• 제목/요약/키워드: Evaluation of meteorological model

검색결과 184건 처리시간 0.023초

도플러 라이다를 이용한 ICE-POP 2018 기간 수평바람 연직 프로파일 산출 및 정확도 평가 (Retrieval and Accuracy Evaluation of Horizontal Winds from Doppler Lidars During ICE-POP 2018)

  • 김권일;류근수;백승우;신규희;이규원
    • 대기
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.163-178
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to evaluate the accuracy of retrieved horizontal winds with different quality control methods from three Doppler lidars deployed over the complex terrain during the PyeongChang 2018 Olympic and Paralympic games. To retrieve the accurate wind profile, this study also proposes two quality control methods to distinguish between meteorological signals and noises in the Doppler velocity field, which can be broadly applied to different Doppler lidars. We evaluated the accuracy of retrieved winds with the wind measurements from the nearby or collocated rawinsondes. The retrieved wind speed and direction show a good agreement with rawinsonde with a correlation coefficient larger than 0.9. This study minimized the sampling error in the wind evaluation and estimation, and found that the accuracy of retrieved winds can reach ~0.6 m s-1 and 3° in the quasi-homogeneous wind condition. We expect that the retrieved horizontal winds can be used in the high-resolution analysis of the horizontal winds and provide an accurate wind profile for model evaluation or data assimilation purposes.

물수지와 에너지수지 해석에 따른 수문기상성분 평가 (Evaluation of Hydrometeorological Components Simulated by Water and Energy Balance Analysis)

  • 지희숙;이병주;남경엽;이철규;정현숙
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 TOPLATS 지표해석모형의 물수지와 에너지수지 해석에 따른 수문기상성분 비교를 통해 그 적용성을 평가하는데 목적이 있다. 대상지역은 낙동강유역을 선정하였으며 2003~2012년에 대해 1시간, 1 km의 고해상도 수문기상성분을 산출하였다. 안동댐과 합천댐유역의 관측 일/월단위 댐유입량과 모의유량 비교하여 두 유역의 모의치가 관측값과 유사함을 보였다. 또한 C3와 C4지점의 에너지성분에 대한 Diurnally 분석을 수행한 결과 에너지수지 해석에 따른 순복사량, 현열, 잠열의 일중 변화패턴이 물수지 결과에 비해 정확도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 특히 C4지점의 순복사량과 잠열의 평균제곱근 오차는 각각 22.18 $W/m^2$와 7.27 $W/m^2$로 매우 낮게 나타났다. 여름철과 겨울철의 계절평균 토양수분과 증발산량은 각각 36.80%, 33.08%와 222.40 mm, 59.95 mm로 산정되었다. 이상의 결과로부터 고해상도의 수문기상성분 모의 시 에너지수지 해석방법을 이용하는 것이 더 합리적인 것으로 판단되며 본 연구 결과는 공간수문기상정보를 활용한 홍수 및 가뭄 등의 재해기상 감시 및 예측에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

강릉 지역에서 자동 전운량 장비와 GWNU 태양 복사 모델을 이용한 지표면 일사량 분석 (An Analysis of Global Solar Radiation using the GWNU Solar Radiation Model and Automated Total Cloud Cover Instrument in Gangneung Region)

  • 박혜인;조일성;김부요;지준범;이규태
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2017
  • 이 연구에서는 지표 관측 자료와 위성 자료 그리고 GWNU 단층 복사 모델을 이용하여 맑은 상태의 전천 일사량을 계산하였으며, 전운량에 따라 관측 및 모델의 일사량 값을 비교 분석하였다. 연구 자료는 2012년 강릉원주대학교 복사 관측소의 전천 일사량, 기온, 기압, 습도, 에어로졸 등의 관측 자료와 OMI 센서의 오존전량 자료 그리고 구름의 유무 및 전운량을 판단하기 위하여 자동 전운량 장비인 Skyview 자료를 이용하였다. 전운량이 0 할인 맑은 날의 경우 관측 값과 모델 값이 0.98로 높은 상관계수를 나타내었으나 RMSE가 $36.62Wm^{-2}$로 비교적 높게 나타났다. 이는 Skyview 장비가 얇은 구름이나 박무 및 연무 등의 기상상태를 판단하지 못하였기 때문이다. 흐린 날의 경우 구름의 영향을 보정하기 위해 전운량과 두 값의 차에 대한 비율을 이용한 회귀식을 복사 모델에 적용하였으며, 장비의 오탐지를 제외한 경우 상관계수가 0.92로 높은 상관성을 보였으나 RMSE가 $99.50Wm^{-2}$으로 높은 값을 보였다. 더 정확한 분석을 위해서는 직달 성분의 차폐 유무 및 구름 광학 두께를 포함한 다양한 구름 요소의 추가적인 분석이 요구된다. 이 연구결과는 분 또는 시간에 따른 일사량을 산출하여 일사량이 관측되지 않는 지역에서 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

