• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

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REVIEW OF VARIOUS DYNAMIC MODELING METHODS AND DEVELOPMENT OF AN INTUITIVE MODELING METHOD FOR DYNAMIC SYSTEMS

  • Shin, Seung-Ki;Seong, Poong-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.375-386
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    • 2008
  • Conventional static reliability analysis methods are inadequate for modeling dynamic interactions between components of a system. Various techniques such as dynamic fault tree, dynamic Bayesian networks, and dynamic reliability block diagrams have been proposed for modeling dynamic systems based on improvement of the conventional modeling methods. In this paper, we review these methods briefly and introduce dynamic nodes to the existing reliability graph with general gates (RGGG) as an intuitive modeling method to model dynamic systems. For a quantitative analysis, we use a discrete-time method to convert an RGGG to an equivalent Bayesian network and develop a software tool for generation of probability tables.

Risk Model for the Safety Evaluation of Dam and Levee : I. Theory and Model (댐 및 하천제방에 대한 위험도 해석기법의 개발 : I. 이론 및 모형)

  • Han, Geon-Yeon;Lee, Jong-Seok;Kim, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.679-690
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    • 1997
  • The risk assessment model for hydrlolgic safety analysis of dam and levee in developed by using Monte-Carlo and AFOSM (Advanced First-Order Second-Moment) method. The fault tree analysis and four phases approach are presented for the safety eveluation of risk of dam and levee. The risk model consists of rainfall-runoff analysis, reservoir routing and channel routing considering the variations in the model parameter. For the rainfall-runoff analysis, KRRL method is adopted with 200-year precipitation and PMP (Probable Maximum Precipitation). Reservoir routing is performed by fourth order Runge-Kutta method and channel routing by standard step method. The suggested model will contribute to safety evaluation of dam and levee and their rehabilitation decision problem.

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A Study on Accident Frequency by Installing Safety Devices in the LPG Heating and Drying Furnace (LPG 가열로 및 건조로의 안전장치 설치에 따른 사고빈도에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Dong-Woo;Kim, Ki-Sung;Kim, Choong-Hee;Lee, Seong-Gueong;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the risk of depending on the presence or absence of safety device of domestic heating and drying furnaces, by derivation and analysis of accident frequency of safety devices through FTA (Fault Tree Analysis). Installation standards are lacking in Korean for the safety device of LPG heating and drying furnace, which have a risk of explosion due to structure to trap the leaked gas. Four different safety devices were selected on the basis of NFPA and national standards for combustors of other equipment. Effects of frequency reduction in accidents were analyzed before and after installing the safety devices respectively. As a result, a minimal leakage safety device was presented for preventing damages from gas leak of domestic LPG heating and drying furnace.

Fault Pattern Analysis and Restoration Prediction Model Construction of Pole Transformer Using Data Mining Technique (데이터마이닝 기법을 이용한 주상변압기 고장유형 분석 및 복구 예측모델 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Woo-Hyun;Kim, Ja-Hee;Jang, Wan-Sung;Hong, Jung-Sik;Han, Deuk-Su
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.9
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    • pp.1507-1515
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    • 2008
  • It is essential for electric power companies to have a quick restoration system of the faulted pole transformers which occupy most of transformers to supply stable electricity. However, it takes too much time to restore it when a transformer is out of order suddenly because we now count on operator in investigating causes of failure and making decision of recovery methods. This paper presents the concept of 'Fault pattern analysis and Restoration prediction model using Data mining techniques’, which is based on accumulated fault record of pole transformers in the past. For this, it also suggests external and internal causes of fault which influence the fault pattern of pole transformers. It is expected that we can reduce not only defects in manufacturing procedure by upgrading quality but also the time of predicting fault patterns and recovering when faults occur by using the result.

Safety Analysis on the Tritium Release Accidents

  • Yang, Hee joong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.96-107
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    • 1991
  • At the design stage of a plant, the plausible causes and pathways of release of hazardous materials are not clearly known. Thus there exist large amount of uncertainties on the consequences resulting from the operation of a fusion plant. In order to better handle such uncertain circumstances, we utilize the Probabilistic Risk Assessment(PRA) for the safety analyses on fusion power plant. In this paper, we concentrate on the tritium release accident. We develop a simple model that describes the process and flow of tritium, by which we figure out the locations of tritium inventory and their vulnerability. We construct event tree models that lead to various levels of tritium release from abnormal initiating events. Branch parameters on the event tree are assessed from the fault tree analysis. Based on the event tree models we construct influence diagram models which are more useful for the parameter updating and analysis. We briefly discuss the parameter updating scheme, and finally develop the methodology to obtain the predictive distribution of consequences resulting from the operating a fusion power plant. We also discuss the way to utilize the results of testing on sub-systems to reduce the uncertain ties on over all system.

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