• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

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Seismic Fragility Analysis of Substation Systems by Using the Fault Tree Method (고장수목을 이용한 변전소의 지진취약도 분석)

  • Kim, Min-Kyu;Choun, Young-Sun;Choi, In-Kil;Oh, Keum-Ho
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a seismic fragility analysis was performed for substation systems in Korea. To evaluate the seismic fragility function of the substation systems, a fragility analysis of the individual equipment and facilities of the substation systems was first performed, and then all systems were considered in the fragility analysis of the substation systems using a fault-tree method. For this research, the status of the substation systems in Korea was investigated for the classification of the substation systems. Following the classification of the substation systems, target equipment was selected based on previous damage records in earthquake hazards. The substation systems were classified as 765kV, 345kV, and 154kV systems. Transformer and bushing were chosen as target equipment. The failure modes and criteria for transformer and bushing were decided, and fragility analysis performed. Finally, the fragility functions of substation system were evaluated using the fault tree method according to damage status.

Development of the Risk Assessment Model for Railway Level-Crossing Accidents by Using The ETA and FTA (ETA 및 FTA를 이용한 철도 건널목사고 위험도 평가 모델 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Su;Wang, Jong-Bae;Park, Chan-Woo;Cho, Yeon-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.936-943
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a risk assessment model based on the ETA (Event Tree Analysis) and FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) is developed according to the procedure of hazard analysis and risk assessment in order to estimate the risk quantitatively. The FTA technique is applied to estimate the branch probability (frequency) and the ETA technique is applied to estimate the consequence for each branch path on the ET (Event Tree). A risk assessment model is developed by the combination of those ETA and FTA. In addition, the reliability and the validity of the risk assessment model are verified by comparing the risk estimated through the developed model with the actual equivalent fatality.

Feature Based Decision Tree Model for Fault Detection and Classification of Semiconductor Process (반도체 공정의 이상 탐지와 분류를 위한 특징 기반 의사결정 트리)

  • Son, Ji-Hun;Ko, Jong-Myoung;Kim, Chang-Ouk
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.126-134
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    • 2009
  • As product quality and yield are essential factors in semiconductor manufacturing, monitoring the main manufacturing steps is a critical task. For the purpose, FDC(Fault detection and classification) is used for diagnosing fault states in the processes by monitoring data stream collected by equipment sensors. This paper proposes an FDC model based on decision tree which provides if-then classification rules for causal analysis of the processing results. Unlike previous decision tree approaches, we reflect the structural aspect of the data stream to FDC. For this, we segment the data stream into multiple subregions, define structural features for each subregion, and select the features which have high relevance to results of the process and low redundancy to other features. As the result, we can construct simple, but highly accurate FDC model. Experiments using the data stream collected from etching process show that the proposed method is able to classify normal/abnormal states with high accuracy.

Minimal Cut Set of Electric Power Installations using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA를 이용한 수변전설비의 최소절단집합 도출)

  • Park, Young-Ho;Kim, Doo-Hyun;Kim, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, from making an electrical fire which is thought to be the most damaging among potential dangers as a top event, minimal cut sets (MCS) about it were analyzed. For this, components of a power substation were classified into 15 items. Failure rates and modes were extracted based on Korea Electrical Safety Corporation, IEEE Gold Book, and RAC. To analyze the top event (an electrical fire), main events were assorted into "safety devices for overcurrent" and "ampere meter of detecter". Failure of components was divided into failure of VCB, COS, and MCCB. A fault tree was composed of 3 AND gate, 5 OR gates and 17 basic events. Overlapped events among the basic events are things which occur from relevant components. They were attached to the tree by distinguishing identifiers. In case of FT, two minimal cut sets of "IO_METER", "MF_METER", "DO_MCCB" and "IO_METER", "MF_METER", "DO_VCB" take 46% of electrical fires. Therefore, about basic events which are included in the top two minimum cut sets, strict control is necessary.

Fire Cause Reasoning of Self-regulating Heating Cable by a Fire Investigation Applying the Scientific Method and Fault Tree Analysis (과학적 방법을 적용한 화재조사와 결함수 분석을 이용한 정온전선의 발화원인 추론)

  • Kim, Doo-Hyun;Lee, Heung-Su
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2016
  • A self-regulating heating cable is an electrical heating element by flowing an electric current between parallel conductors filled with an extruded semi-conductive polymer. Self-regulating heating cables are used mainly for frost protection purposes because the construction is convenient and the price is low. On the other hand, structural problems with imperfections of the insulation can cause a fire despite their usefulness. This paper deduced a direct method to derive the cause by investigating the scene of a fire due to a self-regulating heating cable and analyzed the basic problem using fault tree analysis. In this paper, the actual fire scene was a cold storage warehouse, and fire investigation was conducted. After investigating the fire scene and fault tree analysis, the cause of the fire could be attributed to dielectric breakdown of the self-regulating heating cable. This paper could be utilized in the fire safety activities and similar fire investigations.

