• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.33-42
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• 2020

The paper investigates the mechanism through which corporate credit ratings affect dividend payments by decomposing the mean difference of dividends into a part that is explained by the determinants of dividends and a residual part that is contributed by the pure credit group effect, in the framework of the traditional dividend model of Fama and French (2001). Historically, better credit rated firms have shown consistently higher propensity to pay dividends especially during the economic crisis period. According to the counter-factual decomposition technique of Jann (2008), better rated firms are more responsive to the firm characteristics that have positive impact on dividends and poor rated firms are more responsive to the negative dividend predictors. As a result, good (bad) credit ratings make corporate managers become more bold (timid) in their dividend payments and they tend to pay more (less) dividends than what their firm characteristics prescribe. The degree of information asymmetry increases for the poor group firms during crisis periods and they attempt to reserve more cash in preparation for future investments. The decomposition results suggest that the credit group effect can potentially exceed the effect of firm characteristics because firms of different credit ratings can respond to the very same firm characteristics in a different manner.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.8
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• pp.25-31
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• 2020

The purpose of this paper is to examine a financial distress premium in the emerging market. A risk-return trade-off of negative book equity (NBE) and distress firms is empirically analyzed using data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand. This research employs Ohlson's (1980) bankruptcy model as a measurement of distress risk. The results indicate that distress firms outperform solvent firms in the Thai market and deny distress anomaly often found in the developed market. Fama-Frech (1993) three-factor model and Carhart (1997) four-factor model verify the existence of a distress premium in the Thai capital market. Risk-seeking investors demand greater compensation for bearing risks of distress firms' going concern. This paper provides fresh evidence that default risk is a significant explanatory factor in pricing stocks in the emerging market. Also, this study sheds light on the role of NBE firms in asset pricing. Most studies eliminate NBE firms from their sample. However, NBE firms yield superior average cross-sectional returns, albeit with higher volatility. Investors are rewarded with distress risks associated with NBE firms. The outperformance of NBE firms is statistically significant when compared to the overall market. The NBE premium disappears when factoring size, value, and momentum in time-series analysis.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.7 no.11
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• pp.55-65
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• 2020

The objective of this study is to investigate how investors in the Stock Exchange of Thailand practically trade in response to a magnitude of profits and losses, given a discussion of the widely well-known behavioral explanation, so called as the disposition effect. We provide empirical evidence of an existence of the V-shaped disposition effect, which has been recently found in several advanced equity markets. By adopting the methodology suggested by An's (2016) and Fama and Macbeth (1973), we document that stock return patterns in relation to aggregate unrealized gains and losses of investors are consistent with the V-shaped selling schedule, given an increase in unrealized gains and losses over the period of January 1996 to December 2015. The effect of unrealized gains is stronger than that of unrealized losses and this asymmetry underlies the existence of the V-shaped disposition effect in the Thai equity market. Interestingly, the effect of the V-shaped selling schedule is strongest over the short-term holding time horizon. Last but not the least, stocks for which investors have large unrealized gains and losses outperform in the following month and the long-short trading strategy, based on this premise, generates the average 1.7% monthly (equivalent to 20.0% per year) abnormal return.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.133-133
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• 2001

