• 제목/요약/키워드: Error Estimates

검색결과 919건 처리시간 0.033초

유전자 알고리즘과 회귀식을 이용한 오염부하량의 예측 (Estimation of Pollutant Load Using Genetic-algorithm and Regression Model)

  • 박윤식
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2014
  • BACKGROUND: Water quality data are collected less frequently than flow data because of the cost to collect and analyze, while water quality data corresponding to flow data are required to compute pollutant loads or to calibrate other hydrology models. Regression models are applicable to interpolate water quality data corresponding to flow data. METHODS AND RESULTS: A regression model was suggested which is capable to consider flow and time variance, and the regression model coefficients were calibrated using various measured water quality data with genetic-algorithm. Both LOADEST and the regression using genetic-algorithm were evaluated by 19 water quality data sets through calibration and validation. The regression model using genetic-algorithm displayed the similar model behaviors to LOADEST. The load estimates by both LOADEST and the regression model using genetic-algorithm indicated that use of a large proportion of water quality data does not necessarily lead to the load estimates with smaller error to measured load. CONCLUSION: Regression models need to be calibrated and validated before they are used to interpolate pollutant loads, as separating water quality data into two data sets for calibration and validation.

극지방 빙하량 변화 (ice-mass balance) 관측과 에러 분석 (Ice mass balance over the polar region and its uncertainty)

  • 서기원
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지구물리탐사학회 2007년도 특별 심포지엄 논문집
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2007
  • Current estimates of the ice-mass balance over the Greenland and the Antarctica using retrievals of time-varying gravity from GRACE are presented. Two different GRACE gravity data, UTCSR RL01 and UTCSR RL04, are used for the estimates to examine the impact of the relative accuracy of background models in the GRACE data processing for inter-annual variations of GRACE gravity data. In addition, the ice-mass balance is appraised from the conventional GRACE data, which represents global gravity, and the filtered GRACE data, which isolates the terrestrial gravity effect from GRACE gravity data. The former estimate shows that there exists similar negative trends of ice-mass balance over the Greenland from UTCSR RL01 and UTCSR RL04 while the time series from the both GRACE data over the Antarctica differ significantly from each other, and no apparent trends are observed. The result for the Greenland from the latter calculation is similar to the former estimate. However, the latter calculation presents positive trends of ice-mass balance for the Antarctica from both GRACE data. These results imply that residual oceanic geophysical signals, particularly for ocean tides, significantly corrupt the ice-mass estimate over the Antarctica as leakage error. In addition, the spatial alias of GRACE is likely to affect the ice-mass balance because the spatial spectrum of ocean tides is not conserved via GRACE sampling, and thus ocean tides contaminate terrestrial gravity signal. To minimize the alias effect, I suggest to use the combined gravity models from GRACE, SLR and polar motion.

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함수관측자를 이용한 장치고장검출 기법 (An Instrument Fault Detection Scheme using Function Observers)

  • 이상문;이기상
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2006
  • A major difficulty with the practical application of the multiple observer based IFDI schemes is the computational burden of the residual generation. In this paper, a new residual generator that employs function observers is proposed to reduce the computational burden, and the design methods of the IFDIS, equipped with the residual generator, are presented. The function observers employed in the residual generator can be considered as a dual of the unknown input (function) observer And it can be designed to estimate the measurement errors that are due to sensor faults. The error estimates are further processed to generate the residuals by which reliable fault detection/isolation result car be obtained. The proposed scheme is more useful, in real-time application, than any other multiple state observer based IFDISs. It can be effectively applied to fault tolerant control because the failure effects can be compensated by the use of the estimates of measurement errors. The proposed IFDI scheme is applied to an inverted pendulum control system for the IFDI of failed sensor and fault compensation.

Bayesian estimates of genetic parameters of non-return rate and success in first insemination in Japanese Black cattle

  • Setiaji, Asep;Arakaki, Daichi;Oikawa, Takuro
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제34권7호
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    • pp.1100-1104
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The objective of present study was to estimate heritability of non-return rate (NRR) and success of first insemination (SFI) by using the Bayesian approach with Gibbs sampling. Methods: Heifer Traits were denoted as NRR-h and SFI-h, and cow traits as NRR-c and SFI-c. The variance covariance components were estimated using threshold model under Bayesian procedures THRGIBBS1F90. Results: The SFI was more relevant to evaluating success of insemination because a high percentage of animals that demonstrated no return did not successfully conceive in NRR. Estimated heritability of NRR and SFI in heifers were 0.032 and 0.039 and the corresponding estimates for cows were 0.020 and 0.027. The model showed low values of Geweke (p-value ranging between 0.012 and 0.018) and a low Monte Carlo chain error, indicating that the amount of a posteriori for the heritability estimate was valid for binary traits. Genetic correlation between the same traits among heifers and cows by using the two-trait threshold model were low, 0.485 and 0.591 for NRR and SFI, respectively. High genetic correlations were observed between NRR-h and SFI-h (0.922) and between NRR-c and SFI-c (0.954). Conclusion: SFI showed slightly higher heritability than NRR but the two traits are genetically correlated. Based on this result, both two could be used for early indicator for evaluate the capacity of cows to conceive.

