• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial Decision Making

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The Study of Decision-Making Model on Small and Medium Sized Management States of Financial Agencies and Monitoring Progressive Insolvency : Case of Mutual Savings Banks

  • Ryu, Ji-Cheol;Lee, Young-Jai
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.43-59
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    • 2008
  • This paper studies small and medium sized financial agency's management states that take advantage of the Korea Federation of Saving Bank's data. It also presents the management state and the decision-making model that monitors progressive insolvency by standardizing transfer path between relevant groups. With this in mind, we extracted explanatory variables for predictions of insolvency by using existing studies of document related insolvency. First of all, we designed a state model based on demarcated groups to take advantage of the self organizing map that groups in line with a neural network. Secondly, we developed a transition model by standardizing the transfer path between individual banks in a state model. Finally, we presented a decision-making model that integrated the state model and the transition model. This paper will provide groundwork for methods of insolvency prevention to businesses in order for them to have a smooth management system in the financial agencies.

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A DEA-Based Portfolio Model for Performance Management of Online Games (DEA 기반 온라인 게임 성과 관리 포트폴리오 모형)

  • Chun, Hoon;Lee, Hakyeon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.260-270
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a strategic portfolio model for managing performance of online games. The portfolio matrix is composed of two dimensions: financial performance and non-financial performance. Financial performance is measured by the conventional measure, average revenue per user (ARPU). In terms of non-financial performance, five non-financial key performance indicators (KPIs) that have been widely used in the online game industry are utilized: RU (Register User), VU (Visiting User), TS (Time Spent), ACU (Average Current User), MCU (Maximum Current User). Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is then employed to produce a single performance measure aggregating the five KPIs. DEA is a linear programming model for measuring the relative efficiency of decision making unit (DMUs) with multiple inputs and outputs. This study employs DEA as a tool for multiple criteria decision making (MCDM), in particular, the pure output model without inputs. Combining the two types of performance produces the online game portfolio matrix with four quadrants: Dark Horse, Stop Loss, Jack Pot, Luxury Goods. A case study of 39 online games provided by company 'N' is provided. The proposed portfolio model is expected to be fruitfully used for strategic decision making of online game companies.

A financial feasibility analysis of architectural development projects that use probabilistic simulation analysis method (확률론적 시뮬레이션 분석방법을 적용한 건축개발사업의 재무적 타당성 분석)

  • Lee, Seong-Soo;Choi, Hee-Bok;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 2007
  • Construction development work invents profit as those finalize object, and a make or break success of project depends on correct analysis and forecast business feasibility at project early. Business feasibility study would be decision-making under precarious situation because is connoting uncertainty that is future. estimate at present visual point essentially. Under uncertainty, a decision-making method is based on probability theory of statistics, but business feasibility study had applied with not feasibility study by probabilistic decision method but it by determinism derision method so far. Therefore in this study doing decision-making by a probability theory method for successful project at early business feasibility study, it present a probabilistic study method that use simulation that can supply a little more correct and reliable data to decision-maker As result, a probabilistic study method is more suitable than deterministic study method as technique for a financial feasibility study of construction development work. Making good use of this probabilistic study method at important business or careful decision-making, because efficient Judgment that is based accuracy and authoritativeness may become available.

A Study on Decision Making Model for Personal Information Collection and Use Policy Establishment through Internet Homepage of Financial Companies (금융회사 인터넷 홈페이지를 통한 개인정보 수집 및 이용 동의 정책 수립 모델 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-hoon;Lee, Kyeong-ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.637-651
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    • 2017
  • In order for a financial company to collect personal information, it explicitly notifies consumers of the contents stipulated by law and gets consent beforehand. As a result, as financial products became more complicated and diverse, and the contents of 'Consent form for providing personal information' became more complicated and more. In particular, in the case of internet or mobile, the letter became smaller as the screen size limit, making it more difficult to understand. This is because almost all companies that collecting personal information are in a similar situation, In the position of consumers who use services are, contradictions arise that habitually agree without understanding the consent contents. In this research, in order to present a consent policy establishment decision-making model to rationally collect and use personal information through the Internet website of financial companies, consider the domestic and foreign legal system Then, derive a problem To present improvement measures. In addition, the evaluation factors selected through the research are verified by presenting decision making models and formulas using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) method.

Role of ABAS and Bureaucratic Reformation in Improving Governmental Financial Performance Through Financial Decision Making

  • AFFANDI, Muhammad Arief;MURWANINGSARI, Etty;MAYANGSARI, Sekar;DWIMULYANI, Susi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.1069-1075
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    • 2020
  • This research is aimed at examining the effect of the implementation of ABAS and BR on GFP with FDM as mediation. Respondent of research is 100 civil servants at the Directorate General of Population and Civil Registration of the Ministry of Home Affairs for the Republic of Indonesia. Data analysis is done with WarpPLS. Result of research shows that the implementation of ABAS has direct and indirect effects on GFP, and the indirect effect involves the mediation of FDM. Other result indicate that the making of proper financial decisions will help improving GFP. The effectiveness of financial decisions are able to mediate the implementation of ABAS in improve GFP. Meanwhile, BR does not affect GFP, either directly or indirectly through FDM. BR seems oriented more toward improving public service and people's welfare. This research suggests that the next research should examine whether the implementation of BR can improve governmental organizational performance in delivering public service. This research has proven that the implementation of ABAS has helped in improving the quality of FDM, while the other benefit is that this system improves GFP. Moreover, this research also gives confirmation that accounting information in good quality will be very useful in FDM.

