• 제목/요약/키워드: Evidence-Based Policy

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The Impact of R&D on the Singaporean Economy

  • Ho, Yuen-Ping;Wong, Poh-Kam
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2017
  • There has been a pronounced increase in research and development (R&D) expenditure in Singapore over the last two decades, with government spending accounting for a sizeable share. This increase has been spurred by public policy emphasis on research and innovation as engines of economic growth. This paper analyses the impact of R&D on economic performance in Singapore from 1978 to 2012 through the use of time series analysis. The Cobb-Douglas based analysis shows a long-run equilibrium relationship between Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and R&D investments. We found that the short-run productivity of R&D in Singapore is comparable to smaller advanced economies in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). However, in terms of long-run R&D productivity, Singapore lags slightly behind the smaller OECD nations and far behind the G7 countries. This suggests leakage of value capture and low absorptive capacity in local firms. Possibility of productivity improvements induced by policy changes in the 1990s was considered, but no evidence of significant structural breaks was found. Lastly, Granger causality analysis reveals that public sector R&D augments private sector R&D capital, thus playing an important role in generating externalities and spillover effects. Policy implications and lessons for other middle-income countries are discussed.

Static or Dynamic Capital Structure Policy Behavior: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia

  • UTAMI, Elok Sri;GUMANTI, Tatang Ary;SUBROTO, Bambang;KHASANAH, Umrotul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the capital structure policy among Indonesian public companies. Previous studies suggest that capital structure policy could follow either static or dynamic behavior. The sample data used in this study was companies in the manufacturing sector, divided into three sub-sectors: the basic and chemical industry, miscellaneous industry, and the consumer goods industry. This study uses panel data from 2010 to 2018, with the Generalized Least Square (GLS) method and compared whether the fixed effect model is better than the common effect model. The results show that the dynamic and non-linear model tests can explain the capital structure determinants than the static and linear models. The dynamic model shows that the capital structure of a certain year is influenced by the capital structure of the previous year. The findings indicate that the company performs some adjustments in its capital structure policy by referring to the previous debt ratio, which implies support to the trade-off theory (TOT). The study also shows that profitability, tangible assets, size, and age explain the variation of capital structure policy. The patterns on the dynamic and non-linear confirm that capital structure runs in a nonlinear pattern, based on the sector, company condition, and the dynamic environment.

세종시 데이터 증거기반 정책수립을 위한 대시보드 디자인에 관한 연구 (Dashboard Design for Evidence-based Policymaking of Sejong City Government)

  • 박진아;안세윤
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제19권12호
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    • pp.173-183
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    • 2019
  • 최근 세종시는 개발 및 정비가 추진되면서 여러 분야에서 발생하는 사회문제를 해결하기 위해, 축적된 데이터의 활용이 대두되고 있다. 세종시가 추진 중이거나 추진예정 중인 정책의 품질 제고 및 사회적 변화에 대응하는 정책수립 및 운영에 축적된 데이터를 활용하여 과학적 정책수립의 필요성이 강조되고 있다. 특히, 경제사회구조의 급속한 변화 속에서 한정된 자원을 유효하게 활용하여 시민이 신뢰하는 정책을 전개하기 위해 데이터를 활용한 객관적인 접근으로 정책수립 과정에서 더욱 정확한 정책을 형성하는데 필요한 데이터 정비와 증거기반의 정책 검토가 더욱 강조되고 있다. 본 연구는 세종시 증거기반 정책수립을 위한 대시보드 구축을 위해 파일 데이터, 오픈 API, 주요 생활지표 데이터, 분야별 정보 데이터, 통계간행물, 통계DB 데이터를 활용하여 데이터 인포그래픽 대시보드를 디자인하였다. 대시보드 디자인은 세종시 생활지표인 사회, 인구, 경제, 부동산, 교통, 환경, 건강, 인프라 지표 데이터를 시각화하고, 데이터를 상호 연계하여 정책수립 및 운영에 주요 사회동향을 파악하는데 적용·활용될 수 있도록 구조적 마크업(HTML), 표현 및 레이아웃(CSS), 자바스크립트 (JavaScript)로 인포그래픽 대시보드를 디자인하였다.