AdaMM-DepthNet: Unsupervised Adaptive Depth Estimation Guided by Min and Max Depth Priors for Monocular Images

  • ;김문철
    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회 2020년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.252-255
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    • 2020
  • Unsupervised deep learning methods have shown impressive results for the challenging monocular depth estimation task, a field of study that has gained attention in recent years. A common approach for this task is to train a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) via an image synthesis sub-task, where additional views are utilized during training to minimize a photometric reconstruction error. Previous unsupervised depth estimation networks are trained within a fixed depth estimation range, irrespective of its possible range for a given image, leading to suboptimal estimates. To overcome this suboptimal limitation, we first propose an unsupervised adaptive depth estimation method guided by minimum and maximum (min-max) depth priors for a given input image. The incorporation of min-max depth priors can drastically reduce the depth estimation complexity and produce depth estimates with higher accuracy. Moreover, we propose a novel network architecture for adaptive depth estimation, called the AdaMM-DepthNet, which adopts the min-max depth estimation in its front side. Intensive experimental results demonstrate that the adaptive depth estimation can significantly boost up the accuracy with a fewer number of parameters over the conventional approaches with a fixed minimum and maximum depth range.

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IR-UWB 레이더 환경에서 적응형 다중 목표물 추정 알고리즘 (Adaptive Multi-target Estimation Algorithm in an IR-UWB Radar Environment)

  • 여봉구;이병진;김승우;염문진;김경석
    • 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문은 투과성이 좋고 실내 환경에 강건하며, 수십 센티미터(cm) 급의 고정밀 측위가 가능하다는 점에서 주목 받고 있는 IR-UWB(Impulse-Radio Ultra Wideband) 레이더 시스템에서 신호의 특성을 이용한 적응형 다중 목표물 추정 알고리즘을 제안한다. 목표물에 의해 반사되는 신호는 Peak를 갖는 다는 특성으로 다중의 Peak를 추정하는 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 이러한 알고리즘의 성능을 확인하기 위해서 레이더 앞에 다중 목표물을 두고 기존의 기법과 다중 목표물 추정 알고리즘을 비교하였다. 하나의 송신 안테나와 수신안테나로 목표물들의 위치를 실시간으로 추정한다. 기존의 최고 신호 도출 방식에 비해 추정할 수 있는 수가 늘어나고 다중으로 목표물 도출이 가능하다. 기존의 기법은 하나의 목표물만 추정하다보니 평균 제곱 오차가 1이 나오는 반면 다중 목표물 추정 알고리즘은 약 0.05의 결과가 도출된다. 본 논문에서 제시한 기법은 하나의 IR-UWB 모듈 환경에서 다중의 목표물을 추정 및 응용에 적용할 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

통계 기법에 의한 방산업체의 간접원가부문 비율 추정 (Ratio Estimation of Indirect Cost Sector about Defense Companies by Statistic Technique)

  • 임현철;김수환
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.246-252
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    • 2017
  • In the defense acquisition, a company's goal is to maximize profits, and the government's goal is to allocate budgets efficiently. Each year, the government estimates the ratio of indirect cost sector to defense companies, and estimates the ratio to be applied when calculating cost of the defense articles next year. The defense industry environment is changing rapidly, due to the increasing trend of defense acquisition budgets, the advancement of weapon systems, the effects of the 4th industrial revolution, and so on. As a result, the cost structure of defense companies is being diversifying. The purpose of this study is to find an alternative that can enhance the rationality of the current methodology for estimating the ratio of indirect cost sector of defense companies. To do this, we conducted data analysis using the R language on the cost data of defense companies over the past six years in the Defense Integrated Cost System. First, cluster analysis was conducted on the cost characteristics of defense companies. Then, we conducted a regression analysis of the relationship between direct and indirect costs for each cluster to see how much it reflects the cost structure of defense companies in direct labor cost-based indirect cost rate estimates. Lastly a new ratio prediction model based on regularized regression analysis was developed, applied to each cluster, and analyzed to compare performance with existing prediction models. According to the results of the study, it is necessary to estimate the indirect cost ratio based on the cost character group of defense companies, and the direct labor cost based indirect cost ratio estimation partially reflects the cost structure of defense companies. In addition, the current indirect cost ratio prediction method has a larger error than the new model.

