• 제목/요약/키워드: Expectancy

검색결과 965건 처리시간 0.027초

Korea's Demographic Transition and Long-Term Growth Projection Based on an Overlapping Generations Model

  • KWON, KYOOHO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.25-51
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    • 2017
  • This paper employs an Overlapping Generations Model to quantify the impacts of Korea's demographic transition toward an older population on the total output growth rate. The model incorporates the projected population through 2060 according by Statistics Korea. The effects of the low fertility and increased life expectancy rates are studied. The model is considered suitable for analyzing the effects of demographic changes on the Korean economy. Under the assumption that the TFP growth rate will not slow considerably in the future, remaining at 1.3% per annum, the gross output growth rate of the Korean economy is projected to slow to 1.1% per annum in the 2050s, from 4.0% in the 2000s. The shrinking workforce due to the decline in fertility plays a significant role in the deceleration of the Korean economy. The increased life expectancy rate is expected to mitigate the negative effect, but the magnitude of its effect is found to be limited.

An Artificial Neural Network Model Approach to Predict Managers and Business Students Motivational Levels Using Expert Systems

  • 이용진;윤종훈
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제5권
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    • pp.205-248
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    • 1996
  • Historically, the en-users' acceptance of the expert systems(ES) have generally been used as a proxy for the ES' implementation success by both practitioners and academicians. However, with regard to bank loan decisions, most loan officers approach the acquisition of an ES with apprehension. In order to overcome this skepticism, more research should focus on the behavioral aspects relate to systems acquisition and usage. This research applied Vroom's(1964) expectancy theory in an effort to predict end-users' motivation to use an ES in a bank loan decision context. Because human behaviors and judgements are nonlinear rather than linear functions, accurately predicting human behavior is very difficult. To increase the prediction power for end-users' motivation to use an ES in a bank loan decision context, this research used an artificial neural network (ANN) model. In this research, an attempt was made to evaluate adequacy of the surrogates by analyzing differences between real bank loan officers and student surrogates in applying expectancy theory to estimate bank loan officers' motivation to use ES in a bank loan decision context.

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The Effects of the Specific Attitudes toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution and Job Satisfaction

  • 함상우
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2020
  • The period of the Fourth Industrial Revolution is our near future and the ongoing changes in this age. We need to strive to adapt to this changes and also try to create new values. This study focuses on workers' perceptions and attitudes (self-efficacy, expectancy, and acceptance of change) toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution. These positive attitudes toward the upcoming future and the Fourth Industrial Revolution will influence on both the future and the current attitude, behavior and performance of employees. People have certain attitudes to the future, and these attitudes have an impact on current behavior. This paper tries to examine the positive attitudes toward the Fourth Industrial Revolution era and the influence of positive attitudes toward this new age on the current job satisfaction. Through this process, this paper explains what kinds of attitudes the workers should have in the Fourth Industrial Revolution era, and also sheds light on significance and purpose of this paper to explain how these specific attitudes toward the future influence the present performance such as job satisfaction.

The Estimation Analysis Method of the Annual Operation Cost of Korean High-rise Condominiums

  • Ko, Eun Hyung;Choi, Jun Young
    • Architectural research
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2005
  • In today's building industry the emphasis has been geared more towards construction, thus building maintenance and life cycle have been neglected until now. A direct result of this neglect is the rapid aging of building, which leads to more cost-effective decision making methods for the prolongation of building life span. The following study is conducted in the area of Daegu and Seoul in order to develop the estimation analysis method of the annual operation cost of the Korean high-rise condominiums for the cost-effective decision making support through mathematical and statistical analyses including the present value and standardized measurement corrections. Based on the assumption that the life expectancy of the high rise condominium is 50 years, initial cost is ₩421,212/$m^2$, and a total sum of yearly operation cost during life expectancy is ₩2,154,499//$m^2$), yearly accumulated operation cost is shown as below: $AOC=0.7097t^4-38.803t^3+806.95t^2+11045t-496.52$ ($R^2=0.98$) (Here, AOC = Accumulated Operation Cost, t = given years)

오픈소스와 상용 DBMS의 사용자 기대요인과 만족에 대한 연구 (User Expectation and Satisfaction of Open Source and Commercial DBMS)

  • 문정오;김종우
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.415-419
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    • 2008
  • In this study, an empirical research based on survey has been performed to study the influence of user expectation to user satisfaction of commercial and open source DBMSs. According to the survey results, word-of-mouth and past experiences influence significantly to user expectation, and price influences to user expectation only for commercial DBMS users. The results show that the expectancy disconfirmation influences significantly to user satisfaction. Expectation and satisfaction levels of commercial DBMS users are higher significantly than those of open source DBMS users. However, expectancy disconfirmation of open source DBMS users is higher than that of commercial DBMS users.

