• 제목/요약/키워드: Excess risk

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디지털 시대 부모 - 자녀관계가 청소년의 인터넷 과다사용에 미치는 영향 (A study on parent-children relation influences on Internet excess utility of adolescent in Digital period)

  • 이영주
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 부모-자녀 관계가 청소년들의 인터넷 사용에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자 하였다. 부모 자녀관계를 폭력과 방임에 따라 구분하고 인터넷과다사용은 일상생활 문제, 계획한 일을 실행못함, 과다사용, 타인과의 갈등관계 등을 포함하여 일반군, 잠재적위험군, 고위험군으로 구분하였다. 연구 결과, 폭력적이고 방임적인 부모관계에서 잠재적 위험군, 고위험청소년이 높게 나타났고 이는 부모 자녀관계가 청소년들의 인터넷 사용에 영향이 있음을 시사한다. 청소년들의 인터넷사용을 줄이고 중독으로 진행되지 않게 하기 위해서는 부모의 역할이 중요하며, 청소년들의 발달단계를 세심하게 이해해야 한다. 또한 인터넷에 몰입하는 청소년들에게 여가문화를 즐길 수 있는 놀이프로그램, 체험프로그램의 개발과 보급이 요구된다. 또한 인터넷 중독 전문인력 양성과 지원으로 문제가 발생한 청소년들에게 일회성이 아닌 지속적인 상담과 치료가 이루어져야 할 것이다.

Assessment of the Human Risk by an Intake of Ethyl Carbamate Present in Major Korean Fermented Foods

  • Noh, I-Woo;Ha, Mi-Sun;Han, Eun-Mee;Jang, In-Sook;An, Youn-Joo;Ha, Sang-Do;Park, Sang-Kyu;Bae, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.1961-1967
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    • 2006
  • Levels of ethyl carbamate, a potential carcinogen produced naturally during fermentation, in major Korean fermented foods and alcoholic beverages were determined by GC/MS/SIM, and their average daily intake and excess cancer risk in Korean people were estimated. In GC/MS/SIM analysis n.d.-4.26, 1.40-58.90, n.d.-3.76, n.d.-1.87, and 0.40-10.07 $\mu$g/kg of ethyl carbamate were detected in kimchi, soy sauces, fermented pastes, fermented dairy products, and alcoholic beverages, respectively. The average daily intake of ethyl carbamate and excess cancer risk through major Korean fermented foods and alcoholic beverage consumption were 6.0 ng/kg bw/day and $3.0\times10^{-7}$, respectively for the average Korean person aged 3-64 years, and were mainly contributed by Chinese cabbage kimchi, soy sauces, and Soju.

Excess Deaths During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Southern Iran: Estimating the Absolute Count and Relative Risk Using Ecological Data

  • Mohammadreza Zakeri;Alireza Mirahmadizadeh;Habibollah Azarbakhsh;Seyed Sina Dehghani;Maryam Janfada;Mohammad Javad Moradian;Leila Moftakhar;Mehdi Sharafi;Alireza Heiran
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제57권2호
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic led to increased mortality rates. To assess this impact, this ecological study aimed to estimate the excess death counts in southern Iran. Methods: The study obtained weekly death counts by linking the National Death Registry and Medical Care Monitoring Center repositories. The P-score was initially estimated using a simple method that involved calculating the difference between the observed and expected death counts. The interrupted time series analysis was then used to calculate the mean relative risk (RR) of death during the first year of the pandemic. Results: Our study found that there were 5571 excess deaths from all causes (P-score=33.29%) during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, with 48.03% of these deaths directly related to COVID-19. The pandemic was found to increase the risk of death from all causes (RR, 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19 to 1.33), as well as in specific age groups such as those aged 35-49 (RR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.32), 50-64 (RR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28 to 1.49), and ≥65 (RR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.32) years old. Furthermore, there was an increased risk of death from cardiovascular diseases (RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.22). Conclusions: There was a 26% increase in the death count in southern Iran during the COVID-19 pandemic. More than half of these excess deaths were not directly related to COVID-19, but rather other causes, with cardiovascular diseases being a major contributor.

