• 제목/요약/키워드: Error plot

검색결과 123건 처리시간 0.022초

퍼지시스템과 지식정보를 이용한 주가지수 예측 (Stock-Index Prediction using Fuzzy System and Knowledge Information)

  • 김해균;김성신
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.2030-2032
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting. The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. Results show that both networks can be trained to predict the index. And the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP.

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로보트 매니퓰레이터의 좌표제어에 관한 연구 (A study of Robot Manipulator's Coordinating Control)

  • 권혁진;문동욱;서재근;남문현
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.1234-1236
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, the trajectory needed to be tracked by the manipulator was defined in a new plot differently from conventional methods. And the trajectory provides Solution directly related to coordinates of output variables from the plant. So, it overcomes nonlinearity between joint and Cartesian coordinates in movement mode and it makes use of inverse Kinematics unnecessary, which was obstacle for real-time control. The 2-axis SCARA robot was modelled and simulation was performed to validate in this paper. And it proved this has better performance in rapidity and decrease of position-error, compared to the conventional FLCs.

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비선형회귀모형에서의 불안정성 (Instability in nonlinear regression model)

  • 박병무;김영일;장대흥
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2017
  • 가끔 비선형회귀분석에서 수치해를 사용시 불안정성을 보게 된다. 비선형회귀분석에서 모든 반복처리 방법들은 초기추정값을 요구한다. 그러나, 오차제곱합에 복수 개의 국소최소값이 존재하면 잘못된 초기추정값은 원하지 않는 정상점에 수렴하게 된다. 이런 경우 초기추정값은 카오스 현상을 일으킨다.

로터-베어링 시스템의 잔류불평형량을 결정하는 방법에 대한 연구 (A Study about Way to Decide on Residual Unbalance of Rotor-Bearing system)

  • 이형우;이동환;박노길;김인환
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.158-166
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    • 2004
  • A new method to measure residual unbalance of rotor - bearing system was proposed. The method which determine residual unbalance based on polar plot and an analytical method which calculates the residual unbalance of the rotor from the vibration response of the Jeffcott rotor are proposed in this study with respect to a real rotor system of which the residual unbalance is unknown. The unbalance eccentricity of the produced experimental model is 3.78 mil, developing the measurement method of the residual unbalance more convenient than the proposed method of ISO and API standard. The proposed method was experimentally compared with the ISO standard, and the two methods were exactly correspondent to each other within an error of 1%.

상수도관로 위치탐사 장비개발을 위한 기초실험 (Fundamental Experiment for the Development of Water Pipeline Locator)

  • 박상봉;김진원;오경석;김민철;구자용
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2016
  • A variety of methods for detecting the location of an underground water pipeline are being used across the world; the current main methods used in South Korea, however, have the problems of low precision and efficiency and the limitations in actual application. On this, this study developed locator capable of detecting the location of a water pipe by the use of an IMU sensor, and technology for using the extended karman filter to correct error in location detection and to plot the location on the coordinate system. This study carried out a tract test and a road test as basic experiments to measure the performance of the developed technology and equipment. As a result of the straight line, circular and ellipse track tests, the 1750 IMU sensor showed the average error of 0.08-0.11%; and thus it was found that the developed locator can detect a location precisely. As a result of the 859.6-m road test, it was found that the error was 0.31 m in case the moving rate of the sensor was 0.3-0.6 m/s; and thus it was judged that the equipment developed by this study can be applied to long-distance water pipes of over 1 km sufficiently. It is planned to evaluate its field applicability in the future through an actual pipe network pilot test, and it is expected that locator capable of detecting the location of a water pipe more precisely will be developed through research for the enhancement of accuracy in the algorithm of location detection.

