• 제목/요약/키워드: Excess rainfall

검색결과 75건 처리시간 0.029초

한반도 강우형태에 따른 Huff 시간분포의 최적 초과확률 분석 (Analysis of the optimal excess probability of the Huff's time distribution according to the type of rainfall on the Korean Peninsula)

  • 설성훈;장석환;최홍찬;윤태희
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.417-417
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    • 2022
  • 현재 수공 구조물 설계 시 설계강우량으로써 빈도해석과정을 통해 산정된 확률강우량을 적용하고 있다. 하지만 확률강우량의 경우 시계열 강우분포형태를 알 수 없는 문제가 존재한다. 강우의 시간분포 형태는 비점오염, 강우에 의한 수식 등 도달시간과 첨두 홍수량에 지대한 영향을 미치는 요소이다. 현재 국내에서는 Huff 4분위법이 널리 사용되고 있지만 Huff 4분위법은 기존의 강우패턴을 평균하였기 때문에 자연현상인 강우의 다양하고 복잡한 분포형태를 반영하기 어렵다는 문제를 가지고 있으며, Huff 4분위법이 갖는 한계로 정의할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 Huff 4분위법이 갖는 한계를 보완하기 위해 설계홍수량산정지침에서 제시하고 있는 초과확률 50%의 시간분포 값을 산정하는 것에서 벗어나 한반도의 강우형태와 최근 20년간의 강우 패턴 변화를 고려한 최적 초과 확률값을 선정하였다.

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토양수분함량 예측 및 계획관개 모의 모형 개발에 관한 연구(I) (A Study on the Development of a Simulation Model for Predicting Soil Moisture Content and Scheduling Irrigation)

  • 김철회;고재군
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.4279-4295
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    • 1977
  • Two types of model were established in order to product the soil moisture content by which information on irrigation could be obtained. Model-I was to represent the soil moisture depletion and was established based on the concept of water balance in a given soil profile. Model-II was a mathematical model derived from the analysis of soil moisture variation curves which were drawn from the observed data. In establishing the Model-I, the method and procedure to estimate parameters for the determination of the variables such as evapotranspirations, effective rainfalls, and drainage amounts were discussed. Empirical equations representing soil moisture variation curves were derived from the observed data as the Model-II. The procedure for forecasting timing and amounts of irrigation under the given soil moisture content was discussed. The established models were checked by comparing the observed data with those predicted by the model. Obtained results are summarized as follows: 1. As a water balance model of a given soil profile, the soil moisture depletion D, could be represented as the equation(2). 2. Among the various empirical formulae for potential evapotranspiration (Etp), Penman's formula was best fit to the data observed with the evaporation pans and tanks in Suweon area. High degree of positive correlation between Penman's predicted data and observed data with a large evaporation pan was confirmed. and the regression enquation was Y=0.7436X+17.2918, where Y represents evaporation rate from large evaporation pan, in mm/10days, and X represents potential evapotranspiration rate estimated by use of Penman's formula. 3. Evapotranspiration, Et, could be estimated from the potential evapotranspiration, Etp, by introducing the consumptive use coefficient, Kc, which was repre sensed by the following relationship: Kc=Kco$.$Ka+Ks‥‥‥(Eq. 6) where Kco : crop coefficient Ka : coefficient depending on the soil moisture content Ks : correction coefficient a. Crop coefficient. Kco. Crop coefficients of barley, bean, and wheat for each growth stage were found to be dependent on the crop. b. Coefficient depending on the soil moisture content, Ka. The values of Ka for clay loam, sandy loam, and loamy sand revealed a similar tendency to those of Pierce type. c. Correction coefficent, Ks. Following relationships were established to estimate Ks values: Ks=Kc-Kco$.$Ka, where Ks=0 if Kc,=Kco$.$K0$\geq$1.0, otherwise Ks=1-Kco$.$Ka 4. Effective rainfall, Re, was estimated by using following relationships : Re=D, if R-D$\geq$0, otherwise, Re=R 5. The difference between rainfall, R, and the soil moisture depletion D, was taken as drainage amount, Wd. {{{{D= SUM from { {i }=1} to n (Et-Re-I+Wd)}}}} if Wd=0, otherwise, {{{{D= SUM from { {i }=tf} to n (Et-Re-I+Wd)}}}} where tf=2∼3 days. 6. The curves and their corresponding empirical equations for the variation of soil moisture depending on the soil types, soil depths are shown on Fig. 8 (a,b.c,d). The general mathematical model on soil moisture variation depending on seasons, weather, and soil types were as follow: {{{{SMC= SUM ( { C}_{i }Exp( { - lambda }_{i } { t}_{i } )+ { Re}_{i } - { Excess}_{i } )}}}} where SMC : soil moisture content C : constant depending on an initial soil moisture content $\lambda$ : constant depending on season t : time Re : effective rainfall Excess : drainage and excess soil moisture other than drainage. The values of $\lambda$ are shown on Table 1. 7. The timing and amount of irrigation could be predicted by the equation (9-a) and (9-b,c), respectively. 8. Under the given conditions, the model for scheduling irrigation was completed. Fig. 9 show computer flow charts of the model. a. To estimate a potential evapotranspiration, Penman's equation was used if a complete observed meteorological data were available, and Jensen-Haise's equation was used if a forecasted meteorological data were available, However none of the observed or forecasted data were available, the equation (15) was used. b. As an input time data, a crop carlender was used, which was made based on the time when the growth stage of the crop shows it's maximum effective leaf coverage. 9. For the purpose of validation of the models, observed data of soil moiture content under various conditions from May, 1975 to July, 1975 were compared to the data predicted by Model-I and Model-II. Model-I shows the relative error of 4.6 to 14.3 percent which is an acceptable range of error in view of engineering purpose. Model-II shows 3 to 16.7 percent of relative error which is a little larger than the one from the Model-I. 10. Comparing two models, the followings are concluded: Model-I established on the theoretical background can predict with a satisfiable reliability far practical use provided that forecasted meteorological data are available. On the other hand, Model-II was superior to Model-I in it's simplicity, but it needs long period and wide scope of observed data to predict acceptable soil moisture content. Further studies are needed on the Model-II to make it acceptable in practical use.