변동경향을 보존하는 편의보정기법을 이용한 우리나라의 평균 및 극한기온 모의결과 보정 (Correction of Mean and Extreme Temperature Simulation over South Korea Using a Trend-preserving Bias Correction Method)

  • 정현채;서명석
    • 대기
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.205-219
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the simulation results of temperature by regional climate model (Reg- CM4) over South Korea were corrected by Hempel et al. (2013)'s method (Hempel method), and evaluated with the observation data of 50 stations from Korea Meteorological Administration. Among the 30 years (1981~2010) of simulation data, 20 years (1981~2000) of simulation data were used as a training data, and the remnant 10 years (2001~2010) data were used for the evaluation of correction. In general, the Hempel method and parametric quantile mapping show a reasonable correction both in mean and extreme climate of temperature. As the results, the systematic underestimation of mean temperature was greatly reduced after bias correction by Hempel method. And the overestimation of extreme climate, such as the number of TN5% and freezing day, was significantly recovered. In addition to that, the Hempel method better preserved the temporal trend of simulated temperature than other bias correction methods, such as the quantile mapping. However, the overcorrection of the extreme climate related to the upper quantile, such as TX5% and hot days, resulted in the exaggeration of the simulation errors. In general, the Hempel method can reduce the systematic biases embedded in the simulation results preserving the temporal trend but it tends to overcorrect the non-linear biases, in particular, extreme climate related to the upper percentile.

Analysis on Electric Field Based on Three Dimensional Atmospheric Electric Field Apparatus

  • Xing, Hong-yan;He, Gui-xian;Ji, Xin-yuan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1697-1704
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    • 2018
  • As a key component of lighting location system (LLS) for lightning warning, the atmospheric electric field measuring is required to have high accuracy. The Conventional methods of the existent electric field measurement meter can only detect the vertical component of the atmospheric electric field, which cannot acquire the realistic electric field in the thunderstorm. This paper proposed a three dimensional (3D) electric field system for atmospheric electric field measurement, which is capable of three orthogonal directions in X, Y, Z, measuring. By analyzing the relationship between the electric field and the relative permittivity of ground surface, the permittivity is calculated, and an efficiency 3D measurement model is derived. On this basis, a three-dimensional electric field sensor and a permittivity sensor are adopted to detect the spatial electric field. Moreover, the elevation and azimuth of the detected target are calculated, which reveal the location information of the target. Experimental results show that the proposed 3D electric field meter has satisfactory sensitivity to the three components of electric field. Additionally, several observation results in the fair and thunderstorm weather have been presented.

2013년 부산지역 폭염사례일의 열쾌적성 평가 (Evaluation of Thermal Environments during the Heat Waves of Summer 2013 in Busan Metropolitan Area)

  • 김영준;김현수;김유근;김진국;김연매
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권11호
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    • pp.1929-1941
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    • 2014
  • Now a days, frequency of abnormally high temperatures like heat wave by global warming and climate change is increasing constantly and the number of patient with heat related illness are jumping rapidly. In this study, we chose the case day for the heat wave in Busan area(Busan and Yangsan), 2013 which it was the most hottest year during 21th century. And then, we analysed the weather condition using automatic synoptic observing system(ASOS) data. Also, four indices, heat index(HI), wet bulb globe temperature(WBGT), Man-ENvironment heat EXchange model(MENEX)'s results like Physiological subjective temperature(PST), Physiological strain(PhS), were calculated to evaluate the thermal comfort and stress quantitatively. However, thermal comfort was different as the each station and thermal comfort index during same time. Busan's thermal indices (HI: hot, WBGT: sweltering, PST: very hot, PhS: very hot) indicated relatively higher than Yansan's (HI: very hot, WBGT: sweltering, PST: very hot, PhS: sweltering). It shows that Busan near coast is relatively more comfortable than Yangsan located in inland.

