• 제목/요약/키워드: Expert Estimation

검색결과 161건 처리시간 0.029초

금속재료의 피로특성 추정을 위한 전문가시스템 (An Expert System for Estimation of Fatigue Properties of Metallic Materials using Simple Tensile Data)

  • 전우수;송지호
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.195-200
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    • 2003
  • An expert system for estimation of fatigue properties from simple tensile data of material is developed, considering nearly all important estimation methods proposed so far, i.e., 7 estimation methods. The expert system is developed using an expert system shell, UNIK, and the knowledge base is constructed with production rules and frames. Forward chaining is employed as a reasoning method. The expert system has three major functions including the function to update the knowledge base. The performance of the expert system is tested using the 54 ${\sigma}-N$ curves consisting of 381 ${\sigma}-N$ data points obtained for 22 materials. It is found that the expert system developed has excellent performance especially for steel materials, and reasonably good for titanium alloys.

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전문가시스템 구축을 통한 경도로부터의 재료의 피로특성 추정방법 (A Method for Estimation of Fatigue Properties from Hardness of Materials through Construction of Expert System)

  • 전우수;송지호
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집A
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    • pp.114-119
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    • 2001
  • An expert system for estimation of fatigue properties from simple tensile data of material is developed, considering nearly all important estimation methods proposed so far, i.e., 7 estimation methods. The expert system is developed to utilize for the case of only hardness data available. The knowledge base is constructed with production rules and frames using an expert system shell, UNIK. Forward chaining is employed as a reasoning method. The expert system has three major functions including the function to update the knowledge base. The performance of the expert system is tested using the 54 $\varepsilon$-N curves consisting of 381 $\varepsilon$-N data points obtained for 22 materials. It is found that the expert system developed has excellent performance especially for steel materials, and reasonably good for aluminum alloys.

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퍼지 전문가 시스템을 활용한 용접 품질 예측 시스템에 관한 연구 (Research on the weld quality estimation system using fuzzy expert system)

  • 박주용;강병윤;박현철
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 1997
  • Weld bead shape is an important measure for evaluation of weld quality. Many welding parameters have influence on the weld bead shape. The quantitative relationship between welding parameters and bead shape, however, is not determined yet because of their high complexity and many unknown factors. Fuzzy expert system is an advanced expert system which uses fuzzy rules and approximate reasoning. It is a vert useful tool for welding technology because is can process rationally the uncertain and inexact information such as the welding information. In this paper, the empirical and the qualitative relationship between welding parameters and bead shape are analyzed and represented by fuzzy rules. They are converted to the quantitative relationship by use of approximate reasoning of fuzzy expert system. Weld bead shape is estimated from the welding parameters using fuzzy expert system. The result of comparison between measured values of weld bead by welding experiments and the estimates values by fuzzy expert system shows a good consistancy.

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의료기관 내부의 신체감정절차와 향후치료비 산정에 대한 문제점의 고찰 (An Investigation on Problems in the Procedures of Exper t Opinion and Estimation of Future Medical Expenditure of Medical Institutions)

  • 강요한;김필수;문상혁
    • 의료법학
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.115-139
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    • 2012
  • Civil proceedings, surveyed results and medical expenses that are evidenced by expert witness are just one of the methods of proof. Since a judge makes decision by synthesizing all evidences on a concerned case, thus the judgement would be different from that of expert witness. It is not rational for medical institutions, of which priorities are medical treatment, to give priority to disability decision. However, despite of its importance, medical institutions less recognize about the necessity of procedural stability and predictability in expert valuation. It is necessary to identify actual problems and investigate rational alternatives to acquire fairness in valuation procedures and accuracy in calculating future medical expenses. Therefore, this research explores the problems and realities of evaluation process in medical treatments, and then discuss the alternatives of written expert opinion and estimation of future medical expenses.