Health risk assessment for radon of groundwater in Korea

  • Kim, Yeshin;Kim, Jinyong;Park, Hoasung;Park, Soungeun;Dongchun Shin
    • 한국환경독성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국환경독성학회 2003년도 추계국제학술대회
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    • pp.170-170
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    • 2003
  • An initial study has been conducted with Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral resources and National Institute of Environment Research to evaluate the distribution of radon levels and their risk levels of groundwater in Korea. Probability distribution of 616 samples was log-normal one with 1,867pCi/L as arithmetic value, 920pCi/L as median and 40,010pCi/L as maximum during iou. years(1999-2002). In addition, 10% of total samples are in excess of 4,000pCi/L, 20% in excess of 2,700pCi/L, and 30% in excess of 1,700pCi/L, and 15 samples exceeds 10,000pCi/L. Total samples are grouped into 10 areas and 5 rocks unit, and difference of concentrations among areas and rocks are statistically significant(respectively, p<0.0001). The highest area is Daejeon located in ogcheon metamorphic rocks and granitic rocks, and most of all sites with high concentration sites are located in granitic rocks. The lowest area is Jeju located in volcanic rocks. We have estimated excess cancer risks of radon based on these data. To estimate risks, first of all, use patterns of groundwater are categorized with 6 groups: for drinking, household, farming, washing cars, raising stock, and others. We considered risk only for drinking water and household water because radon is rapidly dispersed before it of other use reach human respiratory organs. We select 565 samples for risk analysis, and applied unit risk which is 6.6210-7 per pCi/L to be recommended by NAS committee. Unit risk was derived from considering radon ingestion and radon inhalation from water use. When estimating risk, we analyzed PDF of concentration and represented risk as 50 and 95 percentile values to consider uncertainty with Monte-Carlo simulation. It results in 10-4 level of their excess cancer risk and in 10-2 level in some areas with high concentration of radon. It must be monitor periodically and take adequate actions in these risky sites. We recommend that it needs to take more survey and finally set guideline for radon regulation in groundwater.

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음용수중 휘발성 유기오염물질의 노출경로에 따른 위해도 추정치 비교연구 (A Study on Comparison of Risk Estimates Among Various Exposure Scenario of Several Volatile Organic Compounds in Tap Water)

  • 정용;신동천;김종만;양지연;박성은
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제10권1_2호
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 1995
  • Risk assessment processes, which include processes for the estimation of human cancer potency using animal bioassay data and calculation of human exposure, entail uncertainties. In the exposure assessment process, exposure scenarios with various assumptions could affect the exposure amount and excess cancer risk. We compared risk estimates among various exposure scenarios of vinyl chloride, trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethylene in tap water. The contaminant concentrations were analyzed from tap water samples in Seoul from 1993 to 1994. The oral and inhalation cancer potencies of the contaminants were estimated using multistage, Weibull, lognormal, and Mantel-Bryan model in TOX-RISK computer software. In the first case, human excess cancer risk was estimated by the US EPA method used to set the MCL(maximum contaminant level). In the second and third case, the risk was estimated for multi-route exposure with and without adopting Monte-Carlo simulation, respectively. In the second case, exposure input parameters and cancer potencies used probability distributions, and in the third case, those values used point estimates(mean, and maximum or 95% upper-bound value). As a result, while the excess cancer risk estimated by US EPA method considering only direct ingestion tended to be underestimated, the risk which was estimated by considering multi-route exposure without Monte-Carlo simulation and then using the maximum or 95% upper-bound value as input parameters tended to be overestimated. In risk assessment for volatile organic compounds, considering multi-route exposure with adopting Monte-Carlo analysis seems to provide the most reasonable estimations.

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한국인의 실내 라돈-222 자핵종 피폭으로 인한 초과 폐암위험 (Evaluation of Excess Lung Cancer Risk in Korean due to Indoor Exposure to Natural $^{222}Rn$ Progenies)

  • 장시영;하정우;이병헌
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 1992
  • 실내 라돈-222 자핵종의 농도에 피폭되므로서 유발될 수 있는 한국인의 초과 폐암위험을 방사선피폭의 확율론적 위험예측 모형을 이용하여 정량적으로 평가하였다. 1989년 기준 표준 생명표와 사망원인 통계연보 자료로부터 유도한 한국인의 폐암 사망률은 남, 여별로 각각 $22.4/10^5-$년 및 $9.5^/10^5-$년으로 추정 되었다. 이 폐암 사망율을 근거로 수학적으로 예상한 한 모든 사망원인하의 기저 폐암사망위험은 남, 여별로 각각 0.047(4.7%) 및 0.019(1.9%)로 1984년도 미국의 0.067(6.7%) 및 0.025(2.5%)보다 낮았다. 방사선 피폭의 확률론적 수정 상대위험 예측모형을 사용하여 예상한 한국인의 라돈자핵종 피폭당의 초과 폐암위험 계수는 남자 : 0.022/WLM, 여자 : 0.009/WLM 및 평균 : 0.017/WLM로 나타났으며 이로부터 추정한 한국인의 평균 수명중 라돈자핵종 피폭유발 초과 폐암의 사망빈도는 $230/10^6$인-WLM으로 최근 외국의 관련연구에서 보고한 $120{\sim}450/10^6-WLM$의 거의 중간치(median)정도에 해당하는 것으로 평가되었다.