Should TPP Be Formed? On the Potential Economic, Governance, and Conflict-Reducing Impacts of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement

  • Bergstrand, Jeffrey H.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.279-309
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    • 2016
  • The proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a free trade agreement among 12 Pacific Rim countries whose joint gross domestic products (GDPs) account for 36 percent of world GDP and whose mutual trade accounts for approximately 24 percent of world trade. As for most proposed free trade agreements (FTAs), trade economists have provided ex ante computable general equilibrium (CGE) estimates to predict the trade, employment, and real per capita income effects of this agreement, such as ITC (2016). This paper-intended to complement these studies-examines the potential impacts of TPP beyond such traditional CGE estimates, taking a broader economic, governance, and historical perspective. First, we contrast these traditional CGE trade and welfare estimates that treat all firms within an industry as homogeneous with more recent CGE analyses that allow firms' productivities to be heterogeneous. We show that the latter models' trade predictions are much more consistent with ex post empirical evidence of average trade effects of FTAs. Second, empirical evidence now strongly confirms the existence of FTA "contagion." We review this evidence and show that predictive models of the evolution of FTAs indicate that the TPP should be formed. With China now having formed 12 FTAs and negotiating five new ones (including a sixteen member Asia-Pacific FTA), the United States would likely face considerable trade diversion without the TPP. Third, we examine empirical evidence on the likely further economic growth implications of FTAs by reducing firms' uncertainty over trade relations and trade policies. Fourth, we examine empirical evidence on the additional impact of FTAs on consolidating democratic institutions in countries. The TPP would likely help consolidate some of the less mature democracies. Fifth, we examine empirical evidence on the reductions of conflicts (and enhanced peace) between countries owing to the formations of FTAs. We conclude the paper noting that the potential net benefits to member countries of the proposed TPP extend well beyond the real income gains to households based upon traditional CGE models.

신종감염병의 양적 및 질적 혼합 위험 평가 모델 개발 (Development of a Risk Assessment Tool for Emerging Infectious Diseases)

  • 우다래;최은미;최영준;예정용;박상신
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.356-367
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    • 2022
  • Background: The emergence of new infectious diseases threatens public health, increasing socioeconomic damage, and national risks. This study aimed to develop an evidence-based risk assessment tool to quickly respond to new infectious diseases. Methods: The risk elements were extracted by reviewing the risk assessment methods of the World Health Organization, United States, Europe, United Kingdom, and Germany, and the validity and priority of elements were determined through expert meetings and Delphi surveys. Then, the scale and level for each risk element were defined and a final score calculation method according to the risk evaluation result was derived. The developed risk assessment tool was verified using data at the time of domestic transmission of an emerging infectious disease. Results: In case of spread of actual infectious diseases, priority is determined based on the criticality of the elements in each area of transmissibility and severity, from which the weighted score of the risk assessment is derived. Then, the risk score for each element was calculated by multiplying the average value of the risk evaluation by its weight and the evaluation risk assessment score for the two areas was calculated. At last, the final score is plotted in a matrix where the x-axis indicates the transmissibility and the y-axis the severity and plotted on the coordinate plane for time series use. Conclusion: With respect to transmissibility and severity, this risk assessment method to respond to new and re-emerging infectious diseases enables rapid and evidence-based evaluation by quantitatively and qualitatively assessing various risk elements.

Korean RDA :Are the Dietary Reference Intakes (DRI) Exportable\ulcorner

  • Dwyer, Johanna T.
    • Nutritional Sciences
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.185-188
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    • 2003
  • The Dietary Reference Intakes which were developed by the Food and Nutrition Board, National Academy of Sciences of the United States, and Health Canada provide a good deal of information on nutritional requirements which apply to Korea. In addition, the processes of evidence based review of information on nutrient needs, dietary excess, and the assessment and planning of dietary intakes may be useful in Korea as well as North America. However, other aspects of the Dietary Reference Intakes may not be appropriate. This article discusses these issues.

