• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimating procedure

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Prediction Model for Reduced Bone mass in Women using Individual Characteristics & Life Style Factors (여성의 개인적 특성과 생활양식요인을 이용한 골량감소 예측모형)

  • Lee, Eun-Nam;Lee, Eun-Ok
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.83-109
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    • 1998
  • This study was carried out to identify the Important modifiable risk factors for reduced bone mass and to construct prediction model which can classify women with either low or high bone mass. Through the literature review, individual characteristics such as age, body weight, height, education level, family history, age of menarche, postmenopausal period, gravity, parity, menopausal status, and breast feeding period were identified and factors of life style such as past milk consumption, past physical activity, present daily activity, present calcium intake, alcohol intake, cigarette smoking, coffee consumption were identified as influencing factors of reduced bone mass in women. Four hundred and eighty women aged between 28 and 76 who had given measurement bone mineral density by dual energy x-ray absortiometry in lumbar vertebrae and femur from July to October, 1997 at 4 general hospitals in Seoul and Pusan were selected for this study. Women were excluded if they had a history of any chronic illness such as rheumatoid arthritis, diabetes mellitus, hyperthroidism, & gastrointestinal disorder and any medication such as calcium supplements, calcitonin, estrogen, thyroxine, antacids, & corticosteroids known affect bone. As a result of these exclusion criteria, four hundred and seventeen women were used for analysis. Multiple logistic regression model was developed for estimating the likelihood of the presence or absence of reduced bone mass. A SAS procedure was used to estimate risk factor coefficient. The results are as follows For lumbar spine, the variables significant were age, body weight, menopause status, daily activity, past milk consumption, and past physical activity(p<0.01), while for femoral Ward's triangle, age, body weight, level of education, past milk consumption, past physical activity(p<0.001). Past physical activity, present daily activity and past milk consumption are the most powerful modifiable predictors in vertebrae and femur among the predictors. When the model performance was evaluated by comparing the observed outcome with predicted outcome, the model correctly identified 74.1% of persons with reduced bone mass and 84.5% of persons with normal bone mass in the lumbar vertebrae and 82.9% of persons with reduced bone mass and 75.0% of persons with normal bone mass in the femoral Ward's triangle. On the basis of these results, a number of recommendations for the management of reduced bone mass may be made : First, those woman who are classified as high risk group of the reduced bone mass in the prediction model should examine the bone mineral density to further examine the usefulness of this model. Second, the optimal amount of milk consumption and a regular weight bearing exercise in childhood, adolescence, and early adult should be ensured.

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Estimates of Flushing Time in a Bay using the SCS Curve Number Method (SCS 유출곡선지수법(流出曲線指數法)을 이용한 만내(灣內) 담수(淡水) 교체시간(交替時間)의 추정(推定))

  • Kim, Jong Hwa;Chang, Sun Duck;Song, Hyun Ku
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1453-1463
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    • 1994
  • The SCS Curve Number(CN) method has become widely accepted as a procedure of estimating stormflow volumes for design and natural events in small watersheds. The applicability of this method for calculating the flushing time was evaluated as compared with the net volume transport(NVT) method in Masan Bay, Korea. It is shown that the flushing time using the CN method ranged from 10.9 to 15.3 days under the well mixed condition, that the time using the NVT method was 13.9 days averaged over 6 days of field data. These results were revealed that two methods calculated the approximate times as shown above. The relationships between the run-off, Qr, and the flushing time, t, are expressed as the following forms. $t_1=228.79Q_r^{-0.9996}$ in case of well mixed condition, (1) $t_2=131.06Q_r^{-1.0}$ in case of two layered model. (2) Those empirical expressions are represented that the relationships between Q and t are nonlinear as those as Bumpus obtained in Boston Inner Harbour. Therefore, the CN method will permit calculation of the flushing time for any given bay to be unexpected as water balance under the condition of short-time (0.5 day) data, instead of NVT method based on the long-time (at least 3 days over) data.

