• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimate of Future

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Estimation of Storage Deficit by Run's Characteritics (Runs의 특성에 의한 지속기간별 저수부족량의 추정)

  • 강관원;안경수
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 1986
  • the purpose of this study is to estimate the storage deficit by Run's Characteristics of (-)Run-length and (-)Run-sum. Runoff data are obtained from the guaging stations of Y대-Ju in Hanriver Basin, Wae-Gwan in Nak Dong River Basin and Gyo Am in Geum River Basin. In order to estimate the storage deficit, runhydrographs are established with each return period of 10, 30, ......, 200 years and regression equation is derived from relationship between (-) run-length and storage deficit. From the comparison of estimated reservoir storage with observed values., it was proved that this suggested method can be used for the estimation of the storage deficit.

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Feature tracking algorithm using multi resolution in wavelet transform domain (웨이브릿 변환 영역에서 다중 해상도를 이용한 특징점 추적 알고리즘)

  • Jang, Sung-Kun;Suk, Jung-Youp;Jin, Sang-Hun;Kim, Sung-Un;Yeo, Bo-Yeon
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.447-448
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose tracking algorithm using multi resolution in wavelet transform domain. This algorithm consists of two steps. The first step is feature extraction that is select feature-points using 1-level wavelet transform in ROI (Region of Interest). The other step is feature tracking. Based on multi resolution of wavelet transform, we estimate a displacement between current frame and next frame on the basis of selected feature-points. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm confirmed a better performance than a centroid tracking and correlation tracking.

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Forecasting the Demand of Railroad Traffic using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 철도 수요 예측)

  • Shin, Young-Geun;Jung, Won-Gyo;Park, Sang-Sung;Jang, Dong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1931-1936
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    • 2007
  • Demand forecasting for railroad traffic is fairly important to establish future policy and plan. The future demand of railroad traffic can be predicted by analyzing the demand of air, marine and bus traffic which influence the demand of railroad traffic. In this study, forecasting the demand of railroad traffic is implemented through neural network using the demand of air, marine and bus traffic. Estimate accuracy of the demand of railroad traffic was shown about 84% through neural net model proposed.

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A Study on the Determining Factors of Rail Freight Fares (철도화물운임결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Bhang, Youn-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.930-935
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    • 2005
  • This study tried to suggest a new direction of rail freight pricing in Korea. Determinant factors of rail freight fare are collected and pricing principles are introduced. Marginal social costs are to be fare of rail freight in theory and those costs should be estimated in the near future. From the market pricing of North American rail freight carriers we can find a direction of future pricing and from the EU efforts to estimate social marginal costs we can also find research agenda.

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The transition of successive traditional pharmacological theory (역대(歷代) 전통약리학설(傳統藥理學說)의 변천(變遷))

  • Kim, Nam-Il
    • Korean Journal of Oriental Medicine
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2005
  • Traditional pharmacological theory was not built in a day. It had been changing in the past, still changing in the present day and will be changing in the future. The transition was made by criticism, modification and complements through countless debates. Therefore, we can learn the systematic stream of traditional pharmacology and logical construction and make an estimate of the changes in the future, by looking at the debates and the transition of pharmacological theory.

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An Estimation of an Old Age Mortality Rate Using CK Model and Relational Model

  • Jung, Kyunam;Kim, Donguk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.859-868
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    • 2012
  • Due to a rapidly aging society, the future Korea mortality rate is important for planning national financial strategies and social security policies. Old age mortality statistics are very limited in their ability to project a future mortality rate; therefore, it is essential to accurately estimate the old age mortality rate. In this paper, we show that the CK model with a Relational model as a base model provides accurate estimates of old age mortality rates.

A New Approach to Estimating Product Lifetimes: A Case Study of an LED Based LCD TV

  • Kim, Keun-Hwan;Kim, Chi-Hwan;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.200-218
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    • 2012
  • Estimating the economic life of a technology is the first important prerequisite step in the feasibility analysis of technology-based business. Many empirical studies have concentrated on patents data to estimate the time period for a technology. However, it is recommended to estimate it along with qualitative considerations of future technological and market conditions. In this regard, little is known about how approaches are applied. This paper aims to establish a structural framework of estimating the lifetime of a technology by integrating the outputs of an analysis of the determinants in each transition of a product life cycle. We describe an illustrative case about a light emitting diode (LED) backlight unit (BLU) technology for the liquid crystal display (LCD) TV. The framework allows valuators and experts to estimate a technology lifetime by using multidimensional factors.

The Estimate of Manpower Demand for International Competitive Strategies in Port and Logistics Industry (항만물류산업의 국제경쟁전략에 따른 인력수요예측 연구 - 부산지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Yeong-Geun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.55-74
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    • 2005
  • This study focuses on affording a material basis for rearranging the manpower supply system in port and logistics industry for Busan's international competitiveness strategies. First of all, the current state and future plan of port and logistics industry, as Busan's main strategic industry, are reviewed. Then theoretical background are introduced for the estimate of demand. As a methodology of this research, Cubic model is applied to estimate the demand of manpower by using 10 year time series data from 1993 to 2002. This paper also surveyed the supply side of port and logistics industry manpower in Busan area. The amounts of mismatched equilibrium between the demand and the supply are measured in this study. The concluding remarks shows some suggestions for the problem of mismatch and the relating policy planning.

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Development of the Estimation System for Agricultural Water Demand (농업용수 수요량 산정 시스템 개발(관개배수 \circled1))

  • 이광야;김선주;김현영;서영제
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.114-119
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    • 2000
  • To estimate Agricultural water demand, many factors such as weather, type of crop, soil, cultivation method, crop coefficient and cultivation area, etc. must be considered. But it is not easy to estimate water demand in consideration of these many factors, which are variable according to a period and regional environment. So, this study provides estimation system for agricultural water demand(ESAD) in order to estimate water demand easily and accurately, calculates the present and future agricultural water demand and arranges all factors needed for water demand estimation. This study calibrates the application of estimation system for agricultural water demand with the data observed in the other Studies and analyzes agricultural water demand nationwide.

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The Estimation of Soil Loss in the Buffer Zone of Guem River using a Simulation of Future Climate Change (미래기후변화를 반영한 금강 수변 구역에서의 표토 유실량 예측)

  • Lee, Dal-Heui;Chung, Sung-Lae
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to estimate soil loss in the buffer zone of Guem river with future climate change simulation. Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model was used for the estimation of soil loss at the buffer zone of Guem river. As results of simulations, the area of the maximum soil loss potential was estimated as the Cheongsung-myeon Okchun-gun Chungcheongbuk-do. The soil losses were estimated to be 106.67 and 103.00 ton/ha/yr for the 2020 segi (2015-2025) and 2040 segi (2035-2045) in the Cheongsung-myeon area, respectively. Also, the estimated average values of soil losses in the Cheongsung-myeon with future climate change was 110.78 ton/ha/yr.