• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation Methodology

검색결과 1,039건 처리시간 0.033초

Identification of Track Irregularity using Wavelet Transfer Function (웨이브렛 전달함수를 이용한 궤도틀림 식별)

  • Shin, Soo-Bong;Lee, Hyeung-Jin;Kim, Man-Cheol;Yoon, Seok-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.304-308
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a methodology for identifying track irregularity using a wavelet transfer function. An equivalent wavelet SISO (single-input single-output) transfer function is defined by the measured track geometry and the acceleration data measured at a bogie of a train. All the measured data with various sampling frequencies were rearranged according to the constant 25cm reference recording distance of the track recording vehicle used in the field. Before applying the wavelet transform, measured data were regressed by eliminating those out of the range. The inverse wavelet transfer function is also formulated to estimate track geometry. The closeness of the estimated track geometry to the actual one is evaluated by the coherence function and also by FRF (frequency response function). A track irregularity index is defined by comparing the variance of the estimation error from the intact condition and that from the current condition. A simulation study has been carried out to examine the proposed algorithm.

A Study on the Scale Effort Estimation Model based on Industry Characteristics (산업별 특성에 따른 소요공수 규모 산정 모델 연구)

  • Kwoak, Song-Hae;Park, Koo-Rack;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • 제14권11호
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2016
  • Information system development projects, have a mechanism for many of the costs generated by a variety of risk factors. In general, the probability that the software project of the information system is carried out successfully in the delivery time is very low. This prediction of a formal cost is needed as the most important factor since it can prevent the project from being failed. However, objectivity of most of the project scale calculation during the calculation criteria is insufficient. Further, it is the actual situation that the management of the base line is not properly made during the project. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a model to calculate the number of steps it takes to develop on the basis of a methodology in an attempt to overcome the limitation of being unpractical in the early stage of the information system development project. It is expected to be a tool to estimate the effort and cost required by the information system development business through these convergence proposals model.

The Macroeconomic Analysis: the Main Results of Estimation of Monetary Indicators on the Materials of Russia, the Countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and North-East Asia

  • Vyborova, Elena Nikolaevna
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.13-48
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This study is to analyze the monetary indicators and the key macroeconomic indicators and to assess the effectiveness of state regulation on its basis. The analysis of monetary aggregates of Russian Federation, CIS, the countries of leading countries of North-East Asia at the present stage of development. Research design and methodology - The volume of data on Russia was analyzed from the 1995 to the 2018. The data from the 1950 to the 2019 were estimated on China. The data from the 1980 to the 2018 were estimated on Japan. On South Korea - since the 1960 to the 2018. On Republic of Belarus - since the 2003 to the 2018. On Tajikistan - from the 2008 to 2017. On Kazakhstan - from the 1994 to the 2018. On Kyrgyzstan - from the 2002 to the 2018. On Armenia - from the 2003 to the 2018. Results - Hypothesis 1: In Russian Federation, the monetary stock has a stable tendency to grow. The volume of money stock of Russia and the analyzed countries is much determined by external debt, GDP, the export, the import, and the international reserves. Hypothesis 2: The growth of money supply does not always give a positive effect in the development of the country, as well as a significant increase in the amount of money stock does not always lead to negative consequences. The monetary stock should be commensurate with the macroeconomic indicators of the state. Conclusions - The growth of the monetary stock does not always give a positive effect in the development of the country, as well as a significant increase in the amount of monetary stock not always lead to negative consequences.

