• Title/Summary/Keyword: FUND Model

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Supremacy of Realized Variance MIDAS Regression in Volatility Forecasting of Mutual Funds: Empirical Evidence From Malaysia

  • WAN, Cheong Kin;CHOO, Wei Chong;HO, Jen Sim;ZHANG, Yuruixian
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2022
  • Combining the strength of both Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) Regression and realized variance measures, this paper seeks to investigate two objectives: (1) evaluate the post-sample performance of the proposed weekly Realized Variance-MIDAS (RVar-MIDAS) in one-week ahead volatility forecasting against the established Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and the less explored but robust STES (Smooth Transition Exponential Smoothing) methods. (2) comparing forecast error performance between realized variance and squared residuals measures as a proxy for actual volatility. Data of seven private equity mutual fund indices (generated from 57 individual funds) from two different time periods (with and without financial crisis) are applied to 21 models. Robustness of the post-sample volatility forecasting of all models is validated by the Model Confidence Set (MCS) Procedures and revealed: (1) The weekly RVar-MIDAS model emerged as the best model, outperformed the robust DAILY-STES methods, and the weekly DAILY-GARCH models, particularly during a volatile period. (2) models with realized variance measured in estimation and as a proxy for actual volatility outperformed those using squared residual. This study contributes an empirical approach to one-week ahead volatility forecasting of mutual funds return, which is less explored in past literature on financial volatility forecasting compared to stocks volatility.

Assessment of the Willingness to Pay for Forest Management in the Upstream for Water Quality Improvement within the Han River Watershed (수질개선을 위한 한강 수계 상류지역 산림관리 지불의사금액 추정)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Chul-Sang;Lee, Ho-Sang;Park, Kyung-Seok;Mun, Ji-Min;Jeon, Hyon-Sun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.49-72
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    • 2015
  • Forests in the upstream contributed to improve the quality of water resources for the residents downstream. However, upon structural examination of how the Han River Watershed Management Fund was spent, it became apparent that the fund was not spent toward forest management in the upstream. An additional budget must be allocated if the Watershed Management Committee is to contribute to the management of the upstream forests with such awareness. Therefore, the aim of the study was to assess the willingness to pay and to calculate of budget for forest management in the upstream for water quality improvement. Three hundred surveys on watershed beneficiaries were conducted using biased sampling method. The result was analyzed with conditional logit model and mixed logit model. Forest management, a target variable, was found to have statistical significance. Based on this result, the size of the expected budget was estimated to be minimum 20,526 million won to maximum 20,928 million won.

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R&D Funding and R&D Performance : The Moderating Effect of Indirect R&D Cost Ratio (연구비 재원과 연구개발성과 : 간접비 비율의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Joonbeom
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.420-453
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    • 2018
  • In the growth of the government's investment in national R&D project and the abuse of research expense, an effective control and management mechanism is strongly demanded. However, an excessive regulation might hinder the R&D performance, which also endangers the underlying objective of R&D policy. Especially, an excessive regulation on the R&D expenditure may damage the SMEs (Small and Medium sized Enterprises) where securing an adequate level of R&D funding is vital. This study investigates the R&D funding and R&D performance of SMEs participating in the national R&D project by using fixed effect panel model. As a result, this paper reveals the effectiveness of 'Government R&D subsidy'. However, that of 'private R&D fund' is not supported strongly. Also, this paper empirically demonstrates the efficiency of both 'Government R&D subsidy' and 'Private R&D fund' as the R&D costs are spent discretionarily (as the degree of 'Indirect Cost Ratio' increases). Especially, the effectiveness of 'Private R&D fund' can be moderated by 'Indirect Cost Ratio'. On the basis of the conclusions, this paper draws an implication that can increase R&D performance of SMEs through the interactions of manifold administrative values (i.e. effectiveness, efficiency and responsibility).

