• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation of population mean

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A comparison study on the estimation of the relative risk for the unemployed rate in small area (소지역의 실업률에 대한 상대위험도의 추정에 관한 비교연구)

  • Park, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.349-356
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we suggest the estimation method of the relative risk for the unemployment statistics of a small area such as si, gun, gu in Korea. The considered method are the usual pooled estimator, weighted estimator with the inverse of log-variance as weights, and the Jackknife estimator. And we compare with the efficiency of the three estimators by estimating the bias and mean square errors using real data from the 2002 Economically Active Population Survey of Gyeonggi-do. We compute the unemployed rate of male and female in small areas, and then estimate the common relative risk for the unemployed rate between male and female. Also, the stability and reliability of the three estimators for the common relative risk was evaluated using the RB(relative bias) and the RRMSE(relative root mean square error) of these estimators. Finally, the Jackknife estimator turned out to be much more efficient than the other estimators.

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The Estimation of Urbanization Effect in Global Warming over Korea using Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperatures (최고, 최저기온을 이용한 우리나라 기온변화에서의 도시화효과 분석)

  • Koo, Gyo-Sook;Boo, Kyung-On;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2007
  • This study investigates urbanization effect in warming trend of surface air temperature over Korea. The data used in this study consist of the daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the period of 32 years(1968-1999) from 16 stations of KMA. To calculate magnitude and trend of urbanization effect, stations were classified into urban and rural stations using population statistics. Urban stations were defined as those with population densities greater than 1000 persons per kilometer squared in 1995. The others were defined as rural stations. The urban stations were also subdivided into two groups according to their population totals. For estimates of urban effect magnitude, temperature change was calculated by comparing 16-year mean values between 1968-83 and 1984-99. Then, the difference between each urban station and every rural station was calculated. During the analysis period of 32 years, maximum temperature increase is $1.22^{\circ}C$. In the total temperature increase, urban effect is estimated by 28.7%. For minimum temperature, it becomes larger by about 10% than that in maximum temperature. Therefore, urban effect in an increasing trend of minimum temperature is 38.9% in the change of $1.13^{\circ}C$.

Calibration for Spatial Stratified Sampling Design (공간층화표본설계에 대한 보정)

  • Byun, Jong-Seok;Son, Chang-Kyoon;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2010
  • The sampling design for the spatial population studies needs a model assumption of a dependent relationship, where the interesting parameters can be the population mean, proportion and area. We know that the study of an interested spatial population, which is stratified by a geographical condition or shape, and the degree of distort of an estimation area is much useful. In light of this, if auxiliary information of the target variable such as wasted area contaminated by some material and the degree of distribution of animal or plants is available, then the spatial estimator might be improved through the calibration procedure. In this research, we propose the calibration procedure for the spatial stratified sampling in which we consider the one and two-dimensional auxiliary information.

The Estimation of Prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus in a Rural Adult Population (일부 농촌 성인의 당뇨병 유병률 추정)

  • Park, Sue-Kyung;Kim, Joung-Soon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.29 no.3 s.54
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    • pp.483-494
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    • 1996
  • The objectives of this study are to estimate the prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and to identify risk factors associated with fasting blood sugar in a rural adult population. We carried out a cross - sectional study on the residents over 30-year old. Among the 1077 eligible subjects, 725 persons responded to the study;the study consisted of interview on family and past history of DM, anthropometry, blood pressure, and blood sugar level in each subjects. Only 707 subjects of 725 participants had fasting blood sugar(FBS) examined and the rest, 18 subjects were had casual blood sugar examined due to failure of fasting over 8 - hour. When subjects had $FBS\geq140mg/dl$, 2 hours postprandial blood sugar level was checked after 75g oral glucose loading. The prevalence of DM was 8.9%, and age standarized prevalence rate adjusted to Korean population of 1995 was 5.8%. Mean and SD of fasting blood sugar in men was $99.8{\pm}22.6$, and in women was $111.5{\pm}29.9$. Mean levels of fasting blood sugar were significantly higher in women than in man and as their ages advanced the prevalences increased in both sexes. PP2 blood sugar levels were significantly higher in elder age and in persons with higher FBS levels than others. The risk factors associated with FBS were past history of diabetes, sex, socioeconomic status and waist - to - hip circumference ratio;the risk of diabetes was increased in female, people with past DM history, central obesity and low socioeconomic state. The low socioeconomic status associated with DM in this study, which is different from other study results, should be pursued in further studies.

