• Title/Summary/Keyword: Evaluation Tool Model

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Assessing Climate Change Impact on Hydrological Components of Yongdam Dam Watershed Using RCP Emission Scenarios and SWAT Model (RCP 배출 시나리오와 SWAT 모형을 이용한 기후변화가 용담댐 유역의 수문요소에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Park, Jong-Yoom;Jung, Hyuk;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2014
  • This study was to evaluate the potential climate change impact on watershed hydrological components of evapotranspiration, surface runoff, lateral flow, return flow, and streamflow using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). For Yongdam dam watershed (930 $km^2$), the SWAT model was calibrated for five years (2002-2006) and validated for three years (2004-2006) using daily streamflow data at three locations and daily soil moisture data at five locations. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) and coefficient of determination ($R^2$) were 0.43-0.67 and 0.48-0.70 for streamflow, and 0.16-0.65 and 0.27-0.76 for soil moisture, respectively. For future evaluation, the HadGEM3-RA climate data by Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were adopted. The biased future data were corrected using 30 years (1982-2011, baseline period) of ground weather data. The HadGEM3-RA 2080s (2060-2099) temperature and precipitation showed increase of $+4.7^{\circ}C$ and +22.5 %, respectively based on the baseline data. The impacts of future climate change on the evapotranspiration, surface runoff, baseflow, and streamflow showed changes of +11.8 %, +36.8 %, +20.5 %, and +29.2 %, respectively. Overall, the future hydrologic results by RCP emission scenarios showed increase patterns due to the overall increase of future temperature and precipitation.

Instructional Design Model Development for Continuous Creativity-Personality Education based on NFTM-TRIZ (NFTM-TRIZ에 근거한 지속적인 창의·인성 교육을 위한 수업설계모형 구안)

  • Kim, Hoon-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.474-481
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is that pre-service teacher are able to design creative instruction based on NFTM-TRIZ for building up their continuous creative thinking and promoting their creative instruction activities. NFTM-TRIZ is a educational technology system to form and develop creative thinking from child to adult continuously based on TRIZ theory. TRIZ is the thinking technique of creative problem solving that can be the tool of inventory solutions by finding and get over the key of contradiction that is necessary to obtain ideal final results of suggested problems. The subjects for this study were 90 pre-service teachers who are attending third and fourth graders of Teachers' College in G university and are taking 'Curriculum and Educational Evaluation'. The creativity program for this study was carried out for ten minutes at the end of lectures. The verification for this study results were performed two faces. First, pre-service teachers presented teaching and learning plan for one time used 8 Steps' Teaching and Learning Model based on NFTM-TRIZ. Second, researcher got feedback from them about this creative program.

A Simplified Model for Physical Habitat Simulation in Evaluation of Environmental Flow (생태유량 산정을 위한 간편 물리서식처 모의 모형)

  • Im, Dongkyun;Choi, Youngwoo;Choi, Sung-Uk;Kang, Hyeongsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2B
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2011
  • Physical habitat assessment models based on Instream Flow Incremental Methodology have been developed as a decision making tool to estimate appropriate discharge for environmental flow and water use management. These models, however, require extensive knowledge on various academic disciplines, complicated input data, and empirical data. We propose a Simplified Habitat (SIMHAB) simulation model for the estimation of physical structure of fish habitat and environmental flow at the planning stage. SIMHAB is applied to a river system for which physical and ecological data are available, and its applicability is investigated. Simulated results appeared to be similar to field survey data and those of such models as PHABSIM and River2D. However, SIMHAB requires much less input data. As such, the proposed model, SIMHAB can easily be applicable to river restoration projects including designing of physical habitat, estimation of environmental flow, and water resource management.

Study of a BALB/c Mouse Model for Allergic Asthma

  • Yang, Young-Su;Yang, Mi-Jin;Cho, Kyu-Hyuk;Lee, Kyu-Hong;Kim, Yong-Bum;Kim, Jin-Sung;Kang, Myung-Gyun;Song, Chang-Woo
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2008
  • Allergic asthma is a worldwide public health problem and a major socioeconomic burden disease. It is a chronic inflammatory disease marked by airway eosinophilia and goblet cell hyperplasia with mucus hypersecretion. Mouse models have proven as a valuable tool for studying human asthma. In the present report we describe a comparison of mouse asthma models. The experiments were designed as follows: Group I was injected with ovalbumin (OVA, i.p.) on day 1 and challenged with 1% OVA (aerosol exposure) on days $14{\sim}21$. Group II was injected on day 1, 14 and aerosol-immunized on days $14{\sim}21$. Group III was injected on day 1, 14 and immunized by 1% OVA aerosol on days $18{\sim}21$. We assessed asthma induction by determining the total number of white blood cells (WBC) and eosinophils as well as by measuring cytokine levels in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF). In addition, we evaluated the histopathological changes of the lungs and determined the concentration of immunoglobulin E (IgE) in serum. Total WBC, eosinophils, Th2 cytokines (IL-4, IL-13) and IgE were significantly increased in group I relative to the other groups. Moreover, histopathological studies show that group I mice show an increase in the infiltration of inflammatory cell-in peribronchial and perivascular areas as well as an overall increase in the number of mucus-containing goblet cells relative to other groups. These data suggest that group I can be a useful model for the study of human asthma pathobiology and the evaluation of existing and novel therapeutic agents.