Are Korean Industry-Sorted Portfolios Mean Reverting?

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.169-190
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    • 2016
  • This paper tests the weak-form efficient market hypothesis for Korean industry-sorted portfolios. Based on a panel variance ratio approach, we find significant mean reversion of stock returns over long horizons in the pre Asian currency crisis period but little evidence in the post-crisis period. Our empirical findings are consistent with the fact that Korea accelerated its integration with international financial market by implementing extensive capital liberalization since the crisis.

행정정보의 통계적 활용을 위한 품질요건에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Quality Requirements of Administrative Data Using Statistical Purposes)

  • 장온순
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구의 목적은 행정정보를 정책개발을 위한 통계목적으로 사용하려는 수요자의 관점에서 행정정보의 품질 요건을 분석하여 행정정보의 개방성 제고와 학술 정책적 활용의 활성화 방안을 모색하는데 있다. 부동산거래 신고 제도를 통해 축적된 행정정보를 활용하여 국가통계로 공표하고 있는 아파트실거래가격지수 개발사례를 대상으로 행정정보의 통계적 활용 시 요구하는 덴마크의 7가지 품질지표를 기준으로 적용하여 탐색적 연구를 수행하였다. 연구결과, 중개업소에 조사비용을 지불하고 시세자료를 수집하여 작성해 오던 기존의 주택가격 지수에 비해, 시장의 실제 상황을 여과 없이 파악할 수 있는 자료의 수집이 가능하다는 장점과 정책의 실효성 을 제고할 수 있는 효과가 있었던 반면, 민원편의에 중심을 두는 행정서비스의 특성 때문에 통계작성에 필요 한 항목을 추가하거나 통계의 시의성 문제를 원천적으로 해결하기 위한 제도의 개선에는 한계가 있던 것으로 분석된다.

Public Health Center Service Experiences and Needs among Immigrant Women in South Korea

  • Chae, Duckhee;Kim, Hyunlye;Seo, Minjeong;Asami, Keiko;Doorenbos, Ardith
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: To support implementation of comprehensive, person-centered healthcare, this study aimed to explore immigrant women's public health center (PHC) service experiences and needs while considering Photovoice's feasibility for this purpose. Methods: This qualitative study included 15 marriage-based immigrant women. Participants were recruited from churches and multicultural family support centers using purposive and snowball sampling. Data were collected through four focus group interviews and were subjected to inductive content analysis. Results: Five categories of experiences were identified: language barriers, hectic environment, affordable and practical primary healthcare, feeling ignored and discriminated against, and feeling frustrated. In addition, five categories of needs were identified: language assistance services, ease of access, healthcare across the lifespan, expansion of affordable healthcare, and being accepted as they are. This study provides preliminary evidence that the Photovoice approach can facilitate the interview process in a qualitative inquiry involving participants with limited ability to express their perspectives in the researchers' language. Conclusion: Study findings highlight the need to implement institutional policy and procedural changes within PHCs and to provide culturally competent, personcentered care for South Korea's marriage-based immigrant women and other ethnic minority populations. The findings also provide evidence-based direction for PHC service planning.

The COVID-19 and Stock Return Volatility: Evidence from South Korea

  • Pyo, Dong-Jin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.205-230
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the impact of the number of coronavirus cases on regime-switching in stock return volatility. This study documents the empirical evidence that the COVID-19 cases had an asymmetric effect on the regime of stock return volatility. When the stock return is in the low volatility regime, the probability of switching to the high volatility regime in the next trading day increases as the number of cumulative cases increases. In contrast, in the high volatility regime, the effect of cumulative cases on the transition probability is not statistically significant. This study also documents the evidence that the government measures against the pandemic contribute to promoting the high volatility regime of the KOSPI during the pandemic. Besides, this study projects future stock prices through the Monte Carlo simulation based on the estimated parameters and the predicted number of the COVID-19 new cases. Under a scenario where the number of new cases rapidly increases, stock price indices in Korea are expected to be in a downward trend over the next three months. On the other hand, under the moderate scenario and the best scenario, the stock indices are likely to continue to rise.