• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation techniques

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Applicability Estimation of LID Techniques (LID 요소기술의 적용성 평가)

  • Yeon, Jong Sang;Kim, Eung Seok;Shin, Hyun Suk;Jang, Young su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.444-444
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    • 2015
  • 현제 도시유역의 산업화와 도시화로 인해 유역 내 불투수면적의 증가는 직접 유출량 증가, 지하수자원 고갈, 침투량 감소, 증발산량의 감소 등의 물 순환 체계의 변화를 가져왔다. 이러한 도시 유역 내 물 순환 체계 변화를 개선하기 위해 여러 국가에서 저영향개발(Low Impact Development, LID)의 개발 및 도입이 진행되고 있다. LID는 분산형 빗물관리 시설로써 유역 내 소규모의 LID 요소기술을 대상유역에 적용하여 강우유출수를 저류, 체류, 방지 및 처리하는 시설을 의미한다. LID는 궁극적 목표로 계획단계에서 개발이전의 수문기능을 유지하기 위해 보전, 영향최소화, 유출이동시간 유지, 추가유출량 감소, 오염발지에 초점을 맞추어 계획된다. 현제 LID의 성능 및 적용성에 대한 다양한 연구가 진해되어지고 있으나, LID 요소기술별 시공 비용, 유지관리 비용, 강우유출수 저감효율, 비점오염원 저감효율, 적용위치 등의 다양한 인자를 복합적으로 고려하여 LID요소기술별 적용성 평가를 수행한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 LID 요소기술 중 나무화분 여과장치, 옥상녹화, 빗무정원, 투수성포장, 침투트렌치, 빗물통, 식생수로 등의 총 7가지 LID 요소기술을 대상으로 연구를 수행하였다. LID 요소기술의 적용성평가를 수행하기 위해 시공비용, 유지관리비용, 강우유출수 저감효율, 비점오염원 저감효율, 적용위치 등의 촐 5가지 평가인자를 Entropy 방법을 이용하여 평가인자별 가중치를 산정하였다. 이후 다기준의사결정 방법 중 PROMETHEE 방법을 이용하여 LID 요소기술의 우선순위를 산정하였다. 현제 PROMETHEE 방법을 이용하여 LID 요소기술별 우선순위를 산정한 결과 옥상녹화가 첫번째 우선순위로 분석되었으며, 침투트렌치, 나무화분여과장치, 투수성포장, 식생수로, 빗물통, 빗물정원 순으로 분석되었다. 따라서 국내에 LID를 적용할 경우 옥상녹화, 침투트렌치, 나무화분 여과 장치 등의 LID 요소기술의 적용성 및 기대효과가 클 것으로 판단된다. 그러나 국내의 모든 지역을 대상으로 적용하기에는 문제가 있으며, 국내 LID 요소기술 적용 시 기초자료로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 대상지역별 신뢰도 높은 LID 요소기술 적용성 평가를 위해서는 대상유역 내 시공된 LID 요소기술을 계측하여 비점오염원 및 우수유출수 저감효율, 시공 비용, 연간 유지관리 비용을 분석하여 평가를 수행되어 한다고 판단된다.

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Estimation Techniques of Hydrological Uncertainties on Rainfall Radar Measurement (강우레이더 관측의 수문학적 불확실도 산정 기법)

  • Hwang, Seok Hwan;Cho, Hyo Seob;Lee, Keon Haeng;Hyun, Myung Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.78-78
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    • 2017
  • 강우레이더 관측의 정확도는, 호우의 강도나 형태와 같은 기상학적 조건(변동 오차 요소) 외에도, 관측 지점의 레이더로부터의 거리, 고도, 관측유역의 형태나 크기 등 다양한 관측환경 조건(고정 오차 요소)에 의해서도 달라질 수 있기 때문에, 강우레이더 관측의 오차 성분을 정량화할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 거리와 고도에 의한 오차 특성을 이중편파 변수의 특성을 이용하여 실증적으로 분석하였고, 이를 통해 감쇠의 영향과 산지효과(또는 지형효과)로 인한 오차 규모를 정량적으로 산정 비교하였다. 거리가 멀어짐에 따라 고도도 높아지기 때문에 QPE 불확실도의 거리와 고도에 따른 성분을 구분하는 것은 매우 어려운데, 거리에 대한 불확실도 성분이 매우 작은 R(KDP)를 이용한다면 효과적으로 분리가 가능하다. 이러한 원리를 이용하여, 관측 거리에 따른 오차가 매우 작은 R(KDP)를 기준으로 관측 거리에 따른 오차와 고도에 따른 오차를 분리하여 표준화[Z-score] 하였다. R(Z)의 경우는 관측 고도와 거리에 따른 오차가 중첩되어 나타나나, R(KDP)는 거리에 따른 오차는 거의 나타나지 않으므로 이를 기본 가정으로 하여 R(Z)와 R(KDP) 관계로부터 관측 고도에 따른 오차 성분만 분리하였다. 분리 결과, 관측 거리에 따른 표준 오차의 경우 100km 까지는 대략 10%(0.1) 이하로 나타났으나, 150km 이상에서는 30%(0.3)를 초과하는 것으로 나타났다. 관측 고도에 따른 표준 오차의 경우 2~3번째 고도각 까지는 대략10%(0.1) 이하로 나타났으나, 3번째 고도각 이상에서는 20%(0.2), 4번째 고도각 이상에서는 50%(0.5)를 초과하는 것으로 나타나, 고도에 의한 영향이 거리에 의한 영향보다 민감하게 나타났다. 1번째 고도각에서는, 100km 이내 근거리에서 관측 거리가 가까워질수록 오차가 증가하는 경향을 보이는데, 이는 저고도 빔 간섭(빔 차폐) 등의 영향으로 추정되었다.

