• 제목/요약/키워드: FINANCE

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Linkage Between Exchange Rate and Stock Prices: Evidence from Vietnam

  • DANG, Van Cuong;LE, Thi Lanh;NGUYEN, Quang Khai;TRAN, Duc Quang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate changes on stock prices in Vietnam. We use the nonlinear autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) analysis for monthly data from 2001:01 to 2018:05, based on VN-Index stock price collected from Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE); the nominal exchange rate is separated into currency depreciation and appreciation through a partial sum decomposition process. Asymmetry is estimated both in the long-run relationship and the short-run error correction mechanism. The research results show that the effect of exchange rate changes on stock prices is asymmetrical, both in the short run and in long run. Accordingly, the stock prices react to different levels to depreciation and appreciation. However, the currency appreciation affects a stronger transmission of stock prices when compared to the long-run currency depreciation. In the absence of asymmetry, the exchange rate only has a short-run impact on stock prices. This implies a symmetrical assumption that underestimates the impact of exchange rate changes on stock prices in Vietnam. This study points to an important implication for regulators in Vietnam. They should consider the relationship between exchange rate changes and stock prices in both the long run and the short run to manage the stock and foreign exchange market.

Cryptocurrency Market: Behavioral Finance Perspective

  • AL-MANSOUR, Bashar Yaser
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 2020
  • The cryptocurrency market has received immense consideration in media and academia since the beginning of 2013 because of its huge price fluctuation. This study focuses on Arab investors who invest in the cryptocurrency market by investigating the influence of behavioral finance factors on investment decisions in the cryptocurrency market. A quantitative approach was used by employing a snowball sampling method through 112 questionnaires. The results show that herding theory, prospect theory, and heuristic theory have a significant effect on investors' investment decisions in the cryptocurrency market. This emphasizes the significant role of the proposed behavioral factors as determinants of the investors' investment decisions. This study contributes to the existing research by consolidating the results of different researches in this study. It also contributes to the investors' understanding of the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market and it enhances the ability to make informed decisions based on their understanding. The implication of the findings will prepare hit and run investors to be progressively prepared to stay in the cryptocurrency market and develop their abilities on the most proficient method to settle on sound venture choices. Furthermore, the findings of this study will encourage financial specialists to realize that information on the traditional finance theory is not adequate to excel in the cryptocurrency market.

Effect of CAR and NPL on ROA: Empirical Study in Indonesia Banks

  • TANGNGISALU, Jannati;HASANUDDIN, Rusdiah;HALA, Yusriadi;NURLINA, Nurlina;SYAHRUL, Syahruni
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2020
  • This study seeks to analyze the effect of Non-Performing Loans and Capital Adequacy Ratio on Return on Assets on ten conventional banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI-IDX). This study uses secondary panel data for 2015-2019 in the form of CAR and NPL values from ten conventional banks listed on the BEI-IDX during the 2020 observation period. The research approach is quantitative descriptive with data analysis methods, namely, linear regression. The testing phase of this study includes: transform value, F-test, T-test and hypothesis test with significancy level sig < 0.05. The results of this study reveal that Non-Performing Loans had a significant negative effect (t = -2,637) (0.011 <0.0) on Return on Assets, while Capital Adequacy Ratio has no significant effect on ROA (0.760 > 0.05). R2 value is 0.128 or 12.8%. It has a significant effect on variables, calling efforts by banks, governments, and authorities monetary of related institutions to maintain the stability of finance. The reduction of Non-Performing Loan impacts on assets and capital adequacy ratio, besides, the normal NPL will control the stability of finance. If a balance is created either in the form of values or amounts of the variables, the reduction in Non-Performing Loans will be controlled.