무선 근거리 지역망(Wireless LAN;WLAN) 환경에서 다중 채널을 이용하여 실시간 서비스를 제공하기 위한 매체 접근제어 계층에서의 채널의 사용 구간 할당 방법을 제안하고, 컴퓨터 모의 실험을 통하여 제한된 방식의 실시간 서비스 지원 성능과 채널의 사용 효율을 분석한다. 제안한 채널 사용 구간 할당 방안은 개선된 매체 접근 제어 프로토콜 RICH-DP (Receiver-Initiated Channel-Hopping with Dual Polling)를 바탕으로 한다. 무선 환경에서 RTS-CTS를 사용하는 프로토콜은 SRMA, MACA, MACAW, IEEE 802.11, FAMA 등이 있다. 최근에 단일 채널을 환경에서 RICH(Receiver Initiated Channel-Mopping) 프로토콜이 제안되었다. RICH는 충돌 회피를 위해서 경쟁 구간에서 충돌 감지(carrier sensing)을 사용한다. RICH는 제한된 어플케이션에 국한되는 단절이 있다. 반면에 RICH-DP는 다중 채널 환경에서 충돌 감지와 특별한 코드(spreading code) 할당 없이 일반화된 충돌 회피를 제공한다. 실시간 서비스를 이용하자 차는 단말들로 하여금 RICH-DP를 사용하여 서비스를 제공할 때, 대역폭에 대한 정보를 AP(Access Point)로 전송토록 함으로써 비경쟁 구간에서 뿐 아니라, 경쟁구간에서도 높은 채널 효율이 얻어질 수 있도록 하고 있다. 제한된 방안의 성능 평가를 위한 모의 실험은 OPNET를 이용하여 실시간 서비스 데이터를 7개의 상태 천이를 갖는 VBR 소스로 모델링하고 비동기 트래픽들은 Poisson 소스로 모델링하여 실시간 서비스 단발들의 이용 대역폭과 채널 처리율과 시스템 지연시간을 성능 평가 인자로 하여 수행하였다. 논문에서 제한된 방법을 적용한 개선된 RICH-DP을 모의 실험을 통하여 분석한 결과 기존의 제한된 RICH-DP는 실시간 서비스에 대한 처리율이 낮아지며 서비스 시간이 보장되지 못했다. 따라서 실시간 서비스에 대한 새로운 제안된 기법을 제안하고 성능 평가한 결과 기존의 RICH-DP보다 성능이 향상됨을 확인 할 수 있었다.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.131-164
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• 1991

주식시장에 체계적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)들과 국민경제의 중요한 한 부분인 주식시장(株式市場)의 관계를 구체적으로 규명하는 것은 투자자에게 유용한 정보를 제공하는 동시에 주식시장이 건전한 방향으로 발전할 수 있도록 유도하는 의미 있는 일이다. 본 연구의 목적은 주식수익률의 횡단면적 차이를 설명할 수 있는 경제적으로 유의적인, 즉 '가격화(價格化)'된 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)를 발견하는데 있다. 이를 위하여 주식평가모형과 기존의 연구결과를 토대로 주식수익률에 체계적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 31개의 거시경제변수를 선정한 후, 실증적 연구방법을 사용하여 우리나라 주식시장에서 '가격화(價格化)'된 거시경제변수가 무엇인지를 확인하였다. 먼저 주식수익률(株式收益率)에 체계적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 31개의 거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)들을 요인분석하여 6개의 공통적 특성으로 압축 요약한 후, 각 차원(요인)을 가장 잘 대표하는 6개의 거시경제변수(대용변수)(巨視經濟變數(代用變數))를 추출하였다. 그리고 요인분석에 의해서 추출된 6개의 거시 경제변수와 주식수익률로 Fama & MacBeth(1973) 방법과 유사한 2단계회귀분석을 실시하여 주식수익률에 유의적인 영향을 미치는 '가격화'된 거시경제변수를 발견하였다. 그 결과, 6개의 거시경제변수 중 산업생산지수증가률(産業生産指數增加率), 회사채류통수익율(會社債流通收益率) 그리고 종합주가지수수익률(綜合株價指數收釜率)등 3개의 거시경제변수가 주식수익률의 횡단면적 차이를 설명할 수 있는 유의적인 또는 '가격화'된 경제변수임을 확인할 수 있었다.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.67-95
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• 1996

본 연구는 단기소득과 장기소득에 대한 차등세제(差等稅制)(differential taxation)가 선도이자율, 기간프리미엄, 이자율의 기간구조 등에 미치는 영향을 이론적으로 분석하고 있다. 분석결과, 세금이 있을 경우 선도이자율(先渡利子率)은 미래이자율(未來利子率)의 추정치로써 하향편의(下向偏倚)(downward bias)를 가지며, 이러한 세금편의(稅金偏倚)(tax bias)의 크기는 장기소득세율(長期所得稅率)이 낮을수록 한계체감적으로 증가하고 미래이자율(未來利子率)이 상향 또는 평평한 구조를 가질 경우 잔존만기가 길수록 증가하며, 세금편의의 크기의 한계변화는 미래이자율(未來利子率)이 상향(上向)하고 있지 않는 한 장기소득세율(長期所得稅率)이 낮을수록 한계체감적으로 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 만기(滿期)가 길 경우 기간프리미엄이 음(陰)으로 나타나고 기간구조가 1년이 지나서는 모양이 다양하게 나타나고 있다는 Fama(1984)의 연구결과는 기존의 이자율의 기간구조(期間構造)에 관한 제이론(諸理論)들로써는 설명될 수 없으나, 본 연구가 분석한 음(陰)의 세금효과(稅金效果)에 의해서 설명될 수 있었다. 또한, 선도이자율이 우하향구조(右下向構造)를 가질 경우에는 장기현물이자율(長期現物利子率)이 보다 나은 미래이자율(未來利子率)의 추정치이며, 선도이자율이 우상향구조(右上向構造)를 가지는 경우에는 선도이자율(先渡利子率)이 현물이자율보다 우수한 미래이자율의 추정치인 것으로 분석되었다.