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CAT 모형의 침투해석방법별 전역최적화기법을 이용한 보령댐 유역의 유출 특성 변화 분석 (Analysis of Streamflow Characteristics of Boryeong-dam Watershed using Global Optimization Technique by Infiltraion Methods of CAT)

  • 박상현;김현준;장철희
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.412-424
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 물리적 매개변수 기반의 물 순환 해석 모형인 CAT(Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool)의 침투해석 방법별 유역 유출 특성의 변화를 분석하였다. 연구대상 유역은 충남지역에 위치한 보령댐 유역으로 최근 몇 년간 심각한 가뭄으로 인해 피해를 입은 바 있으며 금강 하류에서 보령댐 상류를 잇는 도수로를 설치하는 등의 노력을 통하여 현재는 안정을 찾은 상태이다. 이상 기후로 인해 발생하는 잦은 가뭄에 대응하기 위해서 는 유역 내 수문 환경 특성 인자들의 상호작용 규명을 통한 정도 높은 물 순환 해석이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 토양 침투 관련 매개변수가 유역 유출 특성에 미치는 영향을 CAT에서 제공하는 Rainfall Excess, Green&Ampt 및 Horton 등의 침투 해석 방법별로 분석하였으며 각 침투해석 방법별 토양 관련 주요 매개변수들의 연도별 변동을 비교하기 위해 CAT과 연계된 매개변수 최적화 및 불확실성 분석 패키지인 PEST(Model-Independent Parameter ESTimation) 내의 전역최적화기법(SCEUA-P)을 이용하여 매개변수 보정을 실시하였다. 또한 매개변수 최적화 수행 시에 각 연도별로 최적화한 결과를 매년 적용하는 경우와 전체 모의기간에 대해 최적화한 결과를 전 기간에 적용하는 경우, 그리고 각 연도별 최적화한 결과의 평균값을 전체 모의기간에 적용하는 세 가지 경우에 대한 유출 특성의 변화를 침투 해석 방법별로 비교 및 분석하였다.

