• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Rate Model

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Engine Fault Diagnosis Using Sound Source Analysis Based on Hidden Markov Model (HMM기반 소음분석에 의한 엔진고장 진단기법)

  • Le, Tran Su;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39A no.5
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    • pp.244-250
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    • 2014
  • The Most Serious Engine Faults Are Those That Occur Within The Engine. Traditional Engine Fault Diagnosis Is Highly Dependent On The Engineer'S Technical Skills And Has A High Failure Rate. Neural Networks And Support Vector Machine Were Proposed For Use In A Diagnosis Model. In This Paper, Noisy Sound From Faulty Engines Was Represented By The Mel Frequency Cepstrum Coefficients, Zero Crossing Rate, Mean Square And Fundamental Frequency Features, Are Used In The Hidden Markov Model For Diagnosis. Our Experimental Results Indicate That The Proposed Method Performs The Diagnosis With A High Accuracy Rate Of About 98% For All Eight Fault Types.

The Assessing Comparative Study for Statistical Process Control of Software Reliability Model Based on Musa-Okumo and Power-law Type (Musa-Okumoto와 Power-law형 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 통계적 공정관리 접근방법 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.483-490
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    • 2015
  • There are many software reliability models that are based on the times of occurrences of errors in the debugging of software. It is shown that it is possible to do likelihood inference for software reliability models based on finite failure model and non-homogeneous Poisson Processes (NHPP). For someone making a decision about when to market software, the conditional failure rate is an important variables. The infinite failure model are used in a wide variety of practical situations. Their use in characterization problems, detection of outlier, linear estimation, study of system reliability, life-testing, survival analysis, data compression and many other fields can be seen from the many study. Statistical process control (SPC) can monitor the forecasting of software failure and thereby contribute significantly to the improvement of software reliability. Control charts are widely used for software process control in the software industry. In this paper, proposed a control mechanism based on NHPP using mean value function of Musa-Okumo and Power law type property.

A Tensile Criterion to Minimize FE Mesh-Dependency in Concrete Beam under Blast Loading (폭발하중을 받는 콘크리트 보의 요소의존성 최소화 인장기준식)

  • Kwak, Hyo-Gyoung;Gang, HanGul
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2017
  • A tensile failure criterion that can minimize the mesh-dependency of simulation results on the basis of the fracture energy concept is introduced, and conventional plasticity based damage models for concrete such as CSC model and HJC model, which are generally used for the blast analyses of concrete structures, are compared with orthotropic model in blast test to verify the proposed criterion. The numerical prediction of the time-displacement relations in mid span of the beam during blast loading are compared with experimental results. Analytical results show that the numerical error is substantially reduced and the accuracy of numerical results is improved by applying a unique failure strain value determined according to the proposed criterion.

Prediction of Internal Tube Bundle Failure in High Pressure Feedwater Heater for a Power Generation Boiler by the Operating Record Monitoring (운전기록 모니터링에 의한 발전보일러용 고압 급수가열기 내부 튜브의 파손예측)

  • Kim, Kyeong-seob;Yoo, Hoseon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the failure analysis of the internal tube occurred in the high pressure feedwater heater for power generation boiler of 500 MW supercritical pressure coal fired power plant was investigated. I suggested a prediction model that can diagnose internal tube failure by changing the position of level control valve on the shell side and the suction flow rate of the boiler feedwater pump. The suggested prediction model is demonstrated through additional cases of feedwater system unbalance. The simultaneous comparison of the shell side level control valve position and the suction flow rate of the boiler feedwater pump compared to the normal operating state value, even in the case of the high pressure feedwater heater for the power boiler, It can be a powerful prediction diagnosis.

A combined experimental and numerical study on the plastic damage in microalloyed Q345 steels

  • Li, Bin;Mi, Changwen
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.72 no.3
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    • pp.313-327
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    • 2019
  • Damage evolution in the form of void nucleation, propagation and coalescence is the primary cause that is responsible for the ductile failure of microalloyed steels. The Gurson-Tvergaard-Needleman (GTN) damage model has proven to be extremely robust for characterizing the microscopic damage behavior of ductile metals. Nonetheless, successful applications of the model on a given metal type are limited by the correct identification of damage parameters as well as the validation of the calculated void growth rate. The purpose of this study is two-fold. First, we aim to identify the damage parameters of the GTN model for Q345 steel (Chinese code), due to its extensive application in mechanical and civil industries in China. The identification of damage parameters is facilitated by the well-suited response surface methodology, followed by a complete analysis of variance for evaluating the statistical significance of the identified model. Second, taking notched Q345 cylinders as an example, finite element simulations implemented with the identified GTN model are performed in order to analyze their microscopic damage behavior. In particular, the void growth rate predicted from the simulations is successfully correlated with experimentally measured acoustic emissions. The quantitative correlation suggests that during the yielding stage the void growth rate increases linearly with the acoustic emissions, while in the strain-hardening and softening period the dependence becomes an exponential function. The combined experimental and finite element approach provides a means for validating simulated void growth rate against experimental measurements of acoustic emissions in microalloyed steels.

