• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error Estimates

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Updated confidence intervals for the COVID-19 antibody retention rate in the Korean population

  • Kamruzzaman, Md.;Apio, Catherine;Park, Taesung
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.45.1-45.5
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    • 2020
  • With the ongoing rise of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic across the globe, interests in COVID-19 antibody testing, also known as a serology test has grown, as a way to measure how far the infection has spread in the population and to identify individuals who may be immune. Recently, many countries reported their population based antibody titer study results. South Korea recently reported their third antibody formation rate, where it divided the study between the general population and the young male youths in their early twenties. As previously stated, these simple point estimates may be misinterpreted without proper estimation of standard error and confidence intervals. In this article, we provide an updated 95% confidence intervals for COVID-19 antibody formation rate for the Korean population using asymptotic, exact and Bayesian statistical estimation methods. As before, we found that the Wald method gives the narrowest interval among all asymptotic methods whereas mid p-value gives the narrowest among all exact methods and Jeffrey's method gives the narrowest from Bayesian method. The most conservative 95% confidence interval estimation shows that as of 00:00 November 23, 2020, at least 69,524 people were infected but not confirmed. It also shows that more positive cases were found among the young male in their twenties (0.22%), three times that of the general public (0.051%). This thereby calls for the quarantine authorities' need to strengthen quarantine managements for the early twenties in order to find the hidden infected people in the population.

Localization Algorithm for Lunar Rover using IMU Sensor and Vision System (IMU 센서와 비전 시스템을 활용한 달 탐사 로버의 위치추정 알고리즘)

  • Kang, Hosun;An, Jongwoo;Lim, Hyunsoo;Hwang, Seulwoo;Cheon, Yuyeong;Kim, Eunhan;Lee, Jangmyung
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose an algorithm that estimates the location of lunar rover using IMU and vision system instead of the dead-reckoning method using IMU and encoder, which is difficult to estimate the exact distance due to the accumulated error and slip. First, in the lunar environment, magnetic fields are not uniform, unlike the Earth, so only acceleration and gyro sensor data were used for the localization. These data were applied to extended kalman filter to estimate Roll, Pitch, Yaw Euler angles of the exploration rover. Also, the lunar module has special color which can not be seen in the lunar environment. Therefore, the lunar module were correctly recognized by applying the HSV color filter to the stereo image taken by lunar rover. Then, the distance between the exploration rover and the lunar module was estimated through SIFT feature point matching algorithm and geometry. Finally, the estimated Euler angles and distances were used to estimate the current position of the rover from the lunar module. The performance of the proposed algorithm was been compared to the conventional algorithm to show the superiority of the proposed algorithm.

A Study on Bias Effect on Model Selection Criteria in Graphical Lasso

  • Choi, Young-Geun;Jeong, Seyoung;Yu, Donghyeon
    • Quantitative Bio-Science
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2018
  • Graphical lasso is one of the most popular methods to estimate a sparse precision matrix, which is an inverse of a covariance matrix. The objective function of graphical lasso imposes an ${\ell}_1$-penalty on the (vectorized) precision matrix, where a tuning parameter controls the strength of the penalization. The selection of the tuning parameter is practically and theoretically important since the performance of the estimation depends on an appropriate choice of tuning parameter. While information criteria (e.g. AIC, BIC, or extended BIC) have been widely used, they require an asymptotically unbiased estimator to select optimal tuning parameter. Thus, the biasedness of the ${\ell}_1$-regularized estimate in the graphical lasso may lead to a suboptimal tuning. In this paper, we propose a two-staged bias-correction procedure for the graphical lasso, where the first stage runs the usual graphical lasso and the second stage reruns the procedure with an additional constraint that zero estimates at the first stage remain zero. Our simulation and real data example show that the proposed bias correction improved on both edge recovery and estimation error compared to the single-staged graphical lasso.