뒤채움재로 점성토를 사용한 보강토벽의 내적 거동 분석 (An Analysis of the Internal Deformation Behaviors of Geosynthetic Reinforced Soil Walls used Clayey Soil as Backfills)

  • 김흥기;김유성
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2005
  • 보강토벽의 안정성을 증명하고, 경제성의 극대화를 도모하기 위해, 본 연구에서는 뒤채움재로 현지 점성토를 사용하고 보강재로 부직포와 직포 그리고 부직포와 지오그리드를 혼합 배치하여 일반적인 한계평형해석으로는 안전율이 1.3미만인 2개의 실물 보강토벽을 얕은 연약지반 상에 구축하여 보강재, 수평토압, 그리고 간극수압 등의 거동을 약 15개월 동안 계측 및 분석하였다. 보강재의 길이를 보강토벽 높이의 30%로 설계하였고, 그에 따라 일반적인 한계평형해석에 의한 보강토벽의 안전율이 1.3미만 임에도 불구하고 2개의 실물보강토벽이 얕은 연약지반 상에 안전하게 구축되었고, 분석결과 보강재의 최대변형은 보강재의 특성에 따라 2.3~6.0%로 안전하고, 간극수압은 강우의 영향을 거의 받지 않는 것으로 나타났으나 수평토압은 안전율과 부등침하 등의 영향으로 보강토벽의 상 하부에서 주동토압과 정지토압보다 큰 것으로 나타났다.

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Simulation of Soil Hydrological Components in Chuncheon over 30 years Using E-DiGOR Model

  • Aydin, Mehmet;Jung, Yeong-Sang;Yang, Jae-E.;Lee, Hyun-Il;Kim, Kyung-Dae
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.484-491
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    • 2012
  • The hydrological components of a sandy loam soil of nearly level in Chuncheon over 30 years were computed using the E-DiGOR model. Daily simulations were carried out for each year during the period of 1980 to 2009 using standard climate data. Reference evapotranspiration and potential soil evaporation based on Penman-Montheith model were higher during May to August because of the higher atmospheric evaporative demand. Actual soil evaporation was mainly found to be a function of the amount and timing of rainfall, and presumably soil wetness in addition to atmospheric demand. Drainage was affected by rainfall and increased with a higher amount of precipitation and soil water content. Excess drainage occurred throughout rainy months (from July to September), with a peak in July. Therefore, leaching may be a serious problem in the soils all through these months. The 30-year average annual reference evapotranspiration and potential soil evaporation were 951.5 mm and 714.2 mm, respectively. The actual evaporation from bare soil varied between 396.9-528.4 mm and showed comparatively lesser inter-annual variations than drainage. Annual drainage rates below 120 cm soil depth ranged from 477.8 to 1565.9 mm. The long-term mean annual drainage-loss was approximately two times higher than actual soil evaporation.

Modeling the effects of excess water on soybean growth in converted paddy field in Japan 1. Predicting groundwater level and soil moisture condition - The case of Biwa lake reclamation area

