• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

Search Result 325, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Study on a Quantitative Risk Assessment of a Large-scale Hydrogen Liquefaction Plant (대형 수소 액화 플랜트의 정량적 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Kyu Hyung;Han, Yong-Shik;Kim, Myung-Bae;Kim, Taehoon;Choi, Byung-Il
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.609-619
    • /
    • 2014
  • In the present study, the frequency of the undesired accident was estimated for a quantitative risk assessment of a large-scale hydrogen liquefaction plant. As a representative example, the hydrogen liquefaction plant located in Ingolstadt, Germany was chosen. From the analysis of the liquefaction process and operating conditions, it was found that a $LH_2$ storage tank was one of the most dangerous facilities. Based on the accident scenarios, frequencies of possible accidents were quantitatively evaluated by using both fault tree analysis and event tree analysis. The overall expected frequency of the loss containment of hydrogen from the $LH_2$ storage tank was $6.83{\times}10^{-1}$times/yr (once per 1.5 years). It showed that only 0.1% of the hydrogen release from the $LH_2$ storage tank occurred instantaneously. Also, the incident outcome frequencies were calculated by multiplying the expected frequencies with the conditional probabilities resulting from the event tree diagram for hydrogen release. The results showed that most of the incident outcomes were dominated by fire, which was 71.8% of the entire accident outcome. The rest of the accident (about 27.7%) might have no effect to the population.

A Methodology for Evaluating Cycling Safety and Mobility using Probe Bicycle Sensor Data (프로브 자전거 센서자료를 이용한 자전거 주행안전성 및 이동성 통합평가기법 개발)

  • Joo, Shin-Hye;Oh, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.43-55
    • /
    • 2012
  • Bicycle is an environment-friendly transport mode contributing to a more sustainable transportation systems. To innovatively increase the use of bicycle as a significant transport mode, bicycle-friendly roadway environment should be provided. This study proposes a method to evaluate cycling environment based on the analysis of data collected from an specially equipped probe bicycle. The inertial measurement unit(IMU) consisting of a gyro sensor, accelerometer, and a global positioning systems(GPS) receiver was installed on the probe bicycle. Cycling stability index(CSI) and bicycle speed data were used as inputs of the proposed evaluation framework adopting the Fault Tree Analysis, which is a well-known technique for the risk analysis. The outcomes of this study will serve as an intelligent assesment tool for cycling environment.

Fault-tree based reliability analysis for paralleled half-bridge sub-module of HVDC (HVDC 병렬 하프브리지 서브모듈에 대한 고장나무기반의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Kang, Feel-soon;Song, Sung-Geun
    • Journal of IKEEE
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1218-1223
    • /
    • 2019
  • In HVDC systems, the full-bridge submodule increases the number of components compared to the half-bridge submodule, but the failure-rate can be reduced by securing 100 % redundancy. However, full-bridge submodules require more complex control algorithms to ensure the redundancy and to prevent arm-short with sufficient dead-time. To solve this problem, we analyse the failure-rate of the paralleled half-bridge configuration with the same number of components and 100 % redundancy as the full-bridge submodule. The fault tree analysis (FTA) method is applied to the conventional part failure analysis to reflect the operation risk of the submodule, thereby predicting the life-cycle of the submodule more accurately. To verify the validity, the failure-rate results of the proposed FTA based analysis method are compared with the failure rate obtained by the part failure method.

Application of Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis for the Nuclear Power Plant Site (원자력 발전소 부지에 대한 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석의 적용)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Me;Kim, Min Kyu;Sheen, Dong-Hoon;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.265-271
    • /
    • 2015
  • The tsunami hazard analysis is performed for testing the application of probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis to nuclear power plant sites in the Korean Peninsula. Tsunami hazard analysis is based on the seismic hazard analysis. Probabilistic method is adopted for considering the uncertainties caused by insufficient information of tsunamigenic fault sources. Logic tree approach is used. Uljin nuclear power plant (NPP) site is selected for this study. The tsunamigenic fault sources in the western part of Japan (East Sea) are used for this study because those are well known fault sources in the East Sea and had several records of tsunami hazards. We have performed numerical simulations of tsunami propagation for those fault sources in the previous study. Therefore we use the wave parameters obtained from the previous study. We follow the method of probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) suggested by the atomic energy society of Japan (AESJ). Annual exceedance probabilities for wave height level are calculated for the site by using the information about the recurrence interval, the magnitude range, the wave parameters, the truncation of lognormal distribution of wave height, and the deviation based on the difference between simulation and record. Effects of each parameters on tsunami hazard are tested by the sensitivity analysis, which shows that the recurrence interval and the deviation dominantly affects the annual exceedance probability and the wave heigh level, respectively.