측정법(測定法)에 따른 면적측정(面積測定)의 정도(精度) (The Study of the Accuracy of Acereage)

  • 김갑덕
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.24-26
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    • 1967
  • 본(本) 시험(試驗)의 결과(結果)로서 다음과 같이 결론(結論) 지을 수 있다. 1. 불규칙(不規則)한 도형(圖形)의 area measurement에는 planimeter method 대신(代身) dot grid method 또는 transects method에 의(依)하여 무방(無妨)하다. 2. dot grid method에 의(依)할 시(時)는 planimeter method인 경우(境遇)보다 과대치(過大値)를 준다. 3. transects method에 의(依)할 시(時)는 planimeter method인 경우(境遇)보다 과소치(過少値)를 준다. 4.면적(面積)이 30ha 보다 작은 polt에 대(對)하여 transects method를 적용(適用)할 시(時)는 큰 error가 있으나 30ha를 넘을 때는 error가 작아진다. 따라서 transects method는 30ha 보다 큰 plot에 적용(適用)하여 좋은 결과(結果)를 준다. 5. 일반(一般)으로 transects method에 의(依)한 area measurement의 정도(精度)는 dot grid method에 의(依)한 것 보다 떨어진다.

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Force-deformation relationship prediction of bridge piers through stacked LSTM network using fast and slow cyclic tests

  • Omid Yazdanpanah;Minwoo Chang;Minseok Park;Yunbyeong Chae
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제85권4호
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    • pp.469-484
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    • 2023
  • A deep recursive bidirectional Cuda Deep Neural Network Long Short Term Memory (Bi-CuDNNLSTM) layer is recruited in this paper to predict the entire force time histories, and the corresponding hysteresis and backbone curves of reinforced concrete (RC) bridge piers using experimental fast and slow cyclic tests. The proposed stacked Bi-CuDNNLSTM layers involve multiple uncertain input variables, including horizontal actuator displacements, vertical actuators axial loads, the effective height of the bridge pier, the moment of inertia, and mass. The functional application programming interface in the Keras Python library is utilized to develop a deep learning model considering all the above various input attributes. To have a robust and reliable prediction, the dataset for both the fast and slow cyclic tests is split into three mutually exclusive subsets of training, validation, and testing (unseen). The whole datasets include 17 RC bridge piers tested experimentally ten for fast and seven for slow cyclic tests. The results bring to light that the mean absolute error, as a loss function, is monotonically decreased to zero for both the training and validation datasets after 5000 epochs, and a high level of correlation is observed between the predicted and the experimentally measured values of the force time histories for all the datasets, more than 90%. It can be concluded that the maximum mean of the normalized error, obtained through Box-Whisker plot and Gaussian distribution of normalized error, associated with unseen data is about 10% and 3% for the fast and slow cyclic tests, respectively. In recapitulation, it brings to an end that the stacked Bi-CuDNNLSTM layer implemented in this study has a myriad of benefits in reducing the time and experimental costs for conducting new fast and slow cyclic tests in the future and results in a fast and accurate insight into hysteretic behavior of bridge piers.

Assessment of compressive strength of high-performance concrete using soft computing approaches

  • Chukwuemeka Daniel;Jitendra Khatti;Kamaldeep Singh Grover
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.55-75
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    • 2024
  • The present study introduces an optimum performance soft computing model for predicting the compressive strength of high-performance concrete (HPC) by comparing models based on conventional (kernel-based, covariance function-based, and tree-based), advanced machine (least square support vector machine-LSSVM and minimax probability machine regressor-MPMR), and deep (artificial neural network-ANN) learning approaches using a common database for the first time. A compressive strength database, having results of 1030 concrete samples, has been compiled from the literature and preprocessed. For the purpose of training, testing, and validation of soft computing models, 803, 101, and 101 data points have been selected arbitrarily from preprocessed data points, i.e., 1005. Thirteen performance metrics, including three new metrics, i.e., a20-index, index of agreement, and index of scatter, have been implemented for each model. The performance comparison reveals that the SVM (kernel-based), ET (tree-based), MPMR (advanced), and ANN (deep) models have achieved higher performance in predicting the compressive strength of HPC. From the overall analysis of performance, accuracy, Taylor plot, accuracy metric, regression error characteristics curve, Anderson-Darling, Wilcoxon, Uncertainty, and reliability, it has been observed that model CS4 based on the ensemble tree has been recognized as an optimum performance model with higher performance, i.e., a correlation coefficient of 0.9352, root mean square error of 5.76 MPa, and mean absolute error of 4.1069 MPa. The present study also reveals that multicollinearity affects the prediction accuracy of Gaussian process regression, decision tree, multilinear regression, and adaptive boosting regressor models, novel research in compressive strength prediction of HPC. The cosine sensitivity analysis reveals that the prediction of compressive strength of HPC is highly affected by cement content, fine aggregate, coarse aggregate, and water content.

