• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error Criteria

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Multi-classifier Fusion Based Facial Expression Recognition Approach

  • Jia, Xibin;Zhang, Yanhua;Powers, David;Ali, Humayra Binte
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.196-212
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    • 2014
  • Facial expression recognition is an important part in emotional interaction between human and machine. This paper proposes a facial expression recognition approach based on multi-classifier fusion with stacking algorithm. The kappa-error diagram is employed in base-level classifiers selection, which gains insights about which individual classifier has the better recognition performance and how diverse among them to help improve the recognition accuracy rate by fusing the complementary functions. In order to avoid the influence of the chance factor caused by guessing in algorithm evaluation and get more reliable awareness of algorithm performance, kappa and informedness besides accuracy are utilized as measure criteria in the comparison experiments. To verify the effectiveness of our approach, two public databases are used in the experiments. The experiment results show that compared with individual classifier and two other typical ensemble methods, our proposed stacked ensemble system does recognize facial expression more accurately with less standard deviation. It overcomes the individual classifier's bias and achieves more reliable recognition results.

A Gompertz Model for Software Cost Estimation (Gompertz 소프트웨어 비용 추정 모델)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.15D no.2
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2008
  • This paper evaluates software cost estimation models, and presents the most suitable model. First, we transformed a relevant model into variables to make in linear. Second, we evaluated model's performance considering how much suitable the cost data of the actual development software was. In the stage of model performance evaluation criteria, we used MMRE which is the relative error concept rather than the absolute error. Existing software cost estimation model follows Weibull, Gamma, and Rayleigh function. In this paper, Gompertz function model is suggested which is a kind of growth curve. Additionally, we verify the compatability of other different growth curves. As a result of evaluation of model's performance, Gompertz function was considered to be the most suitable for the cost estimation model.

Real Time Current Prediction with Recurrent Neural Networks and Model Tree

  • Cini, S.;Deo, Makarand Chintamani
    • International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.116-130
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    • 2013
  • The prediction of ocean currents in real time over the warning times of a few hours or days is required in planning many operation-related activities in the ocean. Traditionally this is done through numerical models which are targeted toward producing spatially distributed information. This paper discusses a complementary method to do so when site-specific predictions are desired. It is based on the use of a recurrent type of neural network as well as the statistical tool of model tree. The measurements made at a site in Indian Ocean over a period of 4 years were used. The predictions were made over 72 time steps in advance. The models developed were found to be fairly accurate in terms of the selected error statistics. Among the two modeling techniques the model tree performed better showing the necessity of using distributed models for different sub-domains of data rather than a unique one over the entire input domain. Typically such predictions were associated with average errors of less than 2.0 cm/s. Although the prediction accuracy declined over longer intervals, it was still very satisfactory in terms of theselected error criteria. Similarly prediction of extreme values matched with that of the rest of predictions. Unlike past studies both east-west and north-south current components were predicted fairly well.

A Study on the Optimization Design of Damper for the Improvement of Vehicle Suspension Performance (차량 현가장치 성능향상을 위한 댐퍼 최적화 설계에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Choon Tae
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.74-80
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    • 2018
  • A damper is a hydraulic device designed to absorb or eliminate shock impulses which is acting on the sprung mass of vehicle. It converting the kinetic energy of the shock into another form of energy, typically heat. In a vehicle, a damper reduce vibration of car, leading to improved ride comfort and running stability. Therefore, a damper is one of the most important components in a vehicle suspension system. Conventionally, the design process of vehicle suspensions has been based on trial and error approaches, where designers iteratively change the values of the design variables and reanalyze the system until acceptable design criteria are achieved. Therefore, the ability to tune a damper properly without trial and error is of great interest in suspension system design to reduce time and effort. For this reason, a many previous researches have been done on modeling and simulation of the damper. In this paper, we have conducted optimal design process to find optimal design parameters of damping force which minimize a acceleration of sprung mass for a given suspension system using genetic algorithm.

Denoising PIV velocity fields and improving vortex identification using spatial filters (공간 필터를 이용한 PIV 속도장의 잡음 제거 및 와류 식별 개선)

  • Jung, Hyunkyun;Lee, Hoonsang;Hwang, Wontae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.48-57
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    • 2019
  • A straightforward strategy for particle image velocimetry (PIV) interrogation and post-processing has been proposed, aiming at reducing errors and clarifying vortex structures. The interrogation window size should be kept small to reduce bias error and improve spatial resolution. A spatial filter is then applied to the velocity field to reduce random error and clarify flow structure. The performance of three popular spatial filters were assessed: box filter, median filter, and local quadratic polynomial regression filter. In order to quantify random uncertainty, the image matching (IM) method is applied to an experimental dataset of homogeneous and isotropic turbulence (HIT) obtained by 2D-PIV. We statistically analyze the uncertainty propagation through the spatial filters, and verify the reduction in random uncertainty. Moreover, we illustrate that the spatial filters help clarify vortex structures using vortex identification criteria. As a result, PIV random uncertainty was reduced and the vortex structures became clearer by spatial filtering.

