• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimate life-time

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Life Estimation of Hot Forging Die by Plastic Deformation and Wear (소성변형 밀 마멸에 대한 열간 단조 금형의 수명 평가)

  • 이현철;김병민;김광호
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.66-75
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    • 2003
  • This paper describes about the estimation method of die lift by wear and plastic deformation in hot forging process. The thermal load and the thermal softening are happened by the high temperature in hot forging process. Tool lift decreases considerably due to the softening of the surface layer of a tool caused by high thermal load and long contact time between tool and billet. Also, tool life is to a large extent limited by wear, heat crack and plastic deformation in hot forging process. Above all, the main factors which affects die accuracy and tool lift are wear and the plastic deformation of a die. The new developed technique for predicting tool life applied to estimate the production quantity for a spindle component and these techniques assist to improve the tool life in hot forging process.

Failure Mechanism and Long-Term Hydrostatic Behavior of Linear Low Density Polyethylene Tubing (선형저밀도 폴리에틸렌 튜빙의 파손 메커니즘과 장기 정수압 거동)

  • Weon, Jong-Il;Chung, Yu-Kyoung;Shin, Sei-Moon;Choi, Kil-Yeong
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.440-445
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    • 2008
  • The failure mechanism and failure morphology of linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) tubing under hydrostatic pressure were investigated. Microscopic observations using video microscope and scanning electron microscope indicate that the failure mode is a brittle fracture including cracks propagated from inner wall to outer wall. In addition, oxidation induction time and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy results show the presence of exothermic peak and the increase in carbonyl index on the surface of fractured LLDPE tubing, due to thermal-degradation. An accelerated life test methodology and testing system for LLDPE tubing are developed using the relationship between stresses and life characteristics by means of thermal acceleration. Statistical approaches using the Arrhenius model and Weibull distribution are implemented to estimate the long-term life time of LLDPE tubing under hydrostatic pressure. Consequently, the long-term life time of LLDPE tubing at the operating temperature of $25^{\circ}C$ could be predicted and also be analyzed.

Estimation of Shelf-life of Frankfurter Using Predictive Models of Spoilage Bacterial Growth

  • Heo, Chan;Choi, Yun-Sang;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this research was to develop predictive models for the growth of spoilage bacteria (total viable cells, Pseudomonas spp., and lactic acid bacteria) on frankfurters and to estimate the shelf-life of frankfurters under aerobic conditions at various storage temperatures (5, 15, and $25^{\circ}C$). The primary models were determined using the Baranyi model equation. The secondary models for maximum specific growth rate and lag time as functions of temperature were developed by the polynomial model equation. During 21 d of storage under various temperature conditions, lactic acid bacteria showed the longest lag time and the slowest growth rate among spoilage bacteria. The growth patterns of total viable cells and Pseudomonas spp. were similar each other. These data suggest that Pseudomonas spp. might be the dominant spoilage bacteria on frankfurters. As storage temperature increased, the growth rate of spoilage bacteria also increased and the lag time decreased. Furthermore, the shelf-life of frankfurters decreased from 7.0 to 4.3 and 1.9 (d) under increased temperature conditions. These results indicate that the most significant factor for spoilage bacteria growth is storage temperature. The values of $B_f$, $A_f$, RMSE, and $R^2$ indicate that these models were reliable for identifying the point of microbiological hazard for spoilage bacteria in frankfurters.

Probability- based Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Railroad Structures (확률적 방법에 의한 철도시설물의 LCC 분석)

  • Sho Byung-Choon;Choi Young-Min;Cho Sun-Kyu;Shin Kyung-Chul;Jung Jae-Dong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.971-976
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    • 2004
  • The management of railroad structures is more difficult and complicate because there are many structures such as rail, bridge, tunnel, station, and so on. Therefore, LCC(Life Cycle Cost) analysis of railroad structures as public infrastructure must contain a maintenance cost as well as an initial cost in order to make a more effective management during the life cycle on the design phase. This paper presents a cost classification scheme considering user costs such as value of delayed time of passenger and freight. Also, in this study it is developed a probabilistic life cycle cost(PLCC) analysis model of railroad structures taking into account uncertainties and variations of input variables in order to analyze LCC. It may be stated that the model proposed in this study can greatly contribute to the making optimal decision, the estimate of the maintenance cost and the allocate of budget in the project of railroad structures.

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Prediction of Life of Heat Pipes by Measuring Temperature Distribution (온도측정에 의한 히트파이프의 수명예측)

  • Shin, Hung Tae;Polasek, Frantisek;Lee, Yoon Pyo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.856-863
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    • 1999
  • The thermal performance degradation of heat pipes is caused by the non-condensable gas generation mainly due to the electrochemical corrosion which results from the reaction of working fluids with tube materials. In this study, a simplified method described below was proposed to estimate the life of heat pipes concerning the non-condensable gas generation. The temperature distributions at the outer surface of heat pipes was measured, and based on them the amount of non-condensable gas of hydrogen was estimated. Applying it to the Arrhenius model, the mass generation of hydrogen and the volume occupied by the gas In heat pipes could be estimated for an operating temperature and time. Moreover, this simplified method was applied to the accelerated life test of nine methanol-stainless steel heat pipe samples.