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Dietary intake of fats and fatty acids in the Korean population: Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2013

  • Baek, Yeji;Hwang, Ji-Yun;Kim, Kirang;Moon, Hyun-Kyung;Kweon, Sanghui;Yang, Jieun;Oh, Kyungwon;Shim, Jae Eun
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.650-657
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    • 2015
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to estimate average total fat and fatty acid intakes as well as identify major food sources using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) VI-1 (2013). SUBJECTS/METHODS: Total fat and fatty acid intakes were estimated using 24-hour dietary recall data on 7,048 participants aged ${\geq}3years$ from the KNHANES VI-1 (2013). Data included total fat, saturated fatty acid (SFA), monounsaturated fatty acid (MUFA), polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA), n-3 fatty acid (n-3 FA), and n-6 fatty acid (n-6 FA) levels. Population means and standard errors of the mean were weighted in order to produce national estimates and separated based on sex, age, income, as well as residential region. Major food sources of fat, SFA, MUFA, PUFA, n-3 FA, and n-6 FA were identified based on mean consumption amounts of fat and fatty acids in each food. RESULTS: The mean intake of total fat was 48.0 g while mean intakes of SFA, MUFA, PUFA, n-3 FA, and n-6 FA were 14.4 g, 15.3 g, 11.6 g, 1.6 g, and 10.1 g, respectively. Intakes of MUFA and SFA were each higher than that of PUFA in all age groups. Pork was the major source of total fat, SFA, and MUFA, and soybean oil was the major source of PUFA. Milk and pork were major sources of SFA in subjects aged 3-11 years and ${\geq}12years$, respectively. Perilla seed oil and soybean oil were main sources of n-3 FA in subjects aged ${\geq}50years$ and aged < 50 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Estimation of mean fatty acid intakes of this study using nationally represented samples of the Korean population could be useful for developing and evaluating national nutritional policies.

Comparison of Exposure Estimation Methods on Air Pollution of Residents of Industrial Complexes (광양만권 주변지역 주민들의 대기오염 노출추정을 위한 방법론 비교 연구)

  • Jung, Soon-Won;Cho, Yong-Sung;Yang, Won-Ho;Yu, Seung Do;Son, Bu-Soon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 2013
  • The assessment of personal exposure is a critical component in population-based epidemiologic studies of air pollution. This study was conducted to apply and compare the four exposure estimation methods of individual-level to air pollution concentration in a cohort including 2,283 subjects in Gwangyang, Korea. Individual-level exposure of air pollution were estimated using multiple approaches, including average across all monitors, nearest monitor, and spatial interpolation by inverse distance weighting and kriging. The mean concentrations of $PM_{10}$, $NO_2$, $SO_2$, CO, $O_3$ by four exposure estimation methods were slightly different but not significantly different from each other. Cross-validation showed that kriging was more accurate than other exposure estimation methods because kriging has probably predicted individual exposure levels equivalent to residential locations after estimating the parameters of a model according to the spatial surface of air pollution concentration. These data support that spatial interpolation methods may provide better estimates than selecting the value from the nearest monitor and averaging across values from all monitors by reflecting spatial attributes of air pollution on personal level.

