam-Kyu
    • 한국노년학
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.281-291
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    • 2017
  • The present study aimed to investigate the rate of unmet healthcare needs for elderly over the age of 65 years, as well as analyze the relevance between employment status and unmet healthcare needs due to financial reasons. With regard to the study method, a logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the correlation between employment status and unmet healthcare needs due to financial reasons, targeting 5,528 subjects over the age of 65 years. The results showed that the rate of unmet healthcare needs was 18.9%, in which the rate of unmet healthcare needs due to financial reason was 8.1%. The rate of unmet health needs was higher for temporary workers(ORs=1.75) than for retirement workers. However, the rate of unmet healthcare needs caused by financial reasons was higher among day workers(ORs=1.92). In conclusion, in order to prevent unmet healthcare needs for senior Korean patients, it is necessary to not only improve the income security system for the elderly, but also improve the occupational form and level of income of these economically active citizens, considering the increase in average life expectancy. Moreover, it is also necessary to reinforce health insurance coverage systems for settling medical expenses.

PORTFOLIO CHOICE UNDER INFLATION RISK: MARTINGALE APPROACH

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.343-349
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    • 2013
  • The optimal portfolio selection problem under inflation risk is considered in this paper. There are three assets the economic agent can invest, which are a risk free bond, an index bond and a risky asset. By applying the martingale method, the optimal consumption rate and the optimal portfolios for each asset are obtained explicitly.

Dynamic Clearance Pricing Policy for Durable Goods (생산 중단되는 내구재의 재고정리를 위한 가격정책)

  • Lee, Kyung-Keun;Kim, Young-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2000
  • Inventory management of a product not to be produced any more has a great impact on the financial status of a company. Clearance pricing can make bigger sales volume together with great savings of inventory holding cost specially for a durable goods with relatively large inventory carrying cost and accordingly cash inflow can be improved. This paper deals with the inventory management by non-linear clearance pricing with the sales rate which depends on the accumulated sales volume and selling price.

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Strategic Alliances and Productivity in Air Transport Industry (항공운송산업의 전략적 제휴와 생산성에 대한 연구)

  • Yeo, Kyu-Hun;Lee, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 2007
  • This paper identifies the productivity in the Global Air Transport Industry for the period of 1995-2001 by testing the Total Factor Productivity with tonqvist method. Based on panel data from 20 major international airline corporations which formed global strategic alliances, we find alliances make a considerably significant contribution to productivity increases. We also find that total factor productivity rate changed surprisingly in Air Transport Industry between pre- and post-Asian financial crisis period.

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Analysis on the Change and Its Cause of Income Distribution before and after the Financial Crisis: Income Mobility Perspective

  • Yoo, Gyeongjoon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.141-190
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    • 2004
  • Income inequality in Korea has increased after the economic crisis, and the main reason for the widening of income distribution is due to the increase of the unemployed when analyzed using the Urban Household Report(UHR). However, income inequality has not decreased although the rate of unemployment decreased after 2000. Further data bases for income-related statistics are necessary to examine the exact causes of changing income inequality as a whole since the UHR covers only statistics on urban employees' wage and salary in Korea.

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Application of Neyman-Pearson Theorem and Bayes' Rule to Bankruptcy Prediction (네이만-피어슨 정리와 베이즈 규칙을 이용한 기업도산의 가능성 예측)

  • Chang, Kyung;Kwon, Youngsig
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.179-190
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    • 1994
  • Financial variables have been used in bankruptcy prediction. Despite of possible errors in prediction, most existing approaches do not consider the causal time sequence of prediction activity and bankruptcy phenomena. This paper proposes a prediction method using Neyman-Pearson Theorem and Bayes' rule. The proposed method uses posterior probability concept and determines a prediction policy with appropriate error rate.

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Determinant Factors for Expenditure of the Medical Insurance Program for Self-Employeds (지역의료보험(地域醫療保險) 재정지출(財政支出)의 결정요인(決定要因))

  • Kam, Sin;Park, Jae-Yong;Yeh, Min-Hae
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.153-174
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    • 1995
  • This study was conducted to examine the determinant factors for expenditure of the medical insurance program for self-employeds based on the analysis of 1991 'The Medical Insurance Program for Self-Employeds Statistical Yearbook', and also similar yearbooks in the metropolitan and other provinces. The major findings are as follows : We have divided benefits into these four components such as the utilization rate for out-patients, expenses per claim for out-patients as paid by the insurer, utilization rate for in-patients, and the expenses per claim for in-patients as paid by the insurer, in order to examine the determinant factors for it. The results of the study revealed the following findings, in urban areas, the supply of medical care had more influence on the benefits than other demographic and economic variables, while, in county areas, both the supply of medical care and the rate of those aged over 65 affected the provision of benefits. The determinant factors for financial balance of the medical insurance program for self-employeds are, first, the determinant factor for administrative expenses was the number of households. The more the number of households, the less the administrative expenses per the insured. This shows that the economy of scale is being. And so, the administrative district must be taken into consideration in the incorporation of small regional medical societies and should be re-organized for more efficient management. Second, in urban areas, the supply of medical care had more influence on utilization rate and expenses per claim as paid by insurer, and therefore it is necessary to control it. In county areas, the supply of medical care and the rate of those aged over 65 raised the utilization rate and expenses per claim as paid by insurer. For the financial stability of county areas, a common fund for medical care for the aged and expansion of finance stabilization fund would be necessary. But, in county areas, it would be unnecessary to control the supply of medical care because it was much more insufficient than in urban areas. The vitalization of public health facilities must be carried out in county areas, for they reduced benefits. Sice the more insured in a single household, the less the utilization of the medical insurance program, benefits for habilitation at home should be given consideration. The law of majority and the economy of scale were applied here, and therefore the incorporation of regional medical societies must be taken into consideration. In integrating regional medical societies, it would be absolutely necessary to review the structural differences among all regional medical societies, the medical demand of each region, and also the local characteristics of each region.

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