• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Rate Model

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Optimization of Cost and Downtime for Periodic PM Model Following the Expiration of Warranty

  • Jung, Ki-Mun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2008
  • This paper develops the optimal periodic preventive maintenance policies following the expiration of warranty: renewing warranty and non-renewing warranty. After the warranty period is expired, the system undergoes the PM periodically and is minimally repaired at each failure between two successive PMs. Firstly, we determine the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time for the periodic PM model. Then the overall value function suggested by Jiang and Ji(2002) is applied to obtain the optimal PM period and the optimal PM number. Finally, the numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

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A Bayesian approach to maintenance strategy for non-renewing free replacement-repair warranty

  • Jung, K.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2011
  • This paper considers the maintenance model suggested by Jung and Park (2010) to adopt the Bayesian approach and obtain an optimal replacement policy following the expiration of NFRRW. As the criteria to determine the optimal maintenance period, we use the expected cost during the life cycle of the system. When the failure times are assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters, we propose an optimal maintenance policy based on the Bayesian approach. Also, we describe the revision of uncertainty about parameters in the light of data observed. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

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Bayesian Testing for the Shape Parameter of Gamma Distribution : An Encompassing Approach

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.861-870
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    • 2005
  • The Bayesian model selection procedures for the shape parameter of gamma distribution are proposed in order to test that the failure rate of gamma distribution is constant, increasing or decreasing. The encompassing intrinsic Bayes factor by Beger and Pericchi (1996) based on Jeffreys prior for shape parameter is used to investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian model selection procedures via both real data and pseudo data.

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Optimal Burn-In under Warranty

  • Kim, Kuinam-J;Park, Chi-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 1999
  • This paper discusses an optimal burn-in procedure to minimize total costs based on the assumption that the failure rate pattern follows a bimodal mixed Weibull distribution. The procedure will consider warranty period as a factor of the total expected bum-in cost. A cost model is formulated to find the optimal burn-in time that minimizes the expected burn-in cost. Conditional reliability for warranty period will be discussed. An illustrative example is included to show how to use the cost model in practice.

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Estimation of Freund model under censored data

  • Cho, Kil-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.403-409
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    • 2012
  • We consider a life testing experiment in which several two-component shared parallel systems are put on test, and the test is terminated at a predesigned experiment time. In this thesis, the maximum likelihood estimators for parameters of Freund's bivariate exponential distribution under the system level life testing are obtained. Results of comparative studies based on Monte Carlo simulation are presented.

Optimal Burn-In under Waranty

  • Kim, Kui-Nam;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 1999
  • This paper discusses an optimal burn-in procedure to minimize total costs based on the assumption that the failure rate pattern follows a bimodal mixed Weibull distribution. The procedure will consider warranty period as a factor of the total expected burn-in cost. A cost model is formulated to find the optimal burn-in time that minimizes the expected burn-in cost. Conditional reliability for warranty period will be discussed. An illustrative example is included to show how to use the cost model in prctice.

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Deterioration Prediction Model of Water Pipes Using Fuzzy Techniques (퍼지기법을 이용한 상수관로의 노후도예측 모델 연구)

  • Choi, Taeho;Choi, Min-ah;Lee, Hyundong;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2016
  • Pipe Deterioration Prediction (PDP) and Pipe Failure Risk Prediction (PFRP) models were developed in an attempt to predict the deterioration and failure risk in water mains using fuzzy technique and the markov process. These two models were used to determine the priority in repair and replacement, by predicting the deterioration degree, deterioration rate, failure possibility and remaining life in a study sample comprising 32 water mains. From an analysis approach based on conservative risk with a medium policy risk, the remaining life for 30 of the 32 water mains was less than 5 years for 2 mains (7%), 5-10 years for 8 (27%), 10-15 years for 7 (23%), 15-20 years for 5 (17%), 20-25 years for 5 (17%), and 25 years or more for 2 (7%).

Numerical simulation of the effect of bedding layer geometrical properties on the punch shear test using PFC3D

  • Haeri, Hadi;Sarfarazi, Vahab;Zhu, Zheming
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.68 no.4
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2018
  • In this research the effect of bedding layer angle and bedding layer thickness on the shear failure mechanism of concrete has been investigated using PFC3D. For this purpose, firstly calibration of PFC3d was performed using Brazilian tensile strength. Secondly punch shear test was performed on the bedding layer. Thickness of layers were 5 mm, 10 mm and 20 mm. in each thickness layer, layer angles changes from $0^{\circ}$ to $90^{\circ}$ with increment of $25^{\circ}$. Totally 15 model were simulated and tested by loading rate of 0.016 mm/s. The results show that when layer angle is less than $50^{\circ}$, tensile cracks initiates between the layers and propagate till coalesce with model boundary. Its trace is too high. With increasing the layer angle, less layer mobilizes in failure process. Also, the failure trace is very short. It's to be note that number of cracks decrease with increasing the layer thickness. The minimum shear punch test strength was occurred when layer angle is more than $50^{\circ}$. The maximum value occurred in $0^{\circ}$. Also, the shear punch test tensile strength was increased by increasing the layer thickness.

Formability Evaluation of Advanced High-strength Steel Sheets in Role Expansion Based on Combined Continuum-Fracture Mechanics (복합 연속체 파괴 역학에 기초한 초고강도강 판재의 구멍 넓힘 시험 성형성 평가)

  • Ma, N.;Park, T.;Kim, D.;Yoo, D.;Kim, Chong-Min;Chung, K.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.227-230
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    • 2009
  • In order to predict failure behavior of advanced high-strength steel sheets (AHSS) in hole expansion tests, damage model was developed considering surface condition sensitivity (with specimens prepared by milling and punching: 340R, TRIP590, TWIP940). To account for the micro-damage initiation and evolution as well as macro-crack formation, the stress triaxiality dependent fracture criterion and rate-dependent hardening and ultimate softening behavior were characterized by performing numerical simulations and experiments for the simple tension and V-notch tests. The developed damage model and the characterized mechanical property were incorporated into the FE program ABAQUS/Explicit to perform hole expansion simulations, which showed good agreement with experiments.

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Implementation of Prediction Program for Deterioration Judgment on Substation Power Systems in Urban Railway (도시철도 전력설비의 노후화 판단을 위한 예측 프로그램 구현)

  • Jung, Ho-Sung;Park, Young;Kang, Hyun-Il
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.6
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    • pp.881-885
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we present a deterioration judgment model of urban rail power equipment using driving history, the frequency and number of failures. In addition, we have developed a deterioration judgment program based on the derived failure rate. A deterioration judgment model of power equipments on metro system was designed to establish how much environmental factors, such as thermal cycling, humidity, overvoltage and partial discharge. The deterioration rate of the transformers followed the Arrhenius log life versus reciprocal Kelvin temperature (hotspot temperature) relation. The deterioration judgment program is linked to the online condition monitoring system of urban railway system. The deterioration judgment program is based on the user interface it is possible to apply immediately to the urban rail power equipment.