• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation method

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A Comparison of the Reliability Estimation Accuracy between Bayesian Methods and Classical Methods Based on Weibull Distribution (와이블분포 하에서 베이지안 기법과 전통적 기법 간의 신뢰도 추정 정확도 비교)

  • Cho, HyungJun;Lim, JunHyoung;Kim, YongSoo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2016
  • The Weibull is widely used in reliability analysis, and several studies have attempted to improve estimation of the distribution's parameters. least squares estimation (LSE) or Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) are often used to estimate distribution parameters. However, it has been proven that Bayesian methods are more suitable for small sample sizes than LSE and MLE. In this work, the Weibull parameter estimation accuracy of LSE, MLE, and Bayesian method are compared for sample sets with 3 to 30 data points. The Bayesian method was most accurate for sample sizes under 25, and the accuracy of the Bayesian method was similar to LSE and MLE as the sample size increased.

The wavelet based Kalman filter method for the estimation of time-series data (시계열 데이터의 추정을 위한 웨이블릿 칼만 필터 기법)

  • Hong, Chan-Young;Yoon, Tae-Sung;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11c
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    • pp.449-451
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    • 2003
  • The estimation of time-series data is fundamental process in many data analysis cases. However, the unwanted measurement error is usually added to true data, so that the exact estimation depends on efficient method to eliminate the error components. The wavelet transform method nowadays is expected to improve the accuracy of estimation, because it is able to decompose and analyze the data in various resolutions. Therefore, the wavelet based Kalman filter method for the estimation of time-series data is proposed in this paper. The wavelet transform separates the data in accordance with frequency bandwidth, and the detail wavelet coefficient reflects the stochastic process of error components. This property makes it possible to obtain the covariance of measurement error. We attempt the estimation of true data through recursive Kalman filtering algorithm with the obtained covariance value. The procedure is verified with the fundamental example of Brownian walk process.

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Prediction of Ozone Formation Based on Neural Network and Stochastic Method (인공신경망 및 통계적 방법을 이용한 오존 형성의 예측)

  • Oh, Sea Cheon;Yeo, Yeong-Koo
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2001
  • The prediction of ozone formation was studied using the neural network and the stochastic method. Parameter estimation method and artificial neural network(ANN) method were employed in the stochastic scheme. In the parameter estimation method, extended least squares(ELS) method and recursive maximum likelihood(RML) were used to achieve the real time parameter estimation. Autoregressive moving average model with external input(ARMAX) was used as the ozone formation model for the parameter estimation method. ANN with 3 layers was also tested to predict the ozone formation. To demonstrate the performance of the ozone formation prediction schemes used in this work, the prediction results of ozone formation were compared with the real data. From the comparison it was found that the prediction schemes based on the parameter estimation method and ANN method show an acceptable accuracy with limited prediction horizon.

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Estimation Using Response Probability Under Callbacks

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.213-230
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    • 2007
  • Although the response model has been frequently applied to nonresponse weighting adjustment or imputation, the estimation under callbacks has been relatively underdeveloped in the response model. The estimation method using the response probability is developed under callbacks. A replication method for the estimation of the variance of the proposed estimation is also developed. Since the true response probability is usually unknown, we study the estimation of the response probability. Finally, we propose an estimator under callbacks using the ratio imputation as well as the response probability. The simulation study illustrates our techniques.

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Development of a Storage-Reliability Estimation Method Using Quantal Response Data for One-Shot Systems with Low Reliability-Decreasing Rates (미소한 신뢰도 감소율을 가지는 원샷 시스템의 가부반응 데이터를 이용한 저장 신뢰도 추정방법 개발)

  • Jang, Hyun-Jeung;Son, Young-Kap
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.10
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    • pp.1291-1298
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes a new reliability estimation method for one-shot systems using quantal response data, which is based on a parametric estimation method. The proposed method considers the time-variant failure ratio of the quantal response data and it can overcome the problems in parametric estimation methods. Seven reliability estimation methods in the literature were compared with the proposed method in terms of the accuracy of reliability estimation in order to verify the proposed method. To compare the accuracy of reliability estimation, the SSEs (Sum of Squared Error) of the reliability estimation results for the different estimation methods were evaluated according to the various numbers of samples tested. The proposed method provided more accurate reliability estimation results than any of the other methods from the results of the accuracy comparison.