A Study on Influence of Entrepreneur Behavior Characteristics on Business Performance According to the Entrepreneurial Support System (창업지원제도가 1인창업자의 행동특성에 따라 창업기업 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang Bong;Lee, Seung Hyun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to find out how the support system of the government and the local governments for enhancing the success rate of the startup firms affected the performance of the enterprises according to the behavior characteristics of the founders. It is divided entrepreneurial support system into entrepreneurial policy support such as entrepreneurial education, mentoring and consulting, and funding of startup support such as policy fund and R & D fund, distinguished the behavior of founder into behaviors for discovery of entrepreneurial opportunities and behaviors for exploiting entrepreneurial opportunities. In order to analyze whether it affects the corporate management performance, a research model was created based on the previous research and hypotheses were set up, and the hypotheses were verified based on this questionnaire. The results of this study are as follows: First, it is found that the support for entrepreneurial policy has a positive effect on the behavior characteristics of entrepreneur. Second, it is found that the startup support such as policy fund affects the behavioral characteristics for finding the opportunity of the founder, but it does not affect the behavioral characteristics for the opportunity exploit. Third, it was found that the behavior characteristics of entrepreneur founding opportunity and exploition of entrepreneurial opportunity influenced the performance of the company. According to the this study, the following conclusion were obtained, First, it is necessary to apply different policies according to the stage of growth of startup companies. Second, startup companies grow through the stages of development of new technologies and ideas, commercialization, and marketing, at each stage, entrepreneur must overcome the so-called Death Valley, which requires funding.

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A Study on the Relative Efficiency and Productivity Change of IT Firms received Policy Fund (정책자금 받은 IT 기업의 상대적 효율성 및 생산성 변화 연구)

  • Kang, Ho-Jung;Jeon, In-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.677-683
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    • 2009
  • This study measures the relative efficiency and productivity change of IT firms received policy fund using DEA model and Malmquist Index for 2006-2007. The main results of this study can by summarized as follows. First, in case of efficiency of CCR for 2006-2007, the number of efficient firms(CCR value is one) are six firms, six firms, respectively. Second, in case of efficiency of BCC for 2006-2007, the number of efficient firms(BCC value is one) are eleven firms, thirteen firms respectively. Third, In case of return to scale for 2006-2007, DRS are fifteen firms and fourteen firms respectively. IRS are two firms and one firm respectively. DRS firms can improve efficiency by the reduction of scale and IRS Firms can improve efficiency by the increase of scale. Fourth, Mean value of Malmquist Index representing productivity change for 2006-2007 are bigger than 1.00. This imply that productivity increase was achieved.

A Study on the Yield Rate and Risk of Portfolio Combined with Real Estate Indirect Investment Products (부동산간접투자상품이 결합된 포트폴리오의 수익률과 위험에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Suk-Hyun;Kim, Jong-Jin
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2019
  • Until recently, most people have invested in a traditional portfolio consisting of stocks, bonds and real estates based on the three-division method of properties in Korea. However, this study analyzed the impact of the composition of a portfolio combining representative real estate indirect investment products such as Reits and real estate funds on the investment performance. For this purpose, the empirical analysis using the mean variance model, which is the most appropriate method for the portfolio composition, was used. For variables used in this study, mixed asset portfolios were classified into Portfolio A through Portfolio G depending on the composition of assets, and the price indices selected as Kospi, Krx bond, Reits Trus Y7, Hanwha-Lasal fund, and Office (Seoul). The results are as follows; first Portfolio D, which combined bonds, stocks, Reits and Real Estate funds, and Portfolio G, which added the office, the actual real estate, were shown to have the lowest risk. second, Portfolio B composed of bonds, stocks and Reits and Portfolio D with added real estate funds had the lowest risk while Portfolio F composed of bonds, stocks, offices and real estate funds, and Portfolio G with added Reits were the most profitable. As a result, it has been analyzed that it was more effective to compose a portfolio including Reits and real estate funds, which were real estate indirect investment products that eliminated the illiquidity limitation of real estates than real estates, the traditional three-division method of properties. Therefore, it is possible to minimize the risk of investors and reduce the cost of ownership of the real estate by solving the illiquidity problem that is the biggest disadvantage of the direct investment, In addition, it is considered that it is more necessary to reinvigorate the real estate indirect investment market where small amounts can be invested.

A Preliminary Study for Implementation of Digital Geographic Information in Non-Urban Area (비도시지역 디지털 지리정보 구축을 위한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Jae-Myeong;Choi, Yun-Soo;Seo, Chang-Wan;Cho, Han-Keun
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2010
  • The construction of digital geographic information of Non-Urban Area have been needed to build a nationwide information infrastructure for the balanced development of nation to reduce a gap between city and Non-Urban Area due to the emphasis on a large scale digital map (1/1,000) implementation for cities. In this research, we researched the basic long-term blueprint for establishing digital geographic information in non-urban area. From the proposed institutional foundation, we want to build this information for Non-Urban Areas and to make a long-term plan to strengthen the national com petitiveness dealing with the globalization, liberalization, and information based on the digital geographic information in non-urban area. This study suggested 3 alternatives to implement digital geographic information of Non-Urban Area as follow. Firstly central government fund whole cost, secondly central government and local government fund a cost half and half, lastly combining first and second alternative. This study can be a basis on building national information infrastructure, provide core information for national projects and revitalize the use of spatial information for Non-Urban Area.