정지궤도 위성의 열평형 시험 모델링 및 예비 예측 (THERMAL BALANCE MODELLING AND PREDICTION FOR A GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE)

  • 전형열;김정훈
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2009년 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.142-147
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    • 2009
  • COMS (Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite) is a geostationary satellite and has been developing by KARI for communication, ocean and meteorological observations. It will be tested under vacuum condition and very low temperature in order to verify thermal design of COMS. The test will be performed by using KARI large thermal vacuum chamber, which was developed by KARI, and the COMS will be the first flight satellite tested in this chamber. The purposes of thermal balance test are to correlate analytical model used for design evaluation and predicting temperatures, and to verify and adjust thermal control concept. KARI has plan to use heating plates to simulate space hot condition especially for radiator panels such as north and south panels. They will be controlled from 90K to 273K by circulating GN2 and LN2 alternatively according to the test phases, while the shroud of the vacuum chamber will be under constant temperature, 90K, during all thermal balance test. This paper presents thermal modelling including test chamber, heating plates and the satellite without solar array wing and Ka-band reflectors and discusses temperature prediction during thermal balance test.

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고해상도 바람지도 구축 시스템에 관한 연구 (Study of evaluation wind resource detailed area with complex terrain using combined MM5/CALMET system)

  • 이화운;김동혁;김민정;이순환;박순영;김현구
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.274-277
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    • 2008
  • To evaluate high-resolution wind resources for local and coastal area with complex terrain was attemped to combine the prognostic MM5 mesoscale model with CALMET diagnostic modeling this study. Firstly, MM5 was simulated for 1km resolution, nested fine domain, with FDDA using QuikSCAT seawinds data was employed to improve initial meteorological fields. Wind field and other meteorological variables from MM5 with all vertical levels used as initial guess field for CALMET. And 5 surface and 1 radio sonde observation data is performed objective analysis whole domain cells. Initial and boundary condition are given by 3 hourly RDAPS data of KMA in prognostic MM5 simulation. Geophysical data was used high-resolution terrain elevation and land cover(30 seconds) data from USGS with MM5 simulation. On the other hand SRTM 90m resolution and EGIS 30m landuse was adopted for CALMET diagnostic simulation. The simulation was performed on whole year for 2007. Vertical wind field a hour from CALMET and latest results of MM5 simulation was comparison with wind profiler(KEOP-2007 campaign) data at HAENAM site.

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도시지역 유인관측소 일조 관측환경 평가 모델 개발 (Development of Observational Environment Evaluation Model for Sunshine Duration at ASOSs Located in Urban Areas)

  • 김도용;김도형;김재진
    • 대기
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 2013
  • In this study, the numerical model was developed to evaluate the observational environment of sunshine duration and, for evaluating the accuracy and utility of the model, it was verified against the observational data measured at Dae-gu Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) located in an urban area. Three-dimensional topography and building configuration as the surface input data of the model were constructed using a Geographic Information System (GIS) data. First, the accuracy of the computing planetary positions suggested by Paul Schlyter was verified against the data provided by Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) and the results showed that the numerical model predicted the Sun's position (the solar azimuth and altitude angles) quite precisely. Then, this model was applied to reproduce the sunshine duration at the Dae-gu ASOS. The observed and calculated sunshine durations were similar to each other. However, the observed and calculated sunrise (sunset) times were delayed (curtailed), compared to those provided by KASI that considered just the ASOS's position information such as latitude, longitude, and elevation height but did not consider the building and topography information. Further investigation showed that this was caused by not only the topographic characteristic (higher in the east and lower in the west) but also the buildings located in the southeast near the sunrise and the southwest near the sunset. It was found that higher building resolution increased the accuracy of the model. It was concluded that, for the accurate evaluation of the sunshine duration, detailed building and topography information around the observing sites was required and the numerical model developed in this study was successful to predict and/or the sunshine duration of the ASOS located in an urban area.

Prediction of drowning person's route using machine learning for meteorological information of maritime observation buoy

  • Han, Jung-Wook;Moon, Ho-Seok
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2022
  • 해양조난사고 발생 시 해상 익수자의 안전과 생명 보장을 위해 구조자산을 활용한 신속한 탐색 및 구조작전은 매우 중요하다. 본 연구는 해양관측부이에서 수집되는 기상정보에 다중선형회귀분석, 의사결정나무, 서포트벡터머신, 벡터자기회귀, 순환신경망의 LSTM을 활용하여 울릉도 북서해역의 표층해류를 분석하고 유향과 유속에 대한 각각의 예측모형을 구축하여 예측된 유향과 유속정보를 통해 해상 익수자의 이동경로를 예측하는 모형들을 제안한다. 본 연구에서 적용한 다양한 기계학습 모형을 MAE와 RMSE의 성능 평가척도로 비교해 볼 때 LSTM이 가장 우수한 성능을 보였다. 또한, 익수자 이동지점과 예측모형의 예측지점 간 거리 차이에 있어서도 LSTM이 다른 모형들에 비해 탁월한 성능을 나타내었다.