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Research for Thickness Change of Denture Base in Flask when Injecting Valplast Flexible Partial Denture Resin (발플라스트 레진 주입 시 발생되는 의치상의 두께변화에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Wan-Young;Kim, Bu-Sob;Chung, In-Sung
    • Journal of Technologic Dentistry
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2008
  • This is a research for thickness change of denture base according to the shape of sprue & investment position of denture base in flask when injecting polyamid base resin for flexible partial denture as a part of study for Valplast among the flexible partial denture with a nylon base. It has been introduced several kinds of flexible partial denture product with a nylon base, but Valplast is the most widely used product among them. Valplast has been the most generally used material today since developed in 1950s in the United States as a material for flexible partial denture. Valplast is much more aesthetic than general metal-acrylic partial denture due to its translucent pink color and biocompatibility in terms of material characteristic. It keeps its flexibility for a long time after production, imposes a less burden on the teeth used as abutment, and it can be easily insert and remove due to its particular suppleness. Moreover, it is felt like real teeth more than metal-acrylic partial denture when being put in and takes alveolar bone under good protection since it receives occlusal force equally under the denture base. The most outstanding feature of Valplast is flexibility. The extent of its flexibility is determined by width & thickness of denture base. Considering general working procedure of Valplast, it can be seen that the thickness of denture base formed out of wax is increasing by the pressure while injecting resin. This research is to decide and test on the thickness increasing of Valplast by injecting pressure and the hypothesis upon that and is to prepare the basis estimating the increasing extent of thickness of denture base on the basis of the test result. In this test, it is expected occlusal malposition & thickness increasing of denture base by injecting pressure according to 4 kinds of test data which are to select 3 types of sprue method settling the forefront position at which the test material of fixed standard can be invested and to position the test material at the rearmost part keeping the minimum distance to set sprue. For 4 kinds of injecting test by investment position & sprue type, 20 test materials, 5 for each test were produced and a pressure of 1,180Kg was given with automatic injector of air cylinder type. The results are as follows: 1. For the amount of thickness increasing of denture base by investment position, the thickness of front investment is less increasing than the one of rear investment. 2. For the amount of thickness increasing of denture base by sprue type, the thickness of straight decompression sprue type which can absorb the injecting pressure after injecting polyamide base resin is less increasing than the other sprue types.

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Regional frequency analysis using spatial data extension method : II .Flood frequency inference for ungaged watersheds (공간확장자료를 이용한 지역빈도분석 : II. 미계측 유역의 홍수빈도 추론)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo;Jung, Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2016
  • In order to infer regional flood frequency for ungauged watersheds, index flood method was applied for this study. To pursuit this given purpose, annual peak flood data for 22 watersheds located at the upstream of the Chungju Dam watershed were obtained from the spatial extension technique. The regionalization of mean annual flood was performed from extended flood data at 22 points. Based on the theory that flood discharge and watershed size follows the power law the regionalization generated the empirical relationship. These analyses were executed for the full size of the Chungju Dam watershed as one group and three different mid-size watersheds groups. From the results, the relationship between mean annual flood and watershed sizes follow the power law. We demonstrated that it is appropriate to use the relationship between specific flood discharges from the upper and lower watersheds in terms of estimating the floods for the ungaged watersheds. Therefore, not only the procedure of regional frequency analysis but also regionalizaion analaysis using finer discretization of the regions interest with respect to the regional frequency analyisis for the ungauged watersheds is important.