Development of the KASS Multipath Assessment Tool

  • Cho, SungLyong;Lee, ByungSeok;Choi, JongYeoun;Nam, GiWook
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2018
  • The reference stations in a satellite-based augmentation system (SBAS) collect raw data from global navigation satellite system (GNSS) to generate correction and integrity information. The multipath signals degrade GNSS raw data quality and have adverse effects on the SBAS performance. The currently operating SBASs (WAAS and EGNOS, etc.) survey existing commercial equipment to perform multipath assessment around the antennas. For the multi-path assessment, signal power of GNSS and multipath at the MEDLL receiver of NovAtel were estimated and the results were replicated by a ratio of signal power estimated at NovAtel Multipath Assessment Tool (MAT). However, the same experiment environment used in existing systems cannot be configured in reference stations in Korean augmentation satellite system (KASS) due to the discontinued model of MAT and MEDLL receivers used in the existing systems. This paper proposes a test environment for multipath assessment around the antennas in KASS Multipath Assessment Tool (K-MAT) for multipath assessment. K-MAT estimates a multipath error contained in the code pseudorange using linear combination between the measurements and replicates the results through polar plot and histogram for multipath assessment using the estimated values.

Evaluation of genotype by environment interactions on milk production traits of Holstein cows in southern Brazil

  • Moreira, Raphael Patrick;Pinto, Luis Fernando Batista;Valloto, Altair Antonio;Pedrosa, Victor Breno
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2019
  • Objective: This study assessed the possible existence of genotype by environment interactions for milk, fat and protein yields in Holstein cattle raised in one of the most important milk production basins in Brazil. Methods: Changes in the genetic parameters and breeding values were evaluated for 57,967 animals from three distinct regions of southern Brazil, divided according to differences in climate. The genotype by environment interaction was determined by genetic correlations between regions, estimated by the restricted maximum likelihood, considering the animal model. Bull rankings were investigated to verify the ratio of coincident selected animals between regions for each trait. Results: The estimates of heritability coefficients were similar between two regions, but were lower in the third evaluated area, for all traits. Genetic correlations between regions were high, ranging from 0.91 to 0.99 for milk, fat and protein yields, representing the absence of a genotype by environment interaction for productive traits. The percentage of selection error between regions for the top 10% of animals ranged from 0.88% to 2.07% for milk yield, 0.99% to 2.46% for fat yield and 0.59% to 3.15% for protein yield. Conclusion: A slight change in genotype between areas was expected since no significant genotype by environment interactions were identified, facilitating the process of selecting Holstein cattle in southern Brazil.

End-to-end-based Wi-Fi RTT network structure design for positioning stabilization (측위 안정화를 위한 End to End 기반의 Wi-Fi RTT 네트워크 구조 설계)

  • Seong, Ju-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.676-683
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    • 2021
  • Wi-Fi Round-trip timing (RTT) based location estimation technology estimates the distance between the user and the AP based on the transmission and reception time of the signal. This is because reception instability and signal distortion are greater than that of a Received Signal Strength Indicator (RSSI) based fingerprint in an indoor NLOS environment, resulting in a large position error due to multipath fading. To solve this problem, in this paper, we propose an end-to-end based WiFi Trilateration Net (WTN) that combines neural network-based RTT correction and trilateral positioning network, respectively. The proposed WTN is composed of an RNN-based correction network to improve the RTT distance accuracy and a neural network-based trilateral positioning network for real-time positioning implemented in an end-to-end structure. The proposed network improves learning efficiency by changing the trilateral positioning algorithm, which cannot be learned through differentiation due to mathematical operations, to a neural network. In addition, in order to increase the stability of the TOA based RTT, a correction network is applied in the scanning step to collect reliable distance estimation values from each RTT AP.

