• Title/Summary/Keyword: FUND Model

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Determinants of Economic Growth in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Model

  • BASUKI, Agus Tri;PURWANINGSIH, Yunastiti;SOESILO, Albertus Maqnus;MULYANTO, Mulyanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of public spending, macroeconomic variables, and BPK opinion on economic growth. This study is motivated by the inequality of fiscal policy effectiveness between regions in Indonesia in influencing the economic growth of different regions, the ability of local governments to attract foreign investors, and the transparency of regional financial management in designing development programs to encourage regional economic growth. The analytical tool in this study is a dynamic panel regression model with data from 2008 to 2017. The results of this study show that, in the short term, the population affects regional economic growth, while in the long term, the economic growth is affected by the number of people, the poor, General Allocation Fund, health budget, foreign investment and BPK opinion. The findings of this study are that in the long term the General Allocation Fund becomes an obstacle to economic growth, this is because the general allocation funds is widely used to cover the lack of funds for routine regional activities, thereby reducing activities for development programs. Another research finding is that fiscal policies carried out by local governments make a small and ineffective contribution to promoting economic growth.

The effect of Korea's policy to support the purchase of raw materials for export of livestock products

  • Jaesung Cho;Sanghyen Chai;Hanpil Moon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2022
  • The Livestock Raw Material Purchase Fund is a policy to increase the export of livestock products by providing loans to exporters of livestock products (including byproducts). The policy started in 2015 and the annual budget is about 26 billion won. However, a quantitative evaluation of policy effects has not yet been made. Therefore, in this study, the economic surplus of the policy was analyzed using the equilibrium displacement model (EDM). From the results of the welfare analysis, from 2016 to 2019, producer surplus in the chicken and duck market increased by KRW 70.9 billion, while consumer surplus decreased by KRW 70 billion. In other words, the total economic surplus of the chicken and duck market increased by about one billion won during the same period due to the increase in export demand according to the policy. Therefore, the Livestock Raw Material Purchase Fund can be viewed as a policy to maintain and increase export demand for export livestock products and to improve the economic surplus of the livestock product market. Also, since the policy is based on loans, it does not place a burden on the government's finances. Therefore, this policy should continue in the future.

Linear Programming Model and Forecasting for Financing Operation of civil Service Pension Fund (공무원 연금기금의 중장기전망과 재정운용 성현계확 모형)

  • 황현식;김지수
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 1986
  • The outlook for the Civil Service Pension (CSP) program in Korea indicates several problems. First, the balance of the benefit among the pension recipients is not well maintained. Second, the program is running out of funds as benefit increases exceed the growth in revenues. In this article, we analyze these problems by using linear programming model and discuss the alternatives. We propose an addition of the age limit to the benefit eligibility and a reconsideration of the government subsidy's level.

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Efficient Quasi-likelihood Estimation for Nonlinear Time Series Models and Its Application

  • Kim, Sahmyeong;Cha, Kyungyup;Lee, Sungduck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2003
  • Quasi likelihood estimators defined by Wedderburn are derived for several nonlinear time series models. And also, the least squared estimator and Quasi-likelihood estimator are compared in sense of asymptotic relative efficiency at those models. Finally, we apply these estimations to a real data on exchanging rate and stock market prices.

Gross Profitability Premium in the Korean Stock Market and Its Implication for the Fund Distribution Industry (한국 주식시장에서 총수익성 프리미엄에 관한 분석 및 펀드 유통산업에 주는 시사점)

