• 한국측량학회지
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.597-607
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• 2016

The goal of this study was to analyze landslide susceptibility using two different models and compare the results. For this purpose, a landslide inventory map was produced from a field survey, and the inventory was divided into two groups for training and validation, respectively. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors were considered. The relationships between landslide occurrence and landslide conditioning factors were analyzed using the FR (Frequency Ratio) and EBF (Evidential Belief Function) models. The LSI (Landslide Susceptibility Index) maps that were produced were validated using the ROC (Relative Operating Characteristics) curve and the SCAI (Seed Cell Area Index). The AUC (Area under the ROC Curve) values of the FR and EBF LSI maps were 80.6% and 79.5%, with prediction accuracies of 72.7% and 71.8%, respectively. Additionally, in the low and very low susceptibility zones, the FR LSI map had higher SCAI values compared to the EBF LSI map, as high as 0.47%p. These results indicate that both models were reasonably accurate, however that the FR LSI map had a slightly higher accuracy for landslide susceptibility mapping in the study area.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.299-316
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• 2019

본 연구는 지리정보시스템(GIS) 환경에서 확률 모델인 Weight Of Evidence (WOE)와 Evidential Belief Function (EBF), 기계학습 모델인 Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) 모델을 이용하여 평창지역의 산사태 취약성도를 공간적으로 분석하고 예측하였다. 본 연구지역은 2006년 태풍 에위니아에 의한 집중호우로 산사태가 많이 발생하여 많은 재산 및 인명피해가 발생하였다. 산사태 취약성도를 작성하기 위해 항공사진을 이용하여 3,955개의 방대한 산사태 발생 위치를 탐지하였고, 환경공간정보인 지형, 지질, 토양, 산림 및 토지이용 등의 공간 데이터를 수집하여 공간데이터베이스에 구축하였다. 이러한 공간데이터베이스를 이용하여 산사태에 영향을 줄 수 있는 인자 17개를 추출하여 입력 인자와 EBF, WOE, ANN 모델을 이용하여 산사태 취약성도를 작성하고 검증하였다. 작성 및 검증을 위해 산사태 자료는 각각 50%씩 나누어서 훈련 및 검증을 실시하였고, 검증결과 WOE 모델의 경우는 74.73%, EBF 모델의 경우는 75.03%, ANN 모델의 경우는 70.87%의 예측 정확도를 나타내었다. 본 연구에 사용된 모델 중 EBF 모델이 가장 높은 정확도를 나타냈으며, 모든 모델에서 70% 이상의 예측 정확도를 보여 본 연구에서 사용된 기법이 산사태 취약성도 작성에 유효함을 나타내었다. 본 연구에서 제안된 WOE, EBF, ANN 모델과 산사태 취약성도는 이전에 산사태가 발생하지 않은 지역의 산사태를 예측하는 데 사용될 수 있다. 이러한 취약성도는 산사태 위험 감소를 촉진하고, 토지 이용 정책 및 개발을 위한 기초자료 역할을 할 수 있으며, 궁극적으로 산사태 재해 예방을 위한 시간과 비용을 절약할 수 있다. 향후 보다 많은 지역에서 산사태 취약성도 작성 방법을 적용하여 산사태 위험 예측을 위한 일반화된 모델을 이끌어 내야 한다.

• International Journal of Quality Innovation
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.43-51
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• 2004

During process design or process optimization, it is quite common for experimenters to find optimum operating conditions for several responses simultaneously. The traditional multiresponse surfaces optimization methods do not consider the uncertain relationship among these responses sufficiently. For this reason, the authors propose an optimization method based on evidential reasoning theory by Dempster and Shafer. By maximizing the basic probability assignment function, which indicates the degree of belief that certain operating condition is the solution of this multiresponse surfaces optimization problem, the desirable operating condition can be found.

