• 제목/요약/키워드: Factor Portfolio

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Relationship between Accrual Anomaly and Stock Return: The Case of Vietnam

  • DANG, Hung Ngoc;TRAN, Dung Manh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • The study investigates the impact of accrual anomaly on stock return ratio of listed firms in Vietnam. Data were collected from listed firms for the period from 2008 to 2018. To learn about the causes of accrual anomaly in returns and future rate of returns on the Vietnamese stock market, this research is based on accrual analysis of Richardson, Sloan, Soliman, and Tuna (2006) on growth and effective components. We employ GLS regression model for examining the impact of accrual anomaly on stock return ratio and T-test for checking the difference between the lowest and the highest portfolio. The results show that accounting distortion is the main factor impacting the stock return, not growth determinant. Both two determinants of accounting distortion and growth contribute the explanation of the impact of accrual anomaly on profit and future stock return ratio. Experimental evidence confirms an abnormal existence of accrual in the Vietnam stock market. Aggregate accrual is negatively correlated with future operating profit and future stock return. However, after considering the factors contributing to the impact of future profitability and return on stock returns, the study results show that accounting distortion can account for low sustainability of income that is not growth.

Nominal Price Anomaly in Emerging Markets: Risk or Mispricing?

  • HOANG, Lai Trung;PHAN, Trang Thu;TA, Linh Nhat
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the nominal price anomaly in the Vietnamese stock market, that is, whether stocks with low nominal price outperform stocks with high nominal price. Using a sample of all 351 companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) from June 2009 to March 2018, we confirm our hypothesis and document that cheaper stocks yield higher subsequent abnormal returns. The results are robust after controlling for various stock characteristics that have been documented to be value-relevant in prior literature, including firm size, book-to-market ratio, intermediate-term momentum, short-term reversal, skewness, market risk, idiosyncratic risk, illiquidity and extreme daily returns, using both the portfolio analysis and the Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression. The negative effect persists in the long term (i.e., after up to 12 months), implying a slow adjustment of stock prices to their intrinsic value. Further analysis show that the observed nominal price anomaly is mainly driven by mispricing but not a latent risk factor proxied by stock price, thus the observed anomaly reflects a mispricing but not a fundamental risk. The study highlights the irrational behaviour of investors and market inefficiency in the Vietnamese stock market and provides important implication for investors in the market.

Differentiated B2B Marketing Strategy of Dongwon Systems, the No.1 Packaging Solution Company in Korea

  • Jun, Mina;Kim, Sang Yong;Lee, Janghyuk;Koo, Kay Ryung
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2018
  • Dongwon Systems established in 1977 to exclusively supply Dongwon tuna cans, the parent company. Instead of its stable management and profits by relying on the parent company, the company was not complacent and started innovating and challenging new markets. Dongwon Systems decided to expand the business area and pioneer new markets so that it becomes the first domestic company to successfully expand into independent businesses other than parent company products. Such success of Dongwon Systems was driven by its differentiated B2B strategies. Unlike the characteristics of usual B2B companies, Dongwon Systems has been thinking both of its client companies and end-consumers. In this case-study, we will explore how Dongwon Systems became the No.1 packaging solution company in Korea through technology innovation in the aspects of unique B2B marketing strategy. The key success factor can be summarized in three ways; product and technology development with customer centric mind-set, systematically extending new markets through business diversification, and marking Southeast Asia as a bridgehead for its global strategy. It is expected that the current case study of Dongwon Systems will be able to provide implications for B2C companies as well as B2B companies that try to expand their business portfolio and global business areas through B2B marketing case analysis.

Word2vec 기반의 기술융합기회 발굴 연구: 웨어러블 기술사례를 중심으로 (Identifying Technology Convergence Opportunities Based on Word2Vec: The Case of Wearable Technology)

  • 박진우;송지훈
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 2023
  • As technology convergence is recognized as a driver of innovation, the identification of technology convergence opportunities is critical to expanding a firm's technology portfolio. Recently, wearable technology has emerged as an important factor in creating new business opportunities and providing technology investment alternatives for firms in the era of Industry 4.0. Against this background, this study provides a new patent analysis framework for identifying and proposing technology convergence opportunities in the wearable field. Using 8,621 patents filed between 2011 and 2021, a case study was conducted to identify technological convergence opportunities by applying Word2Vec algorithm. The analysis framework can be divided into four stages, with the final stage recommending potential technology convergence opportunities for a specific candidate firm's technology area by calculating similarities between technology codes. This study aims to better understand the current status of wearable technology development as well as to propose a new methodology for capturing technology convergence opportunities in the wearable industry. The case study result suggests that the convergence of healthcare and ICT may provide new development opportunities. Furthermore, the results are expected to provide alternative perspectives on the development of new markets and technologies using wearable technology and can support the strategic decision-making on future technology planning in the wearable field.