Comparison of time series predictions for maximum electric power demand (최대 전력수요 예측을 위한 시계열모형 비교)

  • Kwon, Sukhui;Kim, Jaehoon;Sohn, SeokMan;Lee, SungDuck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2021
  • Through this study, we studied how to consider environment variables (such as temperatures, weekend, holiday) closely related to electricity demand, and how to consider the characteristics of Korea electricity demand. In order to conduct this study, Smoothing method, Seasonal ARIMA model and regression model with AR-GARCH errors are compared with mean absolute error criteria. The performance comparison results of the model showed that the predictive method using AR-GARCH error regression model with environment variables had the best predictive power.

Soft computing-based estimation of ultimate axial load of rectangular concrete-filled steel tubes

  • Asteris, Panagiotis G.;Lemonis, Minas E.;Nguyen, Thuy-Anh;Le, Hiep Van;Pham, Binh Thai
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.471-491
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we estimate the ultimate load of rectangular concrete-filled steel tubes (CFST) by developing a novel hybrid predictive model (ANN-BCMO) which is a combination of balancing composite motion optimization (BCMO) - a very new optimization technique and artificial neural network (ANN). For this aim, an experimental database consisting of 422 datasets is used for the development and validation of the ANN-BCMO model. Variables in the database are related with the geometrical characteristics of the structural members, and the mechanical properties of the constituent materials (steel and concrete). Validation of the hybrid ANN-BCMO model is carried out by applying standard statistical criteria such as root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and mean absolute error (MAE). In addition, the selection of appropriate values for parameters of the hybrid ANN-BCMO is conducted and its robustness is evaluated and compared with the conventional ANN techniques. The results reveal that the new hybrid ANN-BCMO model is a promising tool for prediction of the ultimate load of rectangular CFST, and prove the effective role of BCMO as a powerful algorithm in optimizing and improving the capability of the ANN predictor.

Machine Learning Methodology for Management of Shipbuilding Master Data

  • Jeong, Ju Hyeon;Woo, Jong Hun;Park, JungGoo
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.428-439
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    • 2020
  • The continuous development of information and communication technologies has resulted in an exponential increase in data. Consequently, technologies related to data analysis are growing in importance. The shipbuilding industry has high production uncertainty and variability, which has created an urgent need for data analysis techniques, such as machine learning. In particular, the industry cannot effectively respond to changes in the production-related standard time information systems, such as the basic cycle time and lead time. Improvement measures are necessary to enable the industry to respond swiftly to changes in the production environment. In this study, the lead times for fabrication, assembly of ship block, spool fabrication and painting were predicted using machine learning technology to propose a new management method for the process lead time using a master data system for the time element in the production data. Data preprocessing was performed in various ways using R and Python, which are open source programming languages, and process variables were selected considering their relationships with the lead time through correlation analysis and analysis of variables. Various machine learning, deep learning, and ensemble learning algorithms were applied to create the lead time prediction models. In addition, the applicability of the proposed machine learning methodology to standard work hour prediction was verified by evaluating the prediction models using the evaluation criteria, such as the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Squared Logarithmic Error (RMSLE).

Impact of ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) on the Performance of Electric Utilities (ESG(Environmental, Social, Governance)가 발전기업의 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Ko, Byungguk;Lee, Kyuhwan;Yoon, Yongbeum;Park, Soojin
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.60-72
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    • 2022
  • The environmental, social, and governance (ESG) score is gaining recognition as important nonfinancial investment criteria. With climate change emerging as a global issue, energy companies must pay attention to the ESG impact on corporate performance. In this study, the ESG impact on the performance of energy companies was analyzed based on 23 companies selected from the S&P 500. The panel corrected standard error methodology was used. The Refinitiv ESG score was the independent variable, and financial performance metrics, such as Tobin's Q, return on assets, and return on equity, were the dependent variables. It was found that the ESG score is positively associated with long-term corporate value but not with short-term profitability in the electricity utility industry. Among the subcategories of ESG, the environmental and social scores also showed positive correlations with long-term corporate value. A direct incentive policy is recommended that can offset expenses for ESG activities to reduce carbon emission in the energy sector.

Comparison and optimization of deep learning-based radiosensitivity prediction models using gene expression profiling in National Cancer Institute-60 cancer cell line

  • Kim, Euidam;Chung, Yoonsun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.3027-3033
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    • 2022
  • Background: In this study, various types of deep-learning models for predicting in vitro radiosensitivity from gene-expression profiling were compared. Methods: The clonogenic surviving fractions at 2 Gy from previous publications and microarray gene-expression data from the National Cancer Institute-60 cell lines were used to measure the radiosensitivity. Seven different prediction models including three distinct multi-layered perceptrons (MLP), four different convolutional neural networks (CNN) were compared. Folded cross-validation was applied to train and evaluate model performance. The criteria for correct prediction were absolute error < 0.02 or relative error < 10%. The models were compared in terms of prediction accuracy, training time per epoch, training fluctuations, and required calculation resources. Results: The strength of MLP-based models was their fast initial convergence and short training time per epoch. They represented significantly different prediction accuracy depending on the model configuration. The CNN-based models showed relatively high prediction accuracy, low training fluctuations, and a relatively small increase in the memory requirement as the model deepens. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that a CNN-based model with moderate depth would be appropriate when the prediction accuracy is important, and a shallow MLP-based model can be recommended when either the training resources or time are limited.