• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error Budget Method

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Artillery Error Budget Method Using Optimization Algorithm (최적화 알고리즘을 활용한 곡사포의 사격 오차 예측 기법)

  • An, Seil;Ahn, Sangtae;Choi, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2017
  • In R&D of artillery system, error budget method is used to predict artillery firing error without field firing test. The error budget method for artillery has been consistently developed but apply for practical R&D of the weapon system has been avoided because of lacks of error budget source information. The error budget source is composed of every detailed error components which affect total distance and deflection error of artillery, and most of them are difficult to be calculated or measured. Also with the inaccuracy of source information, simulated error result dose not reflect real firing error. To resolve that problem, an optimization algorithm is adopted to figure out error budget sources from existing filed firing test. The method of finding input parameter estimation which is commonly used in aerodynamics was applied. As an optimization algorithm, CMA-ES is used and presented in the paper. The error budget sources which are figured out by the presented method can be applied to compute ROC of new weapon systems and may contribute to an improvement of accuracy in artillery.

A Study on Converting the Data of Probability of Hit(Ph) for OneSAF Model (OneSAF 모델을 위한 명중률 데이터 변환 방법)

  • Kim, Gun In;Kang, Tae Ho;Seo, Woo Duck;Pyun, Jae Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2020
  • To use the OneSAF model for the analysis of Defence M&S, the most critical factor is the acquisition of input data. The model user is hard to determine the input data such as the probability of hit(Ph) and the probability of kill(Pk). These data can be obtained directly by live fire during the development test and the operational test. Therefore, this needs more time and resources to get the Ph and Pk. In this paper, we reviewed possible ways to obtain the Ph and Pk. We introduced several data producing methodologies. In particular, the error budget method was presented to convert the Ph(%) data of AWAM model to the error(mil) data of OneSAF model. Also, the conversion method which can get the adjusted results from the JMEM is introduced. The probability of a hit was calculated based on the error budget method in order to prove the usefulness of the given method. More accurate data were obtained when the error budget method and the projected area from the published photo were used simultaneously. The importance of the Ph calculation was demonstrated by sensitivity analysis of the Ph on combat effectiveness. This paper emphasizes the importance of determining the Ph data and improving the reliability of the M&S system though steady collection and analysis of the Ph data.

Gravity Compensation Techniques for Enhancing Optical Performance in Satellite Multi-band Optical Sensor (위성용 다중대역광학센서의 광학 성능 향상을 위한 자중보상기법)

  • Do-hee Yoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.127-139
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    • 2024
  • This paper discusses a gravity compensation technique designed to reduce wavefront error caused by gravity during the assembly and alignment of satellite multi-band optical sensor. For this study, the wavefront error caused by gravity was analyzed for the opto-mechanical structure of multi-band optical sensor. Wavefront error, an indicator of optical performance, was computed by using the displacements of optics calculated through structural analysis and optical sensitivity calculated through optical analysis. Since the calculated wavefront error caused by gravity exceeded the allocated budget, the gravity compensation technique was required. This compensation technique reduces wavefront error effectively by applying the compensation load to the appropriate position of the housing tube. This method successfully meets the wavefront error budget for all bands. In the future, a gravity compensation equipment applying this technique will be manufactured and used for assembly and alignment of multi-band optical sensor.

The Study of Error Compensation for Repeatability Improvement of Precision Positioning System

  • Lee, Woogeun;Changsoo Han;Park, Hyeunseok;Lee, Kyeyoung
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.66.6-66
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we studied the error compensation using an error budget method for repeatability improvement of the precision positioning system. The precision positioning system is developed for micro-pressing machine. We performed the force and displacement analysis about parts of the system. Proposed system determines the position and orientation of the materials manufactured by micro-pressing machine. It is consisted of x-y-z linear stages setting the position, and the gripper system setting the orientation. We executed kinematic and dynamic modeling of the whole precision positioning system. By generalizing the design variables, precision positioning system has the flexibility of material dimension. As we tried an error compensation using ...

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The Conceptual Cost Estimate Model on Preliminary Design Phase for RC Rahmen Bridge (RC라멘교의 기본설계단계 개략공사비 산정모델)

  • Kim, Byung-Soo;Kwon, Suk-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2009
  • The conceptual cost estimation used the construction project needs for confirm budget not only at the planning phase but also at the preliminary design phase of the construction project. Present, the conceptual cost estimation model have problems the rate of error is very large because the linear simple model calculate by use the cost of the unit meter or the unit square. This study development the model used grouping and the key quantity method, the mixed unit cost for solve problem of the very large rate of error. The result of this study reduced difference of between the real design construction cost therefor it expect that contribute to the client or the service company estimate budget of RC rahmen bridge.