Relational Commitment, Performance, and the Franchiser's Management Characteristics and Fairness in Food Service Distribution (외식프랜차이즈 가맹본부의 관리특성과 공정성이 관계결속과 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Young-Sik;Mun, Jang-Sil;Kwon, Jae-Kuk
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - Franchise industries are significant both socially and economically. However, with increasing interest, there are manifold problems. It is necessary to seek measures for mature operation constantly despite unprepared franchisors, negative perceptions of the media and society toward franchise, and rapid changes in business start-up trends and propensity to consume that make business start-ups difficult. The paper aims to explain the effects of relational commitment and performance on the franchisor's management characteristics and justice in the food service franchise system. Research design, data, and methodology - This is an exploratory survey examining franchising in Korea. Based on a literature synthesis, we extract five constructs: managerial characteristics, support, fairness, trust, and satisfaction. We hypothesize that these factors influence the trust, satisfaction, and performance of franchisees. To examine these hypotheses empirically, we conducted a survey on the database of the Franchising Council of Korea. The study employs data from May to September 2014. In total, 135 completed questionnaires were received, of which 128 were usable. The data was analyzed with SPSS/PC 22.0. First, to test unidimensionality and nomological validity of the measures of each construct, we employed a scale refinement procedure. The result of a reliability test with Cronbach's α and factor analysis warranted unidimensionality of the measures for each construct. In addition, nomological validity of the measures was warranted from the result of the correlation and regression analysis. By analyzing the data, we can confirm most hypotheses. Results - Frist, franchisor characteristics have a positive effect on trust and satisfaction. Second, franchisor fairness has an effect on trust and satisfaction. Third, franchisor support has an effect on satisfaction. Further, the franchisee trust has an effect on satisfaction. Fourth, the satisfaction of a franchisee with a franchisor affects the performance of a franchisee. Finally, there is a possibility that not only franchisee performance but also increasing the credibility and improving the image of the franchisor through communication between franchisor and franchisee can improve franchisees' performance and satisfaction by motivating the franchisee for sustainable growth. Franchisers should endeavor for franchisees to obtain stable revenue with continuous and practical support. They should recognize that they can expand their business by supporting their franchisees. Franchisors should not only instantly respond to franchisees' troubles with interactive communications but also raise the ability of supervisors for better support. Franchisors should share their visions and goals with their franchisees and provide systematic and continuous support based on trust and clear company management. Franchisees should understand franchisors' position as well as participate in establishing the basic franchise system. Contributions - The paper contributes to understanding franchising in Korea. It offers insights and assistance to franchisors hoping to start franchises. This paper explores measurement issues related to franchisee performance by estimating its determinant factors (managerial characteristics, support, fairness, trust, and satisfaction). This study provides franchisors and practitioners planning to extend their franchising business with some practical knowledge.

One-year Graft Patency after Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery (관상동맥우회술 후 1년 개존성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gi-Bong;Kim, Hyeon-Jo;Seong, Gi-Ik
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.30 no.12
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    • pp.1190-1196
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    • 1997
  • Between July 1994 and August 1995, 78 patients underwent coronary artery bypass graft at Seoul National University Hospital. Coronary angiogram was performed one year after coronary artery bypass graft in 49 patients(62.8%) for evaluation of the graft patency and analysis of the risk factors for graft occlusion. The patency rates of both the internal mammary artery and the radial artery grafts were 100% , although three internal mammary artery grafts(5.0%) were narrowed(string sign). And that of the saphenous vein grafts were 85.2%. Multivariate analysis for the preoperative, operative, and postoperative factors was done between the widely patent and the narrowed internal mammary artery graft groups, and between the patent and the occluded saphenous vein graft groups by the general linear models procedure. Patient's age($\geq$60 years), postoperative intraaortic balloon pump insertion, bleeding, and acute renal failure were found to be the significant risk factors for internal mammary artery graft narrowing, and coronary artery size(< 1.5 mm) was the significant risk factor for the saphenous vein graft occlusion (p<0.05) . This study confirms that the arterial graft is superior to the vein graft at one-year patency rate, and suggests the risk factors for graft occlusion during the first postoperative year. Knowledge of this study may provide a basis for estimating the risk factors for graft occlusion, and thereby modifying surgical strategy and postoperative surveillance.

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Groundwater Recharge Estimation for the Gyeongan-cheon Watershed with MIKE SHE Modeling System (MIKE SHE 모형을 이용한 경안천 유역의 지하수 함양량 산정)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Im, Sang-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.6 s.179
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2007
  • To estimate the groundwater recharge, the fully distributed parameter based model, MIKE SHE was applied to the Gyeongan-cheon watershed which is one of the tributaries of Han River Basin, and covers approximately $260km^2$ with about 49 km main stream length. To set up the model, spatial data such as topography, land use, soil, and meteorological data were compiled, and grid size of 200m was applied considering computer ability and reliability of the results. The model was calibrated and validated using a split sample procedure against 4-year daily stream flows at the outlet of the watershed. Statistical criteria for the calibration and validation results indicated a good agreement between the simulated and observed stream flows. The annual recharges calculated from the model were compared with the values from the conventional groundwater recession curve method, and the simulated groundwater levels were compared with the observed values. As a result, it was concluded that the model could reasonably simulate the groundwater level and recharge, and could be a useful tool for estimating spatially/temporally the groundwater recharges, and enhancing the analysis of the watershed water cycle.