The Effects of Financial Pressure and Tit for tat Strategy on Decision Making in White-collar crime (재정적 압박과 전략정보 유무가 화이트칼라 범죄 의사결정에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Donggyu;Jo, Eunkyung
    • Korean Journal of Forensic Psychology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.199-221
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine some factors affecting the decision-making process of white-collar crime. In a between-subject experiment, 102 adult white-collar workers were randomly assigned to a financial pressure condition or tit for tat strategy condition. Participants went through a decision-making process in a modified iterated prisoner's dilemma for a white-collar crime scenario to earn points. The obtained score indicated the risk of committing a crime. The lower the score, the higher was the risk of participating in a crime. The results showed that participants who received only tit for tat strategy information without financial pressure instructions showed the lowest risk of participating in a crime, and those who received only financial pressure without the strategic information had the highest risk of participating in a crime. In addition, those who received the financial pressure instructions were more likely to participate in a crime than those who did not receive financial pressure instructions regardless of the provision of strategic information. The results of this study propose the need for measures to legally relieve financial pressure, the need for education on white-collar crimes for office workers, and the need for a decision-making structure within the enterprise that is not dogmatic but cooperative and mutually verifiable.

A Study on the Decision-Making of Private Banker's in Recommending Hedge Fund among Financial Goods (은행 금융상품에서 프라이빗 뱅커의 전문투자형 사모펀드 추천 의사결정)

  • Yu, Hwan;Lee, Young-Jai
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.333-358
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    • 2019
  • Purpose The study aims to develop a data-based decision model for private bankers when recommending hedge funds to their customers in financial institutions. Design/methodology/approach The independent variables are set in two groups. The independent variables of the first group are aggressive investors, active investors, and risk-neutral type investors. In the second group, variables considered by private bankers include customer propensity to invest, reliability, product subscription experience, professionalism, intimacy, and product understanding. A decision-making variable for a private banker is in recommending a first-rate general private fund composed of foreign and domestic FinTech products. These contain dependent variables that include target return rate(%), fund period (months), safeguard existence, underlying asset, and hedge fund name. Findings Based on the research results, there is a 94.4% accuracy in decision-making when the independent variables (customer rating, reliability, intimacy, product subscription experience, professionalism and product understanding) are used according to the following order of relevant dependent variables: step 1 on safeguard existence, step 2 on target return rate, step 3 on fund period, and step 4 on hedge fund name. Next, a 93.7% accuracy is expected when decision-making uses the following order of dependent variables: step 1 on safeguard existence, step 2 on target return rate, step 3 on underlying asset, and step 4 on fund period. In conclusion, a private banker conducts a decision making stage when recommending hedge funds to their customers. When examining a private banker's recommendations of hedge funds to a customer, independent variables influencing dependent variables are intimacy, product comprehension, and product subscription experience according to a categorical regression model and artificial neural network analysis model.

DECIDING ON HOW TO DECIDE BEST

  • Cho, Keun Tae;Kwon, Cheol Shin
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.31-57
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    • 2001
  • Regarding all methods of decision making as parts of the same subject, one is astounded to find that the field speaks to the practitioners about multicriteria decision making with a multi-forked tongue, different methods give different and conflicting outcomes even for very simple decisions. In this paper, five well-known decision theories are described and used to work out a simple decision to choose the best of three cars. The outcomes turn out not to be the same for all the methods, which is troubling because one would expect unique answers in decision making. Several "meta" criteria that are essential for making a decision theory to make a choice as to which decision approach is best.h is best.

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A Fuzzy-Goal Programming Approach For Bilevel Linear Multiple Objective Decision Making Problem

  • Arora, S.R.;Gupta, Ritu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a fuzzy-goal programming(FGP) approach for Bi-Level Linear Multiple Objective Decision Making(BLL-MODM) problem in a large hierarchical decision making and planning organization. The proposed approach combines the attractive features of both fuzzy set theory and goal programming(GP) for MODM problem. The GP problem has been developed by fixing the weights and aspiration levels for generating pareto-optimal(satisfactory) solution at each level for BLL-MODM problem. The higher level decision maker(HLDM) provides the preferred values of decision vector under his control and bounds of his objective function to direct the lower level decision maker(LLDM) to search for his solution in the right direction. Illustrative numerical example is provided to demonstrate the proposed approach.

Multiple criteria decision making method for selecting of sealing element for earth dams considering long and short terms goals

  • Rashidi, Babak;Shirangi, Ehsan;Baymaninezhad, Matin
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2018
  • Nowadays, using math logic in great civil projects is considered by the clients to achieve the goals of project including quality optimization, costs, avoiding individual, emotional and political decision making, long-term and short-term goals and they are the main requirements of each project and should be considered by the decision makers to avoid the illogical decision making applied on the majority of civil projects and this imposes great financial and spiritual costs on our country. The present study attempts to present one of the civil projects (Ghasre Shirin storage dam) whose client was not ministry of energy for the first time and the short-term and long-term goals of the private sector were applied based on the triangle of quality, cost and time. Also, the math logic and model (multi-criteria decision making method and decision making matrix) is used in one of the most important sections of project, sealing element, policies and new materials (Geosynthetics) are considered and this leads to suitable decision making in this regard. It is worth to mention that this method is used for other sections of a dam including body, water diversion system, diaphragm and other sectors or in other civil projects of building, road construction, etc.