  • Kato, Chihiro;Nakano, Satoshi;Endo, Akira;Sasaki, Choichi;Shiraiwa, Tatsuhiko
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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    • pp.315-315
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    • 2017
  • In Japan, more than 80 % of soybean growing area is converted fields and excess water is one of the major problems in soybean production. For example, recent study (Yoshifuji et al., 2016) suggested that in the fields of shallow groundwater level (GWL) (< 1m depth), rising GWL even in a short period (e.g. 1 day) causes inhibition of soybean growth. Thus it becomes more and more important to predict GWL and soil moisture in detail. In addition to conventional surface drainage and underdrain, FOEAS (Farm Oriented Enhancing Aquatic System), which is expected to control GWL in fields adequately, has been developed recently. In this study we attempted to predict GWL and soil moisture condition at the converted field with FOEAS in Biwa lake reclamation area, Shiga prefecture, near the center of the main island of Japan. Two dimensional HYDRUS model (Simuinek et al., 1999) based on common Richards' equation, was used for the calculation of soil water movement. The calculation domain was considered to be 10 and 5 meter in horizontal and vertical direction, respectively, with two layers, i.e. 20cm-thick of plowed layer and underlying subsoil layer. The center of main underdrain (10 cm in diameter) was assumed to be 5 meter from the both ends of the domain and 10-60cm depth from the surface in accordance with the field experiment. The hydraulic parameters of the soil was estimated with the digital soil map in "Soil information web viewer" and Agricultural soil-profile physical properties database, Japan (SolphyJ) (Kato and Nishimura, 2016). Hourly rainfall depth and daily potential evapo-transpiration rate data were given as the upper boundary condition (B.C.). For the bottom B.C., constant upward flux, which meant the inflow flux to the field from outside, was given. Seepage face condition was employed for the surrounding of the underdrain. Initial condition was employed as GWL=60cm. Then we compared the simulated and observed results of volumetric water content at depth of 15cm and GWL. While the model described the variation of GWL well, it tended to overestimate the soil moisture through the growing period. Judging from the field condition, and observed data of soil moisture and GWL, consideration of soil structure (e.g. cracks and clods) in determination of soil hydraulic parameters at the plowed layer may improve the simulation results of soil moisture.

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Perspective of breaking stagnation of soybean yield under monsoon climate

  • Shiraiwa, Tatsuhiko
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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    • pp.8-9
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    • 2017
  • Soybean yield has been low and unstable in Japan and other areas in East Asia, despite long history of cultivation. This is contrasting with consistent increase of yield in North and South America. This presentation tries to describe perspective of breaking stagnation of soybean yield in East Asia, considering the factors of the different yields between regions. Large amount of rainfall with occasional dry-spell in the summer is a nature of monsoon climate and as frequently stated excess water is the factor of low and unstable soybean yield. For example, there exists a great deal of field-to-field variation in yield of 'Tanbaguro' soybean, which is reputed for high market value and thus cultivated intensively and this results in low average yield. According to our field survey, a major portion of yield variation occurs in early growth period. Soybean production on drained paddy fields is also vulnerable to drought stress after flowering. An analysis at the above study site demonstrated a substantial field-to-field variation of canopy transpiration activity in the mid-summer, but the variation of pod-set was not as large as that of early growth. As frequently mentioned by the contest winners of good practice farming, avoidance of excess water problem in the early growth period is of greatest importance. A series of technological development took place in Japan in crop management for stable crop establishment and growth, that includes seed-bed preparation with ridge and/or chisel ploughing, adjustment of seed moisture content, seed treatment with mancozeb+metalaxyl and the water table control system, FOEAS. A unique success is seen in the tidal swamp area in South Sumatra with the Saturated Soil Culture (SSC), which is for managing acidity problem of pyrite soils. In 2016, an average yield of $2.4tha^{-1}$ was recorded for a 450 ha area with SSC (Ghulamahdi 2017, personal communication). This is a sort of raised bed culture and thus the moisture condition is kept markedly stable during growth period. For genetic control, too, many attempts are on-going for better emergence and plant growth after emergence under excess water. There seems to exist two aspects of excess water resistance, one related to phytophthora resistance and the other with better growth under excess water. The improvement for the latter is particularly challenging and genomic approach is expected to be effectively utilized. The crop model simulation would estimate/evaluate the impact of environmental and genetic factors. But comprehensive crop models for soybean are mainly for cultivations on upland fields and crop response to excess water is not fully accounted for. A soybean model for production on drained paddy fields under monsoon climate is demanded to coordinate technological development under changing climate. We recently recognized that the yield potential of recent US cultivars is greater than that of Japanese cultivars and this also may be responsible for different yield trends. Cultivar comparisons proved that higher yields are associated with greater biomass production specifically during early seed filling, in which high and well sustained activity of leaf gas exchange is related. In fact, the leaf stomatal conductance is considered to have been improved during last a couple of decades in the USA through selections for high yield in several crop species. It is suspected that priority to product quality of soybean as food crop, especially large seed size in Japan, did not allow efficient improvement of productivity. We also recently found a substantial variation of yielding performance under an environment of Indonesia among divergent cultivars from tropical and temperate regions through in a part biomass productivity. Gas exchange activity again seems to be involved. Unlike in North America where transpiration adjustment is considered necessary to avoid terminal drought, under the monsoon climate with wet summer plants with higher activity of gas exchange than current level might be advantageous. In order to explore higher or better-adjusted canopy function, the methodological development is demanded for canopy-level evaluation of transpiration activity. The stagnation of soybean yield would be broken through controlling variable water environment and breeding efforts to improve the quality-oriented cultivars for stable and high yield.