Reliability Analysis of Redundant Architecture of Dependable Control System (다중화 구조 제어시스템에 대한 신뢰도 분석)

  • Noh, Jinpyo;Park, Jaehyun;Son, Kwang-Seop;Kim, Dong-Hoon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.328-333
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    • 2013
  • Since a slight malfunction of control systems in a nuclear power plant may cause huge catastrophes, such control systems usually have multiple redundancy and reliable features, and their reliability and availability should be analyzed and verified thoroughly. This paper performed the reliability analysis of the SPLC (Safety Programmable Logic Controller) that is under developed as the control systems for the next generation nuclear power plant. One of the key features of SPLC is that it has multiple redundancy modes as faults happen, which means the reliability analysis for one fixed redundant model is not enough to analyze the reliability of SPLC. With considering this reconfigurable concept, FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) was used to capture fault-relationship among sub-modules. The analysis results show that MTTF (Mean Time to Fault) of SPLC is 45,080 hours, which is a about 4.5 times longer than the regulation, 10,000 hours.

Fault Tree Analysis and Reliability Analysis by Fuzzy Set Approach (퍼지집합에 의한 FT 분석 및 신뢰성분석)

  • Kim, Gil-Dong;Cho, Am
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 1997
  • The conventional fault tree and reliability analysis gives in many cases insufficient information concerning the relative frequencies of hazard events. This stems from that the basic events are not stationary and ergodic, and therefore the tolerances of the induced and top events cannot be calculated reliably based on the classical probability theory. To overcome this difficulty, the paper considers the relative frequencies of the basic events as fuzzy numbers and uses instead of probability, possible considerations for evaluating the mean values and tolerances of the top events. The possibility distribution of the basic events can be approximated based on heuristic considerations. This paper shows the use of these operators for constructing fault trees. The use of the method for numerical calculation is demonstrated on a field safety problem.

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Safety analysis of marine nuclear reactor in severe accident with dynamic fault trees based on cut sequence method

  • Fang Zhao ;Shuliang Zou ;Shoulong Xu ;Junlong Wang;Tao Xu;Dewen Tang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.4560-4570
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    • 2022
  • Dynamic fault tree (DFT) and its related research methods have received extensive attention in safety analysis and reliability engineering. DFT can perform reliability modelling for systems with sequential correlation, resource sharing, and cold and hot spare parts. A technical modelling method of DFT is proposed for modelling ship collision accidents and loss-of-coolant accidents (LOCAs). Qualitative and quantitative analyses of DFT were carried out using the cutting sequence (CS)/extended cutting sequence (ECS) method. The results show nine types of dynamic fault failure modes in ship collision accidents, describing the fault propagation process of a dynamic system and reflect the dynamic changes of the entire accident system. The probability of a ship collision accident is 2.378 × 10-9 by using CS. This failure mode cannot be expressed by a combination of basic events within the same event frame after an LOCA occurs in a marine nuclear reactor because the system contains warm spare parts. Therefore, the probability of losing reactor control was calculated as 8.125 × 10-6 using the ECS. Compared with CS, ECS is more efficient considering expression and processing capabilities, and has a significant advantage considering cost.

FAULT-TREE-BASED RISK ASSESSMENT FOR DYNAMIC CONDITION CHANGES

  • Kang, Hyun-Gook;Jang, Seung-Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2007
  • In order to apply a static fault-tree (FT) method to a system or a plant whose configuration changes dynamically, condition gates and a post processing method are used to effectively accommodate these changes. An operator's performance change, which can be caused by these configuration changes, should also be considered to assess the risk to a plant in a more realistic manner. This study aims to develop an integrated framework to accommodate various configuration changes and their effect on an operator’s performance by using the FT model. We applied a condition-based human reliability assessment (CBHRA) method to consider various conditions endured by an operator. That is, we integrated the CBHRA method with the conventional post processing method for modeling the system configuration changes. The effect of the condition monitoring systems installed in a plant is also considered. In this study, we show an example application of the integrated framework to a probabilistic safety assessment for the shutdown phase of a nuclear power plant.