A DNN-Based Personalized HRTF Estimation Method for 3D Immersive Audio

  • Son, Ji Su;Choi, Seung Ho
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes a new personalized HRTF estimation method which is based on a deep neural network (DNN) model and improved elevation reproduction using a notch filter. In the previous study, a DNN model was proposed that estimates the magnitude of HRTF by using anthropometric measurements [1]. However, since this method uses zero-phase without estimating the phase, it causes the internalization (i.e., the inside-the-head localization) of sound when listening the spatial sound. We devise a method to estimate both the magnitude and phase of HRTF based on the DNN model. Personalized HRIR was estimated using the anthropometric measurements including detailed data of the head, torso, shoulders and ears as inputs for the DNN model. After that, the estimated HRIR was filtered with an appropriate notch filter to improve elevation reproduction. In order to evaluate the performance, both of the objective and subjective evaluations are conducted. For the objective evaluation, the root mean square error (RMSE) and the log spectral distance (LSD) between the reference HRTF and the estimated HRTF are measured. For subjective evaluation, the MUSHRA test and preference test are conducted. As a result, the proposed method can make listeners experience more immersive audio than the previous methods.

Performance Enhancement Technique of Visible Communication Systems based on Deep-Learning (딥러닝 기반 가시광 통신 시스템의 성능 향상 기법)

  • Seo, Sung-Il
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.51-55
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose the deep learning based interference cancellation scheme algorithm for visible light communication (VLC) systems in smart building. The proposed scheme estimates the channel noise information by applying a deep learning model. Then, the estimated channel noise is updated in database. In the modulator, the channel noise which reduces the VLC performance is effectively removed through interference cancellation technique. The performance is evaluated in terms of bit error rate (BER). From the simulation results, it is confirmed that the proposed scheme has better BER performance. Consequently, the proposed interference cancellation with deep learning improves the signal quality of VLC systems by effectively removing the channel noise. The results of the paper can be applied to VLC for smart building and general communication systems.

The effect of missing levels of nesting in multilevel analysis

  • Park, Seho;Chung, Yujin
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.34.1-34.11
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    • 2022
  • Multilevel analysis is an appropriate and powerful tool for analyzing hierarchical structure data widely applied from public health to genomic data. In practice, however, we may lose the information on multiple nesting levels in the multilevel analysis since data may fail to capture all levels of hierarchy, or the top or intermediate levels of hierarchy are ignored in the analysis. In this study, we consider a multilevel linear mixed effect model (LMM) with single imputation that can involve all data hierarchy levels in the presence of missing top or intermediate-level clusters. We evaluate and compare the performance of a multilevel LMM with single imputation with other models ignoring the data hierarchy or missing intermediate-level clusters. To this end, we applied a multilevel LMM with single imputation and other models to hierarchically structured cohort data with some intermediate levels missing and to simulated data with various cluster sizes and missing rates of intermediate-level clusters. A thorough simulation study demonstrated that an LMM with single imputation estimates fixed coefficients and variance components of a multilevel model more accurately than other models ignoring data hierarchy or missing clusters in terms of mean squared error and coverage probability. In particular, when models ignoring data hierarchy or missing clusters were applied, the variance components of random effects were overestimated. We observed similar results from the analysis of hierarchically structured cohort data.

Aerodynamic modification of setback distance at half height of the tall building to minimize the wind effect

  • Bairagi, Amlan Kumar;Dalui, Sujit Kumar
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.193-211
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    • 2022
  • The present study focuses on aerodynamic parameters behaviors and control on the single and double side setback building models at the buildings mid-height. The study is conducted by computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation. This study estimates the face wise pressure coefficient on single side setback buildings with a setback range of 20%-50% and double side setback buildings with setbacks ranging from 10%-25%. The polynomial fitted graphs from CFD data predict the Cp on different setback model faces within permissible limit ±13% error. The efficient model obtained according to the minimum drag, lift, and moment consideration for along and across wind conditions. The study guides the building tributary area doesn't control the drag, lift, and moment on setback type buildings. The setback distance takes a crucial role in that. The 20% double side setback model is highly efficient to regulate the moment for both along and across wind conditions. It reduces 17.5% compared to the 20% single side setback and 14% moment compared to the 10% double side setback models. The double side setback building is more efficient to control 4.2% moment than the single side setback building