• Title/Summary/Keyword: Event tree

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GPU-accelerated Reliability Analysis Method using Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram based on DEVS Formalism (DEVS 형식론 기반의 Dynamic Reliability Block Diagram과 GPU 가속 기술을 이용한 신뢰도 분석 방법)

  • Ha, Sol;Ku, Namkug;Roh, Myung-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2013
  • This paper adopts the system configuration to assess the reliability instead of making a fault tree (FT), which is a traditional method to analyze reliability of a certain system; this is the reliability block diagram (RBD) method. The RBD method is a graphical presentation of a system diagram connecting the subsystems of components according to their functions or reliability relationships. The equipment model for the reliability simulation is modeled based on the discrete event system specification (DEVS) formalism. In order to make various alternatives of target system, this paper also adopts the system entity structure (SES), an ontological framework that hierarchically represents the elements of a system and their relationships. To enhance the calculation time of reliability analysis, GPU-based accelerations are adopted to the reliability simulation.

A Large Dry PWR Containment Response Analysis for Postulated Severe Accidents (가상적 중대사고에 대한 대형건식 가압경수로 격납용기의 반응해석)

  • Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.292-309
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    • 1987
  • A large dry PWR containment response analysis for postulated severe accidents was performed as part of the Zion Risk Rebaselining study for input to the U.S. NRC's "Reactor Risk Reference Document," NUREG-1150. The Methodologies used in the present work were developed as part of the Severe Accident Risk Reduction Program (SARRP) at Sandia National Laboratory specifically for the Surry Plant, but they were extrapolated to Zion. Major steps of the quantification of risk from a nuclear power plant are first outlined. Then, the methodologies of containment response analysis for severe accidents used for Zion are described in detail: major features of the containment event tree (CET) analysis codes and CET quantification procedures are summarized. In addition, plant specific features important to containment response analysis are presented along with the containment loading and performance issues included in the present uncertainty analysis. Finally, a brief summary of the results of deterministic and statistical containment event tree analysis is presented to provide a perspective on the large dry PWR containment response for postulated severe accidents.accidents.

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Safety Assessments for the IS(Iodine Sulfur) Process in a Hydrogen Production Facility (수소생산시설에서의 요오드-황 공정에 대한 안전성 평가연구)

  • Lee, Hyon-Woo;Jae, Moo-Sung;Cho, Nam-Chul;Yang, Jon-Eon;Lee, Won-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.54-58
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    • 2009
  • A substitute energy development has been required due to the exhaust of the fossil fuel and an environmental problem. Consequently, possible technologies producing hydrogen from water that does not release carbon is a very promising technology. Also, Iodine-Sulfur(IS) thermochemical water decomposition is one of the promising processes that are used to produce hydrogen efficiently using the high temperature gas-cooled reactor(HTGR) as an energy source that is possible to supply heat over 900$^{\circ}C$. In this study, to make a initiating events identification for the IS process, Master Logic Diagram(MLD) is used and 9 initiating events that cause a leakage of the chemical material are identified. Also, 6 events are identified among 9 initiating events above and are quantified using event tree.

Seismic Failure Probability of the Korean Disaster Risk Fill Dams Estimated by Considering Freeboard Only (여유고만으로 추정된 국내 재해위험 저수지의 지진시 파괴확률)

  • Ha, Ik Soo;Lee, Soo Gwun;Lim, Jeong Yeul;Jung, Young Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to illustrate the methods and procedures for estimating the failure probability of small fill dams subjected to earthquake events and to estimate the seismic failure probability of the Korean disaster risk fill dams where geotechnical information is not available. In this study, first of all, seismic failure probabilities of 7 disaster risk small fill dams, where geotechnical information is available, were evaluated using event tree analysis. Also, the methods and procedures for evaluating probabilities are illustrated. The relationship between dam height and freeboard for 84 disaster risk small dams, for which the safety diagnosis reports are available, was examined. This relationship was associated with the failure computation equation contained in the toolbox of US Army corps of engineers. From this association, the dam height-freeborard critical curve, which represents 'zero' failure probability, was derived. The seismic failure probability of the Korean disaster risk fill dams was estimated using the critical curve and the failure probabilities computed for 7 small dams.

The Risk Analysis for the Rail Transport of Explosives (폭약류의 철도수송에 따른 리스크 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Hean;Song, Dong-Woo;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2011
  • This study presented quantitative risk analysis in case of transporting explosive materials by railway. Accident types were classified into accidents of in station and in transit. And the study presented an initial value of accident frequency through derailment accident and crushing one according to each type, and drew the results of accident frequency through event tree analysis. Damage impact evaluation used TNT equivalent method and probit analysis method. As the result of risk evaluation, railway transportation of explosive materials passing through areas which are high in population density is appeared to be able to cause a large number of personnel injury when occurring accidents. Specially, the accident of explosive transportation combined with petroleum was forecasted as easily resulting in large explosive accident. Consequently, there is a necessity to reduce consequences by decreasing passage through areas where are high in population density, and take measures for lessening the risks in case of transporting dangerous explosive materials.