• The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.9-23
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• 2018

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to investigate the potential benefits or detriments of team management on fund performance in the mutual fund market. An additional purpose of this study is to examine the optimal number of managers in a fund industry for superior performance. Research design, data, and methodology - This paper investigates the effect of managerial structure on fund performance in the Korean active mutual fund market between 2001 and 2008. For this, we analyze two risk-adjusted performances measures- the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the three-factor model of Fama & French (1993). Results - First, we found that single-managed funds exhibited superior performance. Second major finding was that as the number of managers in a fund increases, the fund performance deteriorates. Finally, the results reveal that the sharpest performance drop occurs when team size increases from a 5-person team to a 6-person team. Conclusions - The results suggest that the management structure can be a source of competitive advantage for fund performance. As considering fund performance is the outcome of managers' decision-making, this study contributes to not only the financial literature but also the literature in other areas, such as management and general business.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.243-254
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• 2020

Purpose - This paper explores whether overnight returns measured from the last closing price to today's opening price explain the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study is conducted using the Korean stock market data from 1998 to 2018, obtained from DataGuide database. The analysis begins with portfolio-level tests, followed by firm-level cross-sectional regressions. Findings - First, when decile portfolios sorted on the daily average of overnight returns in the previous months, the highest decile portfolio exhibits a significant negative risk-adjusted return. This suggests that stocks with higher average overnight returns are temporarily overvalued due to buying pressure from investors. Second, at least 6 months of persistence exists in average overnight returns, which is in line with the results reported by Barber, Odean and Zhu (2009) that investor sentiment persists over several weeks. Finally, Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression of expected returns after controlling for a variety of firm characteristic variables such as firm size, book-to-market ratio, market beta, momentum, liquidity, short-term reversal, the slope coefficient for overnight returns remains negative and statistically significant. Research implications or Originality - Overall, the evidence consistently suggests that overnight return is considered as a new priced factor in the cross-section of expected returns. The findings of this paper not only adds to finance literature, but also could be useful to practitioners in making stock investment decision.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.121-134
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• 2021

Purpose - This study examines whether flight-to-liquidity (FTL) explains the dynamic liquidity risk on stock returns, and whether it has a significant influence on determinants the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study suggests a new risk factor, dynamic liquidity hedge portfolio (DLP), to reflect the dynamic impact of liquidity risk on stock returns and the Fama-MacBeth 2 stage regression analysis is employed in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, the DLP factor shows more positive and significant beta for the small or illiquidity stocks. Second, the DLP shows a different influence than SMB (size risk factor), HML (value risk factor), NMP (liquidity risk factor), FTVOL (total volatility factor) in determining the cross-section of stock returns. In addition, the DLP has a statistically significant risk premium of around 5%, which is relatively larger than other risk factors. Research implications or Originality - This study has academic value in terms of newly confirming that the DLP factor has a more significant impact on cross-sectional determination of stock returns than other risk factors by proposing a conditional liquidity factor that can explain the FTL phenomenon.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.44 no.4
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• pp.98-105
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• 2021

Using the frequency-based decomposition, I decompose the consumption growth to explain well-known patterns of stock returns in the Korean market. To be more specific, the consumption growth is decomposed by its half-life of shocks. The component over four years of half-life is called the business-cycle consumption component, and the components with half-lives under four years are short-run components. I compute the long-run and short-run components of stock excess returns as well and use component-by-component sensitivities to price stock portfolios. As a result, the business-cycle consumption risk with half-life of over four years is useful in explaining the cross-section of size-book-to-market portfolios and size-momentum portfolios in the Korean stock market. The short-run components have their own pricing abilities with mixed direction, so that the restricted one short-term factor model is rejected. The explanatory power with short- and long-run components is comparable to that of the Fama-French three-factor model. The components with one- to four-year half-lives are also helpful in explaining the returns. The results about the long-run components emphasize the importance of long-run component in consumption growth to explain the asset returns.