Valve Openings and Minimum Pump Head for Precise Operation of Multiple Groundwater Injection Wells (군정의 주입량의 정밀 제어를 위한 유량조절밸브의 개도 및 최소 펌프 소요양정)

  • Park, Namsik;Jang, Chi Woong;Cho, Kwangwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제48권10호
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    • pp.869-877
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    • 2015
  • Freshwater may be injected into aquifers to combat sea water intrusion in groundwater or to store water for later retrieval. For these cases to achieve the desired goal groundwater modeling is commonly used to determine locations and rates of injection wells. When these wells are connected to a pipe network, a flow control valve is installed for each well to regulate the injection rate. When a valve opening is modified, pressure changes in the entire pipe network and thereby changes flow rates in other wells. Therefore, desired valve openings must be determined for all injection wells. The pipe flow analysis allows estimation of the minimum pump power in addition to valve openings. Methods are developed to identify valve openings for multiple wells and the minimum pump power. The methodology developed in this work can contribute to precise operation of multiple injection wells.

Valuation on the Photovoltaic Core Material Technology Using Black-Scholes Model: a Company's Case Study (블랙숄즈모형을 적용한 태양광 핵심소재 기술가치평가: 기업사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Dong-Su;Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.578-598
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    • 2011
  • This study estimates the value of photovoltaic core material technology, which is getting attention as a clean energy source. The estimation is based on the real option pricing model (ROPM). This study has two main contributions. The first is in the methodology. The process of modeling volatility, which is the most complicated stage in ROPM, is greatly simplified by using the stock price as a covariate representing the volatility of the real option's basic asset. The second contribution is the application of technology. In this study, the economic value of poly-silicon, a core material in the photovoltaic industry and recently surging in demand, is evaluated as a manufacturing technology. In a case study of a company in the photovoltaic industry, the stochastic process of a basic asset follows geometric Brownian motion (GBM), and the option value of firm A's poly-silicon manufacturing technology is estimated at 3.4 trillion won.

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Modeling of Emissions from Open Biomass Burning in Asia Using the BlueSky Framework

  • Choi, Ki-Chul;Woo, Jung-Hun;Kim, Hyeon Kook;Choi, Jieun;Eum, Jeong-Hee;Baek, Bok H.
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2013
  • Open biomass burning (excluding biofuels) is an important contributor to air pollution in the Asian region. Estimation of emissions from fires, however, has been problematic, primarily because of uncertainty in the size and location of sources and in their temporal and spatial variability. Hence, more comprehensive tools to estimate wildfire emissions and that can characterize their temporal and spatial variability are needed. Furthermore, an emission processing system that can generate speciated, gridded, and temporally allocated emissions is needed to support air-quality modeling studies over Asia. For these reasons, a biomass-burning emissions modeling system based on satellite imagery was developed to better account for the spatial and temporal distributions of emissions. The BlueSky Framework, which was developed by the USDA Forest Service and US EPA, was used to develop the Asian biomass-burning emissions modeling system. The sub-models used for this study were the Fuel Characteristic Classification System (FCCS), CONSUME, and the Emissions Production Model (EPM). Our domain covers not only Asia but also Siberia and part of central Asia to assess the large boreal fires in the region. The MODIS fire products and vegetation map were used in this study. Using the developed modeling system, biomass-burning emissions were estimated during April and July 2008, and the results were compared with previous studies. Our results show good to fair agreement with those of GFEDv3 for most regions, ranging from 9.7 % in East Asia to 52% in Siberia. The SMOKE modeling system was combined with this system to generate three-dimensional model-ready emissions employing the fire-plume rise algorithm. This study suggests a practicable and maintainable methodology for supporting Asian air-quality modeling studies and to help understand the impact of air-pollutant emissions on Asian air quality.

Application of a Hydroinformatic System for Calibration of a Catchment Modelling System (강우-유출모형의 검정을 위한 수문정보시스템의 적용)

  • Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2003
  • A new methodology for selecting spatially variable model control parameter values through consideration of inference models within a Hydroinformatic system has been developed to overcome problems associated with determination of spatially variable control parameter values for both ungauged and gauged catchment. The adopted Hydroinformatic tools for determination of control parameter values were a GIS(Arc/Info) to handle spatial and non-spatial attribute information, the SWMM(stormwater management model) to simulate catchment response to hydrologic events, and lastly, L_BFGS_B(a limited memory quasi-Newton algorithm) to assist in the calibration process. As a result, high accuracy of control parameter estimation was obtained by considering the spatial variations of the control parameters based on landuse characteristics. Also, considerable time and effort necessary for estimating a large number of control parameters were reduced from the new calibration approach.