Analyzing Chemical Reaction Routes of Explosion by a Mixed Acid - Focusing on Chemical Carriers - (혼산에 의한 폭발사고의 화학반응 경로 분석 - 화학물질 운반 선박을 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Yu Mi;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.661-668
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the chemical reaction pathway for explosion accident of mixed cargo. The analysis used a structural scenario using event-tree analysis. Structural scenarios were constructed by estimating various chemical reaction paths in the content of the mixed cargo accident recorded in the written verdict. The analytical method was applied to three kinds of analysis: chemical analysis based on chemical theory, quantitative analysis using chemical reaction formula, and probabilistic analysis through questionnaire. As a result of analysis, the main pathway of the accident occurred in three ways: the path of explosion due to the reaction of concentrated sulfuric acid with water, the path of explosion due to the reaction of metal and mixed acid, and the path of explosion by synthesizing with special substances. This result is similar to the path recorded in the validation, and it leads to thar the proposed path analysis method is valid. The proposed method is expected to be applicable to chemical reaction path estimation of various chemical accidents.

Multivariate process control procedure using a decision tree learning technique (의사결정나무를 이용한 다변량 공정관리 절차)

  • Jung, Kwang Young;Lee, Jaeheon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.639-652
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    • 2015
  • In today's manufacturing environment, the process data can be easily measured and transferred to a computer for analysis in a real-time mode. As a result, it is possible to monitor several correlated quality variables simultaneously. Various multivariate statistical process control (MSPC) procedures have been presented to detect an out-of-control event. Although the classical MSPC procedures give the out-of-control signal, it is difficult to determine which variable has caused the signal. In order to solve this problem, data mining and machine learning techniques can be considered. In this paper, we applied the technique of decision tree learning to the MSPC, and we did simulation for MSPC procedures to monitor the bivariate normal process means. The results of simulation show that the overall performance of the MSPC procedure using decision tree learning technique is similar for several values of correlation coefficient, and the accurate classification rates for out-of-control are different depending on the values of correlation coefficient and the shift magnitude. The introduced procedure has the advantage that it provides the information about assignable causes, which can be required by practitioners.

A Method of BDD Restructuring for Efficient MCS Extraction in BDD Converted from Fault Tree and A New Approximate Probability Formula (고장수목으로부터 변환된 BDD에서 효율적인 MCS 추출을 위한 BDD 재구성 방법과 새로운 근사확률 공식)

  • Cho, Byeong Ho;Hyun, Wonki;Yi, Woojune;Kim, Sang Ahm
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.711-718
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    • 2019
  • BDD is a well-known alternative to the conventional Boolean logic method in fault tree analysis. As the size of fault tree increases, the calculation time and computer resources for BDD dramatically increase. A new failure path search and path restructure method is proposed for efficient calculation of CS and MCS from BDD. Failure path grouping and bottom-up path search is proved to be efficient in failure path search in BDD and path restructure is also proved to be used in order to reduce the number of CS comparisons for MCS extraction. With these newly proposed methods, the top event probability can be calculated using the probability by ASDMP(Approximate Sum of Disjoint MCS Products), which is shown to be equivalent to the result by the conventional MCUB(Minimal Cut Upper Bound) probability.

Path-based In-network Join Processing for Event Detection and Filtering in Sensor Networks (센서 네트워크에서 이벤트 검출 및 필터링을 위한 경로기반 네트워크-내 조인 프로세싱 방법)

  • Jeon, Ju-Hyuk;Yoo, Jae-Soo;Kim, Myoung-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.620-630
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    • 2006
  • Event-detection is an important application of sensor networks. Join operations can facilitate event-detection with a condition table predefined by a user. When join operations are used for event-detection, it is desirable, if possible, to do in-network join processing to reduce communication costs. In this paper, we propose an energy-efficient in-network join algorithm, called PBA. In PBA, each partition of a condition table is stored along the path from each node to the base station, and then in-network joins are performed on the path. Since each node can identify the parts to store in its storage by its level, PBA reduces the cost of disseminating a condition table considerably Moreover, while the existing method does not work well when the ratio of the size of the condition table to the density of the network is a little bit large, our proposed method PBA does not have such a restriction and works efficiently in most cases. The results of experiments show that PBA is efficient usually and especially provides significant cost reduction over existing one when a condition table is relatively large in comparison with the density of the network, or the routing tree of the network is high.

Tree-dimensional FE Analysis of Acoustic Emission of Fiber Breakage using Explicit Time Integration Method (외연적 시간적분법을 이용한 복합재료 섬유 파단 시 음향방출의 3차원 유한요소 해석)

  • Paik, Seung-Hoon;Park, Si-Hyong;Kim, Seung-Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.172-175
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    • 2005
  • The numerical simulation is performed for the acoustic emission and the wave propagation due to fiber breakage in single fiber composite plates by the finite element transient analysis. The acoustic emission and the following wave motions from a fiber breakage under a static loading is simulated to investigate the applicability of the explicit finite element method and the equivalent volume force model as a simulation tool of wave propagation and a modeling technique of an acoustic emission. For such a simple case of the damage event under static loading, various parameters affecting the wave motion are investigated for reliable simulations of the impact damage event. The high velocity and the small wave length of the acoustic emission require a refined analysis with dense distribution of the finite element and a small time step. In order to fulfill the requirement for capturing the exact wave propagation and to cover the 3-D simulation, we utilize the parallel FE transient analysis code and the parallel computing technology.

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