Sensitivity Analysis of the Factors Affecting Traffic Micro-simulation Results (교통 미시 시뮬레이션 결과에 영향을 미치는 요소의 민감도 분석)

  • Kim Kyu-Ok;Shin Chi-Hyun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.4 no.2 s.7
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2005
  • Microscopic simulation models, which focus on individual vehicles, are used extensively in the transportation operations in order to capture vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to traffic controls. There are many important factors involved when a micro simulation model is applied as an evaluation tool for the traffic system. They typically include test bed, software, simulation time period, measure of effectiveness, parameter for a software, OD matrix, and random seed number. To evaluate the effects of those factors, sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the effects of those factors based on CORSIM and TRANSIMS results. Three freeway corridors, two in Houston (I-10 and US 290) and one in Sin Antonio (I-37), were chosen as test beds. Three time periods (AM, PM, off-peak) and three OD matrix estimates were used for the analysis. It was found that the micro-simulation results were highly sensitive to the model Parameter sets and the OD information. The degree of sensitivity was a function of the test bed and time period.

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Evaluation of Stream Water Quality by Using the SWAPP (SWAT-APEX Program) Model Including Yedang Reservoir Watershed (수질모델링을 위한 SWAPP (SWAT-APEX Program) 모형의 적용성 평가 -예당저수지 유역을 대상으로-)

  • Jung, Chung-Gill;Park, Jong-Yoon;Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Lee, Jun-Woo;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.179-179
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    • 2011
  • 근래 농촌지역에서의 하천 및 저수지의 수질오염에 관하여 관심이 고조됨에 따라 비오염원에 대한 파악과 대책을 세우기 위해 관련분야에서 많은 연구가 진행 되고 있다. 비점오염원은 주로 강우나 유출에 의해 배출되기 때문에 배출 장소와 경로가 불분명하고 다양하다. 비점오염의 관리를 위한 유역모델로 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모델을 이용한 연구가 광범위하게 사용되고 있다. 그러나 SWAT 모델은 유역모델로써 농촌지역에 논, 밭에서의 비점오염원 기작을 표현하기에는 공간적 범위의 한계가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 예당저수지 유역(465.12 km2)을 대상으로 유역규모의 SWAT 모델과 유역-필드규모에 적용 가능한 SWAT-APEX (Agricultural Policy/Environmental eXtender) 모델의 수질(T-N, T-P) 모의결과를 비교하여 SWAT-APEX 모델의 적용성을 평가하고자 하였다. 모형의 적용을 위한 입력자료로 기상자료와 지형자료를 구축하였으며 기상자료로 예당저수지유역 3개의 강우관측소 자료를 수집하여 구축하였으며, 지형자료로 격자크기 30m의 DEM (Digital Elevation Model)과 농촌진흥청에서 제공하는 1:25,000 정밀토양도와 토지이용도는 환경부로부터 1:25,000 중분류 토지이용도를 이용하였다. 또한 환경부에서 제공하는 월단위 하천수질 자료(기간)를 구축하여 모형의 검증을 실시하였다. 분석과정으로 SWAT 모델에서의 유역차원 수문, 수질 모의를 한 후, APEX 모델을 이용하여 소유역별 논, 밭에 대한 필드단위에 오염물질 모의 후 각각 소유역 출구에서 APEX 모델에 결과를 반영한 SWAT-APEX 모의를 거쳐 최종 유역출구에서의 유출량과 수질항목을 분석하였다. 모의 결과 유출량에 대해 Nash와 Sutcliffe (1970)가 제안한 모델효율성계수 (Model Efficient, ME)는 0.67, 결정계수는 0.69 그리고 수질항목의 결정계수는 각각 0.77, 0.75으로 분석되었다. 또한, SWAT-APEX 모의 결과 수질항목의 결정계수는 각각 0.80, 0.72이었다. 따라서, 본 연구에서 농촌지역의 비점오염원 모의는 필드모의를 반영한 SWAT-APEX 모델 결과가 SWAT 모델만 적용한 결과보다 정확한 비점오염 모의가 이루어졌다고 판단 할 수 있다.