Corporate Capital Structure Adjustments: Evidence from Vietnam Stock Exchange Market

  • NGUYEN, Cuong Thanh;BUI, Cuong Manh;PHAM, Tuan Dinh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2019
  • Building a target capital structure is one of the most important decisions in corporate financial management. The purpose of this article is to identify the determinants of capital structure and adjustment mechanism toward the target leverage. The partial adjustment model was applied on a sample of 306 non-financial companies listed on Vietnam stock exchange market during the period of 2008-2017. By the fixed effect model estimation method, the research results have discovered the factors of growth opportunities, firm size, tangible fixed assets and firm's unique characteristics have a positive effect on the target capital structure of enterprises. Besides, profitability and dividend payment have a negative effect on the target capital structure of enterprises. Accordingly, the research results show that the average adjustment speed toward target leverage of the firms is 90.03%. Research results also demonstrate firms have higher or lower debt ratio than the target debt ratio, capital surplus or capital deficit also have an impact on the adjustment rate toward the target capital structure. The research results are consistent with the Dynamic Trade-off Theory. From this result, this article has provided policy implications for non-financial companies listed on Vietnam's stock market in building a reasonable target capital structure according to operating timeline to maximize enterprise value.

소방산업의 특성을 고려한 금융공제시스템 육성에 관한 연구 (A study on the Fosterage Finance Cooperative System Considering the Characteristics of Fire Protection Industry)

  • 정정기
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2010
  • 최근 재난양상의 다양화, 규모의 대형화 추세에 따라 신속하고 효율적인 재난예방과 대응을 위해 소방산업 첨단기기와 신기술의 중요성 및 역할이 날로 증대하고 있고, 소방산업 시장규모 역시 11조원, 종사자수도 10만 명을 상회하는 국가중요산업이지만 대부분 중소기업으로 타 산업에 비해 낙후성을 면치 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라 소방산업의 특성을 면밀히 분석, 소방산업의 특성을 고려한 금융공제시스템의 연구모형을 이론적으로 체계화하고 그 육성방안을 마련하여 소방산업 금융공제시스템을 이용하는 소방사업자들에게 자주적인 경제활동과 소방산업 발전에 기여하고자 한다.

사례연구 : 해외 프로젝트 파이낸스 투자 사례와 실물옵션기반 투자 의사결정 (Case Study : A Real Options Approach to an Overseas Project Finance Deal)

  • 변진호;최문섭
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.429-439
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    • 2013
  • The Korean Veterans' Pension Fund has previously pre-purchased Gibril Tower on Business Complex in Dubai, UAE, via a project-financed construction investment. Although the property is near completion, the investor syndicate's attempt to debt-finance due arrears was foiled in Dubai central bank's credit control of real estaterelated loans. Accordingly, the investment coordinator offered an additional capital injection, a collateralized leverage, and a maturity extension to the syndicate. If the syndicate rejects the offer, they may risk a nearcomplete capital loss and a possible default of the main contractor. Otherwise, the syndicate may still face uncertainties regarding interest receivables, principal re-payment, foreclosure, economic recession in Dubai, and the Islamic bond bill in the Korean Parliament. A possible exercise of the latter option may be due to the agency-prone nature of pension fund managers. Given these qualitative risk factors as at April 1, 2011, a real options approach-implied optimal decision suggests an extended and complete cash augmentation into the project finance deal.

Overconfidence Bias, Comparative Evidences between Vietnam and Selected ASEAN Countries

  • PHAN, Dzung Tran Trung;LE, Van Hoang Thu;NGUYEN, Thanh Thi Ha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to investigate the existence of overconfidence bias in Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore. This paper focuses on the Vietnam Stock Market and other two countries of ASEAN, namely Singapore and Thailand. Data was collected over the period from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2018, daily returns for each of the securities. This paper uses the time series method, namely ADF test, Granger Causality and VAR approach to find evidences of the overconfidence effect in Vietnam in relation to some ASEAN markets. The results show similarities between the observed countries with slight variations, with focus on Vietnam market. In general concrete evidences of overconfidence were found in both Vietnamese and Singaporean markets, in which Singaporean investors show higher degree of overconfidence than Vietnamese investors. Overconfidence is not as clear in Thai market, however a direct causal link from increased returns to increased investor confidence was found. From the model deployed in the paper, there are reasons to conclude that Thai investors are under-confident. The findings of the study shed lights into the existence of overconfidence bias in Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore on a comparative basis, provide more insights and implications for future research in this new and rising field of research.

