• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure rate prediction

검색결과 193건 처리시간 0.026초

안전필수철도신호 선로전환기 제어모듈의 위험측고장률예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Dangerous Failure Rate Prediction of Point Machine for Railway Signalling Safety Critical System)

  • 박영수;이재호;신덕호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.1565-1567
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 듀얼듀플렉스구조로 설계된 한국형고속철도 열차제어시스템의 전자연동장치 선로전환기제어모듈에 대하여 안전성활동 체계에 따라 위험원을 도출하고 분석하여 선로전환기제어모듈에 대한 위험측고장률을 예측하였다. 시스템으로 인해 발생할 수 있는 리스크를 분석하여 리스크를 완화하기 위한 안전대책의 수준인 안전무결성레벨에서 제시하는 정량적인 기준을 만족하기 위한 위험측고장률예측을 선로전환기 제어모듈을 대상으로 연구하였다.

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ROSA/LSTF test and RELAP5 code analyses on PWR 1% vessel upper head small-break LOCA with accident management measure based on core exit temperature

  • Takeda, Takeshi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권8호
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    • pp.1412-1420
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    • 2018
  • An experiment was performed using the large-scale test facility (LSTF), which simulated a 1% vessel upper head small-break loss-of-coolant accident with an accident management (AM) measure under an assumption of total-failure of high-pressure injection (HPI) system in a pressurized water reactor (PWR). In the LSTF test, liquid level in the upper head affected break flow rate. Coolant was manually injected from the HPI system into cold legs as the AM measure when the maximum core exit temperature reached 623 K. The cladding surface temperature largely increased due to late and slow response of the core exit thermocouples. The AM measure was confirmed to be effective for the core cooling. The RELAP5/MOD3.3 code indicated insufficient prediction of primary coolant distribution. The author conducted uncertainty analysis for the LSTF test employing created phenomena identification and ranking table for each component. The author clarified that peak cladding temperature was largely dependent on the combination of multiple uncertain parameters within the defined uncertain ranges.

New method for dependence assessment in human reliability analysis based on linguistic hesitant fuzzy information

  • Zhang, Ling;Zhu, Yu-Jie;Hou, Lin-Xiu;Liu, Hu-Chen
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권11호
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    • pp.3675-3684
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    • 2021
  • Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a proactive approach to model and evaluate human systematic errors, and has been extensively applied in various complicated systems. Dependence assessment among human errors plays a key role in the HRA, which relies heavily on the knowledge and experience of experts in real-world cases. Moreover, there are ofthen different types of uncertainty when experts use linguistic labels to evaluate the dependencies between human failure events. In this context, this paper aims to develop a new method based on linguistic hesitant fuzzy sets and the technique for human error rate prediction (THERP) technique to manage the dependence in HRA. This method handles the linguistic assessments given by experts according to the linguistic hesitant fuzzy sets, determines the weights of influential factors by an extended best-worst method, and confirms the degree of dependence between successive actions based on the THERP method. Finally, the effectiveness and practicality of the presented linguistic hesitant fuzzy THERP method are demonstrated through an empirical healthcare dependence analysis.

Crack propagation in flexural fatigue of concrete using rheological-dynamical theory

  • Pancic, Aleksandar;Milasinovic, Dragan D.;Goles, Danica
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2021
  • The concrete fatigue analysis can be performed with the use of fracture mechanics. The fracture mechanics defines the fatigue crack propagation as the relationship of crack growth rate and stress intensity factor. In contrast to metal, the application of fracture mechanics to concrete is more complicated and therefore many authors have introduced empirical expressions using Paris law. The topic of this paper is development of a new prediction of fatigue crack propagation for concrete using rheological-dynamical analogy (RDA) and finite element method (FEM) in the frame of linear elastic fracture mechanics (LEFM). The static and cyclic fatigue three-point bending tests on notched beams are considered. Verification of the proposed approach was performed on the test results taken from the literature. The comparison between the theoretical model and experimental results indicates that the model proposed in this paper is valid to predict the crack propagation in flexural fatigue of concrete.