An algorithm for Video Object Detection using Multiresolution Motion Estimation (다해상도 움직임 예측을 이용한 동영상 물체탐지 알고리즘)

  • 조철훈;박장한;이한우;남궁재찬
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes an object detection algorithm using the Multiresolution Motion Estimation(MRME) in wavelet d야main. A existing motion estimation method has characteristics of motion estimation but it requires having computation. Motion estimation in higher resolution used the motion vector of the lower resolution with the MRME that has parent-child relationship on wavelet coefficients. This method reduces the search area of motion estimation in higher resolution and computational complexity. The computational complexity of the proposed method is about 40% of the existing method using 3-level Set Partitioning in Hierarchical Trees(SPIHT) wavelet transform. The experimental results with the proposed method showed about 11% decrease of Mean Absolute Difference(MAD) and gains able to precise tracking of object.

Box Feature Estimation from LiDAR Point Cluster using Maximum Likelihood Method (최대우도법을 이용한 라이다 포인트군집의 박스특징 추정)

  • Kim, Jongho;Yi, Kyongsu
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2021
  • This paper present box feature estimation from LiDAR point cluster using maximum likelihood Method. Previous LiDAR tracking method for autonomous driving shows high accuracy about velocity and heading of point cluster. However, Assuming the average position of a point cluster as the vehicle position has a lower accuracy than ground truth. Therefore, the box feature estimation algorithm to improve position accuracy of autonomous driving perception consists of two procedures. Firstly, proposed algorithm calculates vehicle candidate position based on relative position of point cluster. Secondly, to reflect the features of the point cluster in estimation, the likelihood of the particle scattered around the candidate position is used. The proposed estimation method has been implemented in robot operating system (ROS) environment, and investigated via simulation and actual vehicle test. The test result show that proposed cluster position estimation enhances perception and path planning performance in autonomous driving.

An estimation of the treatment eect for the right censored data

  • Park, Hyo-Il;Kim, Ju-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.537-547
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    • 2011
  • In this article, we propose an estimation procedure for the treatment eect for the right censored data. We apply the least square method for deriving the estimation equation and obtain an explicit formula for an estimation. Then we consider some asymptotic properties with derivation of the asymptotic normality for the estimate. Finally we illustrate our procedure with an example and discuss some interesting aspects for the estimation procedure.

Zoom Motion Estimation Method by Using Depth Information (깊이 정보를 이용한 줌 움직임 추정 방법)

  • Kwon, Soon-Kak;Park, Yoo-Hyun;Kwon, Ki-Ryong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2013
  • Zoom motion estimation of video sequence is very complicated for implementation. In this paper, we propose a method to implement the zoom motion estimation using together the depth camera and color camera. Depth camera obtains the distance information between current block and reference block, then zoom ratio between both blocks is calculated from this distance information. As the reference block is appropriately zoomed by the zoom ratio, the motion estimated difference signal can be reduced. Therefore, the proposed method is possible to increase the accuracy of motion estimation with keeping zoom motion estimation complexity not greater. Simulation was to measure the motion estimation accuracy of the proposed method, we can see the motion estimation error was decreased significantly compared to conventional block matching method.

Wing weight estimation considering constraints of structural strength and stiffness in aircraft conceptual design

  • Bai, Chen;Mingqiang, Luo;Zhong, Shen;Zhe, Wu;Yiming, Man;Lei, Fang
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 2014
  • According to the requirement of wing weight estimation and frequent adjustments during aircraft conceptual design, a wing weight estimation method considering the constraints of structural strength and stiffness is proposed to help designers make wing weight estimations rapidly and accurately. This method implements weight predictions on the basis of structure weight optimization with stiffness constraints and strength constraints, which include achievement of wing shape parametric modeling, rapid structure layout, finite element (FE) model automated generation, load calculation, structure analysis, weight optimization, and weight computed based on modeling. A software tool is developed with this wing weight estimation method. This software can realize the whole process of wing weight estimation with the method and the workload of wing weight estimation is reduced because much of the work can be completed by the software. Finally, an example is given to illustrate that this weight estimation method is effective.