Profitability and the Distance to Default: Evidence from Vietnam Securities Market

  • VU, Van Thuy Thi;DO, Nhung Hong;DANG, Hung Ngoc;NGUYEN, Tram Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2019
  • The paper examines the influence of profitability on distance to default (DD) in Vietnam securities market. The investigated sample consists of 211 companies listed on HOSE during 18 years from 2010 to 2017. We apply KMV model to calculate distance to default and use both macroeconomics factors and firm specific factors as independent variables. Using General Least Squared (GLS) method, we find evidence to confirm the positive relationship between profitability and distance to default. This result showed that, although profitability did not directly reflect the cash flow generated, a good profitable enterprise would be an important factor to help facilitate and generate cash flow and at the same time debt was guaranteed when it was due. Besides, the test results revealed that the financial structure and sales on assets have the inverse effect on the distance to default at the significance level of 5%. The results also revealed that a group of macro factors had an influence on the distance to default of businesses, including spread, GDP and trade balance (via exchange rates). Gross domestic income had certain impacts on the distance to default of businesses. This was also a basic indicator measuring the national economic cycle.

디지털 콘텐츠 금융 활성화 방안-기술가치 평가를 중심으로 (Development Method of Digital Content Finance-Focused on by Technical Value Evaluation)

  • 이면재;고경일
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제6권6호
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2015
  • 디지털콘텐츠 산업은 새로운 기기와 기술의 발전, 장르, 기술간 융합화 현상으로 성장이 예상되고 있다. 그러나, 초기 투자 비용이 많이 소요되고 불확실한 수익성 때문에 디지털콘텐츠 분야에 대한 금융지원제도는 활성화되지 못하고 있다. 본 논문은 기술가치평가를 이용하여 디지털콘텐츠 기업들의 금융 활성화 방안에 관한 연구이다. 이를 위하여 첫째, 디지털콘텐츠 기업들의 현황(자금조달 현황과 매출액 등)을 살펴본다. 둘째, 분석된 디지털콘텐츠 기업들의 현황을 바탕으로 금융활성화 방안을 논한다. 본 연구는 기술가치평가를 활용한 금융활성화 방안 도출에 도움을 줄수 있다.

낙후지역 발전을 위한 광역자치단체 특별회계 운영 사례 비교연구 (A Comparative Study on the Case of Wide-area Autonomous Communities's Special Accounts Operation for Distressed Region Development)

  • 이성재;김형오
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.649-672
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    • 2012
  • The government established Special Accounts for Balanced National Development in 2005, and the Metropolitan Council has enacted and executed ordinance relevant to special accounts to relieve regional unbalanced growth and to promote regional balanced growth. This study derived a political implication through the comparison analysis of the background of establishment and its purpose, the selection criteria of support target, finance scale and tax revenue finance, appropriation target and finance distribution, etc. on the basis of Chungcheongnam-do Special Accounts for Balanced Development and Jeollabuk-do Eastern part Special Accounts among the special accounts implemented in metropolitan council. The major conclusions of this study are as follows. First, the transition from the concept of balanced development to specialized development is necessary for the development of distressed region. Second, the pure wastefulness ratio of the local government's tax revenue finance of special accounts designed concentrating upon special accounts for Wide-area Autonomous Communities development should be gradually expanded. Third, Special Accounting budget should be supported to promote specialized development through the selection and concentration centering around comparatively advantageous resource within the region. Fourth, the strategic special accounts budget application system of cities and counties to utilize the projects of the government and the province to achieve the goal of cities and counties should be prepared.