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감사인의 데이터 분석 기법 채택에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구 (A Study on the Effect of Selection on Data Analytics by Auditor)

  • 정관훈;이정훈;김다솜
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.37-60
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    • 2015
  • As the dependence on information systems in enterprises has grown dramatically, the importance of implementing information systems in audit has been increased as well. However, there is a lact of about utilization of information system for audit process. Thus, this study is to investigate the factors that effect auditor's adopting Data Analytics to audit work. Through literature research and focus group interview, we added two factors that affect the behavioral intention to UTAUT model. We have selected performance expectancy, effort expectancy, social influence, facilitating conditions, anxiety, task fit, behavioral intention as variables and verified hypotheses based on survey questionnaires from auditors. As a result, it was found that performance expectations, social influence, task fit influenced the behavior intention. In Addition, we analyzed adding two variables, IT-related work experience and type of auditor as moderate variable. This study has an implication for companies to motivate implementation as well as activation of Data Analytics technique.

Issues in Adults Prader-Willi Syndrome

  • Park, Sung Won
    • Journal of mucopolysaccharidosis and rare diseases
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.40-43
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    • 2015
  • Prader-Willi syndrome (PWS), a complex genetic disorder, arises from suppressed expression of paternally inherited imprinted genes on chromosome 15q11-q13. Characteristics include short stature, intellectual disability, behavioral problems, hypogonadism, obesity, and reduced bone and muscle. The life expectancy of persons with PWS has increased in recent years. Cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, dermatological, and orthopedic problems are common physical complaints in older people with PWS. Behavioral problems are major concerns in adults with PWS into old age. And aging is also associated with significant social and economic changes. Age-related physical morbidity, physical appearance, behavioral and psychiatric problems, functional decline and economic problems can be combined in older PWS. The care for older people with PWS requires a life span approach that recognizes the presence, progression, and consequences of specific morbidity.

송전용 자기애자의 수명 평가 연구 (A Study on Life Expectancy Forecast for Porcelain Insulators)

  • 이원교;최인혁;황갑철;최한열
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.462-463
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    • 2008
  • 36,000lbs porcelain insulators (D-1995, D-1997, D-2002) investigated mechanical and electrical qualities, which were installed in the Korea 154kV transmission lines. This paper assessed Weibull distribution function, quality index, and uniformity index to forecast the remaining life expectancies of insulators. Applying Weibull distribution function on year lapse change test, electro-mechanical failing load test, and HRB values confirmed a significant degree of correlation. Statistically calculating the life expectancy through quality indices for aging and new products and uniformity indices that are associated with uniformity of insulation materials revealed.

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Environmental Distribution of Air Pollutants and Environmental Risk Assessment in Regional Scale

  • Matsumoto, Fumio;Saito, Mitsugu;Otsuka, Naohiro
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2010
  • We measured the concentrations of air pollutants at several residential sites, roadside sites and industrial sites in Iwate Prefecture, Japan. And the concentration distributions of air pollutants were estimated by atmospheric dispersion model using air emissions data. Based on those results, we calculated environmental risk of air pollutants emitted in Iwate Prefecture. As a result, it was found that the surround of factories with high emissions and highly toxic chemicals and the roadsides were high risk area, benzo(a)pyrene, formaldehyde and ozone exceeded the $10^{-5}$ risk level. Moreover, we tried to use "Loss of life expectancy: LLE" for an index to explain those risk to general public intelligibly. The total LLE of the carcinogenic chemicals was about 8.6 hours. Moreover, LLE of ozone was about 9.2 hours. Ozone has a big influence compared with the carcinogenic chemicals.

수학 교수 효능감 도구 MTEBI 한글판의 신뢰도와 타당도 (Reliability and Validity of Korean-Translated Mathematics Teaching Efficacy Beliefs Inventory)

  • 량도형
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈A:수학교육
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2007
  • Mathematics Teaching Efficacy Beliefs Inventory (MTEBI) was translated into Korean and conducted among Korean pre-service mathematics teachers. The Korean-translated MTEBI consists of two subscales with 16 items. Personal Mathematics Teaching Efficacy (PMTE) subscale has 10 items and Mathematics Teaching Outcome Expectancy (MTOE) subscale has 6 items. The purpose of this study is to investigate the internal reliability and the construct validity of the Korean-translated MTEBI. The Cronbach alpha coefficient of Korean-translated MTEBI and its two subscales are respectively .87, .83, and .74 which imply that the instrument is reliable. The construct validity was achieved by performing factor analysis. Principal component solution with varimax rotation for the Korean-translated MTEBI was used in factor analysis and thus the best fit simple structure was obtained by two factors which correspond to the self-efficacy dimension and the outcome expectancy dimension of Bandura's self-efficacy theory.

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