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Analysis of Data and Calculation of Global Solar Radiation based on Cloud Data for Major Cities in Korea (국내 주요도시의 운량데이터를 이용한 전일사 산출 및 비교)

  • Yoo, Ho-Chun;Lee, Kwan-Ho;Park, So-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2008
  • Estimation of typical solar radiation is very important for the calculations concerning many solar applications. But solar radiation measurements are not easily available because of the expensive measuring equipment and techniques required. Accordingly, for regions where no solar radiation is measured, solar radiation need to be estimated using other meteorological data. However, currently in Korea, there is no study on how to do this. In this paper, the global radiation of the six major cities in South Korea where the global radiation is measured using comparatively simple CRM model was calculated compared and analyzed. The comparison between the original coefficient and the site-fitted coefficient for these cities are as follows. Differences between the site-fitted coefficient and the original coefficient for six cities are small. Except for Gwangju, both calculations show strong correlation. In case of Seoul, the $R^2$(coefficient of determination) were 0.747 and 0.749. In case of Busan and Daegu the figures were 0.817, 0.819 and 0.820, 0.821 respectively. For Gwangju, these were 0.618 and 0.622, Thus, the site-fitted coefficients were slightly higher for these four cities. On the other hand, Daejeon and Incheon was reported 0.773, 0.772 and 0.785, 0.783, respectively.

Retrospective Medical Record Analysis on Frequent Disease of Collaboration: A Pilot Study (다빈도 협진 질환의 후향적 진료기록 분석 연구 : 예비연구)

  • Gong, Na-gyeong;Lee, Hyeon-joo;Lee, Chan;Hwang, Jin-seub;Lee, In
    • The Journal of Internal Korean Medicine
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.563-571
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: This pilot study aimed to confirm the possibility of applying our design to the main study, a retrospective medical record analysis of the diseases which have most frequently been treated with collaborations of Korean and Western medicine, and to identify what corrections and statistical models are needed to conduct the main study. Methods: Data were collected from a case report form developed for patients who received treatment in the medical institutions. Appropriate statistical techniques, like Propensity Score (PS) and Generalized Estimation Equation (GEE) models, were used to compare the indicators of collaboration and non-collaboration groups for patients in comparable diseases. Results: Using PS matching for each M and S disease group, the indicators were compared by balancing the collaboration and non-collaboration group, and the GEE models compared indicators between groups in each disease over follow-up. Through this process we identified two limitations, insufficient samples and a large deviation of the follow-up period. Conclusion: This pilot study confirmed that the study design and case report form are applicable. The main study will be conducted by collecting sufficient samples and reflecting deviation of follow-up period.

Estimation of Crop Water Requirement Changes Due to Future Land Use and Climate Changes in Lake Ganwol Watershed (간월호 유역의 토지이용 및 기후변화에 따른 논밭 필요수량 변화 추정)

  • Kim, Sinaee;Kim, Seokhyeon;Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang-Min;Song, Jung-Hun;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.61-75
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to assess the changes in crop water requirement of paddy and upland according to future climate and land use changes scenarios. Changes in the spatiotemporal distribution of temperature and precipitation are factors that lower the stability of agricultural water supply, and predicting the changes in crop water requirement in consideration of climate change can prevent the waste of limited water resources. Meanwhile, due to the recent changes in the agricultural product consumption structure, the area of paddy and upland has been changing, and it is necessary to consider future land use changes in establishing an appropriate water use plan. Climate change scenarios were derived from the four GCMs of the CMIP6, and climate data were extracted under two future scenarios, namely SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. Future land use changes were predicted using the FLUS (Future Land Use Simulation) model. Crop water requirement in paddy was calculated as the sum of evapotranspiration and infiltration based on the water balance in a paddy field, and crop water requirement in upland was estimated as the evapotranspiration value by applying Penman-Monteith method. It was found that the crop water requirement for both paddy and upland increased as we go to the far future, and the degree of increase and variability by time showed different results for each GCM. The results derived from this study can be used as basic data to develop sustainable water resource management techniques considering future watershed environmental changes.