Evaluating the Reliability of Short-Form Berg Balance Scales and Short-Form Postural Assessment Scales in Chronic Stroke Survivors

  • Seung-Heon An;Dae-Sung Park
    • Physical Therapy Rehabilitation Science
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2024
  • Objective: This study aims to assess the test-retest reproducibility of the Short Form Berg Balance Scale (SF-BBS) and the Short Form Postural Assessment Scale for Stroke (SF-PASS) among chronic stroke survivors, focusing on their reliability for consistent measurements over time. Design: A cross-sectional study design Methods: Thirty chronic stroke survivors participated in this study, undergoing evaluations with SF-BBS and SF-PASS scales at two different points, separated by a seven-day interval. The analysis focused on test-retest reliability, employing statistical measures such as the Intra-Class Coefficient (ICC2,1), Standard Error of Measurement (SEM), Minimal Detectable Change (MDC), and MDC%, the Bland-Altman plot to assess the limits of agreement and the extent of random measurement error. Results: The study found notable test-retest reproducibility for both SF-BBS and SF-PASS, with ICC values demonstrating strong reliability (0.932 to 0.941, with a confidence interval of 0.889 to 0.973). SEM values for SF-BBS and SF-PASS were reported as 1.34 and 0.61, respectively, indicating low measurement error. MDC values of 3.71 for SF-BBS and 1.69 for SF-PASS suggest that the scales have an acceptable level of sensitivity to change, with reliability metrics falling below 20% of the maximum possible score. Conclusions: The findings suggest that both SF-BBS and SF-PASS exhibit high intra-class correlation coefficients, indicating strong test-retest reliability. The SEM and MDC values further support the scales' reproducibility and reliability as tools for evaluating mobility and dynamic balance in chronic stroke survivors. Therefore, these scales are recommended for clinical use in this population, providing reliable measures for assessing progress in rehabilitation.

Wavelength selection by loading vector analysis in determining total protein in human serum using near-infrared spectroscopy and Partial Least Squares Regression

  • Kim, Yoen-Joo;Yoon, Gil-Won
    • 한국근적외분광분석학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국근적외분광분석학회 2001년도 NIR-2001
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    • pp.4102-4102
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    • 2001
  • In multivariate analysis, absorbance spectrum is measured over a band of wavelengths. One does not often pay attention to the size of this wavelength band. However, it is desirable that spectrum is measured at only necessary wavelengths as long as the acceptable accuracy of prediction can be met. In this paper, the method of selecting an optimal band of wavelengths based on the loading vector analysis was proposed and applied for determining total protein in human serum using near-infrared transmission spectroscopy and PLSR. Loading vectors in the full spectrum PLSR were used as reference in selecting wavelengths, but only the first loading vector was used since it explains the spectrum best. Absorbance spectra of sera from 97 outpatients were measured at 1530∼1850 nm with an interval of 2 nm. Total protein concentrations of sera were ranged from 5.1 to 7.7 g/㎗. Spectra were measured by Cary 5E spectrophotometer (Varian, Australia). Serum in the 5 mm-pathlength cuvette was put in the sample beam and air in the reference beam. Full spectrum PLSR was applied to determine total protein from sera. Next, the wavelength region of 1672∼1754 nm was selected based on the first loading vector analysis. Standard Error of Cross Validation (SECV) of full spectrum (1530∼l850 nm) PLSR and selected wavelength PLSR (1672∼1754 nm) was respectively 0.28 and 0.27 g/㎗. The prediction accuracy between the two bands was equal. Wavelength selection based on loading vector in PLSR seemed to be simple and robust in comparison to other methods based on correlation plot, regression vector and genetic algorithm. As a reference of wavelength selection for PLSR, the loading vector has the advantage over the correlation plot since the former is based on multivariate model whereas the latter, on univariate model. Wavelength selection by the first loading vector analysis requires shorter computation time than that by genetic algorithm and needs not smoothing.

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