Optimization Technique for Estimation of Potential Hydroelectric Energy at Existion Ahricultural Reservoir (최적화기법을 이용한 기존 농업용 저수지에서의 부존 수력발전량 추정)

  • An, Tae-Jin;Ryu, Hui-Jeong;Park, Jeong-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.281-289
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    • 1999
  • Small-scale hydropower projects at existing agricultural reservoirs can contribute to produce electric energy by maximizing the use of releases from the reservoirs. The irrigation water duration, the reservoir hydropower simulation, and the nonlinear programming model are employed to estimate potential hydroelectric energy at an existing reservoir. The nonlinear programming model consists of finding a maximum hydroelectric energy subject to irrigation water demand constraints. The sample reservoir given a set of inflow and irrigation water is considered. The optimal solutions by the optimization model yield the most hydroelectric energy for the analysis period in the three methods. Consequently, the nonlinear programming model uses the most water for hydropower generation with respect to the total inflow of the sample reservoir. It is also found that additional storage by increasing the normal water level of the sample reservoir does not significantly increase the annual hydroelectric energy for the given reservoir. It is expected that the optimization model and the proposed procedure for estimating potential hydroelectric energy can be applied to evaluate feasibility analysis for small scale hydropower additions at existing agricultural dams.

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Theoretical and Empirical Issues in Conducting an Economic Analysis of Damage in Price-Fixing Litigation: Application to a Transportation Fuel Market (담합관련 손해배상 소송의 경제분석에서 고려해야 할 이론 및 실증적 쟁점: 수송용 연료시장에의 적용)

  • Moon, Choon-Geol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.187-224
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    • 2014
  • We present key issues to consider in estimating damages from price-fixing cases and then apply the procedure addressing those issues to a transportation fuel market. Among the five methods of overcharge calculation, the regression analysis incorporating the yardstick method is the best. If the price equation relates the domestic price to the foreign price and the exchange rate as in the transportation fuel market, the functional form satisfying both logical consistency and modeling flexibility is the log-log functional form. If the data under analysis is of time series in nature, then the ARDL model should be the base model for each market and the regression analysis incorporating the yardstick method combines these ARDL equations to account for inter-market correlation and arrange constant terms and collusion-period dummies across component equations appropriately so as to identify the overcharge parameter. We propose a two-step test for the benchmarked market: (a) conduct market-by-market Spearman or Kendall test for randomness of the individual market price series first and (b) then conduct across-market Friedman test for homogeneity of the market price series. Statistical significance is the minimal requirement to establish the alleged proposition in the world of uncertainty. Between the sensitivity analysis and the model selection process for the best fitting model, the latter is far more important in the economic analysis of damage in price-fixing litigation. We applied our framework to a transportation fuel market and could not reject the null hypothesis of no overcharge.

Study on the methods of risk assessment of human exposure by using of PVC flooring (PVC 바닥재 인체 노출에 따른 위해성 평가 연구)

  • Kim, Woo Il;Cho, Yoon A;Kim, Min Sun;Lee, Ji Youmg;Kang, Young Yeul;Shin, Sun Kyoung;Jeong, Seong Kyoung;Yeon, Jin Mo
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.261-268
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    • 2014
  • In advanced countries, a variety of consumer exposure assessment models including CONSEXPO, are developed to manage risks of consumer products containing hazardous materials. The models are used to assess the risks of exposure to hazardous chemicals in consumer products, which serves as a foundation for regulation standards. In this study, exposure assessment models applicable for various scenarios were reviewed and a proper model was applied for the selected products and risk assessment was conducted at each stage to establish a risk assessment procedure for different types of products. Based on the exposure scenario, exposure factor was selected and according to the algorithm produced based on CONSEXPO exposure model, some level of phthalates were detected from some types of PVC flooring. However, a correlation between phthalate content and migration rate showed r-square 0.0065, little correlation, which is inadequate for estimating standard value. For this reason, it seems valid that the current standard be in place. Additionally, any new standard was not suggested as VOCs were not found harmful to human health, allowing the existing standard to be continuously applied. No migration rate was found for heavy metals and risk assessment was not performed accordingly. In this aspect, it is presumed that hazards to health through dermal exposure would be very little.