Estimation of the Total Dietary Intake of Saccharin by Korean Population (한국인의 삭카린 섭취량 산정)

  • Park, Se-Mi;Lee, Su-Rae
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.563-567
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    • 1992
  • Out of 74 food samples including pickled radish, soy sauce, Lactobacillus drinks, frozen sweets and snack confections, 60 samples were found to contain saccharin. The contents of sacchrain in terms of maximum and positive mean were 541, 306 ppm in pickled radish, 302, 153 ppm in soy sauce, 66, 37 ppm in Lactobacillus drinks, 90, 51 ppm in frozen sweets and 606, 285 ppm in snack confections, respectively. Most food items did not exceed the tolerance limit of saccharin while 70% of snack confections exceeded the limit, the average concentration being 2.9 times of the limit. Total daily intake of saccharin by Korean population for the period of $1985{\sim}1990$ was estimated to be $7{\sim}17\;mg/person$ from consumption data and $9{\sim}35\;mg/person$ from supply data. The intake level was $11{\sim}22%$ of acceptable daily intake for man (ADI) recommended by FAO/WHO whereas the level was slightly higher than that in USA or Japan. It is. therefore, judged that saccharin at the current pattern of usage will not exhibit any adverse effect on the safety of Korean population.

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Application of ANFIS for Prediction of Daily Water Supply (상수도 1일 급수량 예측을 위한 ANFIS적용)

  • Rhee, Kyoung-Hoon;Kang, Il-Hwan;Moon, Byoung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.281-290
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    • 2000
  • This study investigates the prediction of daily water supply, which is a necessary for the efficient management of water distribution system. ANFIS, namely artificial intelligence, is a neural network into which fuzzy information is inputted and then processed. In this study, daily water supply was predicted through an application of network-based fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) for daily water supply prediction. This study was investigated methods for predicting water supply based on data about the amount of water which supplied in Kwangju city. For variables choice, four analyses of input data were conducted: correlation analysis, autocorrelation analysis, partial autocorrelation analysis, and cross-correlation analysis. Input variables were (a) the amount of water supply, (b) the mean temperature, and (c) the population of the area supplied with water. Variables were combined in an integrated model. Data of the amount of daily water supply only was modelled and its validity was verified in the case that the meteorological office of weather forecast is not always reliable. Proposed models include accidental cases such as a suspension of water supply. The maximum error rate between the estimation of the model and the actual measurement was 18.46% and the average error was lower than 2.36%. The model is expected to be a real-time estimation of the operational control of water works and water/drain pipes.

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Derivation of error sum of squares of two stage nested designs and its application (이단계 지분계획법의 오차제곱합 유도와 그 활용)

  • Kim, Daehak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1439-1448
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    • 2013
  • The analysis of variance for randomized block design or two way classification data is well known. In this paper, particularly, we considered two stage nested design in which the levels of one factor is not identical for different levels of another factor. We investigate the structural properties of two stage nested design and the properties of error sum of squares for random effect model. For the application of two way nested design, we consider two-period crossover design which is used commonly for the equivalence test to bio-similar product. The confidence interval estimation of the difference of two population means in the crossover design is discussed based on statistical package SPSS.

Other approaches to bivariate ranked set sampling

  • Al-Saleh, Mohammad Fraiwan;Alshboul, Hadeel Mohammad
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.283-296
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    • 2018
  • Ranked set sampling, as introduced by McIntyre (Australian Journal of Agriculture Research, 3, 385-390, 1952), dealt with the estimation of the mean of one population. To deal with two or more variables, different forms of bivariate and multivariate ranked set sampling were suggested. For a technique to be useful, it should be easy to implement in practice. Bivariate ranked set sampling, as introduced by Al-Saleh and Zheng (Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 44, 221-232, 2002), is not easy to implement in practice, because it requires the judgment ranking of each of the combination of the order statistics of the two characteristics. This paper investigates two modifications that make the method easier to use. The first modification is based on ranking one variable and noting the rank of the other variable for one cycle, and do the reverse for another cycle. The second approach is based on ranking of one variable and giving the second variable the same rank (Concomitant Order Statistic) for one cycle and do the reverse for the other cycle. The two procedures are investigated for an estimation of the means of some well-known distributions. It is show that the suggested approaches can be used in practice and can be more efficient than using SRS. A real data set is used to illustrate the procedure.