A Study on the Model of Artificial Neural Network for Construction Cost Estimation of Educational Facilities at Conceptual Stage (교육시설의 개념단계 공사비예측을 위한 인공신경망모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Jae-Ho;Kim, Chung-Yung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.4 s.32
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is propose an Artificial Neural Network(ANN) model for the construction estimate of the public educational facility at conceptual stage. The current method for the preliminary cost estimate of the public educational facility uses a single-parameter which is based on basic criteria such as a gross floor area. However, its accuracy is low due to the nature of the method. When the difference between the conceptual estimate and detailed estimate is huge, the project has to be modified to meet the established budget. Thus, the ANN model is developed by using multi-parameters in order to estimate the project budget cost more accurately. The result of the research shows 6.82% of the testing error rates when the developed model was tested. The error rates and the error range of the developed model are smaller than those of the general preliminary estimating model at conceptual stage. Since the proposed ANN model was trained using the detailed estimate information of the past 5 years' school construction data, it is expected to forecast the school project cost accurately.

Sample Size Determination for O/D Estimation under Budget Constraint (예산제약하에서 O/D 추정을 위한 최소표본율 결정)

  • Sin, Hui-Cheol;Lee, Hyang-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.3 s.89
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2006
  • A large sample can Provide more information about the Population. As the sample size Increases, analysts will be more confident about the survey results. On the other hand, the costs for survey will increase in time and manpower. Therefore, determination of the sample size is a trade-off between the required accuracy and the cost. In addition, permitted error and significance level should be considered. Sample size determination in surveys for O/D estimation is also connected with confidence of survey result. However, the past methods were usually too simple to consider confidence. Therefore, a new method for O/D surveys was Proposed and it was accurate enough, but it has too large sample size when we have current budget constraint. In this research, several minimum sample size determination methods for origin-destination survey under budget constraint were proposed. Each method decreased sample size, but has its own advantages. Selection of the sample size will depend on the study Purpose and budget constraint.

Geolocation Error Analysis of KOMPSAT-5 SAR Imagery Using Monte-Carlo Simulation Method

  • Choi, Yoon Jo;Hong, Seung Hwan;Sohn, Hong Gyoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2019
  • Geolocation accuracy is one of the important factors in utilizing all weather available SAR satellite imagery. In this study, an error budget analysis was performed on key variables affecting on geolocation accuracy by generating KOMPSAT-5 simulation data. To perform the analysis, a Range-Doppler model was applied as a geometric model of the SAR imagery. The results show that the geolocation errors in satellite position and velocity are linearly related to the biases in the azimuth and range direction. With 0.03cm/s satellite velocity biases, the simulated errors were up to 0.054 pixels and 0.0047 pixels in the azimuth and range direction, and it implies that the geolocation accuracy is sensitive in the azimuth direction. Moreover, while the clock drift causes a geolocation error in the azimuth direction, a signal delay causes in the range direction. Monte-Carlo simulation analysis was performed to analyze the influence of multiple geometric error sources, and the simulated error was up to 3.02 pixels in the azimuth direction.

Extension Test of Midday Apparent Evapotranspiration toward Daily Value Using a Complete Remotely-Sensed Input

  • Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Young-Seup
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.341-349
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    • 2003
  • The so-called B-method, a simplified surface energy budget, permits calculation of daily actual evapotranspiration (ET) using remotely sensed data, such as NOAA-AVHRR. Even if the use of satellite data allows estimation of the albedo and surface temperature, this model requires meteorological data measured at ground-level to obtain the other inputs. In addition, a difficulty may be occurred by the difference of temporal scales between the net radiation in daily scale and instantaneous measurement at midday of the surface and air temperatures because the data covered whole day are necessary to obtain accumulated daily net radiation. In order to solve these problems, this study attempted a modification of B-method through an extension of hourly ET value calculated using a complete instantaneous inputs. The estimation of the daily apparent ET from newly proposed system showed a root mean square error of 0.26 mm/day as compared the output obtained from the classical model. It is evident that this may offer more rapid estimation and reduced data volume.

Uncertainty Analysis of Cross-Correlation Algorithm based on FFT by PIV Standard Images (표준 영상에 의한 FFT 기반 상호상관 PIV 알고리즘의 불확도 해석)

  • Lee, Suk-Jong;Choi, Jung-Geun;Sung, Jae-Young;Hwang, Tae-Gyu;Doh, Deog-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • Uncertainty introduced by a cross-correlation algorithm based on FFT has been investigated using PIV standard images. The standard images were generated by the Monte Carlo simulation method. Both bias and random errors from the velocity vector have been analyzed with regard to the particle diameter, displacement, and the number of particles. The uncertainty of velocity is evaluated based upon the IS0/IEC standard. As a result, a total error of $0.26\%$ is included in the PIV cross-correlation algorithm. In addition, the uncertainty budget is presented, where the effect of the above three variables is examined. According to the budget, the variation of the number of particles within the interrogation window mainly contributes to the combined standard uncertainty of the real measured velocity field when excluding the effect of errors by the experiments itself. Finally, the expanded uncertainty is found to be about $12\%$ at the $95\%$ confidence level.

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