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A Method of Prediction and Analysis of Electromagnetic Interference (EMI) in Wireless Power Transfer System Operating at 13.56 MHz (13.56 MHz 무선 에너지 전송 시스템의 효율적인 전자파 장해(EMI) 예측 및 분석 방법)

  • Shim, Hyun-Jin;Park, Jong-Min;Nam, Sangwook
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • 제24권9호
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    • pp.873-882
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    • 2013
  • The effective way of estimation and analysis of EMI(Electromagnetic Interference) in Wireless Power Transfer System operating at 13.56 MHz is proposed. In this paper methodology of driving magnetic field strength and electric loop current of two antennas which are in free space and on PEC plane using image theory and duality is proposed. Perfect electric conductor(PEC) is planar, infinite in extent, and perfectly conducting plane. And we will refer it as PEC plane. A equivalent circuit model is used to analyze. Using this theoretical analysis, we can derive maximum magnetic field strength of the far-field region numerically using measured data of near-field maximum magnetic field strength. The experimental results using commercial numerical simulation tool are in agreement with the theoretical results. Also, using the derivation of maximum magnetic field strength in the far-field region, we can easily estimate the maximum allowable power dissipation that meets EMI regulations.

$SF_6$ Emission Characteristics at High Voltage Equipments in use-phase Stage (고압 전력기기에서의 $SF_6$ Gas 사용단계별 배출특성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Ju;Cha, Yeun-Haeng
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • 제57권12호
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    • pp.2199-2201
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    • 2008
  • Sulfur hexafluoride($SF_6$) is a gaseous dielectric used in high voltage electrical equipment such as an insultor or arc quenching medium in the transmission and distribution of electricity. however, $SF_6$ is one of the greenhouse gases(GHG) with a global warming potential that is 23,900 times greater than that of carbon dioxide($CO_2$). for this reason, $SF_6$ emissions in electric equipment shall be controlled to reduce GHG and improve cost-effective use of $SF_6$ for economical benefits. Until recently there has not been any investigation on $SF_6$ emission characteristics and inventory in Korea. To understand emission characteristics during the use-phase, the scope of this study was limited to the following closed pressure system equipment from 10 substations in Korea. This study highlights (1) the investigation of sampling/analysis methodology for $SF_6$ emissions in high voltage equipment, (2) the estimation of $SF_6$ emissions in the use-phase, and (3) the comparison between the emission ratio and the mass-balance applied to inventory study. According to this study, the majority of emissions were related to electric equipment nameplates and the rest of the emissions were related to the handling of $SF_6$ during operations. from this result, emission ratios estimated from this study were similar; GIS was 14% and GCB was 13%, as maintenance process conditions were the same as manual process conditions for both equipment.

The Computer Simulation and Estimation of Membrane Mass Transfer Coefficients of Hollow Fiber Membrane G-L Contactors for SO2 Removal (SO2 제거를 위한 중공사막 기-액 접촉기의 모사 및 분리막 물질 전달 계수 추정)

  • Kim, Yong Kuk;Song, Hee Ouel;Lee, Hyung Keun;Kim, In-Won
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2007
  • Hollow fiber membrane G-L contactors are widely used to remove $SO_2$ emitted from industrial facilities. In this work, the mathematical modeling and computer simulation for hollow membrane G-L contactors is carried out to analyze $SO_2$ absorption behavior in hollow fiber membranes. The model is solved with the finite element method using a commercial software. Investigated is the dependency of $SO_2$ removal efficiency and mass transfer characteristics on gas velocities, membrane mass transfer coefficients and physical properties of contactors. The membrane mass transfer coefficients are estimated by fitting the experimental data with the simulated $SO_2$ removal efficiencies. In addition, a design methodology of membrane contactors is suggested.