• 산업공학
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.178-186
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• 2012

The DRAM module is an important part of servers, workstations and personal computer. Its malfunction causes a lot of damage on customer system. Therefore, customers demand the highest quality products. The company applies DRAM module Outgoing Quality Assurance Inspection(OQA) to secures the highest quality. It is the key process to decides shipment of products through sample inspection method with customer oriented tests. High fraction of defectives entering to OQA causes inevitable high quality cost. This article proposes the application of ensemble learning to classify the lot status to minimize the ratio of wrong decision in OQA, observing a potential in reducing the wrong decision.

• 대기
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.533-540
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• 2014

Statistical forecast models for the prediction of the summertime Changma precipitation have been developed in this study. As effective predictors for the Changma precipitation, the springtime sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the North Atlantic (NA1), the North Pacific (NPC) and the tropical Pacific Ocean (CNINO) has been suggested in Lee and Seo (2013). To further improve the performance of the statistical prediction scheme, we select other potential predictors and construct 2 additional statistical models. The selected predictors are the Northern Indian Ocean (NIO) and the Bering Sea (BS) SST anomalies, and the spring Eurasian snow cover anomaly (EUSC). Then, using the total three statistical prediction models, a simple ensemble-mean prediction is performed. The resulting correlation skill score reaches as high as ~0.90 for the last 21 years, which is ~16% increase in the skill compared to the prediction model by Lee and Seo (2013). The EUSC and BS predictors are related to a strengthening of the Okhotsk high, leading to an enhancement of the Changma front. The NIO predictor induces the cyclonic anomalies to the southwest of the Korean peninsula and southeasterly flows toward the peninsula, giving rise to an increase in the Changma precipitation.

• 정보보호학회논문지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.1033-1042
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• 2023

본 논문은 네트워크에서 침입 행위를 하는 플로우를 탐지하는 네트워크 침입 탐지 시스템을 제안한다. 대다수 연구에 활용되는 데이터세트는 시계열 정보를 포함하고 있지 않으며, 공격 사례가 적은 공격은 샘플 데이터 수가 부족해 탐지율 향상이 어렵다. 하지만 탐지 방안에 대해 연구 결과가 부족한 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 ANN(Artificial Neural Network) 모델과 스택 앙상블 기법을 활용한 선행 연구를 토대로 하였다. 앞서 언급한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 인접 플로우를 활용하여 시계열 정보를 추가하고 희소 공격의 샘플을 강화하여 학습하여 탐지율을 보강하였다.

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.447-453
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• 2002

In this paper we have presented the results of thermodynamic, structural, and dynamic properties of model systems for liquid benzene, toluene and p-xylene in an isobaric-isothermal (NpT) ensemble at 283.15, 303.15, 323.15, and 343.15 K using molecular dynamics (MD) simulation. This work is initiated to compensate for our previous canonical (NVT) ensemble MD simulations [Bull. Kor. Chem. Soc. 2001, 23, 441] for the same systems in which the calculated pressures were too low. The calculated pressures in the NpT ensemble MD simulations are close to 1 atm and the volume of each system increases with increasing temperature. The first and second peaks in the center of mass g(r) diminish gradually and the minima increase as usual for the three liquids as the temperature increases. The three peaks of the site-site gC-C(r) at 283.15 K support the perpendicular structure of nearest neighbors in liquid benzene. Two self-diffusion coefficients of liquid benzene via the Einstein equation and via the Green-Kubo relation are in excellent agreement with the experimental measures. The self-diffusion coefficients of liquid toluene and p-xylene are in accord with the trend that the self-diffusion coefficient decreases with increasing number of methyl group. The friction constants calculated from the force auto-correlation (FAC) function with the assumption that the fast random force correlation ends at time which the FAC has the first negative value give a correct qualitative trends: decrease with increase of temperature and increase with the number of methyl group. The friction constants calculated from the FAC's are always less than those obtained from the friction-diffusion relation which reflects that the random FAC decays slower than the total FAC as described by Kubo [Rep. Prog. Phys. 1966, 29, 255].