장기소비 위험을 이용한 통화포트폴리오 수익률에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Long-Run Consumption Risk in Foreign Currency Risk Premia)

  • 유원석;손삼호
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to suggest a risk factor that significantly explains foreign currency risk premia. In recent years, some studies have found that the performance of the simultaneous consumption risk model improves considerably when tested on foreign currency portfolios, which are constructed based on the international interest rates differentials. However, this paper focuses on the long-run consumption risk factor. In our empirical research, we found that the real excess returns of high interest rate currency portfolios depreciate on average, when the future American long-run consumption growth rate appears low. This makes the high interest rate currency portfolios have relatively high risk premia. Meanwhile, the real excess returns of low interest rate currency portfolios appreciate on average, under the same conditions, which results in relatively low risk premia for these portfolios. Therefore, this long-run consumption risk factor might explain why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential, and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. Research design, data, methodology - In our explanation, we provide new evidence on the success of long-run consumption risks in currency risk premia by focusing on the long-run consumption risks borne by American representative investors. To uncover the hidden link between exchange rates and long-run consumption growth, we set the eight currency portfolios as our basic assets, which have been built based on the foreign interest rates of eighty countries. As these eight currency portfolios are rebalanced every year, the first group always contains the lowest interest rate currencies, and the last group contains the highest interest rate currencies. Against these basic eight currency portfolios, we estimate the long-run consumption risk model. We use recursive utility framework and the stochastic discount factor that depends on the present value of expected future consumption growth rates. We find that our model is optimized in the two-year period of constructing the durable consumption expectation factor. Our main results surprisingly surpass the performance of the existing benchmark simultaneous consumption model in terms of R2, relatively risk aversion coefficient γ, and p-value of J-test. Results - The performance of our model is superior. R2, relatively risk aversion coefficient γ, and p-value of J-test of our long-run durable consumption model are 90%, 93%, and 65.5%, respectively, while those of EZ-DCAPM are 87%, 113%, and 62.8%, respectively. Thus, we can speculate that the risk premia in foreign currency markets have been determined by the long-run consumption risk. Conclusions - The aggregate long-run consumption growth risk explains a large part of the average change in the real excess returns of foreign currency portfolios. The real excess returns of high interest rate currency portfolios depreciate on average when American long-run consumption growth rate is low, and the real excess returns of low interest rate currency portfolios appreciate under the same conditions. Thus, the low interest rate currency portfolios allow investors to hedge against aggregate long-run consumption growth risk.

신용등급 전이행렬을 활용한 위기상황분석에 관한 실증분석 (Empirical Analysis on the Stress Test Using Credit Migration Matrix)

  • 김우환
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.253-268
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 우리나라 기업의 신용등급 전이행렬을 활용하여 부도율과 신용 등급 전이에 내재된 체계적 요인을 추출하는 방법을 소개하고, 이률 활용한 위기상황분석에 관한 연구를 수행하였다. 본 논문의 주요 발견은 등급전이행렬에 내재된 체계적 요인의 변동은 경기 동행성이 뚜렷하고, 실제 경기 변동을 설명하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 특히, 투자적격등급과 투기등급별로 경기에 반응하는 속도가 상당히 다르다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 신용등급 전이행렬에 내재된 체계적 위험을 고려한 위기상황분석은 부도확률에만 초점을 맞추는 방법에 비해 위기상황에 대한 포트폴리오의 변화를 파악할 수 있기 때문에 개념적으로 우월하고, 분석 결과 등급 전이를 고려한 위기상황분석이 부도확률만을 고려하는 방법에 비해 예상손실에 상당한 차이가 있음을 발견하였다.

Approaches for Developing National STI Strategies

  • Meissner, Dirk
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.34-56
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    • 2014
  • This paper reviews the most central analytical and methodological issues that arise in developing national STI strategies. First, an outline of the relationship between national innovation systems and the strategic dimension is presented. The paper shows that science, technology and innovation strategy are often used in different forms and that there is no common understanding yet of the actual meaning and coverage of these strategies. The paper develops the terminology from a discussion of different approaches towards company innovation processes analyzing their evolution in different socioeconomic environments and the role and impact of science, technology and innovation policy on company innovation processes. Based on this conceptual understanding the paper defines national science, technology, innovation, and STI strategy and explains the basic terminology. From these definitions, the strategic dimension including the impact on the stakeholders is discussed. It is shown that a major success factor for STI strategy development is the involvement of stakeholders to vary and extend their use of their portfolio of instruments. Moreover it becomes evident that stakeholders follow their own interests which aren't necessarily in the interest of the national STI strategies. The analysis shows advantages and disadvantages as well as potentials and limitations of different approaches to develop STI strategies in their ability to describe the reality of innovation processes and to allow conclusions about the relationship between innovation policy and the innovation processes implemented by companies. It is shown that knowledge of these limitations is an important factor to consider in designing consistent and coherent national STI policy which aims at supporting innovation eventually. Finally the paper concludes that the STI policy mix concept needs a more systemic development approach which is integrated in the national STI strategy development and implementation.