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매개변수 추정방법의 개선을 위한 전문가 시스템의 개발 (Development of an Expert System to Improve the Methods of Parameter Estimation)

  • 이범희;이길성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.641-655
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    • 1998
  • 급속한 도시화의 영향에 따른 수자원 및 환경문제를 보다 효율적으로 해결하기 위하여 전문가 시스템의 개발 및 적용방안을 제안하였다. 이에 따라 도시유역의 유출 및 수질에 영향을 미치는 주요 매개변수들을 선별하고 민감도 분석 등을 통해 그 거동특성을 제시하였으며, 이러한 특성들을 바탕으로 효과적 매개변수 결정법칙 등을 제안하였다. CLIPS 6.0을 적용하여 ‘사실’과‘규칙’을 기본으로 한 전문가 시스템 ESPE를 개발하였으며, 이를 안양천 유역에 적용하였다. 결과적으로 유출관련 매개변수들의 추정결과를 매우 적용성이 높았으나, 수질관련 매개변수들의 추정결과는 그 모의과정의 복잡성과 의사결정 규칙의 부족 등으로 인하여 제시된 방법들에 대한 개선의 필요가 있음을 보여주었다.

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블랙보드를 이용한 지능형 항행 안전 정보 시스템 (Intelligent Navigation Safety Information System using Blackboard)

  • 김도연;이미라
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2011
  • 대부분의 해양 사고는 인적 요인에 의해 발생하며, 항행 전문가들은 그 문제의 해결을 위해인적 요인의 영향을 받지 않는 항행 지원 시스템을 요구하였다. 항행을 지원하기 위한 인공지능 기술 중에서 전문가 시스템은 전문가의 지식이나 경험들을 이용한 지식베이스와 그 추론 엔진의 구현을 통해 기계가 해당 분야의 전문가 역할을 대신할 수 있는 중요한 기법이다. 현실세계에서 복잡한 상황에 대한 정확한 판단을 하기 위해서는 여러 분야의 전문가에 의한 종합적인 판단이 필요하며, 특히, 그러한 판단은 여러 위험요소가 잠재되어 있는 항행상황에서 더욱 중요하다. 이 논문에서는 블랙보드 시스템을 이용하여 다양한 전문가 시스템으로부터 얻은 항행 안전 지식의 융합 방법을 제안하고, 테스트 시스템을 설계 및 구현하여 제안하는 방법의 타당성을 보인다.

8체질 진단을 위한 전문가 시스템 개발에 관한 연구(2) (A Study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development(2))

  • 신용섭;박영배;박영재;김민용;이상철;오환섭
    • 대한한의진단학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.107-126
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    • 2008
  • Background : There was seldom study about method that diagnose 8 Constitution beside method of pulse diagnosis in 8 Constitution Medicine. Objectives : This study is to make out 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning). Methods : First, at case base construction process we constructed case base for CBR embodiment because gathering 925 cases all to patient who constitution is verified, and second, at study model establishment process superior expert system development by purpose CBR of reasoning process dividing fundamental type CBR that spend basis data value and expert type CBR that reflect weight in basis data value accordin I II III to advice expert opinion, and third, system embodiment process explained about way to give process and weight that diagnose constitution through Nearest Neighbor Method sampling process of CBR techniques, and fourth, at system estimation process we selected superior CBR model because comparing and estimate the diagnosis rate of expert system with fundamental type system (GECBR) model and expert type I II III CBR system (AVCBR, AACBR, AGCBR) model that reflect expert opinion in fundamental type system. GECBR and AGCBR chose on superior study model. Through such 4 study process, we developed 8 constitution diagnosis expert system lastly. Results : 1. When we select GECBR that is fundamental type by reasoning system, diagnosis rate 78.91% of 8 constitution diagnosis expert system is expected, and the constitution diagnosis rate Hepatonia 90.4%, Cholecystonia 63.0%, Pancreotonia 91.1%, Gastrotonia 0%, Pulmotonia 71.2%, Colonotonia 74.4%, Renotonia 37.5%, Vesicotonia 67.1% expect. 2. When we select AGCBR that is expert type III by reasoning system, diagnosis rate 77.51% of 8 constitution diagnosis expert system is expected, and the constitution diagnosis rate Hepatonia 93.4%, Cholecystonia 58.5%, Pancreotonia 91.1%, Gastrotonia 0%, Pulmotonia 73.1%, Colonotonia 64.4%, Renotonia 41.7%, Vesicotonia 72.2% expect. Conclusion : Based on this study, 8 constitution diagnosis expert system may give help to diagnose 8 constitution, and it is going to utilize as objective estimation tool of 8 constitution diagnosis, and further study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning) is needed to supplement this study.