  • Yoon, Bo-Hyun;Liu, Won-Suk
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This paper's aim is to investigate whether or not gross profitability explains the cross-sectional variation of the stock returns in the Korean stock market. Gross profitability is an alternative profitability measure proposed by Novy-Marx in 2013 to predict cross-sectional variation of stock returns in the US. He shows that the gross profitability adds explanatory power to the Fama-French 3 factor model. Interestingly, gross profitability is negatively correlated with the book-to-market ratio. By confirming the gross profitability premium in the Korean stock market, we may provide some implications regarding the well-known value premium. In addition, our empirical results may provide opportunities for the fund distribution industry to promote brand new styles of funds. Research design, data, and methodology - For our empirical analysis, we collect monthly market prices of all the companies listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) of the Korea Exchanges (KRX). Our sample period covers July1994 to December2014. The data from the company financial statementsare provided by the financial information company WISEfn. First, using Fama-Macbeth cross-sectional regression, we investigate the relation between gross profitability and stock return performance. For robustness in analyzing the performance of the gross profitability strategy, we consider value weighted portfolio returns as well as equally weighted portfolio returns. Next, using Fama-French 3 factor models, we examine whether or not the gross profitability strategy generates excess returns when firmsize and the book-to-market ratio are controlled. Finally, we analyze the effect of firm size and the book-to-market ratio on the gross profitability strategy. Results - First, through the Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression, we show that gross profitability has almost the same explanatory power as the book-to-market ratio in explaining the cross-sectional variation of the Korean stock market. Second, we find evidence that gross profitability is a statistically significant variable for explaining cross-sectional stock returns when the size and the value effect are controlled. Third, we show that gross profitability, which is positively correlated with stock returns and firm size, is negatively correlated with the book-to-market ratio. From the perspective of portfolio management, our results imply that since the gross profitability strategy is a distinctive growth strategy, value strategies can be improved by hedging with the gross profitability strategy. Conclusions - Our empirical results confirm the existence of a gross profitability premium in the Korean stock market. From the perspective of the fund distribution industry, the gross profitability portfolio is worthy of attention. Since the value strategy portfolio returns are negatively correlated with the gross profitability strategy portfolio returns, by mixing both portfolios, investors could be better off without additional risk. However, the profitable firms are dissimilar from the value firms (high book-to-market ratio firms); therefore, an alternative factor model including gross profitability may help us understand the economic implications of the well-known anomalies such as value premium, momentum, and low volatility. We reserve these topics for future research.

Efficiency Rating by Types of Public Institutions and Identification of Inefficiency Sources (공공기관의 유형별 효율성 평가와 비효율성 원인의 규명에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2015
  • In recent years, attention to the high debt ratio in public institutions has pushed the government to make efforts in reducing the debt ratio. However, in order to stimulate the economy, the government needs drastically innovative measures that reduce debt by improving efficiency rather than moderate approaches that focus solely on debt reduction. Despite this need, no study has yet systematically analyzed the overall efficiency of domestic public institutions and identified the source of inefficiencies in each public entity. Therefore, largely two research questions are examined. First, this study compares the efficiency levels by types of public institutions. Second, this study identifies the cause of inefficiencies in each public institution and proposes directions for improving efficiency. Based on a 5-year data of 302 public institutions published in public business information systems and organizational websites from 2009 to 2013, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was performed. The input variables include the number of employees and total costs while the output variables include sales and net income. Reflecting the characteristics of public institutions, the input-oriented CCR model and input-oriented BCC model were utilized. Analysis results are as follows. First, market-oriented public institutions showed the highest efficiency while fund management quasi-governmental agencies showed the highest inefficiency. Second, scale efficiency score was measured by applying the CCR model and the BCC model on the organizations with the lowest efficiency level, fund management quasi-governmental agencies. Based on these analysis results, the source of inefficiency and detailed directions for improvement were proposed for Decision Making Units (DMUs) with low CCR and BCC scores.

Relationship Between Environmental Infra Operating Cost and Polluter Pay Principles (환경기초시설 운영비 보조와 오염원인자부담원칙)

  • Kang, Heechan;Kang, Sung Won;Kim, Minjoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.165-187
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we tested if the sewage subsidy from Korean Water Management Fund discourage sewage fee increase by Korean local governments, and consequently hinder water quality improvement. To examine this counter-incentive effect of Water manage Fund sewage subsidy, we estimated the effect of sewage subsidy on the ratio of sewage fee revenue to environmental treatment facilities' operation cost of local governments in 2009-12, using two-stage least square estimation. We found that the sewage subsidy has negative effect on the sewage fee revenue to sewage operation cost ratio. But, the statistical significance of this effect was sensitive to model specification. And the size was too small to conclude that the counter-incentive effect was economically significant.