A New Similarity Measure based on Separation of Common Ratings for Collaborative Filtering

  • Lee, Soojung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.11
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2021
  • Among various implementation techniques of recommender systems, collaborative filtering selects nearest neighbors with high similarity based on past rating history, recommends products preferred by them, and has been successfully utilized by many commercial sites. Accurate estimation of similarity is an important factor that determines performance of the system. Various similarity measures have been developed, which are mostly based on integrating traditional similarity measures and several indices already developed. This study suggests a similarity measure of a novel approach. It separates the common rating area between two users by the magnitude of ratings, estimates similarity for each subarea, and integrates them with weights. This enables identifying similar subareas and reflecting it onto a final similarity value. Performance evaluation using two open datasets is conducted, resulting in that the proposed outperforms the previous one in terms of prediction accuracy, rank accuracy, and mean average precision especially with the dense dataset. The proposed similarity measure is expected to be utilized in various commercial systems for recommending products more suited to user preference.

Estimation of Single Vegetation Volume Using 3D Point Cloud-based Alpha Shape and Voxel (3차원 포인트 클라우드 기반 Alpha Shape와 Voxel을 활용한 단일 식생 부피 산정)

  • Jang, Eun-kyung;Ahn, Myeonghui
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.204-211
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    • 2021
  • In this study, information on vegetation was collected using a point cloud through a 3-D Terrestrial Lidar Scanner, and the physical shape was analyzed by reconfiguring the object based on the refined data. Each filtering step of the raw data was optimized, and the reference volume and the estimated results using the Alpha Shape and Voxel techniques were compared. As a result of the analysis, when the volume was calculated by applying the Alpha Shape, it was overestimated than reference volume regardless of data filtering. In addition, the Voxel method to be the most similar to the reference volume after the 8th filtering, and as the filtering proceeded, it was underestimated. Therefore, when re-implementing an object using a point cloud, internal voids due to the complex shape of the target object must be considered, and it is necessary to pay attention to the filtering process for optimal data analyzed in the filtering process.

A Study on Estimating the Vegetable Cultivation Complex Area using Aerial Photogrammetry (항공사진측량을 이용한 채소주산단지 재배면적 추정 연구)

  • BAE, Kyoung-Ho;HAM, Geon-Woo;LEE, Jeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.108-118
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    • 2018
  • Recently, agricultural sector apply ICT technology such as Smart Farm to pursue innovation in the changing situation that is emerging as the fourth industrial revolution. However, this innovation requires techniques for forecasting and analyzing in various data bases and spatial information provides such infrastructure data. In this study, the cultivation area of Chinese cabbage, radish, garlic, onion, and red pepper were calculated and analyzed by year. The purpose of this analysis is to cope with sudden changes in vegetable crops and changes in cultivated area caused by weather changes to supply and demand of major vegetables and price instability. As a result of this study, spatial information based on time series information of vegetable complex will be used as efficient agricultural environment observation data, as well as interpretation of various spatial ranges such as the estimation of cultivation area using remote sensing.

mprovement of Estimation Method of Load Capture Ratio for Design and Evaluation of Bio-retention LID Facility (생태저류지 LID 시설의 설계 및 평가를 위한 삭감대상부하비 산정방법 개선)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Lee, Okjeong;Kim, Yongseok;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.569-578
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    • 2018
  • To minimize the negative alterations in hydrologic and water quality environment in urban areas due to urbanization, Low Impact Development (LID) techniques are actively applied. In Korea, LID facilities are classified as Non-point Pollution Reduction Facilities (NPRFs), and therefore they are evaluated using the performance evaluation method for NPRFs. However, while LID facilities are generally installed in small, distributed configuration and mainly work with the infiltration process, the existing NPRFs are installed on a large scale and mainly work with the reservoir process. Therefore, some limitations are expected in assessing both facilities using the same method as they differ in properties. To solve these problems, in this study, a new method for performance evaluation was proposed with focus on bio-retention LID facilities. EPA SWMM was used to reproduce the hydrologic and water quality phenomena in study area, and SWMM-LID module used to simulate TP interception performance by installing a bio-retention cell under various conditions through long-term simulations. Finally, an empirical formula for Load Capture Ratio (LCR) was derived based on storm water interception ratio in the same form as the existing method. Using the existing formula in estimating the LCR is likely to overestimate the performance of interception for non-point pollutants in the extremely low design capacity, and also underestimate it in the moderate and high design capacity.

The Exploratory Study for the Application of the Sports Field in the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Focus on the Social Big Data (4차 산업혁명의 스포츠 현장 적용을 위한 탐색적 연구: 소셜 빅데이터 활용 방안을 중심으로)

  • Park, SungGeon;Hwang, YoungChan
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.397-413
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce the case and to provide related information for the physical education major to handle and utilize the social big data through the exploratory study for the application of sports industry in the fourth industrial revolution. For this study, data was collected from the article database, which covers the keyword such as 'Social Big Data', 'Sports' and so on. The analyzed articles were 86 articles. As a results, The research on social big data applied to sports industry are as follows: 1) Analysis of major issues related to sports fans' interests and sports events, 2) A study on media sports engagement, 3) The prediction analysis of sports game based on the sentiment analysis, 4) Development of salary estimation model for professional player in sports, 5) Research trend analysis and so on. In conclusion, the social big data analysis technology in the sports industry and management can be utilized variously. Therefore, the specialists of the sports industry and management field need to learn the techniques, to acquire the know-how for the research project, to convert the convergence thinking.