• 한국지형학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.61-89
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• 2020

The objective of this study is to characterize landslide susceptibility depending on various geo-environmental variables as well as to compare the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Evidential Belief Function (EBF) methods for landslide susceptibility analysis of rainfall-induced landslides. In 2013, a total of 259 landslides occurred in Chuncheon, Gangwon Province, South Korea, due to heavy rainfall events with a total cumulative rainfall of 296~721mm in 106~231 hours duration. Landslides data were mapped with better accuracy using the geographic information system (ArcGIS 10.6 version) based on the historic landslide records in Chuncheon from the National Disaster Management System (NDMS), the 2013 landslide investigation report, orthographic images, and aerial photographs. Then the landslides were randomly split into a testing dataset (70%; 181 landslides) and validation dataset (30%; 78 landslides). First, geo-environmental variables were analyzed by using FR and EBF functions for the full data. The most significant factors related to landslides were altitude (100~200m), slope (15~25°), concave plan curvature, high SPI, young timber age, loose timber density, small timber diameter, artificial forests, coniferous forests, soil depth (50~100cm), very well-drained area, sandy loam soil and so on. Second, the landslide susceptibility index was calculated by using selected geo-environmental variables. The model fit and prediction performance were evaluated using the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under Curve (AUC) methods. The AUC values of both model fit and prediction performance were 80.5% and 76.3% for FR and 76.6% and 74.9% for EBF respectively. However, the landslide susceptibility index, with classes of 'very high' and 'high', was detected by 73.1% of landslides in the EBF model rather than the FR model (66.7%). Therefore, the EBF can be a promising method for spatial prediction of landslide occurrence, while the FR is still a powerful method for the landslide susceptibility mapping.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.611-622
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• 2012

This study proposed two multisensor fusion methods for segment-based image classification utilizing a region-growing segmentation. The proposed algorithms employ a Gaussian-PDF measure and an evidential measure respectively. In remote sensing application, segment-based approaches are used to extract more explicit information on spatial structure compared to pixel-based methods. Data from a single sensor may be insufficient to provide accurate description of a ground scene in image classification. Due to the redundant and complementary nature of multisensor data, a combination of information from multiple sensors can make reduce classification error rate. The Gaussian-PDF method defines a regional measure as the PDF average of pixels belonging to the region, and assigns a region into a class associated with the maximum of regional measure. The evidential fusion method uses two measures of plausibility and belief, which are derived from a mass function of the Beta distribution for the basic probability assignment of every hypothesis about region classes. The proposed methods were applied to the SPOT XS and ENVISAT data, which were acquired over Iksan area of of Korean peninsula. The experiment results showed that the segment-based method of evidential measure is greatly effective on improving the classification via multisensor fusion.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.37-48
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• 1994

In spatial information processing, particularly in non-renewable resource exploration, the spatial data sets, including remote sensing, geophysical and geochemical data, have to be geocoded onto a reference map and integrated for the final analysis and interpretation. Application of a computer based GIS(Geographical Information System of Geological Information System) at some point of the spatial data integration/fusion processing is now a logical and essential step. It should, however, be pointed out that the basic concepts of the GIS based spatial data fusion were developed with insufficient mathematical understanding of spatial characteristics or quantitative modeling framwork of the data. Furthermore many remote sensing and geological data sets, available for many exploration projects, are spatially incomplete in coverage and interduce spatially uneven information distribution. In addition, spectral information of many spatial data sets is often imprecise due to digital rescaling. Direct applications of GIS systems to spatial data fusion can therefore result in seriously erroneous final results. To resolve this problem, some of the important mathematical information representation techniques are briefly reviewed and discussed in this paper with condideration of spatial and spectral characteristics of the common remote sensing and exploration data. They include the basic probabilistic approach, the evidential belief function approach (Dempster-Shafer method) and the fuzzy logic approach. Even though the basic concepts of these three approaches are different, proper application of the techniques and careful interpretation of the final results are expected to yield acceptable conclusions in cach case. Actual tests with real data (Moon, 1990a; An etal., 1991, 1992, 1993) have shown that implementation and application of the methods discussed in this paper consistently provide more accurate final results than most direct applications of GIS techniques.