선도기술개발사업의 경제.사회적 평가방법연구

  • 김상준;임윤철;최기련
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 1999.12a
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    • pp.216-239
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    • 1999
  • Korean government has planned a large scale multidepartment-participated national R&D program to advance and improve her science and technology and the quality of life In the level of advanced(especially G-7) countries in the forthcoming 21st century. It is called as "Highly Advanced National projects" or "G7 projects", which was initiated in 1991 with 18 sub-programs to date. It has planned to be continued until 2001 with its total fund of 4, 591 billion Won, comprised of 2, 033 billion Won from the public sector and 2, 558 billion Won from the private sector. Evaluation activities, the country has carried out to date, for national R&D programs including HAN projects are focused mainly on the assessment of scientific and technological results to decide that a specific program should be continued, terminated, or modified. Thus, it is necessary for national R&D programs to be evaluated socioeconomically for the purpose of assessing the nationwide economic and social impact from the program. Socioeconomic evaluation would be told how and where the program contributed to the society, and what the socioeconomic impacts are resulted from the program. It would be useful for the means of (ⅰ) fulfillment of public accountability to legitimate the program and to reveal the expenditure of pubic fund, and (ⅱ) managemental and strategical learning to give information necessary to improve the making. program and policy decision making, The objectives of the study are to develop the methodology of modeling the socioeconomic evaluation, and build up the practical socioeconomic evaluation model of the HAN projects including scientific and technological effects. Since the HAN projects consists of 18 subprograms, it is difficult In evaluate all the subprograms simultaneously. Despite, each program is being performed under the category of HAN projects, so the common socioeconomic issues are existing, The followings are main results of the study. First, the hierarchical structure of the socioeconomic evaluation are constructed; Evaluation Perspective, Evaluation Bounds, and Evaluation Aspect. Second, based on the goals of the HAN projects, the evaluation perspectives are established as (ⅰ) the strengthening of industrial competitiveness, (ⅱ) the enhancement of national scientific and technological capability, (ⅲ) the improvement of quality of life. Third, the evaluation bounds for each evaluation objective are defined to specify the affected area. Finally, the evaluation aspects for each evaluation bounds are formulated containing essential elements describing the evaluation bounds.

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A study on asset management investment strategy model by trade probability control on futures market (선물시장에서 거래확률 조정을 통한 자산운용 투자전략 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Suk-Jun;Kim, Ji-Hyun;Jeong, Suk-Jae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.21-46
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    • 2012
  • This paper attempts to offer an effective strategy of hedge fund based on trade probability control in the futures market. By using various technical indicators, we create an association rule and transforms it into a trading rule to be used as an investment strategy. Association rules are made by the combination of various technical indicators and the range of individual indicator value. Adjustments of trade probabilities are performed by depending on the rule combinations and it can be utilized to establish an effective investment strategy onto the risk management. In order to demonstrate the superiority of the investment strategy proposed, we analyzed a profitability using the futures index based on KOSPI200. Experiments results show that our proposed strategy could effectively manage and response the dynamics investment risks.

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A Resource Access Control Mechanism Considering Grid Accounting (그리드 어카운팅을 고려한 자원 접근 제어 메커니즘)

  • Hwang Ho-Joen;An Dong-Un;Chung Seung-Jong
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.13A no.4 s.101
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    • pp.363-370
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    • 2006
  • Currently, many people have been researching diverse mechansmims related to a resource access control in Grid environment. Mostly Grid user's resource access control was designed to authorize according to their attributes and roles. But, to provide Grid with resources continuously, a resource access based on utility computing must be controlled. So, in this paper we propose and implement mechanism that intergrates Grid accounting concept with resource access control. This mechanism calcuates costs of Grid service on the basis of accounting, and determines based on user's fund availibility whether they continue to make use of site resources or not. Grid jobs will be controlled according to a site resource access control policy only if the amount of available fund is less than its costs. If Grid job completed, resource consumer pays for the costs generated by using provider's idle resources. Therefore, this paper provides mechansim to be able to control user's resource access by Grid accounting, so that it is evaluated as the research to realize utility computing environment corresponding to economic principle.