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제43권3호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2020

Interest rate spreads indicate the conditions of the economy and serve as an indicator of the recession. The purpose of this study is to predict Korea's interest rate spreads using US data with long-term continuity. To this end, 27 US economic data were used, and the entire data was reduced to 5 dimensions through principal component analysis to build a dataset necessary for prediction. In the prediction model of this study, three RNN models (BasicRNN, LSTM, and GRU) predict the US interest rate spread and use the predicted results in the SVR ensemble model to predict the Korean interest rate spread. The SVR ensemble model predicted Korea's interest rate spread as RMSE 0.0658, which showed more accurate predictive power than the general ensemble model predicted as RMSE 0.0905, and showed excellent performance in terms of tendency to respond to fluctuations. In addition, improved prediction performance was confirmed through period division according to policy changes. This study presented a new way to predict interest rates and yielded better results. We predict that if you use refined data that represents the global economic situation through follow-up studies, you will be able to show higher interest rate predictions and predict economic conditions in Korea as well as other countries.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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• pp.155-155
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• 2018

Uncertainty in flood forecasting using a coupled meteorological and hydrological model is arisen from various sources, especially the uncertainty comes from the inaccuracy of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs). In order to improve the capability of flood forecast, the uncertainty estimation and mitigation are required to perform. This study is conducted to investigate and reduce such uncertainty. First, ensemble QPFs are generated by using Monte - Carlo simulation, then each ensemble member is forced as input for a hydrological model to obtain ensemble streamflow prediction. Likelihood measures are evaluated to identify feasible member. These members are retained to define upper and lower limits of the uncertainty interval and assess the uncertainty. To mitigate the uncertainty for very short lead time, a blending method, which merges the ensemble QPFs with radar-based rainfall prediction considering both qualitative and quantitative skills, is proposed. Finally, blending bias ratios, which are estimated from previous time step, are used to update the members over total lead time. The proposed method is verified for the two flood events in 2013 and 2016 in the Yeonguol and Soyang watersheds that are located in the Han River basin, South Korea. The uncertainty in flood forecasting using a coupled Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) and Sejong University Rainfall - Runoff (SURR) model is investigated and then mitigated by blending the generated ensemble LDAPS members with radar-based rainfall prediction that uses McGill algorithm for precipitation nowcasting by Lagrangian extrapolation (MAPLE). The results show that the uncertainty of flood forecasting using the coupled model increases when the lead time is longer. The mitigation method indicates its effectiveness for mitigating the uncertainty with the increases of the percentage of feasible member (POFM) and the ratio of the number of observations that fall into the uncertainty interval (p-factor).

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제30권12호
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• pp.1053-1065
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• 2021

In this study, the prediction technology of Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) was improved by optimizing the weather predictors used as input data for machine learning. Results comparison was conducted using bias and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), which are predictive accuracy verification indicators, based on the heavy rain case on August 21, 2021. By comparing the rainfall simulated using the improved HQPF and the observed accumulated rainfall, it was revealed that all HQPFs (conventional HQPF and improved HQPF 1 and HQPF 2) showed a decrease in rainfall as the lead time increased for the entire grid region. Hence, the difference from the observed rainfall increased. In the accumulated rainfall evaluation due to the reduction of input factors, compared to the existing HQPF, improved HQPF 1 and 2 predicted a larger accumulated rainfall. Furthermore, HQPF 2 used the lowest number of input factors and simulated more accumulated rainfall than that projected by conventional HQPF and HQPF 1. By improving the performance of conventional machine learning despite using lesser variables, the preprocessing period and model execution time can be reduced, thereby contributing to model optimization. As an additional advanced method of HQPF 1 and 2 mentioned above, a simulated analysis of the Local ENsemble prediction System (LENS) ensemble member and low pressure, one of the observed meteorological factors, was analyzed. Based on the results of this study, if we select for the positively performing ensemble members based on the heavy rain characteristics of Korea or apply additional weights differently for each ensemble member, the prediction accuracy is expected to increase.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.294-302
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• 2022