The Designs for Prediction of Future Reliability Using the Stochastic Reliabilit

  • Oh, Chung-Hwan;Kim, Bok-Mahn
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.131-139
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    • 1993
  • The newly proposed model of the future reliability results in earlier fault-fixes having a greater effect than the fault which make the greatest contribution to the overall failure rate tend to show themselves earlier, and so are fixed earlier. The suggested model allows a variety of reliability measures to be calculated. Predictions of total execution time(debugging time) is to achieve a target reliability. This model could also apply to computer-hardware reliability growth resulting from the elimination of design error and fault.

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Revisiting exponential stress corrosion model

  • Elishakoff, Isaac;Miglis, Yohann
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2011
  • One of the prevailing models that describe the stress corrosion is represented by an exponential dependence between rate of corrosion and stress, suggested by Gutman, Zainullin and Zuripov. This study revisits the exponential model and derives analytical expressions for the structures' durability which is postulated as the time for stress level to reach its yield value. Comparison is conducted with other possible models, namely with linear, quadratic or cubic cases.

Software Reliability Prediction On Piecewise Weibull Failure Rate Model(PWFRM) and S-shaped Reliability Growth Model(SRGM) (다구간 와이불 고장율 모형과 S자 신뢰도 성장모형에 대한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 예측)

  • Jong-Man Park;Soo-Il Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.33
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    • pp.119-122
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    • 1995
  • Application of the PWFRM and SRGM for software reliability Prediction offers not only the judging base of model but also themselves with good applicabilty as easy-to-use tool.

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Prediction of TBM disc cutter wear based on field parameters regression analysis

  • Lei She;Yan-long Li;Chao Wang;She-rong Zhang;Sun-wen He;Wen-jie Liu;Min Du;Shi-min Li
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.647-663
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    • 2023
  • The investigation of the disc cutter wear prediction has an important guiding role in TBM equipment selection, project planning, and cost forecasting, especially when tunneling in a long-distance rock formations with high strength and high abrasivity. In this study, a comprehensive database of disc cutter wear data, geological properties, and tunneling parameters is obtained from a 1326 m excavated metro tunnel project in leptynite in Shenzhen, China. The failure forms and wear consumption of disc cutters on site are analyzed with emphasis. The results showed that 81% of disc cutters fail due to uniform wear, and other cutters are replaced owing to abnormal wear, especially flat wear of the cutter rings. In addition, it is found that there is a reasonable direct proportional relationship between the uniform wear rate (WR) and the installation radius (R), and the coefficient depends on geological characteristics and tunneling parameters. Thus, a preliminary prediction formula of the uniform wear rate, based on the installation radius of the cutterhead, was established. The correlation between some important geological properties (KV and UCS) along with some tunneling parameters (Fn and p) and wear rate was discussed using regression analysis methods, and several prediction models for uniform wear rate were developed. Compared with a single variable, the multivariable model shows better prediction ability, and 89% of WR can be accurately estimated. The prediction model has reliability and provides a practical tool for wear prediction of disc cutter under similar hard rock projects with similar geological conditions.

A Reliability Evaluation Model for the Power Devices Used in Power Converter Systems Considering the Effect of the Different Time Scales of the Wind Speed Profile

  • Ji, Haiting;Li, Hui;Li, Yang;Yang, Li;Lei, Guoping;Xiao, Hongwei;Zhao, Jie;Shi, Lefeng
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.685-694
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a reliability assessment model for the power semiconductors used in wind turbine power converters. In this study, the thermal loadings at different timescales of wind speed are considered. First, in order to address the influence of long-term thermal cycling caused by variations in wind speed, the power converter operation state is partitioned into different phases in terms of average wind speed and wind turbulence. Therefore, the contributions can be considered separately. Then, in regards to the reliability assessment caused by short-term thermal cycling, the wind profile is converted to a wind speed distribution, and the contribution of different wind speeds to the final failure rate is accumulated. Finally, the reliability of an actual power converter semiconductor for a 2.5 MW wind turbine is assessed, and the failure rates induced by different timescale thermal behavior patterns are compared. The effects of various parameters such as cut-in, rated, cut-out wind speed on the failure rate of power devices are also analyzed based on the proposed model.