• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation Methodology

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NHPCI 지표를 활용한 공용성 추정과 수명 산정 (Estimation of Performance and Pavement Life using National Highway Pavement Condition Index)

  • 도명식;이용준;임광수;권수안
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: The new methodology is proposed for estimation of long-term performance and pavement life based on the national highway database in Daejeon area. Furthermore, this study tried to verify the applicability of performance estimation using NHPCI (National Highway Pavement Condition Index) on tendency of pavement deterioration as time goes by under Korean road environments. METHODS: Reliability theories are applied to estimate the mean life and to determine the appropriate distribution using 3 levels of traffic loads (high, medium, low) based on maintenance and rehabilitation history data for 15 years. RESULTS: As a result, Lognormal distribution is suitable for explanation of pavement lifetime in Daejeon area regardless of traffic loads. In addition, we found that the results of mean life and maintenance timing based on NHPCI for the pavement sections of 3 levels of traffic loads are available. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this study, it was found that mean life of high, medium and low levels of traffic loads are about 8.1 years, 12.2 years and 12.7 years, respectively. Higher level of traffic loads shorten the pavement mean life.

포즈 추정 기반 얼굴 인식 시스템 설계 : 포즈 추정 알고리즘 비교 연구 (Design of Face Recognition System Based on Pose Estimation : Comparative Studies of Pose Estimation Algorithms)

  • 김진율;김종범;오성권
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권4호
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    • pp.672-681
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    • 2017
  • This paper is concerned with the design methodology of face recognition system based on pose estimation. In 2-dimensional face recognition, the variations of facial pose cause the deterioration of recognition performance because object recognition is carried out by using brightness of each pixel on image. To alleviate such problem, the proposed face recognition system deals with Learning Vector Quantizatioin(LVQ) or K-Nearest Neighbor(K-NN) to estimate facial pose on image and then the images obtained from LVQ or K-NN are used as the inputs of networks such as Convolution Neural Networks(CNNs) and Radial Basis Function Neural Networks(RBFNNs). The effectiveness and efficiency of the post estimation using LVQ and K-NN as well as face recognition rate using CNNs and RBFNNs are discussed through experiments carried out by using ICPR and CMU PIE databases.

Evaluation of N2 method for damage estimation of MDOF systems

  • Yaghmaei-Sabegh, Saman;Zafarvand, Sadaf;Makaremi, Sahar
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2018
  • Methods based on nonlinear static analysis as simple tools could be used for the seismic analysis and assessment of structures. In the present study, capability of the N2 method as a well-known nonlinear analysis procedure examines for the estimation of the damage index of multi-storey reinforced concrete frames. In the implemented framework, equivalent single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) models are utilized for the global damage estimation of multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) systems. This method does not require high computational analysis and subsequently decreases the required time of seismic design and assessment process. To develop the methodology, RC frames with period range from 0.4 to 2.0 s under 40 records are studied. The effectiveness of proposed technique is evaluated through numerical study under near- and far-field earthquake ground motions. Finally, the results of developed models are compared with two other simplified schemes along with nonlinear time history analysis results of multi-storey frames. To improve the accuracy of damage estimation, a modified relation is presented based on the N2 method results for near- and far-field earthquakes.

지하수위 자료를 이용한 대수층의 수리상수 추정과 추정오차 분석 (Aquifer Parameter Identification and Estimation Error Analysis from Synthetic and Actual Hydraulic Head Data)

  • 현윤정;이강근;성익환
    • 지질공학
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 1996
  • 최대우도법 (maximum likelihood method)을 이용하여 정류상태의 지하수위 자료로 부터 불균질성과 비등방성을 가지는 대수층의 수리상수를 추정하는 반전모델을 개발하였다. 반전모델을 이용하여 추정된 수리상수의 추정오차를 분석하기 위하여 Fisher information matrix 분석법을 도입하고, 수리상수의 추정을 위한 Parameterization의 방법으로 소유동영역화 방법 (zonation method)을 사용하였다. 개발된 반전모델을 이용하여 세가지 경우에 대해서 대구지역의 투수량계수를 추정하였다. 또한, 대구지역의 지하 수함양률을 각 소유동영역의 값으로 추정하였다. 각 추정에서 수반되는 추정오차의 특성을 Fisher information matrix를 구하여 사펴보았다.

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Inflow Prediction and First Principles Modeling of a Coaxial Rotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicle in Forward Flight

  • Harun-Or-Rashid, Mohammad;Song, Jun-Beom;Byun, Young-Seop;Kang, Beom-Soo
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.614-623
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    • 2015
  • When the speed of a coaxial rotor helicopter in forward flight increases, the wake skew angle of the rotor increases and consequently the position of the vena contracta of the upper rotor with respect to the lower rotor changes. Considering ambient air and the effect of the upper rotor, this study proposes a nonuniform inflow model for the lower rotor of a coaxial rotor helicopter in forward flight. The total required power of the coaxial rotor system was compared against Dingeldein's experimental data, and the results of the proposed model were well matched. A plant model was also developed from first principles for flight simulation, unknown parameter estimation and control analysis. The coaxial rotor helicopter used for this study was manufactured for surveillance and reconnaissance and does not have any stabilizer bar. Therefore, a feedback controller was included during flight test and parameter estimation to overcome unstable situations. Predicted responses of parameter estimation and validation show good agreement with experimental data. Therefore, the methodology described in this paper can be used to develop numerical plant model, study non-uniform inflow model, conduct performance analysis and parameter estimation of coaxial rotor as well as other rotorcrafts in forward flight.