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Impact of $CO_2$ Increase on East Asian Monsoon

  • Kripalani, R.H.;Oh, J.H.;Chaudhari, H.S.
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.50-54
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    • 2005
  • Some basic summer precipitation features over East Asia during the $20^{th}-21^{st}$ century as simulated / projected by the 22 coupled climate models under the IPCC AR4 program are investigated. Keeping in view that these are climate runs without prescribed SSTs, models perform well in simulating the regional annual cycle, spatial patterns (not shown) and the inter-annual variability. The projections under the 1% increase in $CO_2$ compounded until reaching double and held constant thereafter reveal that (a) Precipitation is likely to increase in all the months in particular during the summer monsoon (JJA) months. (b) The mean summer monsoon rainfall can increase from 4.2 to 13.5% and its variability is also likely to increase in the warming world due to increase in $CO_2$ (c) Extreme excess and deficient seasonal monsoons are likely to become more intense (not shown here) (d) Once the increase in $CO_2$ is cut-off, the system will reach a state of equilibrium, and then the rate of increase in precipitation is also expected to remain constant.

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토분과 Root Control Bag에 의한 근권제한이 단풍나무의 생장에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Root Restriction by Clay Pot and Root Contrl Bag on Growth of Acer Palmatum)

  • 김동욱;김민수
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2000
  • This study is conducted to evaluate the effects of root restriction on growth of maple(Acer palmatum Thumb.). Tow types of container such as clay pot(CP), root control bag(RCB) were used to restrict maple's root and each type of container was divided into 5 sizes. The containers with plants were buried just below the soil level and maples planted directly in the soil (nonrestricted root treatment) were included as comparison. Data were collected on dry weight of leaf, trunk, thick root, rootlet and soil water potential. We have analyzed, simple linear regression, Pearson's Correlation analysis, Duncan's multiple rang test, and Covariance Analysis using SAS statistical software. The results of analysis based on these data are as follows; 1. Total dry weight of maple in CP was significantly larger than in RCB. 2. Difference in growth reduction by the kinds of containers was induced by different hydraulic diffusion ratios between container and soil. Difference in growth reduction by the size of container was induced by the difference density of rootlet and soil moisture contents in the container. 4. Commercial products of root control of root control bag appeared not proper for countries in which fluctuation of rainfall is severe. Because maples in RCB were restricted by excess soil water in the rainy season, or by lack of soil water in the dray season.

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L-THIA ArcView GIS 모형을 이용한 대청호 만입부 유역의 직접유출 및 비점오염배출부하 산정 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of Estimated Storm runoff and Non-point Pollutant Discharge from Upper Watershed of Daecheong Reservoir during Rainy Season using L-THIA ArcView GIS Model)

  • 최재완;이혁;신동석;천세억
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.984-993
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    • 2009
  • There have been growing concerns of algal growth at Daecheong reservoir due to eutrophication with excess nutrient inflow. Rainfall-driven runoff and pollutant from watershed are responsible for eutrophication of the Daecheong reservoir. In this study, two subwatersheds of the Daecheong reservoir were selected and water quality characteristics were analyzed. The L-THIA ArcView GIS model was used for evaluation of direct runoff and water quality. The $R^2$ and the EI value for direct runoff were 0.95 and 0.93 at Wol-oe watershed and were 0.81, 0.71 at An-nae watershed, respectively. The $R^2$ for SS, T-P were 0.53, 0.95 at Wol-oe watershed and 0.89, 0.89 at An-nae watershed, respectively. It has been proven that the L-THIA ArcView GIS model could be used for evaluating direct runoff and pollutant load from the watershed with reasonable accuracies.