Nondestructive Evaluation for Remanent Life of 1Cr-0.5Mo Steel by Reversible Permeability

  • Ryu, Kwon-Sang;Lee, Yun-Hee;Park, Jong-Seo;Baek, Un-Bong
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.206-209
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    • 2012
  • Peak interval for reversible permeability is presented for nondestructively evaluating the remanent life of 1Cr-0.5Mo steel. The method to measure the peak interval of reversible permeability is based on the value of reversible permeability is the same as the differential value of the hysteresis loop. The measurement principle is based on the first harmonics voltage induced in a sensing coil using a lock-in amplifier tuned to a frequency of the exciting voltage. Results obtained for the peak interval of reversible permeability and Rockwell hardness on the aged samples decrease as aging time and the Larson-Miller parameter increase. We could estimate the remanent life of 1Cr-0.5Mo steel by using the relationship between the peak interval of reversible permeability and the Larson-Miller parameter, nondestructively.

Association between age at first calving, first lactation traits and lifetime productivity in Murrah buffaloes

  • Tamboli, P.;Bharadwaj, A.;Chaurasiya, A.;Bangar, Y. C.;Jerome, A.
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.1151-1161
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    • 2022
  • Objective: This study was conducted to estimate the association of age at first calving (AFC) with first lactation traits as well as lifetime performance traits in Murrah buffaloes. Methods: Data on first lactation and life time performance of Murrah buffaloes (n = 679), maintained at Indian Council of Agricultural Research-Central Institute for Research on Buffaloes, Hisar, India during the period 1983 through 2017, were deduced to calculate heritability estimates, genetic and phenotypic correlation of different first lactation and lifetime traits. The univariate animal model was fitted to estimate variance components and heritability separately for each trait, while bivariate animal models were set to estimate genetic and phenotypic correlations between traits under study. Results: The heritability was high for first peak milk yield (FPY, 0.64±0.08), moderate for AFC (0.48±0.07) and breeding efficiency (BE 0.39±0.09). High genetic correlations of first lactation total milk yield (FLTMY) with first lactation standard milk yield (FLSMY, 305 days or less), FPY, and first lactation length (FLL) was seen. Likewise, genetic correlation of AFC was positive with FLTMY, FLL, first dry period (FDP), first service period (FSP), first calving interval (FCI), herd life (HL) and productive days (PD). Significant phenotypic correlation of FLTMY was observed with HL, productive life (PL), PD, total lifetime milk yield (LTMY), standard lifetime milk yield (standard LTMY). Moreover, positive genetic and phenotypic correlation of FPY was observed with HL, PL, PD, total LTMY and standard LTMY. Conclusion: This study reports that AFC had positive genetic correlation with FDP, FSP, FCI, and unproductive days while, negative association of AFC was observed with FLSMY, PL, total LTMY, standard LTMY, and BE. This suggests that reduction of AFC would results in improvement of lifetime performance traits.

Selection of Survival Models for Technological Development (기술발전에 따른 생존모형 선정)

  • Oh, H.S.;Kim, C.S.;Rhee, H.K.;Yim, D.S.;Cho, J.H.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.184-191
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    • 2009
  • In a technological driven environment, a depreciation estimate which is based on traditional life analysis results in a decelerated rate of capital recovery. This time pattern of technological growths models needs to be incorporated into life analysis framework especially in those industries experiencing fast technological changes. The approximation technique for calculating the variance can be applied to the six growth models that were selected by the degree of skewness and the transformation of the functions. For the Pearl growth model, the Gompertz growth model, and the Weibull growth model, the errors have zero mean and a constant variance over time. However, transformed models like the linearized Fisher-Pry model, the linearized Gompertz growth model, and the linearized Weibull growth model have increasing variance from zero to that point at which inflection occurs. It can be recommended that if the variance of error over time is increasing, then a transformation of observed data is appropriate.

A Study on Ozone Oxidation of Algae (조류의 오존산화에 관한 연구)

  • 김은호;성낙창;최용락
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.590-595
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    • 1999
  • The objectives of this research were to estimate variation characteristics of TOC, UV-254 and NH4+-N, etc, if odorous generated algaes flowed into water treatment plant and they contacted with ozone known as typical advanced treatment. It was estimated that pH decreased from initial 7.4 to 2.1 after ozone contact 100min. pH declined to early 10min. suddenly and then pH drop did almost occur. TOC and UV-254 continued to decrease with passed time of ozone contact. NO3--N concentration was much higher than NH4+-N and NO2--N for whole test period. Because ozone oxidized organic matters as various kinds of ion material and ion intensity of sample was extended, conductivity showed high as passed time of ozone contact. Owing to ozone oxidation of algae, color did almost disappear after ozone contact 20min.

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Creep-Life Prediction and Standard Error Analysis of Type 316LN Stainless Steel (Type 316LN 스테인리스 강의 크리프 수명 예측과 표준오차 분석)

  • Yun S.N.;Kim W.G.;Liu W.S.;Yi W.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1406-1411
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    • 2005
  • The creep rupture data for type 316LN stainless steels were collected through literature survey or experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained by Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) etc. time-temperature parametric (TTP) methods. Standard error of estimate (SEE) values for the each parameter was obtained with different temperatures through the statistical process of the creep data. The results of L-M, O-S-D and M-H methods showed good creep-life prediction, but M-H method showed better agreement than L-M and O-S-D methods. Especially, it was found that SEE values of M-H method at $700^{\circ}C$ were lower than that of L-M and O-S-D methods.

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