한국주식시장의 고유변동성 퍼즐과 투자자별 거래량 (Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle Explained by Individual Traders in Korea Stock Market)

  • 정유라;유시용
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.6511-6516
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 한국주식시장의 고유변동성퍼즐 현상과 투자자별 거래량에 관하여 분석하였다. 먼저 1999년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지 한국거래소에 상장된 주식들을 FF-3요인 모형으로 고유변동성을 추정하고, 투자자별 순매수와 고유변동성을 기준으로 포트폴리오를 구성하였다. 유가증권(KRX)과 코스닥(KOSDAQ)을 포함시켜 1999년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지의 일별과 월별 자료를 사용하여 분석하였다. 투자자는 개인, 기관, 그리고 외국인으로 구분하였다. 결과, 고유변동성과 알파값(혹은 초과수익률) 간에 부(-)의 관계를 나타내는 고유변동성퍼즐 현상이 뚜렷하게 나타난 특정 포트폴리오들이 발견되었다. 특히 개인투자자의 순매수를 기준으로 분류한 포트폴리오의 경우, 최상위 순매수 포트폴리오들이 뚜렷한 고유변동성퍼즐 현상을 보였다. 그리고 기관 및 외국인의 경우, 최하위 순매수 포트폴리오들에서 고유변동성퍼즐 현상이 나타났다. 따라서, 국내 주식시장에서 개인투자자의 주식거래가 압도적으로 많은 상황에서, 고유변동성퍼즐은 주로 개인투자자에 의해서 발생했다고 할 수 있다.

커버되지 않은 이자율평가에 대한 실증연구 (A Study on Uncovered Interest Rate Parity : Revisited)

  • 이재기
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.3-16
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 한미 및 한일경제 간에 커버되지 않은 이자율평가에 대한 실증연구를 수행한다. 환율결정에 대한 화폐 및 자산균형모델의 예측이 이 경우에 성립되는지를 중점적으로 분석한다. 화폐 및 자산균형모델과 같은 대부분의 환율결정이론은 환율의 예측에 있어서 정확하지 못한 것이 사실이다. 그러나 이러한 사실에도 불구하고 실질환율과 실질이자율차이 사이에는 강력한 관계가 존재한다고 논의되어 왔다. 그러므로 한미, 한일경제에 있어서 이들 두 변수 간에 강력한 상응관계가 존재하는지의 여부를 조사하는 것은 중요하다. 한미, 한일경제 간의 실질환율과 실질이자율차이 사이의 관계는 공적분 테스트를 통해 분석될 수 있다. 실증결과는 화폐적 변동, 즉 이자율의 차이가 조사기간 동안 환율의 변동을 잘 설명하지 못하고 있음을 나타낸다. 또한, 이들 두 변수 간에 공적분이 성립되지 않음은 두 변수의 비정상성을 야기하는 충격이 동일하지 않다는 것을 나타낸다.

Effects of Product Number and Brand Breadth on the Evaluations of an Extended Product

  • Yeu, Minsun;Yuk, Hyeyeon;Kim, Boha;Yoo, Jung-Hyun;Cho, Seong Wan;Yeo, Junsang;Park, Chan Su
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2013
  • This paper was motivated by two gaps in the extant literature on brand portfolio planning. First, research has shown that, as the number of products connected to a brand increases, the extended product receives more favorable evaluations. However, this result was obtained by comparing two brands with different number of products while controlling the brands' breadths. Hence one may question if the above result would hold when the brand is narrow as well as broad. Second, the literature has investigated the effect of brand breadth on the perceived fit and evaluations of an extended product within a relatively limited range ("narrow vs. broad") and not considered the case of a "very broad" brand. To address these gaps, we propose two hypotheses: 1) the effects of the number of products associated with a brand on the perceived fit and evaluations of a moderately far brand extension are moderated by the brand's breadth (H1); and 2) the relationship between a brand's breadth and a moderately far extension's perceived fit and evaluations looks like an inverse-U shape (H2). Study 1 was conducted to test H1. Study 1 employed a 2 × 2 within-subjects design in which the first factor was the number of products (small (2) or large (5)), and the second factor was brand breadth (narrow or broad). We measured brand breadth as the perceived similarity among products associated with a brand. Participants provided the perceived fit and evaluations of an extended product. Study 2 was conducted to test H2 as well as to replicate Study 1 in a more general setting and with different products. It employed a 2 × 3 within-subjects design, in which the first factor was the number of products (small (2) or large (5)), and the second factor was brand breadth (narrow, broad, or very broad). The results from two experiments support both hypotheses. This paper contributes to the literature on brand extensions in two ways. First, it broadens our understanding of the effects of product number and brand breadth on extended product evaluations by considering the two factors jointly. Second, we believe this study to be the first to present evidence that brand breadth can exert an inverted U-shape effect on the perceived fit and evaluations of an extended product. The results also offer implications for marketers. First, marketers should heed the finding that adding similar products to a narrow brand does not help the brand's extension launch. Second, the finding that the relationship between brand breadth and extended product evaluations might not be linear provides practical implications. While a narrow brand should not keep launching close extensions, nor should a broad brand continue producing far extensions to broaden its breadth. A firm with a broad corporate or family brand might want to consider introducing a new brand instead of adding dissimilar products under the brand umbrella.

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