• Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
• /
• v.11 no.3
• /
• pp.167-173
• /
• 1998

In order to estimate the life time of epoxy composites used for modeling material of transformer, the AC breakdown experiments of it were experimented and then the AC breakdown data were also simulated by Weibull distribution equation in this study. The life time of H100F65 specimen was the shortest and it of SH100F65 specimen was the longest, and as the AC voltage was applied to specimen for 50[min], the breakdown probability of each specimen was 31.2[%], 17.00[%], 84.36[%] and 12.35[%], respectively.

• Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
• /
• v.14 no.4
• /
• pp.245-251
• /
• 2005

A high performance dual rocking magnet sputtering gun has been developed. The rocking magnet sputtering gun introduces full-face erosion by rapidly rocking the magnet in the region where the high plasma density is maintained. The newly developed dual rocking magnet sputtering gun whose target utilization was 77 percent achieved high performance in quality in the view of target utilization and target life-time comparing to the existing magnetron sputtering gun. The PIC-MCC target erosion simulation has been performed simultaneously. Comparing experimental target erosion profiles with simulated target erosion profiles, the simulation could estimate the tendency of the target erosion profiles but could not estimate an exact target erosion profile. If the simulation were improved more precisely, the cost reduction for the development of the multiple rocking magnet sputtering gun would be expected.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
• /
• v.15 no.4
• /
• pp.745-765
• /
• 2012

When attempting to use the income approach for the purpose of technology valuation, it is essential to identify the economic life of the technology in question. From the mid-2000s up to the present, the methods proposed by major Korean institutions for estimating the economic life of technologies have been based on cited patent life (CLT), which is one of the types of technology life. The present study utilizes cited patent life (CLT) to estimate the economic life of technology for the purpose of technology valuation, and proposes a new method of analyzing cited patent life, a method that has been improved by taking into consideration the elapsed period and the time period of investment required for commercialization, two factors which have been hitherto overlooked. Survival curve analysis is a method that has already been widely utilized to estimate the economic life of tangible assets, and this study applies the same method to the calculation of the cited patent life index of technology to provide a more objective method for determining the lifetime of a technology. The remaining life expectancy of cited patent life based on the number of elapsed years was calculated and used to determine the life expectancy of a technology that has reached a specific number of elapsed years, which is referred to as the remaining cited-patent life time (r-CLT).

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
• /
• v.1 no.2
• /
• pp.200-218
• /
• 2012

Estimating the economic life of a technology is the first important prerequisite step in the feasibility analysis of technology-based business. Many empirical studies have concentrated on patents data to estimate the time period for a technology. However, it is recommended to estimate it along with qualitative considerations of future technological and market conditions. In this regard, little is known about how approaches are applied. This paper aims to establish a structural framework of estimating the lifetime of a technology by integrating the outputs of an analysis of the determinants in each transition of a product life cycle. We describe an illustrative case about a light emitting diode (LED) backlight unit (BLU) technology for the liquid crystal display (LCD) TV. The framework allows valuators and experts to estimate a technology lifetime by using multidimensional factors.

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
• /
• v.25 no.2
• /
• pp.44-61
• /
• 1999

Cost estimation has posed a significant challenge to estimators, planners, and managers in both government and military. Considerable historical evidence shows that accurate cost estimation has been difficult to achieve across a wide range of projects, including weapon systems. This paper introduces new cost estimating concept, CAIV(Cost As an Independent Variable) and a cost estimating case study using PRICE model, computer aided parametric estimating models(CAPE) for K1 tank cost estimate. CAIV concept is to set realistic but aggressive cost objectives easily in each acquisition program and to achieve cost, schedule, and performance objectives considering various managing risks with a project manager and industry teams. The Price model is one of computer aided cost estimating models and widely used in U.S. defense system analysis as a tool for CAIV. We analyze theories, inputs, outputs of the PRICE model and present a case study for K1 tank to estimate costs in requirement and concept phase, program and budgeting phase, and life cycle phase. Finally we obtain results that the Price model can be used in various phases of PPBEES depending upon available data and time.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
• /
• v.17 no.2
• /
• pp.103-111
• /
• 2017

Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
• /
• v.41 no.4
• /
• pp.659-672
• /
• 2013

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to estimate life time of halogen lamps and acceleration factors using accelerated life test. Methods: Voltage was selected as an accelerating variable through the technical review about failure mechanism. The test was performed at 14.5V, 15.5V and 16.5 for 4,471 hours. It was assumed that the lifetime of Halogen lamps follow Weibull distribution and the inverse power life-stress relationship models. Results: Mean lifetimes of pin and screw types were 19,477 hours and 6,056 hours, respectively. In addition, acceleration factor of two items are calculated as 4.8 and 2.2 based on 15.5V, respectively. Conclusion: The life-stress relationship, acceleration factor, and MTTF at design condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data. These results suggest that voltage was very important factor to accelerate life time in the case of halogen lamps and the life time of pin type is three times longer than screw type lamps.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
• /
• v.18 no.3
• /
• pp.17-25
• /
• 2014

The purpose of this paper is to present a method to estimate the storage life of propellant bag for degradation of breaking load with storage time by using gamma process model. The nitrogen compound generated by natural decomposition of propellants degrades the breaking load of propellant bag with time. The statistical distributions of condition and lifetime with time were shown from the results of accelerated life test of propellant bag cloth at $80^{\circ}C$. It was found that the use of median for life was highly appropriate and the $B_1$ or $B_5$ life should be selectively applied to the quality assurance policy.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
• /
• v.61 no.4
• /
• pp.549-554
• /
• 2022

Life table-related studies in insect ecology have been an interesting topic for insect researchers. Two calculation methods are commonly applied to estimate the intrinsic rate of natural increase (r_m) in the life table statistics. The first method is to estimate an approximate r_m by dividing the natural logarithm of the net reproductive rate (R₀) by mean generation time (T) (namely mean generation time-based method). Another approach is to apply the Lotka-Euler equation derived from the population growth equation of Lotka-Volterra to estimate accurate r_m using the maximum likelihood method (Lotka-Euler equation-based method). In the latter case, there is a difference in the estimated r_m value when the initial age class of the target cohort was set to "0" or "1", which confused the application. In this short review, a brief history of the calculation process of the life table was reviewed. It was again confirmed in the Lotka-Euler equation-based method that the form of $\sum\limits_{x=1}^{w}e^{-rx}l_xm_x=1$ should be applied to estimate r_m when the first age class was set to zero, while the form of $\sum\limits_{x=0}^{w}e^{-r(x+1)}l_xm_x=1$ when set to one.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
• /
• v.8 no.4 s.29
• /
• pp.19-29
• /
• 1996

In this paper, it is presumed that the stress time history was generated by simulation method and investigated compatibility in regard to the reappearance of stress time history. In this procedure, the identified frequency distribution of stress range of the steel railroad bridge varies with the rational values of cut off point and bar width. Thus, we show variable aspect of the equivalent stress range results from change of cut off point and bar width. In addition, we analyze the variable of RMC and RMS model due to the cut off point and bar width of the measured stress history which influencs the prediction of fatigue life in the steel railroad bridge. The simulated stress time history is carried out by the superposition method incorporating the vertical load with rotation moment obtained from the Hermition interpolation function, and compared with developing stress results from measured maxi mum stress. Through this study, we can estimate the remaining fatigue life from a safety point of view and comparative accuracy.