유전자 알고리즘에 의한 HFC의 최적 제어파라미터 추정 및 설계 (Estimation of Optimal Control Parameters and Design of Hybrid Fuzzy Controller by Means of Genetic Algorithms)

  • 이대근;오성권;장성환;김용수
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제49권11호
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    • pp.599-609
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    • 2000
  • The new design methodology of a hybrid fuzzy controller by means of the genetic algorithms is presented. First, a hybrid fuzzy controller(HFC) related to the optimal estimation of control parameters is proposed. The control input for the system in the HFC combined PID controller with fuzzy controller is a convex combination of the FLC's output and PID's output by a fuzzy variable, namely, membership function of weighting coefficient. Second, an auto-tuning algorithms utilizing the simplified reasoning method and genetic algorithms is presented to automatically improve the performance of hybrid fuzzy controller. Especially, in order to auto-tune scaling factors and PID parameters of HFC using GA, three kinds of estimation modes such as basic, contraction, and expansion mode are effectively utilized. The proposed HFC is evaluated and discussed to show applicability and superiority with the and of three representative processes.

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AN APPROPRIATE INFLOW MODEL FOR SIMULTANEOUS DISSOLUTION AND DEGRADATION

  • Lee, Ju-Hyun;Kang, Sung-Kwon;Choi, Hoo-Kyun
    • 호남수학학술지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.109-124
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    • 2009
  • Based on the observed data for Clarithromycin released, three commonly used inflow models: the power, the exponential, and the logarithmic models are considered. Among them, the power model is used most in practice for simplicity. Using the numerical parameter estimation techniques, the parameters appeared in the model equations are estimated. Through the numerical estimation results using the several experimental data sets, the exponential model turns out to be best among the three models. More specifically, the sum of squares of absolute errors and the sum of squares of relative errors for the exponential model are reduced by 80-95 % for the experimental data sets and 60-90 % for the noise added data sets compared with those for the power and logarithmic models. A typical experimental data set is used in this paper to show the estimation method and its numerical results. The proposed numerical method and its algorithm are designed for estimating the parameters appeared in the model differential equations for which the exact form of the solution is unknown in general. The methodology developed can be applied to more general cases such as the nonlinear ordinary differential equations or the partial differential equations.

항만 구역 지진피해예측 평가방안에 관한 예비 연구 (A Preliminary Study of the Seismic Damage Estimation for Harbor Sites)

  • 최승호;김한샘;유승훈;정충기;장인성
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 항만 구역의 지진피해예측 평가체계를 구축하기 위해 필요한 지진피해예측 관련 시스템 및 내진설계 현황 및 항만구조물의 지진피해 사례를 조사하였으며, 더불어 주요 항만 구역의 구조물의 현황 및 특성을 조사, 분석하였다. 이를 토대로 지반 정보와 항만 구조물의 지진 취약도를 고려한 항만 구역(구조물)의 지진피해예측 간이 평가방안을 개발하였다.

Calculation of ice clearing resistance using normal vector of hull form and direct calculation of buoyancy force under the hull

  • Park, Kyung-Duk;Kim, Moon-Chan;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.699-707
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    • 2015
  • The ice-resistance estimation technique for icebreaking ships had been studied intensively over recent years to meet the needs of designing Arctic vessels. Before testing in the ice model basin, the estimation of a ship's ice resistance with high reliability is very important to decide the delivered power necessary for level ice operation. The main idea of previous studies came from several empirical formulas, such as Poznyak and Ionov (1981), Enkvist (1972) and Shimansky (1938) methods, in which ice resistance components such as icebreaking, buoyancy and clearing resistances were represented by the integral equations along the Design Load Water Line (DLWL). The current study proposes a few modified methods not only considering the DLWL shape, but also the hull shape under the DLWL. In the proposed methodology, the DLWL shape for icebreaking resistance and the hull shape under the DLWL for buoyancy and clearing resistances can be directly considered in the calculation. Especially, when calculating clearing resistance, the flow pattern of ice particles under the DLWL of ship is assumed to be in accordance with the ice flow observed during ice model testing. This paper also deals with application examples for a few ship designs and its ice model testing programs at the AARC ice model basin. From the comparison of results of the model test and the estimation, the reliability of this estimation technique has been discussed.

Case-Based Reasoning Cost Estimation Model Using Two-Step Retrieval Method

  • Lee, Hyun-Soo;Seong, Ki-Hoon;Park, Moon-Seo;Ji, Sae-Hyun;Kim, Soo-Young
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2010
  • Case-based reasoning (CBR) method can make estimators understand the estimation process more clearly. Thus, CBR is widely used as a methodology for cost estimation. In CBR, the quality of case retrieval affects the relevance of retrieved cases and hence the overall quality of the reminding capability of CBR system. Thus, it is essential to retrieve relevant past cases for establishing a robust CBR system. Case retrieval needs the following tasks to obtain appropriate case(s); indexing, search, and matching (Aamodt and Plaza 1994). However, the previous CBR researches mostly deal with matching process that has limits such as accuracy and efficiency of case retrieval. In order to address this issue, this research presents a CBR cost model for building projects that has two-step retrieval process: decision tree and nearest neighbor methods. Specifically, the proposed cost model has indexing, search and matching modules. Features in the model are divided into shape-based and scale-based attributes. Based on these, decision tree is established for facilitating the search task and nearest neighbor method was utilized for matching task. In regard to applying nearest neighbor method, attribute weights are assigned using GA optimization and similarity is calculated using the principle of distance measuring. Thereafter, the proposed CBR cost model is developed using 174 cases and validated using 12 test cases.