Achievement of Health Promotion Program in Korea (국민건강증진사업 10년의 성과)

  • Lee Kyu-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.143-171
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    • 2006
  • There has been 10 years since the Health Promotion Act was legislated. The government began to establish a health promotion fund on the basis of Health Promotion Act in 1995, and to manage and operate the fund from 1998. It is evaluated that health promotion program have had various outcomes in many aspects. First, there has been growing awareness of the impotance of health promotion through the establishment of Health Plan 2010 and the effort to actualize the Plan. Second, the importance of securing health equity and identifying health determinants have been recognized during the planning process of Health Plan 2010. Third, the health promotion program have mainly focused on improving healthy life style of the population. As a result, desirable health behavior change of the population could be expected from the result of 2005 National Health and Nutrition Survey. Fourth, public health centers began to play a crucial role in implementing health promotion programs, and began to build infrastructure for health promotion programs. Fifth, management efficiency of private health related organizations have been improved. Finally, training for health promotion personnel and their participation in the program could be the foundation for the higher level of outcome achievement from the health promotion programs. Important challenges for future health promotion would be identification of the determinants and risk factors of health, formulating plan of regional health promotion programs, building infrastructure for health promotion, creation of specific action model by public health center, development of health promotion program for the elderly, conducting research for evidence concerning major factors reducing the need for health care through prevention disease activities, and establishment of evaluation and feed back system for health promotion programs.

Achievement of Health Promotion Fund and Projects in Korea (국민건강증진기금사업 10년 성과)

  • Lee, Kyu-Sik
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Health Promotion Conference
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    • 2005.09a
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    • pp.153-195
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    • 2005
  • There has been 10 years since The Health Promotion Act was legislated. The government began to establish a health promotion fund on the basis of Health Promotion Act in 1995, and to manage and operate the fund from 1998. It is evaluated that health promotion program have had various outcomes in many aspects. First, there has been growing awareness of the impotance of health promotion through the establishment of Health Plan 2010 and the effort to actualize the Plan. Second, the importance of securing health equity and identifying health determinants have been recognized during the planning process of Health Plan 2010. Third, the health promotion program have mainly focused on improving healthy life style of the population. As a result, desirable health behavior change of the population could be expected from the result of 2005 National Health and Nutrition Survey. Fourth, public health centers began to play a crucial role in implementing health promotion programs, and began to build infrastructure for health promotion programs. Fifth, the outcomes of health promotion programs by public health centers and private health organizations have been increasing. Finally, training for health promotion personnel and their participation in the program could be the foundation for the higher level of outcome achievement from the health promotion programs. Important challenges for future health promotion would be identification of the determinants and risk factors of health in Korea, establishment of local health promotion plan, building infrastructure for health promotion, creation of specific action model by public health center, development of diverse health promotion programs and health promotion program for the elderly, conducting research for evidence concerning major factors reducing the need for health care through prevention disease activities, and establishment of evaluation and feed back system for health promotion programs.

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A Study on Dynamic Glide Path of Target Date Fund Reflecting Market Expectations (시장기대를 반영한 타겟 데이트 펀드의 동적 글라이드패스에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Myung-Deok;Kim, Sun Woong;Choi, Heung Sik
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze investment performance by applying dynamic methodologies that reflect market expectations rather than traditional static methodologies in applying the glide path of target date fund. In calculating market expectations, the number of distributed shares in the ETF market was used, and the dynamic glide path model portfolio considering market expectations in the analysis period from late 2011 to October 2020 could show better results than the existing static glide path. According to the analysis, increasing the portion of risky assets at a time when the number of shares in the ETF's distribution increases, and in the opposite case, reducing the portion of risky assets is advantageous for profit. The results of this study are expected to provide useful theoretical and practical implications for researchers and asset management workers who are interested in knowledge management from a broad perspective beyond the boundary of pension asset management to the public fund market and ETF market.