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8체질의학을 위한 진단 전문가 시스템 개발 및 고찰 (A Study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development)

  • 신용섭;박영배;박영재;김민용;오환섭
    • 대한한의진단학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.142-184
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    • 2008
  • Background: There was seldom study about method that diagnose 8 Constitution beside method of pulse diagnosis in 8 Constitution Medicine. Objectives: This study is to make out 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning). Methods: First, at case base construction process we constructed case base for CBR embodiment because gathering 925 cases all to patient who constitution is verified, and second, at study model establishment process superior expert system development by purpose CBR of reasoning process dividing fundamental type CBR that spend basis data value and expert type I II III CBR that reflect weight in basis data value according to advice expert opinion, and third, system embodiment process explained about way to give process and weight that diagnose constitution through Nearest Neighbor Method sampling process of CBR techniques, and fourth, at system estimation process we selected superior CBR model because comparing and estimate the diagnosis rate of expert system with fundamental type system (GECBR) model and expert type I II III CBR system (AVCBR, AACBR, AGCBR) model that reflect expert opinion in fundamental type system. GECBR and AGCBR chose on superior study model. Through such 4 study process, we developed 8 constitution diagnosis expert system lastly. Results: 1. When we select GECBR that is fundamental type by reasoning system, diagnosis rate 78.91% of 8 constitution diagnosis expert system is expected, and the constitution diagnosis rate Hepatonia 90.4%, Cholecystonia 63.0%, Pancreotonia 91.1%, Gastrotonia 0%, Pulmotonia 71.2%, Colonotonia 74.4%, Renotonia 37.5%, Vesicotonia 67.1% expect. 2. When we select AGCBR that is expert type III by reasoning system, diagnosis rate 77.51% of 8 constitution diagnosis expert system is expected, and the constitution diagnosis rate Hepatonia 93.4%, Cholecystonia 58.5%, Pancreotonia 91.1%, Gastrotonia 0%, Pulmotonia 73.1%, Colonotonia 64.4%, Renotonia 41.7%, Vesicotonia 72.2% expect. Conclusion: Based on this study, 8 constitution diagnosis expert system may give help to diagnose 8 constitution, and it is going to utilize as objective estimation tool of 8 constitution diagnosis, and further study for 8 Constitution Medicine Diagnosis Expert System Development used CBR(Case based Reasoning) is needed to supplement this study.

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Probabilistic assessment on the basis of interval data

  • Thacker, Ben H.;Huyse, Luc J.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.331-345
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    • 2007
  • Uncertainties enter a complex analysis from a variety of sources: variability, lack of data, human errors, model simplification and lack of understanding of the underlying physics. However, for many important engineering applications insufficient data are available to justify the choice of a particular probability density function (PDF). Sometimes the only data available are in the form of interval estimates which represent, often conflicting, expert opinion. In this paper we demonstrate that Bayesian estimation techniques can successfully be used in applications where only vague interval measurements are available. The proposed approach is intended to fit within a probabilistic framework, which is established and widely accepted. To circumvent the problem of selecting a specific PDF when only little or vague data are available, a hierarchical model of a continuous family of PDF's is used. The classical Bayesian estimation methods are expanded to make use of imprecise interval data. Each of the expert opinions (interval data) are interpreted as random interval samples of a parent PDF. Consequently, a partial conflict between experts is automatically accounted for through the likelihood function.

Fuzzy Decision을 사용한 단기부하예측 전문가 시스템 (An Expert System for Short Term Load Forecasting by Fuzzy Decision)

  • 박영일;박종근
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1988년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
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    • pp.118-121
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    • 1988
  • Load forecasting is an important issue as for the economic dispatch and there have been many researches which are classfied into two classes, time series method and factor analysis method. But the former is not adaptive for a sudden change of a correlated factor and the latter is not inefficient as the factor estimation is not easy. To make matters worse, both of them are not good for the estimation of special days. It is because the load forecasting is not a problem modeled precisely in mathematics, but a problem requires experience and knowledge those can solve it case by case. In this viewpoint, an expert system is proposed which can use complicated experience of an expert by use of fuzzy decision.

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