Developing a soil water index-based Priestley-Taylor algorithm for estimating evapotranspiration over East Asia and Australia

  • Hao, Yuefeng;Baik, Jongjin;Choi, Minha
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.153-153
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    • 2019
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important component of hydrological processes. Accurate estimates of ET variation are of vital importance for natural hazard adaptation and water resource management. This study first developed a soil water index (SWI)-based Priestley-Taylor algorithm (SWI-PT) based on the enhanced vegetation index (EVI), SWI, net radiation, and temperature. The algorithm was then compared with a modified satellite-based Priestley-Taylor ET model (MS-PT). After examining the performance of the two models at 10 flux tower sites in different land cover types over East Asia and Australia, the daily estimates from the SWI-PT model were closer to observations than those of the MS-PT model in each land cover type. The average correlation coefficient of the SWI-PT model was 0.81, compared with 0.66 in the original MS-PT model. The average value of the root mean square error decreased from $36.46W/m^2$ to $23.37W/m^2$ in the SWI-PT model, which used different variables of soil moisture and vegetation indices to capture soil evaporation and vegetative transpiration, respectively. By using the EVI and SWI, uncertainties involved in optimizing vegetation and water constraints were reduced. The estimated ET from the MS-PT model was most sensitive (to the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in forests) to net radiation ($R_n$) in grassland and cropland. The estimated ET from the SWI-PT model was most sensitive to $R_n$, followed by SWI, air temperature ($T_a$), and the EVI in each land cover type. Overall, the results showed that the MS-PT model estimates of ET in forest and cropland were weak. By replacing the fraction of soil moisture ($f_{sm}$) with the SWI and the NDVI with the EVI, the newly developed SWI-PT model captured soil evaporation and vegetation transpiration more accurately than the MS-PT model.

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선형특성 (LC) 법과 그 외 고전적 방법들과의 절단오차 분석에 의한 비교연구 (Comparative Study of LC Scheme with Some Conventional Schemes by Truncation Error Analysis)

  • Kim, Chan-Hyeong;Kim, Jong-Kyung;Yook, Chong-Chul
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.179-188
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    • 1988
  • 최근 개발된 유한차분법의 하나인 선형특성 (LC) 법을 절단오차의 분석을 통하여 계단형 차분 (SD)법, 다이아몬드형차분 (DD)법, 그리고 계단형특성 (SC) 법과 비교했다. 제시된 4가지 방법들이 선속 계산문제, 유효증배계수 계산문제, 그리고 임계평판 두께 계산문제에 적용되었으며, 그때 계산된 결과들은 몇몇의 절단오차 측정 기준들에 의해 평가되어졌다. 본 연구의 주요 결론으로, 모든 경우에 있어서 어느 정도 기대했던 바와 같이 선형특성법이 가장 우수하다는 것이 밝혀졌으며, 특히, 선형특성법은 유효증배계수와 임계평판두께 같은 적분 인자들을 정확하게 계산하는데, 이는 선형특성법이 다른 방법들에 비해 오차소거(Error Cancellation)작용이 효과적으로 일어나기 때문으로 밝혀졌다.

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수 Gbps 고속 인터페이스의 오류검출을 위한 자가내장측정법의 가속화 연구 (A Study on Accelerated Built-in Self Test for Error Detecting in Multi-Gbps High Speed Interfaces)

  • 노준완;권기원;전정훈
    • 전자공학회논문지
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    • 제49권12호
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    • pp.226-233
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 고속 인터페이스 비트오류율(BER, Bit Error Rate)의 수학적 모델을 기반으로, 간단하고 정확하게 시간마진을 추정할 수 있는 '선형 근사화 추정법(linear approximation method)'을 제안하였다. 기존의 Q-factor를 이용한 추정법과 제안한 선형 근사화 추정법을 이용하여 $10^{-13}$ 이하의 BER을 얻기 위한 시간마진을 추정한 결과는 실측한 값과 비교할 때 약 0.03UI 정도의 작은 오차를 갖는다. 이 중 선형 근사화를 이용한 가속 자가내장측정법(built-in self test)을 내부 BERT(BER Tester)를 포함한 하드웨어로 구현하였다. 3Gbps, 95% 신뢰 수준에서 $10^{-13}$ BER 기준의 시간마진을 직접 측정하는데 소요되는 시간이 약 5.6시간인데 반해, 가속 자가내장측정법은 0.6초 이내에 유사한 정확도로 시간마진을 추정한다. 시간마진 추정치는 시간마진을 내부 BERT로 직접 측정한 값과 0.045UI 이하의 작은 오차를 보였다.