• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimating procedure

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Rainfall induced instability of mechanically stabilized earth embankments

  • Roy, Debasis;Chiranjeevi, K.;Singh, Raghvendra;Baidya, Dilip K.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.193-204
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    • 2009
  • A 10.4-m high highway embankment retained behind mechanically stabilized earth (MSE) walls is under construction in the northeastern part of the Indian state of Bihar. The structure is constructed with compacted, micaceous, grey, silty sand, reinforced with polyester (PET) geogrids, and faced with reinforced cement concrete fascia panels. The connections between the fascia panels and the geogrids failed on several occasions during the monsoon seasons of 2007 and 2008 following episodes of heavy rainfall, when the embankment was still under construction. However, during these incidents the MSE embankment itself remained by and large stable and the collateral damages were minimal. The observational data during these incidents presented an opportunity to develop and calibrate a simple procedure for estimating rainfall induced pore water pressure development within MSE embankments constructed with backfill materials that do not allow unimpeded seepage. A simple analytical finite element model was developed for the purpose. The modeling results were found to agree with the observational and meteorological records from the site. These results also indicated that the threshold rainwater infiltration flux needed for the development of pore water pressure within an MSE embankment is a monotonically increasing function of the hydraulic conductivity of backfill. Specifically for the MSE embankment upon which this study is based, the analytical results indicated that the instabilities could have been avoided by having in place a chimney drain immediately behind the fascia panels.

Effects of Propeller Forces on the Propeller Shaft Bearing during Going Straight and Turning of Ship (선박의 직진과 선회 시의 프로펠러 하중이 프로펠러 축 베어링에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2015
  • In the beginning of the 1990's, numerous shaft bearing damages, especially in aft stern tube bearing, were reported. The main reasons of bearing damages were estimated that hull deflections have been increased by more flexible hulls and propeller dynamic loads have not been considered in shaft alignment. After that time, studies to take into account hull deflections in shaft alignment have been actively carried out, but for the latter leave much to be desired. In this study, the effects of the propeller forces on the propeller shaft bearing have been investigated by estimating thrust eccentricity as reasonable as possible although some assumptions to simulate turning of ship were introduced. Three dimensional nominal wake to estimate thrust eccentricity have been calculated by using CFD analysis and model test in the towing tank. This study presents the procedure to estimate the propeller eccentric forces and their influence on the stern tube bearing for a container carrier. As a result, it has been found that the lateral propeller forces in turning condition should be considered in shaft alignment to prevent shaft bearing damages.

Propeller Racing of Ocean-going Ships with Twin Screw Propellers (2축선의 프로펠러 레이싱 추정법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, J.H.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.98-106
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a statistical prediction procedure for the propeller racing of ships with twin screw propellers sailing in ocean waves. The propeller racing is one of the most important factors of seakeeping qualities in relation to the safety of main engine and shafting system. It is especially significant key word for designing the twin-screw-propeller-type ship in view of allowable maximum propeller diameter etc.. In former studies, the propeller racing generally means the situation (propeller exposed) in which the relative motion amplitude between ship hull and wave surface would exceed a depth of point in rotary disk propeller. Therefore, it seems that the magnitude of the amplitude and its exceeding frequency have been examined as a principal subject of study as usual. However, the time during which the amplitude exceeds a depth of point must be also one of most important factor affecting the trend of propeller racing. This paper proposes a simply practical method for estimating the time lasting of exposed propeller related to twin screw propeller racing in rough confused seas on the basis of the statistics. Then, it is confirmed that the practical method is useful and convenience for considering the propeller racing in the stage of the basic design.

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A Study of Relationship with User Characteristics and Paid Contents Consumption on IPTV Services (IPTV 서비스 이용자 특성과 유료 콘텐츠 구매의 관련성에 대한 연구)

  • Sawng, Yeong-Wha;Kim, Juil;Kim, Myung-Jung;Park, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzes the influence factors of IPTV users on the purchase of paid contents. This study carries out a web-log analysis of the actual users of the service provided by the domestic IPTV providers and classifies the influence factors on the purchase of paid contents largely into VOC, switching barriers, and content consumption pattern to conduct an empirical analysis. As analysis procedure, first, this study analyzes the preceding researches related to the core influence factors and content-purchasing patterns, and second, conducts a basic statistics analysis of the distribution of basic characteristics of the logs used, as presented in the above. Third, this study carries out a multiple regression analysis as an estimating equation of the number of purchasing the paid content depending on switching barriers of IPTV service, VOC, and content consumption pattern. As a statistical package, Stata version 11.2 was used. Through the empirical analysis, this study found that of the service use logs, VOC and content consumption pattern had a multi-dimensional impact on the purchase of premium contents. On the other hand, this study also found that the impact of switching barriers such as combination state with other products and current status of holding a point did not have a significant impact on the purchase of paid contents.

Election Forecasting and Exit-poll : The 16th Presidential Election in Korea (선거예측과 출구조사 : 16대 대선을 중심으로)

  • 김정훈
    • Survey Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.87-102
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    • 2003
  • Till now, much progress has been made in election forecasting. But fixed-line telephone survey has limitations, because it has become more and more difficult to get a representative sample, Exit poll has been considered to provide a new solution. From the beginning, exit poll provided more accurate predictions than those based on surveys using fixed-line phone. In 2002 presidential election, prediction based on exit poll was perfect. Its predictive error was zero. This paper describes how the exit poll was done in 2002 presidential elections. Specifically, we are to show the estimating procedures as well as sampling and polling process. Among many factors, sampling procedure has been fond to be the most important factor in exit poll accuracy.