베어링 장해모니터링을 위한 변위트란스듀서 기술 (Displacement transducer technique for bearing health monitoring)

  • Kim, P.Y.
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1986
  • This paper describes a new, effective method developed at the National Research Council Canada for rolling element bearing incipient failure detection. This method can detect not only outer race damage, previously published, but also inner race damage with a 100% detection rate based on a sample size of 32. The prediction of the exact angular location of the damage spot along the raceway is illustrated and experimental confirmation is presented. For the first time, a statically measurable parameter for inner and outer race damage is introduced as a means of verifying other techniques which do not offer absolute proof, but resort only to "overwhelming evidence". A brief comparison with other methods such as Shock Pulse Method, Kurtosis Analysis and High Frequency Resonance Technique is presented. A computerized automatic monitoring system utilizing the new method is described and experimental results are presented.presented.

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텍스트 마이닝을 활용한 영화흥행 예측 연구 (Study on prediction for a film success using text mining)

  • 이상훈;조장식;강창완;최승배
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.1259-1269
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    • 2015
  • 최근 빅 데이터는 학계에서 키워드로 자리매김을 하고 있다. 빅 데이터의 유용성은 학계뿐만 아니라 정부, 지자체 그리고 기업체까지 파급되고 있고, 빅 데이터 속에서 유용한 정보를 도출해 내기 위해 노력하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 영화에 대한 리뷰를 가지고 텍스트 마이닝 (text mining)을 이용한 빅 데이터 분석을 수행한다. 본 연구의 목적은 포털 사이트 'D'사와 영화진흥위원회의 영화에 대한 리뷰 데이터, 그리고 고객들의 평점평균 (score)과 스크린 수 (screen number)를 설명변수로 사용하고, 영화 흥행 여부를 종속변수로 하여 로지스틱 회귀분석을 통한 영화 흥행 예측 모형을 제안하는 것이다. 분석결과, 본 연구에서 제안한 예측모형의 정분류율은 95.74%로 얻어졌다.

Computed tomographic assessment of retrograde urohydropropulsion in male dogs and prediction of stone composition using Hounsfield unit in dogs and cats

  • Bruwier, Aurelie;Godart, Benjamin;Gatel, Laure;Leperlier, Dimitri;Bedu, Anne-Sophie
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.65.1-65.10
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    • 2022
  • Background: Persistent uroliths after a cystotomy in dogs are a common cause of surgical failure. Objectives: This study examined the following: the success rate of retrograde urohydropropulsion in male dogs using non-enhanced computed tomography (CT), whether the CT mean beam attenuation values in Hounsfield Units (mHU) measured in vivo could predict the urolithiasis composition and whether the selected reconstruction kernel may influence the measured mHU. Methods: All dogs and cats that presented with lower urinary tract uroliths and had a non-enhanced CT preceding surgery were included. In male dogs, CT was performed after retrograde urohydropropulsion to detect the remaining urethral calculi. The percentage and location of persistent calculi were recorded. The images were reconstructed using three kernels, from smooth to ultrasharp, and the calculi mHU were measured. Results: Sixty-five patients were included in the study. The success rate of retrograde urohydropropulsion in the 45 male dogs was 55.6% and 86.7% at the first and second attempts, respectively. The predominant components of the calculi were cystine (20), struvite (15), calcium oxalate (8), and urate (7). The convolution kernel influenced the mHU values (p < 0.05). The difference in mHU regarding the calculus composition was better assessed using the smoother kernel. A mHU greater than 1,000 HU was predictive of calcium oxalate calculi. Conclusions: Non-enhanced CT is useful for controlling the success of retrograde urohydropropulsion. The mHU could allow a prediction of the calculus composition, particularly for calcium oxalate, which may help determine the therapeutic strategy.