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Risk Assessment of Exposure to Silica Dust in Building Demolition Sites

  • Normohammadi, Mohammad;Kakooei, Hossein;Omidi, Leila;Yari, Saeed;Alimi, Rasul
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.251-255
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    • 2016
  • Background: Building demolition can lead to emission of dust into the environment. Exposure to silica dust may be considered as an important hazard in these sites. The objectives of this research were to determine the amount of workers' exposure to crystalline silica dust and assess the relative risk of silicosis and the excess lifetime risk of mortality from lung cancer in demolition workers. Methods: Four sites in the Tehran megacity region were selected. Silica dust was collected using the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health method 7601 and determined spectrophotometrically. The Mannetje et al and Rice et al models were chosen to examine the rate of silicosis-related mortality and the excess lifetime risk of mortality from lung cancer, respectively. Results: The amount of demolition workers' exposure was in the range of $0.085-0.185mg/m^3$. The range of relative risk of silicosis related mortality was increased from 1 in the workers with the lowest exposure level to 22.64/1,000 in the employees with high exposure level. The range of the excess lifetime risk of mortality from lung cancer was in the range of 32-60/1,000 exposed workers. Conclusion: Geometric and arithmetic mean of exposure was higher than threshold limit value for silica dust in all demolition sites. The risk of silicosis mortality for many demolition workers was higher than 1/1,000 (unacceptable level of risk). Estimating the lifetime lung cancer mortality showed a higher risk of mortality from lung cancer in building demolition workers.

Indoor Exposure and Health Risk of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Public Facilities, Korea

  • Kim, Ho-Hyun;Lim, Young-Wook;Jeon, Jun-Min;Kim, Tae-Hun;Lee, Geon-Woo;Lee, Woo-Seok;Lim, Jung-Yun;Shin, Dong-Chun;Yang, Ji-Yeon
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.72-84
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    • 2013
  • In the study, pollution levels of indoor polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in public facilities (vapor phase or particulate phase) were evaluated, and a health risk assessment (HRA) was carried out based on exposure scenarios. Public facilities in Korea covered by the law, including underground subway stations, funeral halls, child care facilities, internet cafes (PC-rooms), and exhibition facilities (6 locations for each type of facility, for a total of 48 locations), were investigated for indoor assessment. For the HRA, individual excess cancer risk (ECR) was estimated by applying main toxic equivalency factor (TEF) values suggested in previous studies. Among the eight public facilities, internet cafes showed the highest average $PM_{2.5}$ concentration at $110.0{\mu}g/m^3$ (range: $83.5-138.5{\mu}g/m^3$). When assuming a risk of facility exposure time based upon the results of the surveys for each public facility, the excess cancer risk using the benzo(a)pyrene indicator assessment method was estimated to be $10^{-7}-10^{-6}$ levels for each facility. Based on the risk associated with various TEF values, the excess cancer risk based upon the seven types cancer EPA (1993) and Malcolm & Dobson's (1994) assessment method was estimated to be $10^{-7}-10^{-5}$ for each facility. The excess cancer risk estimated from the TEF EPA (2010) assessment was the highest: $10^{-7}-10^{-4}$ for each facility. This is due to the 10-fold difference between the TEF of dibenzo(a,e)fluoranthene in 2010 and in 1994. The internet cafes where smoking was the clear pollutant showed the highest risk level of $10^{-4}$, which exceeded the World Health Organization's recommended risk of $1{\times}10^{-6}$. All facilities, with the exception of internet cafes, showed a $10^{-6}$ risk level. However, when the TEFs values of the US EPA (2010) were applied, the risk of most facilities in this study exceeded $1{\times}10^{-6}$.

한국인의 초과 방사선 암 위험도 평가에 근거한 국내원전의 안전목표치 설정 방법론 (Methodology on the Safety Goal Setting of Reactor Operation based on the Radiogenic Excess Cancer Risk in Korea)

  • 장시영;정운관
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 1999
  • 통계청에서 최근에 발표한 한국인 인구통계 자료와 미국 학술원 산하 '방사선의 생물학적 영향 위원회'의 최근 보고서(BEIR-V)의 수정 상대위험 투사모델을 적용하여 한국인의 방사선 피폭에 의한 초과 암발생 위험도를 평가하였다. 인구통계 자료로부터 유도한 사소위험도(trivial risk) 및 계산된 방사선유발 초과 암 위험도를 비교한 후 사소위험도의 수준으로 개인의 피폭선량을 유지하기 위한 국내 원전의 안전운영 목표치를 유도하였다. 방사선 피폭 유발 초과 암 위험도는 0.1 Gy의 단일피폭의 경우에는 $5.5{\times}10^{-3}$, 1.0 mGy/y로 생애연속 피폭 시엔 $3.7{\times}10^{-3}$인 것으로 평가되었다. 한국인의 모든 원인에 의한 기저사망 위험도 및 사소위험도는 각각 $5.2{\times}10^{-3}$$5.2{\times}10^{-6}$인 것으로 예상되었다. 한국인의 사소위험도 및 방사선 위험도 평가 결과로부터 유도한 국내 원전운영의 안전목표치는 대략 0.05 mSv/y로, 이 값은 미국 원자력규제위원회(USNRC)가 연방규제법 10CFR50 부록 I에서 제시하고 있는 ALARA 지침값과 거의 동일한 값으로 밝혀졌다.

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