Detection of fake news is a complex and a challenging task. Generation of fake news is very hard to stop, only steps to control its circulation may help in minimizing its impacts. Humans tend to believe in misleading false information. Researcher started with social media sites to categorize in terms of real or fake news. False information misleads any individual or an organization that may cause of big failure and any financial loss. Automatic system for detection of false information circulating on social media is an emerging area of research. It is gaining attention of both industry and academia since US presidential elections 2016. Fake news has negative and severe effects on individuals and organizations elongating its hostile effects on the society. Prediction of fake news in timely manner is important. This research focuses on detection of fake news spreaders. In this context, overall, 6 models are developed during this research, trained and tested with dataset of PAN 2020. Four approaches N-gram based; user statistics-based models are trained with different values of hyper parameters. Extensive grid search with cross validation is applied in each machine learning model. In N-gram based models, out of numerous machine learning models this research focused on better results yielding algorithms, assessed by deep reading of state-of-the-art related work in the field. For better accuracy, author aimed at developing models using Random Forest, Logistic Regression, SVM, and XGBoost. All four machine learning algorithms were trained with cross validated grid search hyper parameters. Advantages of this research over previous work is user statistics-based model and then ensemble learning model. Which were designed in a way to help classifying Twitter users as fake news spreader or not with highest reliability. User statistical model used 17 features, on the basis of which it categorized a Twitter user as malicious. New dataset based on predictions of machine learning models was constructed. And then Three techniques of simple mean, logistic regression and random forest in combination with ensemble model is applied. Logistic regression combined in ensemble model gave best training and testing results, achieving an accuracy of 72%.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.19-26
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• 2014

앙상블 분류기는 여러 개의 분류기에서의 예측 결과를 결합함으로써 단일 분류기에 비해 신뢰성 높은 예측 결과를 얻을 수 있는 방법으로 널리 사용되고 있다. 앙상블 분류기를 위해서는 여러 가지 방법이 사용되고 있으며 흔히 사용되는 방법으로는 부스팅이 있다. 하지만 부스팅은 단계적인 학습을 통해 이전 단계에서 잘못 분류된 샘플들을 다음 단계에서 다시 분류하는 방식으로 이전 단계로의 피드백이 불완전한 순차적인 방법이라는 한계가 있다. 이 논문에서는 단일 분류기 중 가장 성능이 좋은 것으로 알려진 SVM을 기본분류기로 사용하여 동시에 여러개의 SVM을 학습하는 문맥 감지형 SVM 앙상블알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안하는 방법에서는 특징 공간을 문맥으로 나누는 클러스터링과 SVM 학습을 동시에 진행하므로 특징 공간 분할과 학습이 서로의 결과를 사용할 수 있어 기존 앙상블학습에 비해 더 나은 결과를 얻을 수 있으며 이는 실험 결과를 통해 확인할 수 있다.

• 정보과학회 논문지
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• 제42권9호
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• pp.1124-1132
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• 2015

일반적으로, 교사 학습 알고리즘이 적절히 학습되기 위해서는 레이블의 편향이 없는 충분한 양의 학습데이터가 필요하다. 그러나 영작문 자동채점 시스템 개발을 위한 충분하고 편향되지 않은 학습데이터를 수집하는 것은 어려운 일이다. 또한 영어 작문 평가의 경우, 전체적인 답안 수준에 대한 다면적인 평가가 이루어진다. 적고 편향되기 쉬운 학습데이터와 이를 이용한 여러 평가영역에 대한 학습모델을 생성해야하기 때문에, 이를 위한 적절한 기계학습 알고리즘을 결정하기 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 앙상블학습을 통해 완화할 수 있음을 실험에 통해 보이고자 한다. 실제 중, 고등학교 학생들을 대상으로 시행된 단문형 영작문 채점 결과를 학습데이터 개수와 편향성을 조절하여 실험하였다. 학습데이터의 개수 변화와 편향성 변화의 실험 결과, 에이다부스트 알고리즘을 적용한 결과를 투표로 결합한 앙상블 기법이 다른 알고리즘들 보다 전반적으로 더 나은 성능을 나타냄을 실험을 통해 나타내었다.