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Behavior of FRP-reinforced steel plate shear walls with various reinforcement designs

  • Seddighi, Mehdi;Barkhordari, Mohammad A.;Hosseinzadeh, S.A.A.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.729-746
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    • 2019
  • The nonlinear behavior of single- and multi-story steel plate shear walls (SPSWs) strengthened with three different patterns of fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) laminates (including single-strip, multi-strip and fully FRP-strengthened models) is studied using the finite element analysis. In the research, the effects of orientation, width, thickness and type (glass or carbon) of FRP sheets as well as the system aspect ratio and height are investigated. Results show that, despite an increase in the system strength using FRP sheets, ductility of reinforced SPSWs is decreased due to the delay in the initiation of yielding in the infill wall, while their initial stiffness does not change significantly. The content/type/reinforcement pattern of FRPs does affect the nonlinear behavior characteristics and also the mode and pattern of failure. In the case of multi-strip and fully FRP-strengthened models, the use of FPR sheets almost along the direction of the infill wall tension fields can maximize the effectiveness of reinforcement. In the case of single-strip pattern, the effectiveness of reinforcement is decreased for larger aspect ratios. Moreover, a relatively simplified and approximate theoretical procedure for estimating the strength of SPSWs reinforced with different patterns of FRP laminates is presented and compared with the analytical results.

Identifying Significant Components of Structures for Seismic Performance Using FOSM Method (FOSM 방법을 이용한 내진성능 중요부재 판별법)

  • Lee, Tae-Hyung;Mosalam, Khalid
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2009
  • The identification of significant structural components under seismic loading through a probabilistic approach is of interest to many structural engineers. The First-Order Second Moment method can be used to achieve this goal by estimating uncertainty in the seismic demand of a structural system induced by the capacity uncertainties of each structural component. Significant structural components are those to which the seismic demand of the structure is more sensitive than it is to other ones. The developed procedure demonstrated by a ductile reinforced concrete frame shows that it is computationally effective and robust in terms of identifying significant structural components.

A Study on Change of Logistics in the region of Seoul, Incheon, Kyunggi (물류예측모형에 관한 연구 -수도권 물동량 예측을 중심으로-)

  • Roh Kyung-Ho
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.7
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    • pp.427-450
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    • 2001
  • This research suggests the estimation methodology of Logistics. This paper elucidates the main problems associated with estimation in the regression model. We review the methods for estimating the parameters in the model and introduce a modified procedure in which all models are fitted and combined to construct a combination of estimates. The resulting estimators are found to be as efficient as the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators in various cases. Our method requires more computations but has an advantage for large data sets. Also, it enables to detect particular features in the data structure. Examples of real data are used to illustrate the properties of the estimators. The backgrounds of estimation of logistic regression model is the increasing logistic environment importance today. In the first phase, we conduct an exploratory study to discuss 9 independent variables. In the second phase, we try to find the fittest logistic regression model. In the third phase, we calculate the logistic estimation using logistic regression model. The parameters of logistic regression model were estimated using ordinary least squares regression. The standard assumptions of OLS estimation were tested. The calculated value of the F-statistics for the logistic regression model is significant at the 5% level. The logistic regression model also explains a significant amount of variance in the dependent variable. The parameter estimates of the logistic regression model with t-statistics in parentheses are presented in Table. The object of this paper is to find the best logistic regression model to estimate the comparative accurate logistics.

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Speech Enhancement Based on Mixture Hidden Filter Model (HFM) Under Nonstationary Noise (혼합 은닉필터모델 (HFM)을 이용한 비정상 잡음에 오염된 음성신호의 향상)

  • 강상기;백성준;이기용;성굉모
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.387-393
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    • 2002
  • The enhancement technique of noise signal using mixture HFM (Midden Filter Model) are proposed. Given the parameters of the clean signal and noise, noisy signal is modeled by a linear state-space model with Markov switching parameters. Estimation of state vector is required for estimating original signal. The estimation procedure is based on mixture interacting multiple model (MIMM) and the estimator of speech is given by the weighted sum of parallel Kalman filters operating interactively. Simulation results showed that the proposed method offers performance gains relative to the previous results with slightly increased complexity.

Strength estimation for FRP wrapped reinforced concrete columns

  • Cheng, Hsiao-Lin;Sotelino, Elisa D.;Chen, Wai-Fah
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2002
  • Fiber-Reinforced Plastics (FRP) have received significant attention for use in civil infrastructure due to their unique properties, such as the high strength-to-weight ratio and stiffness-to-weight ratio, corrosion and fatigue resistance, and tailorability. It is well known that FRP wraps increase the load-carrying capacity and the ductility of reinforced concrete columns. A number of researchers have explored their use for seismic components. The application of concern in the present research is on the use of FRP for corrosion protection of reinforced concrete columns, which is very important in cold-weather and coastal regions. More specifically, this work is intended to give practicing engineers with a more practical procedure for estimating the strength of a deficient column rehabilitated using FRP wrapped columns than those currently available. To achieve this goal, a stress-strain model for FRP wrapped concrete is proposed, which is subsequently used in the development of the moment-curvature relations for FRP wrapped reinforced concrete column sections. A comparison of the proposed stress-strain model to the test results shows good agreement. It has also been found that based on the moment-curvature relations, the balanced moment is no longer a critical moment in the interaction diagram. Besides, the enhancement in the loading capacity in terms of the interaction diagram due to the confinement provided by FRP wraps is also confirmed in this work.