철도차량의 전기식 출입문 시스템의 신뢰도 개선 방안 (Reliability Improvement Method of the Electrical Door System for the Railway Vehicles)

  • 양용준;이희성
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2015
  • 전기식 출입문 시스템은 철도차량 영업운전에 영향을 주는 가장 중요한 시스템 중의 하나이다. 도시철도차량의 출입문은 승객들의 승하차를 담당하는 장치로써 고장이 발생할 경우 승객의 안전과 직접적인 영향을 미치기 때문에 열차운행에 영향을 미치는 중요한 장치이다. 최근에는 전기식 출입문 시스템의 신뢰도 목표값을 철도운영자가 철도차량 설계와 제작을 위한 발주사양 기술 요구조건에 포함하는 경향이 있으며, 차량 제작자는 제작시 발주사양기술 요구조건에서 철도운영자가 제시한 전기식 출입문 시스템의 신뢰도 목표값을 만족시켜야 하고, 철도운영자는 유지보수 데이터를 기반으로 공급자의 신뢰도 목표값 달성여부를 확인하고 승인하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 전기식 출입문 시스템의 유지보수 현장 데이터를 수집하여 신뢰도를 미니탭 통계프로그램으로 분석하였다. 현장 데이터를 적용한 신뢰도 분석은 철도차량에 대한 새로운 유지보수 정책이나 유지보수 주기를 바꾸는데 매우 유용할 것이다.

Clinical and Imaging Parameters Associated With Impaired Kidney Function in Patients With Acute Decompensated Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

  • In-Jeong Cho;Sang-Eun Lee;Dong-Hyeok Kim;Wook Bum Pyun
    • Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2023
  • BACKGROUND: Acute worsening of cardiac function frequently leads to kidney dysfunction. This study aimed to identify clinical and imaging parameters associated with impaired kidney function in patients with acute decompensated heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). METHODS: Data from 131 patients hospitalized with acute decompensated HFrEF (left ventricular ejection fraction, < 40%) were analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups according to the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) at admission (those with preserved kidney function [GFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2] and those with reduced kidney function [GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2]). Various echocardiographic parameters and perirenal fat thicknesses were assessed by computed tomography. RESULTS: There were 71 patients with preserved kidney function and 60 patients with reduced kidney function. Increased age (odds ratio [OR], 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.12; p = 0.005), increased log N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.14-2.66; p = 0.010), and increased perirenal fat thickness (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.10-1.29; p < 0.001) were independently associated with reduced kidney function, even after adjusting for variable clinical and echocardiographic parameters. The optimal average perirenal fat thickness cut-off value of > 12 mm had a sensitivity of 55% and specificity of 83% for kidney dysfunction prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Thick perirenal fat was independently associated with impaired kidney function in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated HFrEF. Measurement of perirenal fat thickness may be a promising imaging marker for the detection of HFrEF patients who are more susceptible to kidney dysfunction.

PRF, MUF 집성재의 휨 강도와 접착 성능 평가 (The Bending Strength and Adhesive Properties of PRF and MUF Glulam)

  • 박준철;김건호;홍순일
    • 한국가구학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2004
  • As glulam is a woody material, it is necessary to be more careful in a gluing process. It takes 6-7 hours at $40-60^{\circ}C$ to harden PRF resin used in making structural glulam, and about 24 hours at room temperature. In the present process which can not use a press continuously, reducing the hardening time is necessary to increase production. The experiment was done to compare the adhesive properties of PRF resin and MUF resin through bending test, block shear strength test and water soaking test. In comparing the bending strength of prediction MOE is 1.2 times higher that actual MOE. PRF and MUF do not show significant difference in MOE and MOR, and in block shear strength test, such as shear strength and wood failure rate. However, in water soaking and boiling water soaking tests PRF and MUF show the significant difference in delamination rate.

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