A Method for Operational Safety Assessment of a Deep Geological Repository for Spent Fuels

  • Jeong, Jongtae;Cho, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
    • /
    • v.18 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.63-74
    • /
    • 2020
  • The operational safety assessment is an important part of a safety case for the deep geological repository of spent fuels. It consists of different stages such as the identification of initiating events, event tree analysis, fault tree analysis, and evaluation of exposure doses to the public and radiation workers. This study develops a probabilistic safety assessment method for the operational safety assessment and establishes an assessment framework. For the event and fault tree analyses, we propose the advanced information management system for probabilistic safety assessment (AIMS-PSA Manager). In addition, we propose the Radiological Safety Analysis Computer (RSAC) program to evaluate exposure doses to the public and radiation workers. Furthermore, we check the applicability of the assessment framework with respect to drop accidents of a spent fuel assembly arising out of crane failure, at the surface facility of the KRS+ (KAERI Reference disposal System for SNFs). The methods and tools established through this study can be used for the development of a safety case for the KRS+ system as well as for the design modification and the operational safety assessment of the KRS+ system.

A Study for the Development of Fault Diagnosis Technology Based on Condition Monitoring of Marine Engine (선박 엔진의 상태감시 기반 고장진단 기술 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Cheul;Jang, Hwa-Sup;Jo, Yeon-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.230-231
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study is a development on condition based maintenance(CBM) technology which is a core item of future autonomous ships. It is developing to design & installation of condition monitoring system and acquisition & processing of data from ongoing ships for fault prediction & prognosis of engine in operation. The ultimate goal of this study is to develop a predicts and decision support software for marine engine faults. To do this, the FMEA and fault tree analysis of the main engine should be accompanied by the analysis of classification of system, identification of the components, the type of faults, and the cause and phenomenon of the failure. Finally, the CBM system solution software could predict and diagnose the failure of main engine through integrated analysis for bid-data of ongoing ships and engineering knowledge. Through this study, it is possible to pro-actively cope with abnormal signals of engine and to manage efficiently, and as a result, expected that marine accident and ship operation loss during navigation will be prevented in advance.

  • PDF

Application of ETA(Event Tree Analysis) to the Performance-Based Design of fire protection (성능위주설계를 위한 ETA 기법 활용 고찰)

  • Kim, H.B.;Lee, S.K.;Song, D.W.;Kim, K.S.;Kim, J.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.454-457
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 소방시설의 성능위주의설계를 수행하기 위하여 ETA(Event Tree Analysis) 기법을 적용하는 방안을 고찰하였다. ETA기법에서는 화재시나리오를 사건(Event)의 인과관계로 된 각 단계의 사건으로 구성한다. 본 연구에서는 ETA에서 구성된 시나리오에 따른 심각도를 화재시뮬레이션과 피난 시뮬레이션을 통한 수행으로 사망자수를 도출하는 방안을 적용하였고, 각 시나리오의 빈도(확률)은 FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) 기법을 적용하여 분기 확률을 도출하도록 하였다. ETA에서 도출한 사망자수와 빈도를 이용하여 F-N 커브를 작성하여 위험도를 평가하여 소방설계의 보완 및 대책을 수립하는 방안을 제시하였다.

  • PDF

Reliability Evaluation for the Avionic Embedded System (항공용 임베디드 시스템 하드웨어 신뢰성 평가)

  • Kim, Byeong-Young;Lee, Dong-Woo;Na, Jong-Wha
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-26
    • /
    • 2009
  • Air Traffic Management (ATM) system requires extremely high reliability for the safe and dependable operations in the airport. This paper reports a study on the reliability of the prototype ATM hardware system including the servers and local area networks. Reliability Block Diagram and Fault Tree Analysis on the prototype ATM hardware were performed.

  • PDF

Analyses of Reliability for a Typical Solar Heating System (태양열 난방시설 신뢰도 평가 에 관한 연구)

  • 장광규;전문헌
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.241-248
    • /
    • 1983
  • In the present work a time-dependent reliability model for a typical solar domestic hot water and heating system is developed using the method of Fault Tree Analysis and existing mathematical techniques. The reference system used in this analysis is a typical solar heating system. The system reliability structure has been identified with the aid of Fault Tree methods. In addition, a simulation of the solar system reliability has been performed employing the Monte Carlo method. In the computer simulation, failure rate data such as WASH-1400, MIL-HDBK-217B, and Green and Bourne are used as input data. These results show that the developed reliability model is capable of expressing the primary failure phenomena of the solar heating and domestic hot water system.

A Qualitative Fault Tree Analysis to Emergency Engine Stop of KSR-III (KSR-III 비상엔진중단 상황에 대한 정성적 결함 트리 분석)

  • Shin, Myoung-Ho;Seo, Jin-Ho;Hong, Il-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2002.07d
    • /
    • pp.2574-2576
    • /
    • 2002
  • 본 논문에서는 가압형 액체 추진 로켓인 KSR-III의 위험도 관리에 Fault Tree Analysis (FTA)를 적용한다. 미니멀 컷 set과 같은 FTA 구조 분석 방법을 소개하고, KSR-III 비상엔진중단 상황에 대해 정성적 FTA를 적용한다. 정성적 FTA를 통해서 KSR-III 추진기관 시스템의 구조적 특성을 명확히 하고 비상엔진중단을 야기시키는 컴포넌트 레벨에서의 실패와 작동 시퀀스의 조합에서의 문제 등을 명확히 하였다.

  • PDF