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Evaluation of Water Quality Prediction Models at Intake Station by Data Mining Techniques (데이터마이닝 기법을 적용한 취수원 수질예측모형 평가)

  • Kim, Ju-Hwan;Chae, Soo-Kwon;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.705-716
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    • 2011
  • For the efficient discovery of knowledge and information from the observed systems, data mining techniques can be an useful tool for the prediction of water quality at intake station in rivers. Deterioration of water quality can be caused at intake station in dry season due to insufficient flow. This demands additional outflow from dam since some extent of deterioration can be attenuated by dam reservoir operation to control outflow considering predicted water quality. A seasonal occurrence of high ammonia nitrogen ($NH_3$-N) concentrations has hampered chemical treatment processes of a water plant in Geum river. Monthly flow allocation from upstream dam is important for downstream $NH_3$-N control. In this study, prediction models of water quality based on multiple regression (MR), artificial neural network and data mining methods were developed to understand water quality variation and to support dam operations through providing predicted $NH_3$-N concentrations at intake station. The models were calibrated with eight years of monthly data and verified with another two years of independent data. In those models, the $NH_3$-N concentration for next time step is dependent on dam outflow, river water quality such as alkalinity, temperature, and $NH_3$-N of previous time step. The model performances are compared and evaluated by error analysis and statistical characteristics like correlation and determination coefficients between the observed and the predicted water quality. It is expected that these data mining techniques can present more efficient data-driven tools in modelling stage and it is found that those models can be applied well to predict water quality in stream river systems.

Model-Based Architecture Design of the Range Safety Process for Live Fire Test with Enhanced Safety (실사격 시험 프로세스의 안전성 강화를 위한 MBSE 기반 아키텍처 연구)

  • Ye, Sung Hyuck;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2014
  • In weapon systems development, live fire tests have been frequently adopted to evaluate the performance of the systems under development. Therefore, it is necessary to ensure safety in the test ranges where the live fire tests can cause serious hazards. During the tests, a special care must be taken to protect the test and evaluation (T&E) personnel and also test assets from potential danger and hazards. Thus, the development and management of the range safety process is quite important in the tests of guided missiles and artillery considering the explosive power of the destruction. Note also that with a newly evolving era of weapon systems such as laser, EMP and non-lethal weapons, the test procedure for such systems is very complex. Therefore, keeping the safety level in the test ranges is getting more difficult due to the increased unpredictability for unknown hazards. The objective of this paper is to study on how to enhance the safety in the test ranges. To do so, an approach is proposed based on model-based systems engineering (MBSE). Specifically, a functional architecture is derived utilizing the MBSE method for the design of the range safety process under the condition that the derived architecture must satisfy both the complex test situation and the safety requirements. The architecture developed in the paper has also been investigated by simulation using a computer-aided systems engineering tool. The systematic application of this study in weapon live tests is expected to reduce unexpected hazards and test design time. Our approach is intended to be a trial to get closer to the recent theme in T&E community, "Testing at the speed of stakeholder's need and rapid requirement for rapid acquisition."

Graded approach to determine the frequency and difficulty of safety culture attributes: The F-D matrix

  • Ahn, Jeeyea;Min, Byung Joo;Lee, Seung Jun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.2067-2076
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    • 2022
  • The importance of safety culture has been emphasized to achieve a high level of safety. In this light, a systematic method to more properly deal with safety culture is necessary. Here, a decision-making tool that can apply a graded approach to the analysis of safety culture is proposed, called the F-D matrix, which determines the frequency and the difficulty of safety culture attributes recently defined by the IAEA. A hierarchical model of difficulty contributors was developed as a scoring standard, and its elements were weighted via expert evaluation using the analytic hierarchy process. The frequency of the attributes was derived by analyzing reported events from nuclear power plants in the Republic of Korea. Period-by-period comparisons with the F-D matrix can show trends in the change of the maturity level of an organization's safety culture and help to evaluate the effectiveness of previously implemented measures. In the evaluating the difficulty of the attributes in the recently developed harmonized safety culture model, the difficulties of Trending, Benchmarking, Resilience, and Documentation and Procedures were found to be relatively high, while the difficulties of Conflicts are Resolved, Ownership, Collaboration, and Respect is Evident were found to be relatively low. A case study was conducted with an analysis period of 10 years to attempt to reflect the many changes in safety culture that have been made following the Fukushima accident in March 2011. As a result of comparing two periods following the Fukushima accident, the overall frequency decreased by about 40%, providing evidence for the effects of the various improvements and measures taken following the increased emphasis on safety culture. The proposed F-D matrix provides a new analytical perspective and enables an in-depth analysis of safety culture.

A self-assessment model for 'good jobs' in SMEs (중소기업 '좋은 일자리'를 위한 자가평가 모형)

  • Lee, Junghwan;Kim, Tae-Sung;Baek, Dongwook;Roh, Minkyu
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2021
  • The youth job problem is becoming more serious due to COVID-19. To solve this problem, a "good job platform" was proposed that allows young job seekers to easily and conveniently find excellent SMEs they want to work for. This study developed a "good job self-assessment model" that grasps the preferred jobs of young job seekers and evaluates SMEs and applied them in the platform. In this process, the characteristics of good jobs from the viewpoint of job seekers were identified through conjoint analysis from the viewpoint of salary level, performance compensation, working environment, corporate soundness, and organizational culture. Next, the importance of 13 detailed evaluation items was reflected through AHP for industry, academia, and research experts. The self-assessment model of this study can be used as a tool to improve awareness that changes the SME environment into a job favored by young job seekers. As a result, it could provide an opportunity to change the job problem from providing cost-oriented support to a qualitative solution.